company name: csx corp ticker: csx jan. 05, 2017 transportation industry: transportation-rail last...

Download Company Name: CSX CORP Ticker: CSX Jan. 05, 2017  Transportation Industry: Transportation-Rail Last Close: $36.63 Trade Date: Jan 4, ... NSC 7.88% 68 P/S Ratio Rank CSX 3.37 32

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  • Vglu ngineE TMThe Leader in Stock Valuation and Forecasting

    ValuEngine Inc., PO Box 399, Melbourne, FL 32902, U.S.A. Email: support@ValuEngine.com Tel: (800) 381-5576

    RATING AND FORECAST REPORTCompany Name: CSX CORP

    Ticker: CSX

    Jan. 05, 2017

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Data Summary 1 ValuEngine Recommendation 1 Forecast Analysis 1 Price and Recommendation History 1 ValuEngine Evaluation & Rankings 2 Comparison to Industry 2 Comparison with Peers 3 Analyst Opinions 4 EPS Consensus Expectations 4 Business Summary 4 Annual Financials 5 Quarterly Financials 7 ValuEngine Service Descriptions 9 ValuEngine's Methodology 10

    www.valuengine.com

    http://www.valuengine.com/

  • ValuEngineIncRating and Forecast Report Vglu ngineE TM CSX CORP (NSDQ: CSX) Report Date: Jan 5, 2017

    DATA SUMMARY

    Sector: Transportation Industry: Transportation-RailLast Close: $36.63 Trade Date: Jan 4, 2017 1-Yr Forecast: 6.33% 1-Yr Momentum: 42.03%Valuation: 38.26% Trailing P/E: 20.46 Market Cap (bil): 36.46 Forward P/E: 18.69EPS Growth: 9.50% PEG Ratio: 2.15 P/S Ratio: 3.37 M/B Ratio: 3.125-Yr Avg Return: 10.68% Volatility: 20.45% Sharpe Ratio: 0.52 Beta: 1.19Annual Dividend: $0.72 Dividend Yield: 1.97% 52-Wk High: $37.42 52-Wk Low: $21.33

    VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION

    NEGATIVE NEUTRAL POSITIVE

    underperform match outperform

    ValuEngine Rating

    ValuEngine recommendation covers more than 5000companies. The recommendations are based on theproprietary ValuEngine one-year forecast return model outputfor each individual equity. ValuEngine's Five-Engine ratingstocks have an averaged annual return of 21.54% since 2002.

    FORECAST ANALYSIS

    Target Price Exp. Return1-Month $36.82 0.53%3-Month $37.66 2.82%6-Month $38.78 5.86%1-Year $38.95 6.33%2-Year $43.78 19.51%3-Year $48.88 33.44%

    The predictive variables used in Valuengine's forecast modelinclude both proprietary and well-established variables derivedfrom credible financial studies and publications. We use adistinct forecasting model for each time horizon and apply themost advanced statistical/econometric techniques to ensurethat our stock return forecasts are as reliable as possible.Click for more information on ValuEngine's models.

    PRICE AND RECOMMENDATION HISTORY

    Market Price Target Price Volume Buy Hold Sell

    Jan-2012 Jan-2013 Jan-2014 Jan-2015 Jan-2016 Jan-2017

    $20.00

    $22.50

    $25.00

    $27.50

    $30.00

    $32.50

    $35.00

    $37.50

    0

    5

    1 0

    (Mil.

    )

    Past PerformanceLast One Month 0.03%Last Three Month 21.41%Last Six Month 42.70%Last One Year 42.03%

    Most RecentRecommendation Changes

    Dec 08, 2016Upgrade to Buy

    May 04, 2015Downgrade to Hold

    Apr 01, 2015Upgrade to Buy

    CONTACT VALUENGINE

    ValuEngine Inc.PO Box 399Melbourne, FL 32902(800) 381-5576 (T)support@ValuEngine.comwww.ValuEngine.com

    ValuEngine's fundamentally-based, quant-derived research is nowavailable to private investors. ValuEngine's research will enhanceyour ability to evaluate individual stocks, manage your portfolio andallocate capital for maximum returns. ValuEngine currently covers@5500 US equities as well as most major Canadian stocks.

    2017 ValuEngine Inc. All rights reserved. page 1www.valuengine.com

    http://www.valuengine.com/http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?p=0http://www.valuengine.com/http://www.valuengine.com/

  • ValuEngineIncRating and Forecast Report Vglu ngineE TM CSX CORP (NSDQ: CSX) Report Date: Jan 5, 2017

    VALUENGINE EVALUATION & RANKINGS

    Value Rank1-Yr Forecast 6.33% 86Valuation 38.26% 141-Yr Momentum 42.03% 79P/E Ratio 20.46 63Market Cap 36.46B 97EPS Growth 9.50% 385-Yr Avg Return 10.68% 74Volatility 20.45% 71Sharpe Ratio 0.52 79P/S Ratio 3.37 32M/B Ratio 3.12 39Surprise 4.46% 55

    Just as important as the percentages shown for our predictivevariables for each stock is the way they are ranked against@7000 stocks in our database. This is sometimes confusingto newcomers to ValuEngine. Each of these quantitativemeasurements is ranked on a scale of 1 to 100. Generally thehigher the ranking, the more positive the influence eachmeasurement has on the overall attractiveness of the stock.In other words a high rank is always better. For example:Forecast rank 86: 14% of stocks have higher forecast returns.Valuation rank 14: 86% of stocks are more undervalued.Momentum rank 79: 21% of stocks have higher momentum.P/E rank 63: 37% of stocks have lower P/E ratios.Size rank 97: 3% of stocks have higher market capitalization.Volatility rank 71: 29% of stocks have less volatility.

    COMPARISON TO INDUSTRY

    1-Yr Forecast RankCSX 6.33% 86

    Industry 4.02% 73

    Sector 1.49% 57* * *

    1-Yr Momentum RankCSX 42.03% 79

    Industry 22.62% 58

    Sector 11.57% 46

    S&P 500 12.82% 53* * *

    Valuation RankCSX 38.26% 14

    Industry 10.46% 50

    Sector 13.00% 52* * *

    P/E Ratio RankCSX 20.46 63

    Industry 18.36 69

    Sector 18.54 62* * *

    Market Cap (bil.) RankCSX 36.46 97

    Industry 29.20 84

    Sector 5.79 59* * *

    Volatility RankCSX 20.45% 71

    Industry 23.44% 67

    Sector 48.30% 45

    S&P 500 19.24% 73* * *

    EPS Growth RankCSX 9.50% 38

    Industry 11.12% 40

    Sector 24.68% 42* * *

    5-Yr Avg Return RankCSX 10.68% 74

    Industry 10.02% 72

    Sector -3.12% 51

    S&P 500 3.05% 59* * *

    P/S Ratio RankCSX 3.37 32

    Industry 3.61 36

    Sector 1.90 65* * *

    M/B Ratio RankCSX 3.12 39

    Industry 3.64 42

    Sector 3.14 63* * *

    Surprise RankCSX 4.46% 55

    Industry 3.43% 51

    Sector -8.87% 50* * *

    SharpeRatio RankCSX 0.52 79

    Industry 0.49 75

    Sector -0.01 49

    S&P 500 0.16 61* * *

    2017 ValuEngine Inc. All rights reserved. page 2www.valuengine.com

    http://www.valuengine.com/http://www.valuengine.com/

  • ValuEngineIncRating and Forecast Report Vglu ngineE TM CSX CORP (NSDQ: CSX) Report Date: Jan 5, 2017

    COMPARISON WITH PEERSReturn Forecast : Expected Return

    Ticker Company Name VE Rating 1-Mon 3-Mon 6-Mon 1-Yr 2-Yr 3-YrCSX CSX CORP 4 0.53% 2.82% 5.86% 6.33% 19.51% 33.44%UNP UNION PAC CORP 4 0.42% 1.46% 3.21% 5.06% 7.79% 14.79%CNI CDN NATL RY CO 3 0.37% 0.83% 1.80% 4.42% 2.00% 6.43%

    CJPRY CENTRAL JAPAN 3 0.34% 1.63% 1.21% 4.03% 16.84% 12.28%NSC NORFOLK SOUTHRN 4 0.50% 2.58% 5.19% 6.05% 17.68% 29.32%

    1-Yr Forecast RankCSX 6.33% 86

    UNP 5.06% 81

    CNI 4.42% 78

    CJPRY 4.03% 76

    NSC 6.05% 85

    1-Yr Momentum RankCSX 42.03% 86

    UNP 30.61% 72

    CNI 25.63% 67

    CJPRY -3.01% 30

    NSC 35.24% 75

    Valuation RankCSX 38.26% 14

    UNP 18.82% 35

    CNI 10.91% 49

    CJPRYNSC 32.46% 19

    P/E Ratio RankCSX 20.46 63

    UNP 20.55 63

    CNI 20.15 64

    CJPRY 10.01 93

    NSC 19.90 65

    Market Cap (bil.) RankCSX 36.46 97

    UNP 91.70 99

    CNI 56.15 99

    CJPRY 34.55 97

    NSC 34.24 97

    Volatility RankCSX 20.45% 71

    UNP 17.57% 76

    CNI 16.46% 79

    CJPRY 21.44% 69

    NSC 23.60% 65

    EPS Growth RankCSX 9.50% 38

    UNP 11.55% 42

    CNI 9.06% 37

    CJPRY 1.04% 21

    NSC 9.17% 37

    5-Yr Avg Return RankCSX 10.68% 74

    UNP 13.43% 79

    CNI 10.80% 74

    CJPRY 13.44% 79

    NSC 7.88% 68

    P/S Ratio RankCSX 3.37 32

    UNP 4.59 23

    CNI 6.21 17

    CJPRY 2.30 44

    NSC 3.45 31

    M/B Ratio RankCSX 3.12 39

    UNP 4.52 28

    CNI 4.94 26

    CJPRY 1.54 65

    NSC 2.76 42

    Surprise RankCSX 4.46% 55

    UNP -1.03% 36

    CNI 5.60% 58

    CJPRYNSC 8.78% 66

    SharpeRatio RankCSX 0.52 79

    UNP 0.76 87

    CNI 0.66 84

    CJPRY 0.63 83

    NSC 0.33 70

    2017 ValuEngine Inc. All rights reserved. page 3www.valuengine.com

    http://www.valuengine.com/http://www.valuengine.com/

  • ValuEngineIncRating and Forecast Report Vglu ngineE TM CSX CORP (NSDQ: CSX) Report Date: Jan 5, 2017

    ANALYST OPINIONS

    BuyThe mean recommendation was calculatedfrom the numbers provided by Zacks.

    Current Mean: 3.53Number of Analyst: 19

    Strong Buy: 7

    Buy: 1

    Hold: 8

    Sell: 1

    Strong Sell: 2

    Recommendation Mean TrendThree Month Ago: 3.35

    Two Month Ago: 3.56

    One Month Ago: 3.70

    Current: 3.53

    EPS CONSENSUS EXPECTATIONSQuarter 201612 201703 201706 201709 201712Mean $0.47 $0.41 $0.53 $0.52 $0.50# of Estimates 13 5 5 5 5High $0.49 $0.43 $0.57 $0.55 $0.52Low $0.45 $0.39 $0.49 $0.48 $0.48Same Qtr Last Yr $0.48 $0.37 $0.47 $0.48 $0.47% Growth -1.92 10.81 12.34 8.33 5.36

    -----------------------------------------------Qtr/Year/LTG 201612 201703 2016 2017 LTGMean - Current $0.47 $0.41 $1.79 $1.98 7.40%Mean - 7 Days Ago $0.47 $0.41 $1.79 $1.98 7.40%Mean - 30 Days Ago $0.47 $0.41 $1.78 $1.99 7.40%Mean - 60 Days Ago $0.47 $0.41 $1.79 $1.98 7.40%Mean - 90 Days Ago $0.47 $0.41 $1.75 $1.95 7.40%

    -----------------------------------------------Year/LTG 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTGMean $1.79 $1.98 $2.17 7.40%# of Estimates 13 13 9 0 4High $1.81 $2.05 $2.31 10.00%Low $1.76 $1.90 $2.10 1.60%Previous Year $2.00 $1.79 $1.98 $2.17% Growth -10.65 11.06 9.17

    -----------------------------------------------Quarter 201512 201603 201606 201609Estimated EPS $0.46 $0.37 $0.44 $0.45Actual EPS $0.48 $0.37 $0.47 $0.48Difference $0.02 $0.00 $0.03 $0.03% Surprise 4.35 0.00 6.82 6.67

    Quarterly EPS Trend

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    $0.40