communicating renewable energy in a wolrd of … · 5.10.2017 · source: 2017 edelman trust...
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COMMUNICATING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN A WOLRD OF MISTRUST
HANNE MAY, EDELMAN.ERGO
INPUT FOR WORKSHOP 2 - #REMFORUM 2017
Agenda
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 2
BIG PICTURE: THE STATE OF TRUST1
IN FOCUS: HOW THE GERMANS PERCEIVE THE ENERGIEWENDE 2
INSIDERS VIEW: COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS IN ENERGIEWENDE COMMUNICATION3
BREAKING THE CIRLCE 4
LET‘S DISCUSS ...5
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 3
WHOM IS TRUSTED?
EDELMAN TRUST BAROMETER
Informed Public
9 years in 20+ markets
Represents 13% of total global population
500 respondents in U.S. and China; 200 in all other countries
Must meet 4 criteria:
Ages 25-64
College educated
In top 25% of household income per age group in each country
Report significant media consumption and engagement in business news
General Online Population
6 years in 25+ markets
Ages 18+
1,150 respondents per country
All slides show General Online Population unless otherwise noted
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer methodology
© Edelman.ergo 4
17 years of data
33,000+ respondents total
All fieldwork was conducted
between October 13th and
November 16th, 2016
Online Survey in 28 Countries
Mass Population
All population not including Informed Public
Represents 87% of total global population
10/05/2017
A world of distrust
Average trust in institutions, general population, 2016 vs. 2017
5
47 Global
72 India
69 Indonesia
67 China
60 Singapore
60 UAE
53 Netherlands
52 Mexico
52 U.S.
50 Colombia
49 Canada
48 Brazil
48 Italy
48 Malaysia
45 Argentina
44 Hong Kong
44 Spain
43 Turkey
42 Australia
42 S. Africa
41 Germany
40 France
40 U.K.
38 S. Korea
37 Sweden
36 Ireland
35 Japan
35 Poland
34 Russia
2016 2017
50 Global
73 China
66 UAE
65 India
64 Singapore
62 Indonesia
60 Mexico
56 Canada
55 Colombia
52 Netherlands
51 Argentina
51 Malaysia
50 Brazil
49 Australia
49 Italy
49 U.S.
47 Hong Kong
46 Spain
45 S. Africa
42 Germany
42 S. Korea
42 U.K.
41 France
41 Ireland
41 Turkey
39 Russia
38 Japan
37 Sweden
35 Poland
Trusters(60-100)
Neutrals(50-59)
Distrusters (1-49)
© Edelman.ergo
3-point decrease
in the global
Trust Index
Trust declines in 21
of 28 countries—the
broadest declines
since beginning
general population
tracking in 2012
2 in 3 countries are
now distrusters
10/05/2017
45 Global
70 India
67 Indonesia
62 China
59 Singapore
59 UAE
52 Netherlands
50 Colombia
50 Mexico
47 Brazil
47 Canada
47 Italy
47 Malaysia
47 U.S.
45 Argentina
42 Hong Kong
41 S. Africa
41 Spain
41 Turkey
40 Australia
39 Germany
38 France
37 U.K.
36 S. Korea
36 Sweden
35 Ireland
34 Japan
34 Poland
31 Russia
Mass population left behind
Average trust in institutions, informed public vs. mass population
The Mass Population
distrusts
their institutions in
20 of 28 countries
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer. The Trust Index is an average of a country’s trust in the institutions of government, business, media and NGOs. Informed Public and Mass Population, 28-country global total.
MassPopulation
InformedPublic
6
60 Global
80 India
79 China
78 Indonesia
77 UAE
71 Singapore
68 U.S.
62 Canada
62 Netherlands
61 Italy
61 Mexico
57 Malaysia
57 Spain
56 France
56 U.K.
55 Colombia
54 Australia
54 Germany
53 Hong Kong
51 Argentina
51 Brazil
50 S. Korea
50 Turkey
49 Japan
49 S. Africa
47 Sweden
45 Russia
44 Ireland
43 Poland
Trusters (60-100)
Neutrals (50-59)
Distrusters (1-49)
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50% 55 5348
42
53 52
43 41
Trust in all four institutions declines
© Edelman.ergo 7
Percent trust in the four institutions of government, business, media and NGOs, 2016 vs. 2017
Business MediaNGOs Government
Two of four institutions distrusted
Neutral
Trusted
Distrusted
-2 -1 -5 -1
20172016
10/05/2017
61 59
44 4447 49 50 50 50 51 52 53
56 57 58 59 61 6265 65 67 68 68
71 72 7275
8286 87
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UA
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Ch
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Indo
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India
50%
Energy sector trusted in half of countries
8
Percent trust in the energy sector, 2016 vs. 2017
Trusted in 14 countries
+3 +3 +5 +11 +4 +8 +12 +3 +2 +4 +2 -4 0 +12 +8+5 +5+4 -2+10 +1 +3+7-1 -1 +4+4 -1 +9+4
Declines in 5 countries
Y-to-Y Change+−
NeutralDistrust Trust
© Edelman.ergo 10/05/2017
Trust in energy sub-sectors increases
9
Trust in the energy sub-sectors, 2016 vs 2017
Natural GasCleantech Utilities Oil Nuclear
65
55 53
46
68
59 57
4943
20172016
© Edelman.ergo
NA*
10/05/2017
* Nuclear first time included
6864
5053
56 58 59 59 60 62 62 64 65 65 67 68 68 70 70 72 73 73 74 75 77 7881 82 84
87
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India
Indo
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Declines in 7 countries
50%
Cleantech trusted in 22 of 28 countries
10
Percent trust in the cleantech sub-sector, 2016 vs. 2017
+2 +5 +13 +2 +8 +17 -1 +16 +4 0 +9 -3 -1 +7 +14+2 -8+3 +1-2 +1 +40-6 +8 0-5 +4 +10-1
Y-to-Y Change+−
NeutralDistrust Trust
© Edelman.ergo
Trusted in 22 countries
10/05/2017
Without trust, belief in the system fails
11
How true are each of the following?
Sense of injustice
Desire for change
Lack of confidence
Lack of hope
System biased in favor of elites, elites
indifferent to the people, getting
richer than they deserve
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo
Hard work not rewarded, children will
not have a better life, country not
moving in right direction
No confidence in current leaders
Need forceful reformers to bring
change
How true is
this for you?
Sense of injustice
Lack of hope
Lack of confidence
Desire for change
53%
32%
15%
Majority believe the system is failing them
© Edelman.ergo12
Not at all true
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
1 in 3 are uncertain
Completely
true
System failing System working
Approximately
10/05/2017
The cycle of fear and distrust
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Echo Chamber amplifies fears and accelerates the cycle
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15
The Echo Chamber in action
Facts matter less Bias is the filter No humans needed
1 in 2 agree
“I would support politicians
I trust to make things better
for me and my family
even if they
exaggerated the truth”
53%
Do not regularly listen to
people or organizations
with whom they often
disagree
Nearly
4x more likely
to ignore information that supports a position
they do not believe in
More likely
to believe
59%Search engines
41%Human editors
53%52% Never or rarely change their position on important social issues
Nearly
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo
1
60 60 60
48 4643
37 35
29
A p
ers
on lik
eyo
urs
elf
Te
chn
ical
expe
rt
Acad
em
ice
xpe
rt
Em
plo
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e
Fin
ancia
lin
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str
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na
lyst
NG
Ore
pre
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CE
O
Boa
rd o
fd
ire
cto
rs
Gove
rnm
en
to
ffic
ial/
reg
ula
tor
Peers now as credible as experts
© Edelman.ergo 16
Percent who rate each spokesperson as extremely/very credible, and change from 2016 to 2017
CEO credibility decreased the
most, dropping to an all-time low
-7 -5
“People in this
country have
had enough
of experts.”
– Michael Gove,
Member of Parliament, U.K.
A person like yourself now tied
for most credible spokesperson
-3 -7 -5 -4 -7 -5 -12 -10 -6
Y-to-Y Change+−
10/05/2017
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 17
IN FOCUS
PERCEPTION OF THE ENERGIEWENDE IN GERMANY
Perception of renewable energy … is highly positive
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo
Do we need more?
> 90%
We like them, we
need them
and we want more!
In my backyard?
38 – 73%*
We like them in our
neigbourhood!
*range from biogas to PV
54%
We accept the
monthly bill!
18
Out of my pocket?
Source: 2016 Agentur für Erneuerbare Energien, Acceptance Survey
Energiewende resistance ... is growing & improving
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 19
• appr. > 100 action groups
against wind, solar, biomass
and related infrastructure
• increasing level of
professionalism (regional and
federal networking, party „Freier
Horizont“, SoMe activities)
• populist party AfD: a haven for
reactionist energy policy
• established parties: growing
resistance reflexes
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 20
INSIDERS VIEW
COMMUNICATING THE ENERGIEWENDE
Some common communication misconceptions I
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 21
BUSINESS VS. PEOPLE & POLITICS
• „We are the good guys, they should love us.“
• „We bring good to the people, they will
benefit.“
• „We know this business, we can do the
Energiewende better and more professional.“
... AND HOW THEY CLASH
➢ There is no moral superiority of renewable
energy vs. other energy businesses.
➢ Many people lack the financial resources to
invest. People focus on more than economic
benefits, but economic benefits can be a
huge societal divider.
➢ People want renewable energy production in
their hands.
Be serious on your goals and your ambition to find a common solution.
Some common communication misconceptions II
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 22
POLITICS VS. PEOPLE & BUSINESS
• „We have to balance policies with the interests
of all stakeholder groups.“
• „We take only risks, that will not harm our
economy.“
• „We stick to our goals and focus on how to
frame them.“
... AND HOW THEY CLASH
➢ Stakeholders have very different levels of
influence.
➢ The (German) regulatory system is getting too
complex, intransparent and slow.
➢ Tackling reforms keeps risk manable, delaying
them or provoking disruption brings much
higher risk and costs.
➢ Fortunes are communicated much faster and
more often than misfortunes. People lose trust,
if missing goals lacks consequences.
Be less bureaucratic and more emphatic.
Some common communication misconceptions III
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 23
PEOPLE VS. POLITICS & BUSINESS
• „We want to participate and decide on every
step of a project.“
• „We have invested and now we want a
guaranteed return.“
• „We have already done our part in renewable
energy and infrastructure, now its up to others.“
... AND HOW THEY CLASH
➢ There is division of powers and responsibilites in
procedures. The people cannot decide on
every step, but transparency can be
improved.
➢ Investors always take risks. The risk level needs
to be made clear in advance and brought to
mind.
➢ It is not enough to achieve 100%; some
villages, regions or businesses need to do more.
Be as transparent and participative as possible – right from the start.
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 24
BREAKING THE CIRCLE
First steps to overcome myth and desinformation
10/05/2017© Edelman.ergo 25
➢ Identify your target group(s)
and their Energiewende
perception
➢ Tailor your messages
➢ Adapt facts and stories to their
life reality
➢ Be relevant, consistent,
authentical and emotional
➢ Use most trustful messengers
➢ Be where they are
Achieve credibility
Hanne May
Head of Energy Consulting
Edelman.ergo GmbH
T: +49 (0)30 20 18 05-50
Charlottenstraße 68
10117 Berlin
2610/05/2017© Edelman.ergo
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BACK-UP
43 43
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31 31 32 32 32 33 33
39 40 4042 42 42
44 44 45 4547 47 48 48
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Trust in media plunges to all-time lows
© Edelman.ergo 29
Percent trust in media, and change from 2016 to 2017
Distrusted in 82% of countries
50%
All-time low in 17 countries
-5 -11 +3 +4+2 -8-6-1-2-60-10-10-15-5-3-6 -13 -3 -2 -5-10 -6 -4 +2-10 -3 -7-5 -5
Y-to-Y Change+−
NeutralDistrust Trust
10/05/2017
Distrusted in 75% of countries
Trust in government further evaporates
© Edelman.ergo 30
Percent trust in government, and change from 2016 to 2017
Declines in 14 countries
50%
41
47
15
2024 24 25 25
2831 32 32 33
36 37 37 37 3840
43 44 4547
51 51
6971
75 75 76
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NeutralDistrust Trust
10/05/2017
53
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31
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46 4648
52 53 54 55 5658 58 58 59 59 59 60 60 60 61 61
64 64
71 71
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Trust in NGOs declines
© Edelman.ergo 31
Percent trust in NGOs, and change from 2016 to 2017
Distrusted in 8 countries
50%
-2 +7 -3-6 +7-6-1-100-3+1+2-2+10-2 -2 -4 -2 -3-6 -3 -4 -5-3 -3 -6-2 -4 -2
Declines in 21 countries
Y-to-Y Change+−
NeutralDistrust Trust
NGOs less trusted than business in 11 countries
10/05/2017
Business on the brink of distrust
© Edelman.ergo 32
Percent trust in business, and change from 2016 to 2017
Distrusted in 13 countries
50%52 51
2934
39 40 41 41 43 43 45 45 46 46 48 50 5055 56 56 58 58 60 61
64 6467 67
74 76
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Declines in 18 countries
Y-to-Y Change+−
NeutralDistrust Trust
10/05/2017
The cycle of fear and distrust
3310/05/2017© Edelman.ergo
Systemic distrust and fear trigger action
© Edelman.ergo 34
% Who agree
system is failing53 72 72 67 67 67 64 62 62 62 60 59 59 57 56 55 55 53 52 51 48 48 42 42 36 35 30 23 19
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Above-average level of fear
Above-average belief the system is Failing
Countries with multiple fears and failing system
10 countries with above-
average belief the system
is failing and multiple fears
4 countries with above-
average belief the system is
failing – but lack multiple fears
Corruption
Immigration
Globalization
Eroding social values
Pace of change
10/05/2017