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Community Environmental Monitoring Program Dr. Antone L. Brooks July, 2011 Brian Head, Ut

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Community Environmental Monitoring Program. Dr. Antone L. Brooks July, 2011Brian Head, Ut. My Background. Early interest in radiation (Watching atomic weapons in Southern Utah) MS in radiation ecology (Chasing fallout) ,PhD in radiation biology and genetics - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Community Environmental Monitoring ProgramDr. Antone L. Brooks

    July, 2011Brian Head, Ut

  • My BackgroundEarly interest in radiation (Watching atomic weapons in Southern Utah)MS in radiation ecology (Chasing fallout),PhD in radiation biology and genetics Studied health effects induced by low doses from internally deposited radio-nuclides Invested my life in research on genetic effects and cancer from low doses and dose-rate radiation (DOE Low Dose Radiation Research Program)

  • RadiationBad DietDrinkerSmokerWhy Me??

  • RADIATIONI am Blamed for much Human Disease Cancer of all kindsMutationsBirth DefectsHeart attacksStroke

  • I have even been blamed for !!!Spider ManNinja TurtlesIncredible Hulk

  • I am natural, Radiation is everywhere

    We live in a sea of radiationCosmicInhaled RadonRocksRadioactive ElementsPlantsBodies

  • About 300 mrem/yrMedical procedures 280 mremsConsumer products 10 mremsOne coast to coast airplane flight 2 mremsWatching color TV 1 mremSleeping with another person 1 mremWeapons test fallout less that 1 mremNuclear industry less than 1 mrem

    Normal annual exposure from man-made radiation

  • U.S Dose Rates from Natural Background

  • Nevada Test FalloutSimon et al. 2006

  • World wide fallout in the United States

  • Cancer Rate is Highly VariableRaceWhite 136/100,000 Black 294/100,000

    SexMales 60.6% Females 39.4%

    Geographic Distribution No link between high Background Radiation and Cancer

    Areas with top 10 percentile of cancer= 231-892 cancers/100,000 person-years (low background)

    Areas with lowest 10 percentile of cancer= 93-168 cancers/100/000 person-years (high background)

  • What Causes Cancer? I am not a big hitter!!!

  • What Radiation Exposures Can we Modify?

  • Man-made vs natural radiation

    Man-made radiation 18%

    Natural background radiation 82%

    Medical x-rays 58%

    Nuclear medicine 21%

    Consumer products 16%

    Occupational 2%

    Fallout 2%

    Nuclear fuel cycle 1%

    Beir VII

  • What Radiation Exposures can we Modify?

  • Man-made vs Natural Radiation

    Man-made radiation 52%

    Natural background radiation 48%

    Nuclear medicine/x-rays 91%

    Consumer products 6.5%

    Occupational 1%

    Fallout 1%

    Nuclear fuel cycle 0.5%

    Mettler 2007

  • Medical Radiation Exposures, YES, BUT I DO A LOT OF GOOD!!!200 million medical x-rays/yearX-ray 0.1 mGy100 million dental x-rays/yearDental 0.06 mGy16 million doses of radiopharmaceuticals/yr80 million CT scans/yearHead scan 4-6 mGy/scanBody scan 30-100 mGy/scanLarge doses from radiation therapy

    Brenner and HallAAPM TG-204, 2011

    U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research* ISCORS Update Nov 2010

  • What about the A-Bomb!! You did a lot of damage there.CancerMutationsBirth DefectsHeart attacksStrokes

  • Effects of the Atomic Bomb

    Killed outright by the bomb or acute radiation effects.

    Survived for lifespan study

    More than 200,000 people

    86,572 people

  • Pierce and Preston 2000A-BOMB SURVIVOR STUDIES

  • A-BOMB SURVIVOR STUDIES3 Km1 Km2. Km64113116994144

    228.227.718.910.44.74.00.193 Total479 Total572 Total Excess CancersSolid TumorsCONTROL AREALeukemiasExcessExcessPreston et al. 2004

  • Atomic Bomb Survivor Excess Cancer Total Cancer Mortality Excess 572Population of Survivors Studied 86,572Cancer Mortality observed after the bomb 10,127 Cancers Mortality observed without the bomb 9,555Excess Leukemia 94Excess Solid Tumor 479572+=40% of these people are still alive 60 years after the bomb

  • Where do we get these excess cancers??Aggregation of data on Solid CancersTotal Solid Cancers 9555Stomach 2867Life Style, Diet, stomach bacteriaLiver 1236Long LatencyInfluence of chronic InfectionsAlcoholLung 1264SmokingNon-linear Dose-responsePreston et al. 2003

  • Biology of Solid CancersCan we really group all Solid Cancers then apply the LNT to estimate responses at low doses?Stomach CancerLung CancerLiver CancerAll these cancers are known to be produced by environmental factorsBone CancerLung CancerThese cancers have very non-linear Dose-Response RelationshipsThyroid CancerProstrate, Pancreas, Uterus, Rectum???

  • Aggregation of Solid Cancer: Influence on PolicyPay for the types of cancers seen to be elevated in the A-bomb population.Solid CancersLeukemiaCurrent Pay-out Cancers for Down-Winders, Nuclear Veterans, Uranium MinersBone, renal, leukemia, lung, multiple myeloma, bile duct, brain, breast, colon, esophagus, stomach, bladder, gal bladder, liver, ovary, pharynx, salivary gland, small intestine, thyroid, lymphoma (five years after exposure)Current payoutRECA = 1.3 BillionEEOICA = 3.2 Billion

  • Interaction with Environmental factors (I get the blame!!!)Smoking and Uranium mining

    Radiation and alcohol

    Radon in homes

  • Radon in Homes (BEIR VI)Total Cancers Ever-Smokers Never Smokers 157,000 146,400 11,000 Radon induced CancerTotal Cancers Ever-Smokers Never Smokers(Exposure-age-Concentration model) (Radiation only) 22,300 20,600 1,700(Exposure-age-Duration model) 15,500 14,600 1,200

  • What about when you get deposited in the body??Inhalation and lung cancerLow dose rate and non-uniform distributionDeposition in target organsStrontium-90 Bone Iodine -131 Thyroid CancerCesium-137 Whole Body ExposureTritium Whole Body Exposure

  • Dose Dose-Rate Effectiveness (DDREF) Factor is it 1.0?Dose-Dose-Rate-Effectiveness-Factor (DDREF), regulatory bodies considering making it (1.0)Dose-rate has a marked effect at all levels of biological orgainztionAll you have to do to make DDREF 1.0 is accept a couple of low dose-rate epidemiological studies which cannot demonstrate a difference in risk for high and low dose ratesAll you have to do to make a DDREF of 1.0 is to ignore 70 years of radiation biology

  • Dose-Rate Effects at all Levels of Biological OrganizationMolecularCellularTissueWhole OrganCancerLife Shortening

  • Dose and Dose-Rate EffectsDDREF derived with curve fitting of the human data. DDREF 1.5 BEIR VIIDDREF 2.0 ICRP (2007)DDREF 1.0 Considered by GermansDREF derived from animal and experimental data.Experimental Molecular/Cellular4-???Chromosome Aberrations4-6Mouse dataLung Adenocarcinomas3-7Ovarian Tumors7-35Thymic lymphoma10-30Mammary tumors1-4Myeloid Leukemia2-6Dog Data (Acute Death Bone Marrow)3-4(Acute Death Lung)10-100Dog Data (Cancer)15-40

  • Summary DDREFA large dose-rate effectiveness factor is required due to the marked decrease in biological effects observed following low dose-rate radiation exposure.

    At radiation doses less than 20 Gy (20,000 mGy) to the lung following inhalation of radioactive materials, there is little life shortening and a decrease in the frequency of lung cancer.

    When the dose delivered at a low dose-rate gets very, very large (80-220 Gy in Bone and 100-700 Gy in lung), the cancer frequency approaches 100%.

    At low dose-rates the total dose required to produce acute radiation lethality is similar to the dose required to produce a high cancer frequency.

    Genetic background plays an important role in the response to large total radiation doses delivered at a low dose-rate.

    Such data should be considered in decisions about evacuation (10-50 mSv projected dose) and relocation (20 mSv projected dose first year) of the public following radiation accidents or terrorist events.

    Should we consider separating DDREF from DREF? Current research suggests that the mechanisms of action of these very large doses delivered at low dose-rates are different to those after acute low doses.

  • Benjamin et al 1998Cancer in Beagle Dogs following Acute Radiation Exposure

  • Dose Response for Life Shortening Following Inhalation of 90-Strontium Fused Clay ParticlesAcuteCancerLung CancerOtherHeart CancerTBLN Cancer

    Chart1

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    1821385952202684597.119688092222.2966161211277.3440029175

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    1213353450572524597.119688092146.2325846116278.3320522351

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    1033266746172674597.119688092108.2005688568286.236446776

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    71534124597.119688091423.6242852712

    6934597.119688091347.5602537616

    6444597.119688091347.5602537616

    4597.119688091309.5282380069

    4597.119688091271.4962222521

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    4597.119688091195.4321907426

    4597.119688091157.4001749879

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    4597.11968809929.2080804593

    4597.11968809853.1440489498

    4597.11968809815.112033195

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    4597.11968809586.9199386665

    4597.11968809

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    4533.0908430141

    4530.762521375

    4524.9417172772

    4507.4793049837

    4494.6735359686

    4486.5244102316

    4486.5244102316

    4480.7036061338

    4434.1371733514

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    4410.8539569601

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    3758.9238980056

    3747.28228981

    3665.7910324407

    3607.5829914626

    3595.941383267

    Lung Cancer

    TBLN Cancer

    Heart Cancer

    Cancer

    Other

    Acute

    20.11000001

    A6-137CsInitial Dose# of dogsCancerCancerCancerCancerCancerDisease

    Rate (Gy/day)TargetTargetTargetTargetOtherTarget

    BoneLungLiverOther

    012000030

    0.16-0.211012506

    0.21-0.313001408

    0.31-0.411010407

    0.41-0.53100101

    0.51-0.69100207

    0.61-0.73000003

    0.71-0.83000003

    CancerTables1

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    # Dogs

    Cancer Target

    Cancer

    Disease Target

    Cumulative Dose (Gy)

    # of dogs

    A24-239Pu-Cumulative Dose-Injected

    90SrFapTest

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    # Dogs

    Cancer Target

    Cancer

    Disease Target

    Cumulative Dose (Gy)

    # of Dogs

    A24-239Pu-Cumulative Dose-Injected

    Sheet1

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    # of Dogs

    Cancer Target

    Cancer Other

    Disease Target

    Dose Rate (Gy/day)

    # of Dogs

    A24-239Pu-Dose Rate-Injected

    90Sr-InDRChart

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    Cumulative Dose (Gy)

    # of Dogs

    A6-137Cs-Injected

    90SrFAP-DRtDBreak

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    # of dogs

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    Dose Rate(Gy/day)

    # of Dogs

    A6-137Cs-Injected

    90Sr-DRtoDeathChart

    DOGSexDose RateDose RateCumulative doseDaysDiedCancerCancerCancerCancerDiseaseDiseaseDiseaseSUMMARY OUTPUTCronic InitialDRSUMMARY OUTPUTCronic DRtDeathSUMMARY OUTPUTCumulative Dose

    (Gy/Day)at Deathat Deathto DeathEuphanizedLungTBLNHeartLungHeartOther

    Intial(Gy/Day)(Gy)Regression StatisticsRegression StatisticsRegression Statistics

    Multiple R0.8125643076Multiple R0.7014778214Multiple R0.8557055343

    1476FFap-90Sr0006025DxxR Square0.660260754R Square0.4920711339R Square0.7322319615

    2636FFap-90Y0005346ExAdjusted R Square0.6575644108Adjusted R Square0.4880399524Adjusted R Square0.7301068183

    31579MFap-90Sr0.0760.006725296DxxStandard Error890.5936540629Standard Error1088.9506146681Standard Error790.6533321166

    2833MFap-90Sr0004932DxObservations128Observations128Observations128

    2596MFap-90Y0004850Ex

    2660MFap-90Y0004680DxANOVAANOVAANOVA

    2588FFap-90Y0004601ExdfSSMSFSignificance FdfSSMSFSignificance FdfSSMSFSignificance F

    2788FFap-144Ce0004394ExRegression1194222483.228402194222483.228402244.87266626230Regression1144747778.777752144747778.777752122.06623213260Regression1215393553.22721215393553.22721344.55653355830

    11584FFap-90Sr0.0650.005644274ExxResidual12699937789.1387851793157.056657025Residual126149412493.5894361185813.441186Residual12678766719.1399772625132.691587121

    3833FFap-90Sr0003680DxTotal127294160272.367188Total127294160272.367188Total127294160272.367188

    41585FFap-90Sr0.0420.004443620Ex

    2704MFap-90Sr0.280.0232602830DxxCoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    4853MFap-90Sr0.480.0353602753ExxIntercept4233.414804972192.843766061845.597189607304049.67972377044417.14988617384049.67972377044417.1498861738Intercept3942.1063862777105.565591627937.342720535103733.19518660774151.01758594783733.19518660774151.0175859478Intercept4427.27990697487.07525786850.844292803404254.96053375544599.59928019274254.96053375544599.5992801927

    3806MFap-90Sr0.20.021802636ExxX Variable 1-2888.0247152054184.5570970894-15.64840778680-3253.2577799379-2522.7916504728-3253.2577799379-2522.7916504728X Variable 1-7440.8404103548673.4792511991-11.04835879810-8773.6360320268-6108.0447886828-8773.6360320268-6108.0447886828X Variable 1-6.27195117840.3378877325-18.5622340670-6.9406210589-5.6032812978-6.9406210589-5.6032812978

    4700MFap-90Sr0.40.033102615Dxx

    3823FFap-90Sr0.450.0163202596Dxx

    4789FFap-90Sr0.220.021702565ExDOGSexDose RateDays(Gy/Day)

    1704FFap-90Sr0.480.0494402429Dxx(Gy/Day)to DeathRESIDUAL OUTPUTat Deathto DeathRESIDUAL OUTPUTDOGSexCumulative doseDaysRESIDUAL OUTPUT

    11586MFap-90Sr0.30.0432302104ExIntialDOGSexDose RateDaysat Deathto Death

    1964MFap-90Sr0.780.114801821ExxObservationPredicted YResidualsObservationPredicted YResiduals(Gy)ObservationPredicted YResiduals

    1701MFap-90Sr0.810.184301214Ex1476FFap-90Sr0602514233.41480497211791.58519502791476FFap-90Sr0602513942.10638627772082.89361372231476FFap-90Sr0602514427.2799069741597.720093026

    2826MFap-90Sr0.710.153401213Dx2636FFap-90Y0534624233.41480497211112.58519502792636FFap-90Y0534623942.10638627771403.89361372232636FFap-90Y0534624427.279906974918.720093026

    2701FFap-90Sr0.780.184301185Dx2833MFap-90Sr0493234233.4148049721698.58519502792833MFap-90Sr0493233942.1063862777989.89361372232833MFap-90Sr0493234427.279906974504.720093026

    3808FFap-90Sr10.275401170Ex2596MFap-90Y0485044233.4148049721616.58519502792596MFap-90Y0485043942.1063862777907.89361372232596MFap-90Y0485044427.279906974422.720093026

    2827MFap-90Sr1.10.245301128Exx2660MFap-90Y0468054233.4148049721446.58519502792660MFap-90Y0468053942.1063862777737.89361372232660MFap-90Y0468054427.279906974252.720093026

    1790MFap-90Sr0.960.295201033Ex2588FFap-90Y0460164233.4148049721367.58519502792588FFap-90Y0460163942.1063862777658.89361372232588FFap-90Y0460164427.279906974173.720093026

    2808MFap-90Sr0.980.35601025Dx2788FFap-144Ce0439474233.4148049721160.58519502792788FFap-144Ce0439473942.1063862777451.89361372232788FFap-144Ce0439474427.279906974-33.279906974

    31586FFap-90Sr1.10.37500882Ex3833FFap-90Sr0368084233.4148049721-553.41480497213833FFap-90Sr0368083942.1063862777-262.10638627773833FFap-90Sr0368084427.279906974-747.279906974

    4827FFap-90Sr1.10.38540874Dx4950MFap-90Sr0407694233.4148049721-157.41480497214950MFap-90Sr0407693942.1063862777133.89361372234950MFap-90Sr0407694427.279906974-351.279906974

    11580FFap-90Sr1.20.44580843Ex2745MFap-91Y03029104233.4148049721-1204.41480497212745MFap-91Y03029103942.1063862777-913.10638627772745MFap-91Y03029104427.279906974-1398.279906974

    3854FFap-90Sr1.10.41490809Ex2950MFap-90Sr05407114233.41480497211173.58519502792950MFap-90Sr05407113942.10638627771464.89361372232950MFap-90Sr05407114427.279906974979.720093026

    2964MFap-90Sr1.80.51660788Dx1851FFap-90Sr05345124233.41480497211111.58519502791851FFap-90Sr05345123942.10638627771402.89361372231851FFap-90Sr05345124427.279906974917.720093026

    31581MFap-90Sr1.60.67720747Ex31576MFap-90Sr05257134233.41480497211023.585195027931576MFap-90Sr05257133942.10638627771314.893613722331576MFap-90Sr05257134427.279906974829.720093026

    3790FFap-90Sr1.70.52630718Dx2755FFap-144Ce05203144233.4148049721969.58519502792755FFap-144Ce05203143942.10638627771260.89361372232755FFap-144Ce05203144427.279906974775.720093026

    4701MFap-90Sr1.30.44520715Dx1940FFap-91Y05158154233.4148049721924.58519502791940FFap-91Y05158153942.10638627771215.89361372231940FFap-91Y05158154427.279906974730.720093026

    1854MFap-90Sr1.30.58570693Ex2851MFap-90Sr04974164233.4148049721740.58519502792851MFap-90Sr04974163942.10638627771031.89361372232851MFap-90Sr04974164427.279906974546.720093026

    2790MFap-90Sr1.70.7650644Ex2878FFap-91Y04779174233.4148049721545.58519502792878FFap-91Y04779173942.1063862777836.89361372232878FFap-91Y04779174427.279906974351.720093026

    11583MFap-90Sr0.0850.007864200Ex2699MFap-144Ce04759184233.4148049721525.58519502792699MFap-144Ce04759183942.1063862777816.89361372232699MFap-144Ce04759184427.279906974331.720093026

    4950MFap-90Sr0004076Dx1962FFap-90Sr04703194233.4148049721469.58519502791962FFap-90Sr04703193942.1063862777760.89361372231962FFap-90Sr04703194427.279906974275.720093026

    31578MFap-90Sr0.0420.005484032Ex1636MFap-90Y04400204233.4148049721166.58519502791636MFap-90Y04400203942.1063862777457.89361372231636MFap-90Y04400204427.279906974-27.279906974

    21584MFap-90Sr0.0810.009803929Ex1811MFap-144Ce04296214233.414804972162.58519502791811MFap-144Ce04296213942.1063862777353.89361372231811MFap-144Ce04296214427.279906974-131.279906974

    11578MFap-90Sr0.00770.00077.73414Ex11576FFap-90Sr04237224233.41480497213.585195027911576FFap-90Sr04237223942.1063862777294.893613722311576FFap-90Sr04237224427.279906974-190.279906974

    31583FFap-90Sr0.080.007613332Ex1833FFap-144Ce04195234233.4148049721-38.41480497211833FFap-144Ce04195233942.1063862777252.89361372231833FFap-144Ce04195234427.279906974-232.279906974

    2745MFap-91Y0003029Dxx1830FFap-90Sr04189244233.4148049721-44.41480497211830FFap-90Sr04189243942.1063862777246.89361372231830FFap-90Sr04189244427.279906974-238.279906974

    31584FFap-90Sr0.0140.00078.82765Ex21576MFap-90Sr03859254233.4148049721-374.414804972121576MFap-90Sr03859253942.1063862777-83.106386277721576MFap-90Sr03859254427.279906974-568.279906974

    2963MFap-90Sr0.260.021802587Dxx31582MFap-90Sr03534264233.4148049721-699.414804972131582MFap-90Sr03534263942.1063862777-408.106386277731582MFap-90Sr03534264427.279906974-893.279906974

    31577FFap-90Sr0.0330.0048262057Ex2862FFap-91Y03363274233.4148049721-870.41480497212862FFap-91Y03363273942.1063862777-579.10638627772862FFap-91Y03363274427.279906974-1064.279906974

    41578MFap-90Sr0.0540.0077391905Ex2683FFap-90Y05470284233.41480497211236.58519502792683FFap-90Y05470283942.10638627771527.89361372232683FFap-90Y05470284427.2799069741042.720093026

    1806FFap-90Sr0.40.0773101807Dx4833MFap-90Sr05372294233.41480497211138.58519502794833MFap-90Sr05372293942.10638627771429.89361372234833MFap-90Sr05372294427.279906974944.720093026

    21577FFap-90Sr0.0790.01853594Ex1950MFap-90Sr04375304233.4148049721141.58519502791950MFap-90Sr04375303942.1063862777432.89361372231950MFap-90Sr04375304427.279906974-52.279906974

    3789FFap-90Sr0.420.012803306Dx1660MFap-90Y05788314233.41480497211554.5851950279SUMMARY OUTPUT1660MFap-90Y05788313942.10638627771845.89361372231660MFap-90Y05788314427.2799069741360.720093026SUMMARY OUTPUTCumulaative Dose No controls

    1789MFap-90Sr0.210.0131903245Ex2811MFap-144Ce05281324233.41480497211047.58519502792811MFap-144Ce05281323942.10638627771338.89361372232811MFap-144Ce05281324427.279906974853.720093026

    4826FFap-90Sr0.350.0272502443Dx1878MFap-91Y05942334233.41480497211708.5851950279Regression Statistics1878MFap-91Y05942333942.10638627771999.89361372231878MFap-91Y05942334427.2799069741514.720093026Regression Statistics

    2806MFap-90Sr0.50.0352902313Ex2830FFap-90Sr05540344233.41480497211306.5851950279Multiple R0.80213834482830FFap-90Sr05540343942.10638627771597.89361372232830FFap-90Sr05540344427.2799069741112.720093026Multiple R0.815181289

    2853FFap-90Sr0.350.0432902305Ex1596FFap-90Y05512354233.41480497211278.5851950279R Square0.64342592421596FFap-90Y05512353942.10638627771569.89361372231596FFap-90Y05512354427.2799069741084.720093026R Square0.664520534

    3853MFap-90Sr0.210.0381902241Ex1862MFap-144Ce05454364233.41480497211220.5851950279Adjusted R Square0.63847350651862MFap-144Ce05454363942.10638627771511.89361372231862MFap-144Ce05454364427.2799069741026.720093026Adjusted R Square0.659861097

    4806FFap-90Sr0.220.0351902156Dx1699MFap-144Ce05369374233.41480497211135.5851950279Standard Error754.132158241699MFap-144Ce05369373942.10638627771426.89361372231699MFap-144Ce05369374427.279906974941.720093026Standard Error731.4852101462

    1853FFap-90Sr0.260.0472402094Dx1812MFap-91Y05367384233.41480497211133.5851950279Observations741812MFap-91Y05367383942.10638627771424.89361372231812MFap-91Y05367384427.279906974939.720093026Observations74

    1823FFap-90Sr0.920.0875801968Dx2911FFap-91Y05306394233.41480497211072.58519502792911FFap-91Y05306393942.10638627771363.89361372232911FFap-91Y05306394427.279906974878.720093026

    1963MFap-90Sr0.360.0833101703Dx1725MFap-144Ce05233404233.4148049721999.5851950279ANOVA1725MFap-144Ce05233403942.10638627771290.89361372231725MFap-144Ce05233404427.279906974805.720093026ANOVA

    21580FFap-90Sr0.390.0932901593Dx1911MFap-91Y05220414233.4148049721986.5851950279dfSSMSFSignificance F1911MFap-91Y05220413942.10638627771277.89361372231911MFap-91Y05220414427.279906974792.720093026dfSSMSFSignificance F

    1826FFap-90Sr0.70.113801461Dx2940MFap-91Y05170424233.4148049721936.5851950279Regression173888390.678047273888390.6780472129.921577821202940MFap-91Y05170423942.10638627771227.89361372232940MFap-91Y05170424427.279906974742.720093026Regression176310809.036944176310809.0369441142.61820259050

    2950MFap-90Sr0005407Dx1788MFap-144Ce05057434233.4148049721823.5851950279Residual7240947502.4706015568715.3120916881788MFap-144Ce05057433942.10638627771114.89361372231788MFap-144Ce05057434427.279906974629.720093026Residual7238525084.1117046535070.612662564

    1851FFap-90Sr0005345Ex1683MFap-90Y04743444233.4148049721509.5851950279Total73114835893.1486491683MFap-90Y04743443942.1063862777800.89361372231683MFap-90Y04743444427.279906974315.720093026Total73114835893.148649

    31576MFap-90Sr0005257Ex1816FFap-144Ce04652454233.4148049721418.58519502791816FFap-144Ce04652453942.1063862777709.89361372231816FFap-144Ce04652454427.279906974224.720093026

    2755FFap-144Ce0005203Dx1755MFap-144Ce04617464233.4148049721383.5851950279CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%1755MFap-144Ce04617463942.1063862777674.89361372231755MFap-144Ce04617464427.279906974189.720093026CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    1940FFap-91Y0005158Ex2873FFap-144Ce04578474233.4148049721344.5851950279Intercept3492.5920992421122.313934414728.554327157903248.76373066932873FFap-144Ce04578473942.1063862777635.89361372232873FFap-144Ce04578474427.279906974150.720093026Intercept3805.3527329534137.143739885427.747185078503531.96168788354078.74377802323531.96168788354078.7437780232

    2851MFap-90Sr0004974Ex1492MFap-90Y04567484233.4148049721333.5851950279X Variable 1-2107.1985374172184.8693069396-11.39831469210-2475.72876028981492MFap-90Y04567483942.1063862777624.89361372231492MFap-90Y04567484427.279906974139.720093026X Variable 1-4.83227896470.4046359997-11.94228632170-5.6389060767-4.0256518526-5.6389060767-4.0256518526

    21585MFap-90Sr0.0110.0008144808Ex1745FFap-91Y04407494233.4148049721173.58519502791745FFap-91Y04407493942.1063862777464.89361372231745FFap-91Y04407494427.279906974-20.279906974

    2878FFap-91Y0004779Ex3950FFap-90Sr04254504233.414804972120.58519502793950FFap-90Sr04254503942.1063862777311.89361372233950FFap-90Sr04254504427.279906974-173.279906974

    11585MFap-90Sr0.0150.001164774Ex3755FFap-144Ce04184514233.4148049721-49.41480497213755FFap-144Ce04184513942.1063862777241.89361372233755FFap-144Ce04184514427.279906974-243.279906974

    2699MFap-144Ce0004759Ex1873FFap-144Ce04151524233.4148049721-82.4148049721RESIDUAL OUTPUT1873FFap-144Ce04151523942.1063862777208.89361372231873FFap-144Ce04151524427.279906974-276.279906974RESIDUAL OUTPUT

    1962FFap-90Sr0004703Ex1588FFap-90Y04123534233.4148049721-110.41480497211588FFap-90Y04123533942.1063862777180.89361372231588FFap-90Y04123534427.279906974-304.279906974

    21583FFap-90Sr0.00780.00025.74591Ex2812FFap-91Y03763544233.4148049721-470.4148049721ObservationPredicted YResiduals2812FFap-91Y03763543942.1063862777-179.10638627772812FFap-91Y03763544427.279906974-664.279906974ObservationPredicted YResiduals

    1636MFap-90Y0004400Ex41577FFap-90Sr0.00622667554215.5090517378-1548.509051737813479.5274683101-812.527468310121583FFap-90Sr0.00024591553940.6182181957650.381781804341577FFap-90Sr5.52667554392.784175493-1725.78417549313778.7751986478-1111.7751986478

    1811MFap-144Ce0004296Ex21578MFap-90Sr0.00654958564214.6426443232743.357355676723478.89530874881479.104691251221578MFap-90Sr0.00024958563940.61821819571017.381781804321583FFap-90Sr5.74591564391.5297852574199.470214742623777.8087428549813.1912571451

    41583FFap-90Sr0.0160.0008164238Ex11578MFap-90Sr0.00773414574211.177014665-797.17701466533476.366670504-62.36667050441579FFap-90Sr0.00034190573939.8741341546250.125865845421578MFap-90Sr6.24958574388.3938096682569.606190331833775.39260337251182.6073966275

    11576FFap-90Sr0004237Ex21583FFap-90Sr0.00784591584210.8882121935380.111787806543476.15595065021114.844049349841577FFap-90Sr0.000452667583938.7580080931-1271.758008093111578MFap-90Sr7.73414584378.9858829006-964.985882900643768.1441849256-354.1441849256

    1833FFap-144Ce0004195Dx11577MFap-90Sr0.00923860594206.8449775922-346.844977592253473.2058726978386.794127302231585FFap-90Sr0.00062927593937.6418820315-1010.641882031531584FFap-90Sr8.82765594372.0867366044-1607.086736604453762.8286780644-997.8286780644

    1830FFap-90Sr0004189Ex21585MFap-90Sr0.0114808604201.6465331048606.353466895263469.41291533051338.587084669511578MFap-90Sr0.00073414603936.8977979905-522.897797990511577MFap-90Sr9.53860604367.6963707796-507.696370779663759.4460827892100.5539172108

    11577MFap-90Sr0.00920.00089.53860Ex41579FFap-90Sr0.0134190614195.8704836744-5.870483674473465.1985182556724.801481744431584FFap-90Sr0.00072765613936.8977979905-1171.897797990541579FFap-90Sr9.54190614367.6963707796-177.696370779673759.4460827892430.5539172108

    21576MFap-90Sr0003859Ex31584FFap-90Sr0.0142765624192.9824589592-1427.982458959283463.0913197182-698.091319718221585MFap-90Sr0.00084808623936.1537139494871.846286050631585FFap-90Sr102927624364.5603951904-1437.560395190483757.0299433068-830.0299433069

    2823FFap-90Sr0.30.00632103767Ex31585FFap-90Sr0.0142927634192.9824589592-1265.982458959293463.0913197182-536.091319718241583FFap-90Sr0.00084238633936.1537139494301.846286050621585MFap-90Sr144808634339.472590477468.52740952393737.70082744821070.2991725518

    31582MFap-90Sr0003534Ex11585MFap-90Sr0.0154774644190.094434244583.905565756103460.98412118081313.015878819211577MFap-90Sr0.00083860643936.1537139494-76.153713949411585MFap-90Sr164774644326.9286881202447.0713118798103728.03626951891045.9637304811

    11581MFap-90Sr0.280.0222203477Dxx41583FFap-90Sr0.0164238654187.206409528850.7935904712113458.8769226434779.123077356611585MFap-90Sr0.0014774653934.6655458674839.334454132641583FFap-90Sr164238654326.9286881202-88.9286881202113728.0362695189509.9637304811

    2862FFap-91Y0003363Dx11579MFap-90Sr0.0174412664184.3183848136227.6816151864123456.769724106955.23027589411579MFap-90Sr0.00124412663933.1773777853478.822622214711579MFap-90Sr224412664289.2969810501122.7030189499123699.042595731712.957404269

    41584FFap-90Sr0.0470.004493155Ex31577FFap-90Sr0.0332057674138.1099893703-2081.1099893703133423.0545475073-1366.054547507341585FFap-90Sr0.0043620673912.3430246363-292.343024636331577FFap-90Sr262057674264.2091763366-2207.2091763366133679.7134798724-1622.7134798724

    41577FFap-90Sr0.00620.000455.52667Ex41585FFap-90Sr0.0423620684112.1177669335-492.1177669335143404.0897606705215.910239329541584FFap-90Sr0.0043155683912.3430246363-757.343024636341578MFap-90Sr391905684182.6738110179-2277.6738110179143616.8938533319-1711.8938533319

    3826MFap-90Sr0.450.0293102496Ex31578MFap-90Sr0.0424032694112.1177669335-80.1177669335153404.0897606705627.910239329521579MFap-90Sr0.0044824693912.3430246363911.656975363741585FFap-90Sr443620694151.3140551261-531.3140551261153592.732458508627.2675414914

    21586FFap-90Sr0.140.0191102301Ex41584FFap-90Sr0.0473155704097.6776433574-942.6776433574163393.5537679835-238.55376798352700FFap-90Sr0.0043412703912.3430246363-500.343024636331578MFap-90Sr484032704126.2262504127-94.2262504127163573.40334265458.59665735

    41586FFap-90Sr0.180.0291502030Ex21579MFap-90Sr0.0514824714086.1255444966737.8744555034173385.12497383381438.875026166231577FFap-90Sr0.00482057713906.390352308-1849.39035230841584FFap-90Sr493155714119.9542992343-964.9542992343173568.5710636854-413.5710636854

    31580MFap-90Sr0.270.0592401963Ex41578MFap-90Sr0.0541905724077.461470351-2172.461470351183378.8033782215-1473.803378221511584FFap-90Sr0.0054274723904.902184226369.09781577431583FFap-90Sr613332724044.690885094-712.690885094183510.5837161095-178.5837161095

    2789MFap-90Sr0.420.0833101683Ex11584FFap-90Sr0.0654274734045.6931984837228.3068015163193355.62419431918.375805690131578MFap-90Sr0.0054032733904.902184226127.09781577411584FFap-90Sr644274734025.8750315589248.1249684411193496.0868792156777.9131207844

    2683FFap-90Y0005470Dx31579MFap-90Sr0.0765296744013.92492661651282.0750733835203332.44501039841963.554989601631579MFap-90Sr0.0065296743897.46134381561398.538656184431579MFap-90Sr725296743975.6994221321320.300577868203457.42864749841838.5713525016

    4833MFap-90Sr0005372Dx21577FFap-90Sr0.0793594754005.2608524709-411.2608524709213326.1234147861267.87658521392823FFap-90Sr0.00633767753895.2290916925-128.229091692521579MFap-90Sr734824753969.4274709536854.5725290464213452.59636853371371.4036314663

    21579MFap-90Sr0.0510.004734824Ex31583FFap-90Sr0.083332764002.3728277557-670.3728277557223324.01621624877.983783751311583MFap-90Sr0.0074200763890.0205034052309.979496594821584MFap-90Sr803929763925.52381270513.4761872949223418.7704157811510.2295842189

    1950MFap-90Sr0004375Dx21584MFap-90Sr0.0813929773999.4848030404-70.4848030405233321.9090177113607.090982288731583FFap-90Sr0.0073332773890.0205034052-558.020503405221577FFap-90Sr853594773894.1640568133-300.1640568133233394.6090209579199.3909790421

    31585FFap-90Sr0.0140.0006102927Dx11583MFap-90Sr0.0854200783987.9327041796212.0672958204243313.4802235616886.519776438441578MFap-90Sr0.00771905783884.811915118-1979.81191511811583MFap-90Sr864200783887.892105635312.107894365243389.7767419932810.2232580068

    4790FFap-90Sr0.760.0645402373Dx21586FFap-90Sr0.142301793829.0913448433-1528.0913448433253197.5843040037-896.584304003721584MFap-90Sr0.0093929793875.138822584553.861177415521586FFap-90Sr1102301793737.3652773543-1436.3652773543253273.8020468415-972.8020468415

    21581MFap-90Sr0.860.156601931Dx41586FFap-90Sr0.182030803713.5703562351-1683.5703562351263113.296362507-1083.29636250721577FFap-90Sr0.013594803867.6979821742-273.69798217422700FFap-90Sr1403412803549.2067420034-137.2067420034263128.8336779019283.1663220981

    1660MFap-90Y0005788Dx3806MFap-90Sr0.22636813655.809861931-1019.809861931273071.1523917586-435.15239175863789FFap-90Sr0.013306813867.6979821742-561.697982174241586FFap-90Sr1502030813486.4872302198-1456.4872302198273080.5108882554-1050.5108882554

    2811MFap-144Ce0005281Ex1789MFap-90Sr0.213245823626.929614779-381.929614779283050.0804063844194.91959361551789MFap-90Sr0.0133245823845.3754609431-600.37546094314789FFap-90Sr1702565823361.0482066526-796.0482066526282983.8653089623-418.8653089623

    11579MFap-90Sr0.0170.0012224412Dx3853MFap-90Sr0.212241833626.929614779-1385.929614779293050.0804063844-809.08040638453823FFap-90Sr0.0162596833823.052939712-1227.0529397123806MFap-90Sr1802636833298.328694869-662.328694869292935.5425193158-299.5425193158

    41579FFap-90Sr0.0130.00039.54190Dx4789FFap-90Sr0.222565843598.0493676269-1033.0493676269303029.0084210103-464.008421010321586FFap-90Sr0.0192301843800.730418481-1499.7304184812963MFap-90Sr1802587843298.328694869-711.328694869302935.5425193158-348.5425193158

    1878MFap-91Y0005942Ex4806FFap-90Sr0.222156853598.0493676269-1442.0493676269313029.0084210103-873.00842101033806MFap-90Sr0.022636853793.2895780706-1157.28957807061789MFap-90Sr1903245853235.60918308549.3908169146312887.2197296693357.7802703307

    2830FFap-90Sr0005540Ex2700FFap-90Sr0.233412863569.1691204749-157.1691204749323007.9364356361404.06356436394789FFap-90Sr0.022565863793.2895780706-1228.28957807063853MFap-90Sr1902241863235.6091830854-994.6091830854322887.2197296693-646.2197296693

    1596FFap-90Y0005512Ex2963MFap-90Sr0.262587873482.5283790187-895.5283790187332944.7204795136-357.72047951362963MFap-90Sr0.022587873793.2895780706-1206.28957807064806FFap-90Sr1902156873235.6091830854-1079.6091830854332887.2197296693-731.2197296693

    1862MFap-144Ce0005454Dx1853FFap-90Sr0.262094883482.5283790187-1388.5283790187342944.7204795136-850.720479513611581MFap-90Sr0.0223477883778.4078972499-301.40789724992823FFap-90Sr2103767883110.1701595182656.8298404818342790.5741503762976.4258496238

    1699MFap-144Ce0005369Ex31580MFap-90Sr0.271963893453.6481318666-1490.6481318666352923.6484941394-960.64849413942704MFap-90Sr0.0232830893770.9670568396-940.967056839611581MFap-90Sr2203477893047.4506477346429.5493522655352742.2513607297734.7486392703

    1812MFap-91Y0005367Dx2704MFap-90Sr0.282830903424.7678847146-594.7678847146362902.5765087652-72.57650876534826FFap-90Sr0.0272443903741.2036951982-1298.203695198211586MFap-90Sr2302104902984.7311359509-880.7311359509362693.9285710831-589.9285710831

    2911FFap-91Y0005306Ex11581MFap-90Sr0.283477913424.767884714652.2321152854372902.5765087652574.42349123473826MFap-90Sr0.0292496913726.3220143774-1230.32201437741853FFap-90Sr2402094912922.0116241673-828.0116241673372645.6057814366-551.6057814366

    1725MFap-144Ce0005233Dx11586MFap-90Sr0.32104923367.0073904105-1263.0073904105382860.4325380169-756.432538016941586FFap-90Sr0.0292030923726.3220143774-1696.322014377431580MFap-90Sr2401963922922.0116241673-959.0116241673382645.6057814366-682.6057814366

    1911MFap-91Y0005220Ex2823FFap-90Sr0.33767933367.0073904105399.9926095895392860.4325380169906.56746198314700MFap-90Sr0.032615933718.8811739671-1103.88117396714826FFap-90Sr2502443932859.2921123837-416.2921123837392597.2829917901-154.2829917901

    2940MFap-91Y0005170Ex4826FFap-90Sr0.352443943222.6061546502-779.6061546502402755.072611146-312.0726111464853MFap-90Sr0.0352753943681.6769719153-928.67697191532704MFap-90Sr2602830942796.572600600133.4273993999402548.9602021435281.0397978565

    1788MFap-144Ce0005057Ex2853FFap-90Sr0.352305953222.6061546502-917.6061546502412755.072611146-450.0726111462806MFap-90Sr0.0352313953681.6769719153-1368.67697191533789FFap-90Sr2803306952671.1335770329634.8664229671412452.3146228505853.6853771495

    21578MFap-90Sr0.00650.00026.24958Ex1963MFap-90Sr0.361703963193.7259074982-1490.7259074982422734.0006257719-1031.00062577194806FFap-90Sr0.0352156963681.6769719153-1525.67697191532806MFap-90Sr2902313962608.4140652493-295.4140652493422403.9918332039-90.9918332039

    1683MFap-90Y0004743Dx21580FFap-90Sr0.391593973107.085166042-1514.085166042432670.7846696494-1077.78466964943853MFap-90Sr0.0382241973659.3544506842-1418.35445068422853FFap-90Sr2902305972608.4140652493-303.4140652493432403.9918332039-98.9918332039

    1816FFap-144Ce0004652Ex4700MFap-90Sr0.42615983078.20491889-463.2049188899442649.7126842752-34.712684275211586MFap-90Sr0.0432104983622.1502486325-1518.150248632521580FFap-90Sr2901593982608.4140652493-1015.4140652493442403.9918332039-810.9918332039

    1755MFap-144Ce0004617Dx1806FFap-90Sr0.41807993078.20491889-1271.20491889452649.7126842752-842.71268427522853FFap-90Sr0.0432305993622.1502486325-1317.15024863254700MFap-90Sr3102615992482.975041682132.024958318452307.3462539109307.6537460891

    2873FFap-144Ce0004578Dx3789FFap-90Sr0.4233061003020.4444245858285.5555754142462607.5687135268698.43128647321853FFap-90Sr0.04720941003592.386886991-1498.3868869911806FFap-90Sr31018071002482.975041682-675.975041682462307.3462539109-500.3462539109

    1492MFap-90Y0004567Ex2789MFap-90Sr0.4216831013020.4444245858-1337.4444245858472607.5687135268-924.56871352681704FFap-90Sr0.04924291013577.5052061703-1148.50520617031963MFap-90Sr31017031012482.975041682-779.975041682472307.3462539109-604.3462539109

    1745FFap-91Y0004407Dx3823FFap-90Sr0.4525961022933.8036831297-337.8036831297482544.352757404351.647242595731580MFap-90Sr0.05919631023503.0968020668-1540.09680206683826MFap-90Sr31024961022482.97504168213.024958318482307.3462539109188.6537460891

    3950FFap-90Sr0004254Dx3826MFap-90Sr0.4524961032933.8036831297-437.8036831297492544.3527574043-48.35275740434790FFap-90Sr0.06423731033465.892600015-1092.8926000152789MFap-90Sr31016831032482.975041682-799.975041682492307.3462539109-624.3462539109

    3755FFap-144Ce0004184Dx4853MFap-90Sr0.4827531042847.1629416735-94.1629416735502481.1368012818271.86319871821806FFap-90Sr0.07718071043369.1616746804-1562.16167468043823FFap-90Sr32025961042420.2555298984175.7444701016502259.0234642643336.9765357357

    1873FFap-144Ce0004151Dx1704FFap-90Sr0.4824291052847.1629416735-418.1629416735512481.1368012818-52.13680128181963MFap-90Sr0.08317031053324.5166322183-1621.51663221832826MFap-90Sr34012131052294.8165063312-1081.8165063312512162.3778849713-949.3778849713

    1588FFap-90Y0004123Ex2806MFap-90Sr0.523131062789.4024473694-476.4024473694522438.9928305335-125.99283053352789MFap-90Sr0.08316831063324.5166322183-1641.51663221834853MFap-90Sr36027531062169.377482764583.622517236522065.7323056782687.2676943218

    2812FFap-91Y0003763Dx1826FFap-90Sr0.714611072211.7975043283-750.7975043283532017.55312305-556.553123051823FFap-90Sr0.08719681073294.7532705769-1326.75327057691826FFap-90Sr38014611072043.9384591968-582.9384591968531969.0867263851-508.0867263851

    2700FFap-90Sr0.230.0041403412Dx2826MFap-90Sr0.7112131082182.9172571763-969.9172571763541996.4811376759-783.481137675921580FFap-90Sr0.09315931083250.1082281147-1657.10822811471701MFap-90Sr43012141081730.3409002787-516.3409002787541727.4727781525-513.4727781525

    4790FFap-90Sr0.7623731092038.516021416334.483978584551891.121210805481.8787891951964MFap-90Sr0.1118211093123.6139411387-1302.61394113872701FFap-90Sr43011851091730.3409002787-545.3409002787551727.4727781525-542.4727781525

    2702FFap-90Sr1.60.8490477Dx1964MFap-90Sr0.7818211101980.7555271119-159.7555271119561848.9772400566-27.97724005671826FFap-90Sr0.1114611103123.6139411387-1662.61394113871704FFap-90Sr44024291101667.6213884951761.3786115049561679.149988506749.8500114941

    4854FFap-90Sr21.3420279Dx2701FFap-90Sr0.7811851111980.7555271119-795.7555271119571848.9772400566-663.97724005672826MFap-90Sr0.1512131112825.9803247245-1612.98032472451964MFap-90Sr48018211111416.7433413606404.2566586394571485.8588299198335.1411700802

    3824FFap-90Sr21.2400259Dx1701MFap-90Sr0.8112141121894.1147856558-680.1147856558581785.7612839341-571.761283934121581MFap-90Sr0.1519311122825.9803247245-894.98032472453854FFap-90Sr4908091121354.023829577-545.023829577581437.5360402733-628.5360402733

    4808FFap-90Sr2.11.3430286Dx21581MFap-90Sr0.8619311131749.7135498955181.2864501045591680.4013570633250.59864293671701MFap-90Sr0.1812141132602.7551124139-1388.755112413931586FFap-90Sr5008821131291.3043177934-409.3043177934591389.2132506268-507.2132506268

    1808MFap-90Sr2.21.3530340Dx1823FFap-90Sr0.9219681141576.4320669832391.5679330168601553.9694448182414.03055518182701FFap-90Sr0.1811851142602.7551124139-1417.75511241391790MFap-90Sr52010331141165.8652942262-132.8652942262601292.5676713337-259.5676713337

    2855FFap-90Sr2.51.7450226Dx1790MFap-90Sr0.9610331151460.911078375-427.911078375611469.6815033216-436.68150332162827MFap-90Sr0.2411281152156.3046877926-1028.30468779264701MFap-90Sr5207151151165.8652942262-450.8652942262611292.5676713337-577.5676713337

    1827MFap-90Sr2.62450201Dx2808MFap-90Sr0.9810251161403.1505840708-378.1505840708621427.5375325732-402.53753257323808FFap-90Sr0.2711701161933.0794754819-763.07947548192827MFap-90Sr53011281161103.145782442624.8542175574621244.2448816872-116.2448816872

    3855MFap-90Sr2.71.2620376Ex3808FFap-90Sr111701171345.3900897667-175.3900897667631385.3935618249-215.39356182491790MFap-90Sr0.2910331171784.2626672748-751.26266727483808FFap-90Sr54011701171040.426270659129.573729341631195.9220920406-25.9220920406

    3964MFap-90Sr2.70.67420310Dx2827MFap-90Sr1.111281181056.587618246271.4123817538641174.6737080832-46.67370808322808MFap-90Sr0.310251181709.8542631713-684.85426317134827FFap-90Sr5408741181040.426270659-166.426270659641195.9220920406-321.9220920406

    3827FFap-90Sr2.71.7440201Dx31586FFap-90Sr1.18821191056.5876182462-174.5876182462651174.6737080832-292.673708083231586FFap-90Sr0.378821191188.9954344464-306.99543444644790FFap-90Sr54023731191040.4262706591332.573729341651195.92209204061177.0779079594

    1702MFap-90Sr2.81.6670341Dx4827FFap-90Sr1.18741201056.5876182462-182.5876182462661174.6737080832-300.67370808324827FFap-90Sr0.388741201114.5870303429-240.58703034292808MFap-90Sr5601025120914.9872470917110.0127529083661099.2765127476-74.2765127476

    2809MFap-90Sr2.81.7620300Dx3854FFap-90Sr1.18091211056.5876182462-247.5876182462671174.6737080832-365.67370808323854FFap-90Sr0.41809121891.3618180323-82.36181803231854MFap-90Sr570693121852.2677353081-159.2677353081671050.953723101-357.953723101

    3701FFap-90Sr2.81.9590265Dx11580FFap-90Sr1.2843122767.785146725775.214853274368963.9538543414-120.953854341411580FFap-90Sr0.44843122668.1366057216174.863394278411580FFap-90Sr580843122789.548223524553.4517764755681002.6309334545-159.6309334545

    2824FFap-90Sr2.92540238Dx4701MFap-90Sr1.3715123478.9826752051236.017324794969753.2340005997-38.23400059974701MFap-90Sr0.44715123668.136605721646.86339427841823FFap-90Sr5801968123789.54822352451178.4517764755691002.6309334545965.3690665455

    2703MFap-90Sr31.8800373Dx1854MFap-90Sr1.3693124478.9826752051214.017324794970753.2340005997-60.23400059972964MFap-90Sr0.51788124147.2777769968640.72222300323790FFap-90Sr630718124475.9506646065242.049335393570761.0169852218-43.0169852218

    3792MFap-90Sr32.1640282Dx31581MFap-90Sr1.6747125-387.42473935651134.424739356571121.0744393746625.92556062543790FFap-90Sr0.5271812572.8693728932645.13062710682790MFap-90Sr650644125350.5116410392293.488358960871664.3714059288-20.3714059288

    1703FFap-90Sr3.31.9780342Dx3790FFap-90Sr1.7718126-676.2272108771394.22721087772-89.6454143672807.64541436721854MFap-90Sr0.58693126-373.58105172811066.58105172812964MFap-90Sr660788126287.7921292556500.207870744472616.0486162822171.9513837178

    1824FFap-90Sr3.32.1610243Dx2790MFap-90Sr1.7644127-676.2272108771320.22721087773-89.6454143672733.645414367231581MFap-90Sr0.67747127-1043.256688661790.2566886621581MFap-90Sr6601931127287.79212925561643.207870744473616.04861628221314.9513837178

    1855FFap-90Sr3.41.9640268Dx2964MFap-90Sr1.8788128-965.02968239751753.029682397574-300.36526810891088.36526810892790MFap-90Sr0.7644128-1266.48190097061910.481900970631581MFap-90Sr720747128-88.5249414461835.524941446174326.111878403420.888121597

    2854MFap-90Sr3.42.3650252Ex

    2792FFap-90Sr3.52820329Dx

    1809FFap-90Sr3.52.2670258Dx

    4809FFap-90Sr3.61.8510232Dx

    3828FFap-90Sr3.72.4730267Ex

    4964MFap-90Sr3.72.1640255Dx

    3809MFap-90Sr3.92.1990386Dx

    4792FFap-90Sr3.92.3600218Dx

    2828MFap-90Sr3.93620184Dx

    1792MFap-90Sr3.92.5500159Dx

    1856MFap-90Sr4.12.7720231Ex

    1828FFap-90Sr4.83.1790220Dx

    4828MFap-90Sr54.2870195Dx

    SUMMARY OUTPUTAcute Initial DRSUMMARY OUTPUTAcute DRtDeathSUMMARY OUTPUTAcute Cumulative Dose

    Regression StatisticsRegression StatisticsRegression Statistics

    Multiple R0.4640912823Multiple R0.5909222975Multiple R0.2109847833

    R Square0.2153807183R Square0.3491891617R Square0.0445145788

    Adjusted R Square0.1892267423Adjusted R Square0.3274954671Adjusted R Square0.0126650648

    Standard Error61.9163622637Standard Error56.3901607649Standard Error68.326311535

    Observations32Observations32Observations32

    ANOVAANOVAANOVA

    dfSSMSFSignificance FdfSSMSFSignificance FdfSSMSFSignificance F

    Regression131570.391271011131570.39127101118.235104210.0074593063Regression151183.961817117151183.961817117116.09634356880.0003694287Regression16524.92331075636524.92331075631.39765331220.2464028266

    Residual30115009.0774789893833.6359159663Residual3095395.50693288293179.8502310961Residual30140054.5454392444668.4848479748

    Total31146579.46875Total31146579.46875Total31146579.46875

    CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    Intercept402.575148005445.85772452278.77878595580.0000000009308.9211806221496.2291153886308.9211806221496.2291153886Intercept390.835279295530.596004452712.77406270150328.349902341453.3206562499328.349902341453.3206562499Intercept214.108846590852.72277534384.0610314080.0003227956106.4345750519321.7831181297106.4345750519321.7831181297

    X Variable 1-40.369247148814.0674733358-2.86968712750.0074593063-69.0988603747-11.6396339228-69.0988603747-11.6396339228X Variable 1-59.069968784114.7232309563-4.01202487140.0003694287-89.1388177317-29.0011198364-89.1388177317-29.0011198364X Variable 10.09880493180.08357548271.18222388410.2464028266-0.0718789740.2694888375-0.0718789740.2694888375

    RESIDUAL OUTPUTRESIDUAL OUTPUTRESIDUAL OUTPUT

    ObservationPredicted YResidualsObservationPredicted YResidualsObservationPredicted YResiduals

    1337.9843525673139.01564743271343.5793042682133.42069573181262.5232631535214.4767368465

    2321.8366537078-42.83665370782314.0443198762-35.04431987622255.606917930223.3930820698

    3321.8366537078-62.83665370783319.9513167546-60.95131675463253.6308192955.369180705

    4317.7997289929-31.79972899294314.0443198762-28.04431987624256.594967247829.4050327522

    5313.76280427826.2371957225314.044319876225.95568012385266.475460423973.5245395761

    6301.6520301334-75.65203013346290.4163323625-64.41633236256258.571065883-32.571065883

    7297.6151054185-96.61510541857272.6953417273-71.69534172737258.571065883-57.571065883

    8293.578180703782.42181929638319.951316754656.04868324548275.3679042823100.6320957177

    9293.578180703716.42181929639351.2584002101-41.25840021019255.606917930254.3930820698

    10293.5781807037-92.578180703710290.4163323625-89.416332362510257.5830165654-56.5830165654

    11289.541255988851.458744011211296.323329240944.676670759111280.308150870460.6918491296

    12289.541255988810.458744011212290.41633236259.583667637512275.367904282324.6320957177

    13289.5412559888-24.541255988813278.6023386057-13.602338605713272.4037563295-7.4037563295

    14285.5043312739-47.504331273914272.6953417273-34.695341727314267.4635097415-29.4635097415

    15281.46740655991.53259344115284.509335484188.490664515915293.152791999279.8472080008

    16281.4674065590.53259344116266.788344848915.211655151116277.34400291754.6559970825

    17269.356632414472.643367585617278.602338605763.397661394317291.17669336450.823306636

    18269.3566324144-26.356632414418266.7883448489-23.788344848918274.3798549647-31.3798549647

    19265.31970769952.680292300519278.6023386057-10.602338605719277.3440029175-9.3440029175

    20265.3197076995-13.319707699520254.9743510921-2.974351092120278.3320522351-26.3320522351

    21261.282782984667.717217015421272.695341727356.304658272721295.128890634433.8711093656

    22261.2827829846-3.282782984622260.8813479705-2.881347970522280.3081508704-22.3081508704

    23257.2458582697-25.245858269723284.5093354841-52.509335484123264.4993617887-32.4993617887

    24253.208933554913.791066445124249.067354213717.932645786324286.236446776-19.236446776

    25253.20893355491.791066445125266.7883448489-11.788344848925277.3440029175-22.3440029175

    26245.1350841251140.864915874926266.7883448489119.211655151126311.925729033774.0742709663

    27245.1350841251-27.135084125127254.9743510921-36.974351092127273.3918056471-55.3918056471

    28245.1350841251-61.135084125128213.6253729432-29.625372943228275.3679042823-91.3679042823

    29245.1350841251-86.135084125129243.1603573353-84.160357335329263.5113124711-104.5113124711

    30237.0612346954-6.061234695430231.3463635785-0.346363578530285.2483974584-54.2483974584

    31208.802761691211.197238308831207.718376064812.281623935231292.1647426816-72.1647426816

    32200.7289122615-5.728912261532142.741410402352.258589597732300.0691372224-105.0691372224

    90Sr-DRtoDeathChart

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    Y

    Predicted Y

    X Variable 1

    Y

    X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot

    90Sr-cumDoseChart

    DOGSexDose RateDose RateCumulative doseDaysDiedCancerCancerCancerCancerOtherDOGSexDose RateDose RateCumulative doseDays

    (Gy/Day)at Deathat Deathto DeathEuphanizedLungTBLNHeart(Gy/Day)at Deathat Deathto Death

    Intial(Gy/Day)(Gy)Intial(Gy/Day)(Gy)

    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    1476FFap-90Sr0006025Dxx1476FFap-90Sr0006025

    2636FFap-90Y0005346Ex2636FFap-90Y0005346Regression Statistics

    31579MFap-90Sr0.0760.006725296Dxx2833MFap-90Sr0004932Multiple R0.3108169459

    2833MFap-90Sr0004932Dx2596MFap-90Y0004850R Square0.0966071739

    2596MFap-90Y0004850Ex2660MFap-90Y0004680Adjusted R Square0.0847204262

    2660MFap-90Y0004680Dx2588FFap-90Y0004601Standard Error821.4329601451

    2588FFap-90Y0004601Ex2788FFap-144Ce0004394Observations78

    2788FFap-144Ce0004394Ex3833FFap-90Sr0003680

    11584FFap-90Sr0.0650.005644274Exx4950MFap-90Sr0004076ANOVA

    3833FFap-90Sr0003680Dx2745MFap-91Y0003029dfSSMSFSignificance F

    41585FFap-90Sr0.0420.004443620Ex2950MFap-90Sr0005407Regression15483913.329488285483913.329488288.12730077370.0056108139

    2704MFap-90Sr0.280.0232602830Dxx1851FFap-90Sr0005345Residual7651281160.2089733674752.108012806

    4853MFap-90Sr0.480.0353602753Exx31576MFap-90Sr0005257Total7756765073.5384615

    3806MFap-90Sr0.20.021802636Exx2755FFap-144Ce0005203

    4700MFap-90Sr0.40.033102615Dxx1940FFap-91Y0005158CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    3823FFap-90Sr0.450.0163202596Dxx2851MFap-90Sr0004974Intercept4597.11968809103.2857046144.508770167604391.40838246194802.8309937184391.40838246194802.830993718

    4789FFap-90Sr0.220.021702565Ex2878FFap-91Y0004779X Variable 1-11.64160819564.0835681948-2.85084211660.0056108139-19.7747389918-3.5084773994-19.7747389918-3.5084773994

    1704FFap-90Sr0.480.0494402429Dxx2699MFap-144Ce0004759

    11586MFap-90Sr0.30.0432302104Ex1962FFap-90Sr0004703

    1964MFap-90Sr0.780.114801821Exx1636MFap-90Y0004400

    1701MFap-90Sr0.810.184301214Ex1811MFap-144Ce0004296RESIDUAL OUTPUT

    2826MFap-90Sr0.710.153401213Dx11576FFap-90Sr0004237

    2701FFap-90Sr0.780.184301185Dx1833FFap-144Ce0004195ObservationPredicted YResiduals

    3808FFap-90Sr10.275401170Ex1830FFap-90Sr000418914597.119688091427.88031191

    2827MFap-90Sr1.10.245301128Exx21576MFap-90Sr000385924597.11968809748.88031191

    1790MFap-90Sr0.960.295201033Ex31582MFap-90Sr000353434597.11968809334.88031191

    2808MFap-90Sr0.980.35601025Dx2862FFap-91Y000336344597.11968809252.88031191

    31586FFap-90Sr1.10.37500882Ex2683FFap-90Y000547054597.1196880982.88031191

    4827FFap-90Sr1.10.38540874Dx4833MFap-90Sr000537264597.119688093.88031191

    11580FFap-90Sr1.20.44580843Ex1950MFap-90Sr000437574597.11968809-203.11968809

    3854FFap-90Sr1.10.41490809Ex1660MFap-90Y000578884597.11968809-917.11968809

    2964MFap-90Sr1.80.51660788Dx2811MFap-144Ce000528194597.11968809-521.11968809

    31581MFap-90Sr1.60.67720747Ex1878MFap-91Y0005942104597.11968809-1568.11968809

    3790FFap-90Sr1.70.52630718Dx2830FFap-90Sr0005540114597.11968809809.88031191

    4701MFap-90Sr1.30.44520715Dx1596FFap-90Y0005512124597.11968809747.88031191

    1854MFap-90Sr1.30.58570693Ex1862MFap-144Ce0005454134597.11968809659.88031191

    2790MFap-90Sr1.70.7650644Ex1699MFap-144Ce0005369144597.11968809605.88031191

    11583MFap-90Sr0.0850.007864200Ex1812MFap-91Y0005367154597.11968809560.88031191

    4950MFap-90Sr0004076Dx2911FFap-91Y0005306164597.11968809376.88031191

    31578MFap-90Sr0.0420.005484032Ex1725MFap-144Ce0005233174597.11968809181.88031191

    21584MFap-90Sr0.0810.009803929Ex1911MFap-91Y0005220184597.11968809161.88031191

    11578MFap-90Sr0.00770.00077.73414Ex2940MFap-91Y0005170194597.11968809105.88031191

    31583FFap-90Sr0.080.007613332Ex1788MFap-144Ce0005057204597.11968809-197.11968809

    2745MFap-91Y0003029Dxx1683MFap-90Y0004743214597.11968809-301.1196880960252667Anova: Single Factor

    31584FFap-90Sr0.0140.00078.82765Ex1816FFap-144Ce0004652224597.11968809-360.1196880953464591

    2963MFap-90Sr0.260.021802587Dxx1755MFap-144Ce0004617234597.11968809-402.1196880949324958SUMMARY

    31577FFap-90Sr0.0330.0048262057Ex2873FFap-144Ce0004578244597.11968809-408.1196880948503414GroupsCountSumAverageVariance

    41578MFap-90Sr0.0540.0077391905Ex1492MFap-90Y0004567254597.11968809-738.1196880946802765Column 1542567664754.9259259259442281.994409503

    1806FFap-90Sr0.40.0773101807Dx1745FFap-91Y0004407264597.11968809-1063.1196880946013860Column 224918223825.9166666667825394.949275361

    21577FFap-90Sr0.0790.01853594Ex3950FFap-90Sr0004254274597.11968809-1234.1196880943944190

    3789FFap-90Sr0.420.012803306Dx3755FFap-144Ce0004184284597.11968809872.8803119136802927

    1789MFap-90Sr0.210.0131903245Ex1873FFap-144Ce0004151294597.11968809774.8803119140764808ANOVA

    4826FFap-90Sr0.350.0272502443Dx1588FFap-90Y0004123304597.11968809-222.1196880930294774Source of VariationSSdfMSFP-valueF crit

    2806MFap-90Sr0.50.0352902313Ex2812FFap-91Y0003763314597.119688091190.8803119154074238Between Groups14340044.0014245114340044.001424525.68868792790.00000274323.9667596602

    2853FFap-90Sr0.350.0432902305Ex41577FFap-90Sr0.00620.000455.52667324597.11968809683.8803119153454412Within Groups42425029.53703776558224.07285575

    3853MFap-90Sr0.210.0381902241Ex21583FFap-90Sr0.00780.00025.74591334597.119688091344.8803119152572057

    4806FFap-90Sr0.220.0351902156Dx21578MFap-90Sr0.00650.00026.24958344597.11968809942.8803119152031905Total56765073.538461577

    1853FFap-90Sr0.260.0472402094Dx11578MFap-90Sr0.00770.00077.73414354597.11968809914.8803119151583620

    1823FFap-90Sr0.920.0875801968Dx31584FFap-90Sr0.0140.00078.82765364597.11968809856.8803119149744032

    1963MFap-90Sr0.360.0833101703Dx11577MFap-90Sr0.00920.00089.53860374597.11968809771.8803119147793155

    21580FFap-90Sr0.390.0932901593Dx41579FFap-90Sr0.0130.00039.54190384597.11968809769.8803119147593332

    1826FFap-90Sr0.70.113801461Dx31585FFap-90Sr0.0140.0006102927394597.11968809708.8803119147034274

    2950MFap-90Sr0005407Dx21585MFap-90Sr0.0110.0008144808404597.11968809635.8803119144005296

    1851FFap-90Sr0005345Ex11585MFap-90Sr0.0150.001164774414597.11968809622.8803119142964824

    31576MFap-90Sr0005257Ex41583FFap-90Sr0.0160.0008164238424597.11968809572.8803119142373929

    2755FFap-144Ce0005203Dx11579MFap-90Sr0.0170.0012224412434597.11968809459.8803119141953594

    1940FFap-91Y0005158Ex31577FFap-90Sr0.0330.0048262057444597.11968809145.8803119141894200

    2851MFap-90Sr0004974Ex41578MFap-90Sr0.0540.0077391905454597.1196880954.880311913859

    21585MFap-90Sr0.0110.0008144808Ex41585FFap-90Sr0.0420.004443620464597.1196880919.880311913534

    2878FFap-91Y0004779Ex31578MFap-90Sr0.0420.005484032474597.11968809-19.119688093363

    11585MFap-90Sr0.0150.001164774Ex41584FFap-90Sr0.0470.004493155484597.11968809-30.119688095470

    2699MFap-144Ce0004759Ex31583FFap-90Sr0.080.007613332494597.11968809-190.119688095372

    1962FFap-90Sr0004703Ex11584FFap-90Sr0.0650.005644274504597.11968809-343.119688094375

    21583FFap-90Sr0.00780.00025.74591Ex31579MFap-90Sr0.0760.006725296514597.11968809-413.119688095788

    1636MFap-90Y0004400Ex21579MFap-90Sr0.0510.004734824524597.11968809-446.119688095281

    1811MFap-144Ce0004296Ex21584MFap-90Sr0.0810.009803929534597.11968809-474.119688095942

    41583FFap-90Sr0.0160.0008164238Ex21577FFap-90Sr0.0790.01853594544597.11968809-834.119688095540

    11576FFap-90Sr0004237Ex11583MFap-90Sr0.0850.007864200554533.0908430141-1866.09084301415512

    1833FFap-144Ce0004195Dx21586FFap-90Sr0.140.0191102301564530.76252137560.2374786255454

    1830FFap-90Sr0004189Ex2700FFap-90Sr0.230.0041403412574524.9417172772433.05828272285369

    11577MFap-90Sr0.00920.00089.53860Ex41586FFap-90Sr0.180.0291502030584507.4793049837-1093.47930498375367

    21576MFap-90Sr0003859Ex4789FFap-90Sr0.220.021702565594494.6735359686-1729.67353596865306

    2823FFap-90Sr0.30.00632103767Ex3806MFap-90Sr0.20.021802636604486.5244102316-626.52441023165233

    31582MFap-90Sr0003534Ex2963MFap-90Sr0.260.021802587614486.5244102316-296.52441023165220

    11581MFap-90Sr0.280.0222203477Dxx1789MFap-90Sr0.210.0131903245624480.7036061338-1553.70360613385170

    2862FFap-91Y0003363Dx3853MFap-90Sr0.210.0381902241634434.1371733514373.86282664865057

    41584FFap-90Sr0.0470.004493155Ex4806FFap-90Sr0.220.0351902156644410.8539569601363.14604303994743

    41577FFap-90Sr0.00620.000455.52667Ex2823FFap-90Sr0.30.00632103767654410.8539569601-172.85395696014652

    3826MFap-90Sr0.450.0293102496Ex11581MFap-90Sr0.280.0222203477664341.004307786470.99569221364617

    21586FFap-90Sr0.140.0191102301Ex11586MFap-90Sr0.30.0432302104674294.437875004-2237.4378750044578

    41586FFap-90Sr0.180.0291502030Ex1853FFap-90Sr0.260.0472402094684143.096968461-2238.0969684614567

    31580MFap-90Sr0.270.0592401963Ex31580MFap-90Sr0.270.0592401963694084.8889274829-464.88892748294407

    2789MFap-90Sr0.420.0833101683Ex4826FFap-90Sr0.350.0272502443704038.3224947004-6.32249470044254

    2683FFap-90Y0005470Dx2704MFap-90Sr0.280.0232602830714026.6808865048-871.68088650484184

    4833MFap-90Sr0005372Dx3789FFap-90Sr0.420.012803306723886.9815881574-554.98158815744151

    21579MFap-90Sr0.0510.004734824Ex2806MFap-90Sr0.50.0352902313733852.0567635706421.94323642944123

    1950MFap-90Sr0004375Dx2853FFap-90Sr0.350.0432902305743758.92389800561537.07610199443763

    31585FFap-90Sr0.0140.0006102927Dx21580FFap-90Sr0.390.0932901593753747.282289811076.71771019

    4790FFap-90Sr0.760.0645402373Dx4700MFap-90Sr0.40.033102615763665.7910324407263.2089675593

    21581MFap-90Sr0.860.156601931Dx1806FFap-90Sr0.40.0773101807773607.5829914626-13.5829914626

    1660MFap-90Y0005788Dx1963MFap-90Sr0.360.0833101703783595.941383267604.058616733

    2811MFap-144Ce0005281Ex3826MFap-90Sr0.450.0293102496

    11579MFap-90Sr0.0170.0012224412Dx2789MFap-90Sr0.420.0833101683SUMMARY OUTPUT

    41579FFap-90Sr0.0130.00039.54190Dx3823FFap-90Sr0.450.0163202596

    1878MFap-91Y0005942Ex2826MFap-90Sr0.710.153401213Regression Statistics

    2830FFap-90Sr0005540Ex4853MFap-90Sr0.480.0353602753Multiple R0.7483109005

    1596FFap-90Y0005512Ex1826FFap-90Sr0.70.113801461R Square0.5599692038

    1862MFap-144Ce0005454Dx1701MFap-90Sr0.810.184301214Adjusted R Square0.5508018956

    1699MFap-144Ce0005369Ex2701FFap-90Sr0.780.184301185Standard Error568.9378438632

    1812MFap-91Y0005367Dx1704FFap-90Sr0.480.0494402429Observations50

    2911FFap-91Y0005306Ex1964MFap-90Sr0.780.114801821

    1725MFap-144Ce0005233Dx3854FFap-90Sr1.10.41490809ANOVA

    1911MFap-91Y0005220Ex31586FFap-90Sr1.10.37500882dfSSMSFSignificance F

    2940MFap-91Y0005170Ex1790MFap-90Sr0.960.295201033Regression119772061.531374919772061.531374961.08327420650.0000000004

    1788MFap-144Ce0005057Ex4701MFap-90Sr1.30.44520715Residual4815537132.9686251323690.270179689

    21578MFap-90Sr0.00650.00026.24958Ex2827MFap-90Sr1.10.245301128Total4935309194.5

    1683MFap-90Y0004743Dx3808FFap-90Sr10.275401170

    1816FFap-144Ce0004652Ex4827FFap-90Sr1.10.38540874CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    1755MFap-144Ce0004617Dx4790FFap-90Sr0.760.0645402373Intercept3325.2250730092200.056238955816.621451499702922.98505262663727.46509339182922.98505262663727.4650933918

    2873FFap-144Ce0004578Dx2808MFap-90Sr0.980.35601025X Variable 1-3.80320157550.4866180232-7.81557894250.0000000004-4.7816126693-2.8247904816-4.7816126693-2.8247904816

    1492MFap-90Y0004567Ex1854MFap-90Sr1.30.58570693

    1745FFap-91Y0004407Dx11580FFap-90Sr1.20.44580843

    3950FFap-90Sr0004254Dx1823FFap-90Sr0.920.0875801968

    3755FFap-144Ce0004184Dx3790FFap-90Sr1.70.52630718RESIDUAL OUTPUT

    1873FFap-144Ce0004151Dx2790MFap-90Sr1.70.7650644

    1588FFap-90Y0004123Ex2964MFap-90Sr1.80.51660788ObservationPredicted YResiduals

    2812FFap-91Y0003763Dx21581MFap-90Sr0.860.15660193112906.8728997068-605.8728997068

    2700FFap-90Sr0.230.0041403412Dx31581MFap-90Sr1.60.6772074722792.7768524425619.2231475575

    32754.7448366878-724.7448366878

    3824FFap-90Sr21.2400259Dx42678.6808051782-113.6808051782

    4854FFap-90Sr21.3420279Dx52640.6487894235-4.6487894235

    3964MFap-90Sr2.70.67420310Dx62640.6487894235-53.6487894235

    4808FFap-90Sr2.11.3430286Dx72602.6167736687642.3832263313

    3827FFap-90Sr2.71.7440201Dx82602.6167736687-361.6167736687

    2855FFap-90Sr2.51.7450226Dx92602.6167736687-446.6167736687

    1827MFap-90Sr2.62450201Dx102526.55274215921240.4472578408

    2702FFap-90Sr1.60.8490477Dx112488.5207264044988.4792735956

    1792MFap-90Sr3.92.5500159Dx122450.4887106497-346.4887106497

    4809FFap-90Sr3.61.8510232Dx132412.4566948949-318.4566948949

    1808MFap-90Sr2.21.3530340Dx142412.4566948949-449.4566948949

    2824FFap-90Sr2.92540238Dx152374.424679140268.5753208598

    3701FFap-90Sr2.81.9590265Dx162336.3926633854493.6073366146

    4792FFap-90Sr3.92.3600218Dx172260.32863187591045.6713681241

    1824FFap-90Sr3.32.1610243Dx182222.296616121190.7033838789

    3855MFap-90Sr2.71.2620376Ex192222.296616121182.7033838789

    2809MFap-90Sr2.81.7620300Dx202222.2966161211-629.2966161211

    2828MFap-90Sr3.93620184Dx212146.2325846116468.7674153884

    3792MFap-90Sr32.1640282Dx222146.2325846116-339.2325846116

    1855FFap-90Sr3.41.9640268Dx232146.2325846116-443.2325846116

    4964MFap-90Sr3.72.1640255Dx242146.2325846116349.7674153884

    2854MFap-90Sr3.42.3650252Ex252146.2325846116-463.2325846116

    1702MFap-90Sr2.81.6670341Dx262108.2005688568487.7994311432

    1809FFap-90Sr3.52.2670258Dx272032.1365373473-819.1365373473

    1856MFap-90Sr4.12.7720231Ex281956.0725058378796.9274941622

    3828FFap-90Sr3.72.4730267Ex291880.0084743283-419.0084743283

    1703FFap-90Sr3.31.9780342Dx301689.8483955545-475.8483955545

    1828FFap-90Sr4.83.1790220Dx311689.8483955545-504.8483955545

    2703MFap-90Sr31.8800373Dx321651.8163797997777.1836202003

    2792FFap-90Sr3.52820329Dx331499.6883167807321.3116832193

    4828MFap-90Sr54.2870195Dx341461.6563010259-652.6563010259

    3809MFap-90Sr3.92.1990386Dx351423.6242852712-541.6242852712

    361347.5602537616-314.5602537617

    SUMMARY OUTPUT371347.5602537616-632.5602537617

    381309.5282380069-181.5282380069

    Regression Statistics391271.4962222521-101.4962222521

    Multiple R0.2109847833401271.4962222521-397.4962222521

    R Square0.0445145788411271.49622225211101.5037777479

    Adjusted R Square0.0126650648421195.4321907426-170.4321907426

    Standard Error68.326311535431157.4001749879-464.4001749879

    Observations32441119.3681592331-276.3681592331

    451119.3681592331848.6318407669

    ANOVA46929.2080804593-211.2080804593

    dfSSMSFSignificance F47853.1440489498-209.1440489498

    Regression16524.92331075636524.92331075631.39765331220.246402826648815.112033195-27.112033195

    Residual30140054.5454392444668.484847974849815.1120331951115.887966805

    Total31146579.4687550586.9199386665160.0800613335

    CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    Intercept214.108846590852.72277534384.0610314080.0003227956106.4345750519321.7831181297106.4345750519321.7831181297

    X Variable 10.09880493180.08357548271.18222388410.2464028266-0.0718789740.2694888375-0.0718789740.2694888375

    RESIDUAL OUTPUT

    ObservationPredicted YResiduals

    1253.6308192955.369180705

    2255.606917930223.3930820698

    3255.606917930254.3930820698

    4256.594967247829.4050327522

    5257.5830165654-56.5830165654

    6258.571065883-32.571065883

    7258.571065883-57.571065883

    8262.5232631535214.4767368465

    9263.5113124711-104.5113124711

    10264.4993617887-32.4993617887

    11266.475460423973.5245395761

    12267.4635097415-29.4635097415

    13272.4037563295-7.4037563295

    14273.3918056471-55.3918056471

    15274.3798549647-31.3798549647

    16275.3679042823100.6320957177

    17275.367904282324.6320957177

    18275.3679042823-91.3679042823

    19277.34400291754.6559970825

    20277.3440029175-9.3440029175

    21277.3440029175-22.3440029175

    22278.3320522351-26.3320522351

    23280.308150870460.6918491296

    24280.3081508704-22.3081508704

    25285.2483974584-54.2483974584

    26286.236446776-19.236446776

    27291.17669336450.823306636

    28292.1647426816-72.1647426816

    29293.152791999279.8472080008

    30295.128890634433.8711093656

    31300.0691372224-105.0691372224

    32311.925729033774.0742709663

    90Sr-cumDoseChart

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    LowDR

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    LowCum

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    Lung Cancer

    TBLN Cancer

    Heart Cancer

    Cancer

    Other

    Acute

  • Total Cancer and Lung Cancer Total dose to lung (Gy) 0 5 10 15 20 25 7570656055504540353025201510 5 0Percent of Dogs with CancerLung cancerControl dogsAll cancersControl dogs

  • % Total Cancer (Controls) by Location

  • % Lung Cancer (Control) by Location

  • ITRI ExposedLNT FIT

  • Selection of Proper Controls??Dog DataAdd more control dogs for greater accuracyAdding dogs greater genetic variationAdding dogs different environmental and life stylesHuman DataMatch controls for life-style, stress and environment, Age, Sex etc.the distal group has about 5% higher cancer rates than estimated for zero dose from the proximal group. (Pierce and Preston 2000)Adding more people increases variation in genetic variation, record keeping, environment, life-style.

  • How much is a Bq?Scientific definitionSocial definitionRiskWill I be OK?

  • Comparing Environmental and Health Effects (Bq?)The levels in the environment are very non-uniformThe amount of radiation required to produce health effects is much higher than that in the environment (large safety factor)There is a decrease in effectiveness with partial body exposuresThere is a decrease in effectiveness with decreasing dose-rate.

  • The risk for radiation induced cancer in human populations is low and undetectable at low doses and dose-rates thus mechanistic studies are required.DOE Low Dose Radiation Research Program http://www.lowdose.energy.govCells can detect and respond to very low doses of ionizing radiationRadiation responses at all levels of biological organization are different at high doses than at low doses.High dose-rate produces more biological damage than low dose-rate exposuresBystander effects, adaptive responses, ROS status of the cells, and genomic instability are interrelated and can be related to protective mechanisms. This resulted in major paradigm shifts in Radiation biology.Thus, mechanisms of radiation action change as a function of dose and dose-rate. Data suggest that radiation exposures are detrimental at high doses and protective at low doses.

    Mechanistic Studies of Low Dose Effects

  • Cells can detect and respond to very low doses of ionizing radiation

    Radiation responses at all levels of biological organization are different at high doses than at low doses

    Thus, mechanisms of radiation action change as a function of dose. Data suggest that they are detrimental at high doses and protective at low doses.

    Low Dose research require paradigm shifts in radiation biology to support the data.

    Bystander effects, adaptive responses, ROS status of the cells, and genomic instability are interrelated and can be related to protective mechanisms.

    The risk for radiation induced cancer in human populations is low and undetectable at low doses and dose-rates.

    Linear low dose (LNT) extrapolation is not supported by low dose radiation research Mechanistic studies of Low Dose Effects

  • Helpful Reviews of Health Effects from Low dose and dose-rate radiationHealth Physics 97: November 2009, Special Issue: 44th Annual Meeting of the National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements: Low Dose and Low Dose-Rate Radiation Effects and Models.

    Dauer, LT, Brooks, AL, Hoel, D, Morgan W, Stram D, Tran P. (2010) Evaluation of updated research on the health effects associated with low-dose ionizing radiation, Radiation Protection Dosimetry 140 (2) 103-136.

    Health Physics 100:, March 2011, Special Issue: Proceedings of the Conference on Biological Consequences and Health Risks of Low-Level Exposure to Ionizing Radiation: In honor of Victor P. Bond.

  • Radiation Risk: What Is the Public Perception? Radiation is very badThere is good and bad radiation, (Medical and Environmental)Each and every ionization increases their risk for cancer (LNT)Many conclude that if you are exposed to radiation you are going to get cancerIf you were exposed to radiation and you get cancer the radiation caused the cancer

  • It is not all my Fault!!At low doses I do way more good than harm!!!

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    This slide demonstrates that we all receive a total of about 370 mrem (0.37 mSv) of radiation exposure each year from background sources. The range of exposures from background is very high in different environments. Background radiation increases as a function of elevation, as a function of radon in homes and from natural radioactive materials in the environments. There are some areas where the natural background radiation dose is increased by more than a factor of ten. Many of the man made exposure are being regulated at levels much below background. For example there are some very vigorous discussions on whether the level for exposure from man-made sources should be 15 or 25 mrem per year. Since both of these levels are far below the background level, and the range of background level is so high, it is difficult to justify the needed expense required to comply with the lower standard.*The high and variable background rate of cancer is illustrated in every county in the United States. This slide shows cancer rate broken down into percentiles with the highest rates shown as red and the lowest rates illustrated as blue. This interesting map illustrates that some geographical regions have very high cancer rates while other regions are low. One of the features of this map is that it illustrates that in the high elevation, high cosmic radiation western states that the cancer rate is low. The highest cancer rates seem to be along the Mississippi river where the background radiation is very low. There are so many confounding factors in the environment that the cancer rate cannot be linked to any one of them. The map helps illustrate that radiation is not one of the big hitters in the production of cancer. *