competitiveness of nuclear energy · competitiveness of nuclear energy dr.sama bilbao y leon oecd...
TRANSCRIPT
CompetitivenessofNuclearEnergy
Dr. SamaBILBAOYLEON
OECDNuclearEnergyAgency
Is Nuclear energy cost competitive?
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
OCGT CCGT Coal Nuclear Wind-Onshore Solar
Levelised
Costo
fElectric
itygen
eration(USD
/MWh)
Investment O&MFixed O&MVariable Fuel Carbon
• Today’s nuclear energy plants are a very competitive source of long-term electricity supply
• Costs of renewables are dropping, but without subsidies are still high
• Costs of natural gas still set the pace for the market and are generally lowLevelised Cost for Plants Built in 2020
Source:NEA
14
Itdepends…
Apricethatreflectsthetruevalue
Accountingforfullcostsinformspublicdebatebutcannotsubstituteforit.Socialandpoliticaldiscussionswillgivedifferentweightstodifferentvariablesindifferentcountries
Plant-level productioncostsatmarketprices
Grid-levelcostsoftheelectricitysystem
Fullcostsincludingsocialcostsof
emissions,land-use,climatechange,
securityofsupply,etc.
Grid-levelsystemcosts
Grid-levelSystemCostsforagridwith10%and30%ofVariableRenewableGenerationSource:OECD/NEA
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400
lowhigh
NUCLEARonshore,lowonshore,highoffshore,lowoffshore,high
WINDlowhigh
BIOMASSlowhigh
HYDROlowhigh
PHOTOVOLTAICwithCCSwithSCR
lowhigh
NATURALGASCCcombinedcycle
lowNOxHEAVYFUELOIL
withCCSwithFGD,lowwithFGD,high
COALwithFGD,lowwithFGD,high
LIGNITE
tonnesCO2 eq./GWh
DirectEmissions
IndirectEmissions
Along-terminvestmentincleanenergyDirectandindirectGHGemissionsLifetimecost(€/kW)
Sources:OECD/NEA,MitigationofClimateChange,IntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange,2007
6
Nuclearpowerplantscanbeflexible
Courtesy of Électricité de France (EDF)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
11/07/2008 30/08/2008 19/10/2008 08/12/2008 27/01/2009 18/03/2009 07/05/2009 26/06/2009 15/08/2009
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
18/12/2008 19/12/2008 20/12/2008 21/12/2008 22/12/2008 23/12/2008 24/12/2008 25/12/2008 26/12/2008 27/12/2008
Courtesy of Électricité de France (EDF)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
11/07/2008 30/08/2008 19/10/2008 08/12/2008 27/01/2009 18/03/2009 07/05/2009 26/06/2009 15/08/2009
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
18/12/2008 19/12/2008 20/12/2008 21/12/2008 22/12/2008 23/12/2008 24/12/2008 25/12/2008 26/12/2008 27/12/2008
PowerhistoryofaFrenchPWRreactor
Wholecycle 10-dayperiodaroundChristmas
Source:EDFandOECD/NEA
Fresh Water District Heating
Industrial Heat
Hydrogen
Sanmen units1and2(Image:SNPTC) Barakah unit2(Image:ENEC)
Taishan 1(Image:CGN) Novovoronezh II-2(Image:Rosatom)
Themoreyoubuildnuclearpowerplantsthebetteryougetatit:practicedoesmake
perfectinthenuclearbusiness
8
NEA:Helpinggovernments
AllNEApublicationsavailableatwww.oecd-nea.org
The NEA: A framework to address global challenges
The role of the NEA is to:
• Foster international co-operation to develop the scientific, technological and legal bases required for a safe, environmentally friendly and economical use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.
• Develop authoritative assessments and forge common understandings on key issues as input to government decisions on nuclear technology policy.
• Conduct multinational research into challenging scientific and technological issues.
NEA countries operate nearly 90% of the world's installed nuclear capacity
3