complex families community budgets essexfamily deep dive analysis by tonic consultants matthew scott

7/28/2019 Complex Families Community Budgets EssexFamily Deep Dive Analysis by Tonic Consultants Matthew Scott

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System highly complex to navigate (e.g. numerousassessments, recording systems, structures)

High immediate costs are met by local agencies Average cost 139k per family per year (NB: many costsnot included here) Long-term impact on family members intergenerational

transmission & poor outcomes

Up to 90% of spend is reactive/failure costs; only 6%invested in strengthening the family


11/47

Data Analysis: Local Headlines

Basildon422 families @ 59m

Castle Point & Rochford235 families @ 33m

Colchester286 families @ 40m

Harlow215 families @ 30m

Tendring320 families @ 45m

NEXT STEPSData book for each locality & hotspotidentification

Methodology & support for developingcase studies in localities


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ECC

Childrens

Services

Essex

Probatio

n

Essex

Police Health

CVS

District

Council

ECC Adult

Health &

Community

Wellbeing

MoJ:

Courts &

Prison

3.7m

(53%)

221k

(3%)

606k

(9%)

1.4m

(20%)

596k

(9%)

265k

(4%)

125k

(2%) ?

Others: DWP, Job

Centre Plus, Social

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31/47

B;:;*09;@=>G9A

MeasureActual or

Estimate

TOTALacross 6

districtsBasildon

CastlePoint Colchester Harlow Rochford Tendring

Mothers in drugtreatment with dependentchildren living with them

Actual(NDTMS,20010-11) 90 21 6 30 3 5 25

Lone Parents with 2 or

more dependent childrenand no parent working

Actual(ONS) 475 136 41 99 81 25 93

Families with multipleproblems and a child

experiencing problemsEstimate(DfE) 582 153 54 120 74 36 145

Families with multipleproblems

Estimate(SETF &DfE) 1,479 422 140 286 215 95 320

Children living with

parents with drug misuse,

alcohol misuse andmental health problems

Estimate(Manning

et al,2009) 1,760 438 204 414 205 195 304

Chaotic Families (10%)

Estimate(Knowsley,2010) 8,457 2,127 1,027 1,874 1,036 952 1,441

Estimated cost of familieswith multiple problems

From casestudyestimates(2011) 207m 59m 20m 40m 30m 13m 45m

Q0$


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34/47

Basildon needs analysis by electoral ward

Number of 16-18's who are NEET (02 03 2010) Average IMD score (2007)

Pupils achieving 5+ GCSE inc Eng & Maths (2009)Teenage Pregnancy Rate (2005-07)

Reproduced from the Ordnance Survey mapping with thepermission of the Controller of Her Majesty's StationeryOffice Crown copyright. Unauthorised reproductioninfringes Crown copyright and may lead to prosecution orcivil proceedings.Essex County Council Licence No. 100019602. 2007

The colour schemes used in the maps are all using a fivecoloured quantile range - dark green denotes that theward is amongst the top 20% performing wards withinEssex (then light green, yellow, orange) down to red beingamongst the worst performing wards in Essex.

NEET by postcode 02 03 2010

1

2

3 - 4

5 - 7

8 - 23

Ward YoungPeople

aged16-18

whoareNEET

%achieving5

+A*-CGCSE

incEng&Maths

AverageIMD

Billericay East 16 74.5% 5.97

Billericay West 10 74.8% 7.54

Burstead 16 58.1% 8.42

Crouch 23 60.5% 16.30

Fryerns 45 32.4% 32.77

Laindon Park 59 34.1% 26.61

Langdon Hills 15 57.4% 10.59

Lee Chapel North 75 39.0% 31.76

Nethermayne 40 49.4% 18.27

Pitsea North West 50 29.3% 33.01

Pitsea South East 39 33.3% 27.62

St. Martin's 52 35.3% 34.41Vange 57 23.1% 36.10

Wickford Castledon 10 51.1% 10.57

Wickford North 24 58.0% 13.14

Wickford Park 16 49.0% 12.21


35/47

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38/47

Colchester needs analysis by electoral ward






1

2

3 - 4

5 - 7

8 - 23

Ward Young

Peopleaged16-18

whoareNEET

%a

ch

ieving5+A*-CGCSE

incEn

g&Maths

AverageIMD

Berechurch 42 38.1% 21.48

Birch and Winstree 7 61.1% 10.94

Castle 22 54.9% 15.98

Christ Church 4 88.0% 8.77

Copford and West Stanway 0 57.1% 10.50

Dedham and Langham 4 47.8% 9.55

East Donyland 5 60.7% 14.67

Fordham and Stour 8 70.3% 10.81

Great Tey 3 72.7% 11.86

Harbour 30 37.5% 25.63

Highwoods 24 51.9% 13.59

Lexden 17 58.1% 11.84

Marks Tey 5 46.2% 14.79

Mile End 11 69.5% 10.53

New Town 40 42.5% 20.32

Prettygate 8 67.8% 8.20

Pyefleet 3 81.8% 13.39

St. Andrew's 45 26.8% 30.99

St. Anne's 25 41.9% 22.06

St. John's 6 72.4% 6.88

Shrub End 34 39.7% 15.10Stanway 10 50.6% 10.85

Tiptree 9 50.0% 12.27

West Bergholt and Eight Ash Green 10 64.3% 9.38

West Mersea 15 46.6% 10.60

Wivenhoe Cross 2 61.1% 7.50

Wivenhoe Quay 11 52.9% 7.21

* Estimates in italics


39/47

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40/47

Harlow needs analysis by electoral ward






1

2

3 - 4

5 - 7

8 - 23

Ward YoungPeople

aged16-18

whoareNEET

%achieving5

+A*-CGCSE

incEng&Maths

AverageIMD

Bush Fair 10 36.4% 23.18

Church Langley 1 39.7% 8.44

Great Parndon 8 56.4% 17.75

Harlow Common 12 37.5% 22.43

Little Parndon and Hare Street 6 31.4% 23.75

Mark Hall 10 43.0% 24.02

Netteswell 18 31.8% 26.05

Old Harlow 6 53.7% 14.36

Staple Tye 8 34.2% 29.66

Sumners and Kingsmoor 9 35.6% 23.35

Toddbrook 22 46.2% 23.96



41/47

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42/47

Rochford needs analysis by electoral ward






1

2

3 - 4

5 - 7

8 - 23

Ward YoungPeo

pleaged16-18

whoareNE

ET

%achieving5+A*-CGCSE

incEng&M

aths

AverageIM

D

Ashingdon and Canewdon 7 46.7% 11.67Barling and Sutton 3 60.0% 13.13

Downhall and Rawreth 9 59.2% 5.84

Foulness and Great Wakering 16 41.2% 12.16

Grange 3 66.7% 7.96Hawkwell North 5 53.8% 5.61Hawkwell South 9 45.9% 11.82

Hawkwell West 0 20.0% 7.10

Hockley Central 7 40.0% 5.28

Hockley North 7 0.0% 5.63Hockley West 2 75.0% 4.66

Hullbridge 5 56.0% 9.97

Lodge 9 60.0% 5.62

Rayleigh Central 2 67.5% 7.40Rochford 20 39.7% 19.36Sweyne Park 6 48.6% 12.21

Trinity 7 65.6%

Wheatley 6 71.2% 7.37

Whitehouse 3 69.4% 8.55



43/47

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44/47

Tendring needs analysis by electoral ward






1

2

3 - 4

5 - 7

8 - 23

Ward Y

oungPeopleaged16-18

w

hoareNEET

%

achieving5+A*-CGCSE

incEng&Maths

A

verageIMD

Alresford 1 43.5% 11.87

Alton Park 33 20.9% 36.85Ardleigh and Little Bromley 3 52.6% 14.71Beaumont and Thorpe 4 38.1% 18.01Bockings Elm 13 39.2% 23.85Bradfield, Wrabness and Wix 6 58.8% 12.06Brightlingsea 11 48.0% 13.42

Burrsville 4 0.0% 24.46

Frinton 4 65.2% 10.31

Golf Green 22 21.7% 51.91

Great and Little Oakley 3 50.0% 17.39Great Bentley 3 52.2% 11.29Hamford 9 53.8% 12.92Harwich East 21 35.9% 33.51Harwich East Central 22 42.9% 21.48

Harwich West 9 26.5% 17.48

Harwich West Central 21 36.8% 19.55

Haven 7 57.1% 20.44

Holland and Kirby 10 46.4% 16.56Homelands 3 53.8% 18.35Lawford 6 55.9% 12.73Little Clacton and Weeley 15 41.9% 21.10Manningtree, Mistley, Little Bentley and Tendring 8 56.1% 18.36Peter Bruff 14 28.6% 24.48

Pier 53 32.3% 47.72

Ramsey and Parkeston 12 47.6% 25.79

Rush Green 35 16.2% 48.22

St. Bartholomews 6 47.5% 18.36St. James 12 42.6% 20.77St. Johns 20 30.8% 26.23St. Marys 28 28.8% 30.12St. Osyth and Point Clear 16 25.5% 27.99St. Pauls 19 56.4% 19.35

Thorrington, Frating, Elmstead and Great Bromley 8 64.3% 17.42

Walton 14 41.0% 27.60


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complex families community budgets essexfamily deep dive analysis by tonic consultants matthew scott

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