commercialization of residential fc ene-farm current
TRANSCRIPT
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Copyright © 2013 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
26, June 2014
Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation
Commercialization of Residential FC ENE-FARM
~~~~ Current status and driving force for the success ~~~~
1
ENE-FARM is a common brand name of a
residential fuel cell system in Japan.
Toshiba ENE-FARM
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 2
Japanese Residential FC: ENEJapanese Residential FC: ENEJapanese Residential FC: ENEJapanese Residential FC: ENE----FARMFARMFARMFARM
Past;Past;Past;Past;
Commercialization started in FY2009Commercialization started in FY2009Commercialization started in FY2009Commercialization started in FY2009
Present;Present;Present;Present;
Accumulated volume up to 80,000 unitsAccumulated volume up to 80,000 unitsAccumulated volume up to 80,000 unitsAccumulated volume up to 80,000 units
with 175% CAGRwith 175% CAGRwith 175% CAGRwith 175% CAGR
Future;Future;Future;Future;
Challenge to 1.4m units in FY2020Challenge to 1.4m units in FY2020Challenge to 1.4m units in FY2020Challenge to 1.4m units in FY2020
5.3m units in FY2030 5.3m units in FY2030 5.3m units in FY2030 5.3m units in FY2030
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 3
1. General Status of ENE-FARM Dissemination
2. Commercialization Activities in Toshiba
3. Governmental and Industrial Activities as Driving Force for
Successful Commercialization
4. Summary
ContentContentContentContent
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
History and Plan of ENE-FARM Commercialization in Japan
�After technology verification and large scale monitoring program, Japan started initial commercialization of 1kW class residential PEMFC “ENE-FARM” in
FY2009. Around 80,000units are now operated in Japanese household.
Future
Scenario
(Possible Image for future)
FY2020~~~~FY2010~~~~FY2000~~~~General
Scheme
FY2002 -
Field test
FY2002 -Field test
Technology
verification
Technology
verification IntroductionIntroduction PopularizationPopularization
FY2020 10GW for Stationary
From Verification From Verification
to Market to Market
IntroductionIntroduction
by ENEby ENE--FARMFARM
Progress
FY2005~~~~Introduction::::Several k-units to several ten k-units
Establishment::::several ten k-units
to several hundred k-units
Real Commercial-ization:::: More than
several hundred k-units
FY2005-2008Extensive
demonstration PJ
FY2005-2008Extensive
demonstration PJ
Real Commercial-
ization
Real Commercial-
ization
Enlarge market size with cost reduction by mass production & technology breakthrough
2009
Future
Scenario
(Possible Image for future)
FY2020~~~~FY2010~~~~FY2000~~~~General
Scheme
FY2002 -
Field test
FY2002 -Field test
Technology
verification
Technology
verification IntroductionIntroduction PopularizationPopularization
FY2020 10GW for Stationary
From Verification From Verification
to Market to Market
IntroductionIntroduction
by ENEby ENE--FARMFARM
Progress
FY2005~~~~Introduction::::Several k-units to several ten k-units
Establishment::::several ten k-units
to several hundred k-units
Real Commercial-ization:::: More than
several hundred k-units
FY2005-2008Extensive
demonstration PJ
FY2005-2008Extensive
demonstration PJ
Real Commercial-
ization
Real Commercial-
ization
Enlarge market size with cost reduction by mass production & technology breakthrough
Future
Scenario
(Possible Image for future)
FY2020~~~~FY2010~~~~FY2000~~~~General
Scheme
FY2002 -
Field test
FY2002 -Field test
Technology
verification
Technology
verification IntroductionIntroduction PopularizationPopularization
FY2020 10GW for Stationary
From Verification From Verification
to Market to Market
IntroductionIntroduction
by ENEby ENE--FARMFARM
Progress
FY2005~~~~Introduction::::Several k-units to several ten k-units
Establishment::::several ten k-units
to several hundred k-units
Real Commercial-ization:::: More than
several hundred k-units
FY2005-2008Extensive
demonstration PJ
FY2005-2008Extensive
demonstration PJ
Real Commercial-
ization
Real Commercial-
ization
Enlarge market size with cost reduction by mass production & technology breakthrough
2009 2014
4
Large scale
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
* Data by FCA (Fuel Cell Association) as of January[[[[Fiscal year]]]][[[[Annual volume]
Trend of sales volume
The sales volume has
been increased year
by year.
Annual volume trend
43,967
Status of ENEFARM Dissemination: Total Trend
Sales started in 2009 with the
declaration by government and energy companies on January, 28, 2009.
Start commercialization
5
2013
Accumulated volume is
now around 80,000units
in Japanese households.
Around 35,000units in FY2013
Around 78,000
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 6
Key factors for the successful commercialization in JapanKey factors for the successful commercialization in JapanKey factors for the successful commercialization in JapanKey factors for the successful commercialization in Japan
Residential PEM is on the commercialization phase since 2009 in Japan!Governmental leadershipGovernmental leadershipGovernmental leadershipGovernmental leadershipCollaborative development Collaborative development Collaborative development Collaborative development under NEDO Projectunder NEDO Projectunder NEDO Projectunder NEDO Project Collaboration among Japanese Collaboration among Japanese Collaboration among Japanese Collaboration among Japanese companies FCCJcompanies FCCJcompanies FCCJcompanies FCCJPartnership with Energy companies Partnership with Energy companies Partnership with Energy companies Partnership with Energy companies and manufacturersand manufacturersand manufacturersand manufacturersTechnology potential of Technology potential of Technology potential of Technology potential of manufacturers w/ long historymanufacturers w/ long historymanufacturers w/ long historymanufacturers w/ long history
[Core competence in technologies]
[Governmental efforts]
[Company collaboration]
3 Aspects 5 Factors
( from IPHE Conference in 2011)
4. FCCJ Activity1. Toshiba Activities2. NEDO Field Program3. NEDO BOP Project
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 7
1. General Status of ENE-FARM Dissemination
2. Commercialization Activities in Toshiba
3. Governmental and Industrial Activities as Driving Force for
Successful Commercialization
4. Summary
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
Commercialization
After the long term experience by PAFC, Toshiba FCP started PEFC development in FY1999 and forward to commercialization in FY2009.
FY2005
NEF Large Scale Demo Prg.NEF・IBEC test
FY2009
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Millennium PJ
FY2007
NEF LSDPFirst model
TEPCO 11MW Plant((((23k hrs.))))Onsite 200kW PC25C
1980198019801980 1990199019901990 2000200020002000
28 years experiments of PAFC development in Toshiba
50kW Pilot plant
NEDO1111MW Plant
Onsite 1MW Plant(16khrs).
History of Stationary Fuel Cell in Toshiba
NEF LSDPFinal model
InitialCommercial
model
2ndCommercial
model
8
FY2012
FY2014
New Modelin FY2014
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 9
Overall Business Status in Toshiba FCP
� Joined to “ Large scale demonstration program” since FY2005 throughFY2008.
� Initial commercialization of ENEFARM started in FY2009 with estimated several
thousands of annual volume.
� Selling volume around 8,000 unit by 1st generation unit for three years, since 2009
through 2011.
� Expanding business by 2nd generation unit. 30,000 units to be estimated by two years,
FY2012 and 2013.
� Expanding manufacturing capacity with new facility (25,000units/y in FY2014)
� New 3rd generation units was just delivered in April 2014.
(年度)
(台数)
Accumulated volume of Toshiba unit since FY2009 is now around 40,000units16412651
412312388
17597
1641
42928415
20803
38400
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
年間出荷台数(台)累積台数(台)
AccumulatedAnnual
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
Toshiba booth at FC EXPO
2014
New Toshiba ENE-FARM Released in FY2014
10
–Lower price with higher performance(95%ttl)
–10 years durability
–Easier installation by less space requirement
–Wider applications
Possible installation for condominium
Higher GI capability w/ battery hybrid
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
Main Efforts for New Toshiba ENEMain Efforts for New Toshiba ENEMain Efforts for New Toshiba ENEMain Efforts for New Toshiba ENE----FARMFARMFARMFARM
11
・Three core approaches by technology, manufacturing and purchasing・CR approach with “Reduce Concept”⇒More than 50% from FY2009Module piping for significant component reduction
Further cost reductionFurther cost reductionFurther cost reductionFurther cost reductionOther effortsOther effortsOther effortsOther efforts・Lower noise level; 37dB achieved(i.e. the level of night time in residential area)・More compactness for installation(depth 79⇒70cm)
Higher performanceHigher performanceHigher performanceHigher performance・Efficiency improvement w/ longer cell durability offers higher CO2 reduction.1.6t/y is estimated by new ENE-FARM.Power output(W)
Tota
l eff
.(%
)
2012 Sys.
2014 Sys.
Accumulated operation hrs.
S/S
tim
es
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
System for Condominium1.Installed in piping shaft space with 1.11.Installed in piping shaft space with 1.11.Installed in piping shaft space with 1.11.Installed in piping shaft space with 1.1㎡㎡㎡㎡2.FF ventilation for closed space2.FF ventilation for closed space2.FF ventilation for closed space2.FF ventilation for closed space3.Higher tolerance for earthquake3.Higher tolerance for earthquake3.Higher tolerance for earthquake3.Higher tolerance for earthquake Expanded GI Function System1.Black out start capability1.Black out start capability1.Black out start capability1.Black out start capability2.Possible power supply during start up2.Possible power supply during start up2.Possible power supply during start up2.Possible power supply during start up3.Transient capacity up to 1.7kW3.Transient capacity up to 1.7kW3.Transient capacity up to 1.7kW3.Transient capacity up to 1.7kW4. Faster transient with battery4. Faster transient with battery4. Faster transient with battery4. Faster transient with batteryNew Applications for Market Expansion Exhibited in FC EXPO
12
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
Diversity for various fuel and environment
Toshiba ENE-FARM preparing enough options for various fuels
and environmental conditions since FY2009.
13
A thousand units of Toshiba ENE-
FARM is already operated with
domestic natural gas, which is very
similar to EU high calorie gas.
Hokuriku gas area
Tokyo gas area
Other area
Cold district opt. 1658units
Pure H2 opt. 38units
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 14
1. General Status of ENE-FARM Dissemination
2. Commercialization Activities in Toshiba
3. Governmental and Industrial Activities as Driving Force for
Successful Commercialization
4. Summary
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
In advance of commercialization, over 3,300unit of residential PEFC were In advance of commercialization, over 3,300unit of residential PEFC were In advance of commercialization, over 3,300unit of residential PEFC were In advance of commercialization, over 3,300unit of residential PEFC were installed and verified in FY2005 through 2008. In the program, system installed and verified in FY2005 through 2008. In the program, system installed and verified in FY2005 through 2008. In the program, system installed and verified in FY2005 through 2008. In the program, system showed enough performance and reliability as future commercial product.showed enough performance and reliability as future commercial product.showed enough performance and reliability as future commercial product.showed enough performance and reliability as future commercial product.Large Scale Monitoring Program Leaded by METI/NEDOLarge Scale Monitoring Program Leaded by METI/NEDOLarge Scale Monitoring Program Leaded by METI/NEDOLarge Scale Monitoring Program Leaded by METI/NEDO
15
Thermal Load of each House [MJ/month]
Th
e A
mo
un
t o
f C
O2 R
ed
ucti
on
[kg
/mo
nth
]
Five system manufacturers joined to the program, and delivered 3,307units. Toshiba delivered 748 units among them.
Residential PEFC showed 100kg/month of CO2 reduction as the average.
But the program was not only for such technology But the program was not only for such technology But the program was not only for such technology But the program was not only for such technology
and product verification!!and product verification!!and product verification!!and product verification!!
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
Essential Purpose of the Strategic ProgramEssential Purpose of the Strategic ProgramEssential Purpose of the Strategic ProgramEssential Purpose of the Strategic Program
Usual reaction to the program;
It’s the crazy volume and a kind of surprise!.
Why do you need so many units for it?
⇒It is essential to establish sales and
maintenance channel with energy companies and
also prepare manufacturing facility.
!!!
We verified 3300 units in the program
16
The program was really the practice and absolute step for
initial commercialization just after the death of valley.
Verification
•Delivered around 800units since 2005 until 08
•The longest units recorded 30kh in real field
•Total fleet operation time to be 10million hrs
•CO2 reduction to be 1.2-1.4t/year
•Reliability potential for commercialization
Commercialization readiness
•Preparing production process
•Maintenance and sales channel with energy companies
•Getting Japanese certification
Development•>35% Electric / >85% Total Efficiency•System durability longer than 70kh•Reliability better than 5% annual failure rate•Significant CR (to 1/8 level through 5years)•Tolerant system for raw fuel (NG & LPG)•Light weight for installation (104kg)•Low noise design (<40dB)
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
BOP Pj as NEDO Collaborative/Consortium ProjectBOP Pj as NEDO Collaborative/Consortium ProjectBOP Pj as NEDO Collaborative/Consortium ProjectBOP Pj as NEDO Collaborative/Consortium Project
1 0 ,0 0 01 0 ,0 0 0台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト2 0 82 0 8万円万円万円万円万円万円万円万円 1 0 01 0 0~~~~~~~~1 2 01 2 0
24 35119816 24 燃料改質装置燃料電池本体インバー タその他補機類その他補機類その他補機類その他補機類組立費排熱回収1 0 ,0 0 01 0 ,0 0 0台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト
2 0 82 0 8万円万円万円万円万円万円万円万円 1 0 01 0 0~~~~~~~~1 2 01 2 0
24 35119816 24 24 35119816 24 燃料改質装置燃料電池本体インバー タその他補機類その他補機類その他補機類その他補機類組立費排熱回収1 0 ,0 0 01 0 ,0 0 0台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト
2 0 82 0 8万円万円万円万円万円万円万円万円 1 0 01 0 0~~~~~~~~1 2 01 2 0
24 35119816 24 24 35119816 24 燃料改質装置燃料電池本体インバー タその他補機類その他補機類その他補機類その他補機類組立費排熱回収1 0 ,0 0 01 0 ,0 0 0台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年台/年 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標 コスト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト 目標コス ト
2 0 82 0 8万円万円万円万円万円万円万円万円 1 0 01 0 0~~~~~~~~1 2 01 2 0
24 35119816 24 24 35119816 24 燃料改質装置燃料電池本体インバー タその他補機類その他補機類その他補機類その他補機類組立費排熱回収24 35119816 24 24 35119816 24 燃料改質装置燃料電池本体インバー タその他補機類その他補機類その他補機類その他補機類組立費排熱回収Can we achieve the cost reduction enough for commercialization?
BOP has the highest portion in cost
allocation, which is collaborative area for
joint development.
• Discussion to start FC workshop by regions
Regional symposium
•Common spec. delivered by METI/NEDO
Open Spec.Open Spec. ・・・・Discuss by 25 BOP makers and 5 sys makers
BOP supplierBOP supplierBOP supplierBOP supplierSystem manufacturerSystem manufacturerSystem manufacturerSystem manufacturerOpen Discussion
Dilemma in High Technology Development
Strategic study by METI, energy companies and manufacturers in Autumn, 2004
NEDO project started in July, 2005 by systems and M-BOP companies
Competition Collaboration
Differentiation Standardization
Close strategy Open strategy
M-BOP
17
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved.
�Outcome attained from the projectOutcome attained from the projectOutcome attained from the projectOutcome attained from the project((((a)))) PerformanceEvery component meets the target performance such as for efficiency and in/out conditions.((((b)))) DurabilityEvery component meets the life longer than 40k hrs, which was verified by acceleration test.((((c)))) Cost
Cost potential of 110k yen is expected with 10k units/year of production volume
Many developed components were directly applied to ENE-FARM 周辺機器のコストダウン見込み周辺機器のコストダウン見込み周辺機器のコストダウン見込み周辺機器のコストダウン見込み(最大コストポテンシャル)(最大コストポテンシャル)(最大コストポテンシャル)(最大コストポテンシャル)49,585 39,00035,000 13,990 4,000115,000 25,800 18,000120,000 20,000 20,000137,0000100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000
1 2 3その他弁センサー回転機41万円/万円/万円/万円/kW
11万円/万円/万円/万円/kW
8万円/万円/万円/万円/kW 当初見込 当初見込 当初見込 当初見込 H18年度成果 最終目標年度成果 最終目標年度成果 最終目標年度成果 最終目標2年間の活動で、2年間の活動で、2年間の活動で、2年間の活動で、顕著なコストダウン顕著なコストダウン顕著なコストダウン顕著なコストダウン効果が見えてきた効果が見えてきた効果が見えてきた効果が見えてきた 最終目標に向け最終目標に向け最終目標に向け最終目標に向けて、継続努力て、継続努力て、継続努力て、継続努力周辺機器全体コスト/円周辺機器全体コスト/円周辺機器全体コスト/円周辺機器全体コスト/円E
sti
mate
d c
ost
of
co
mp
on
en
ts u
nd
er
the p
roje
ct
(yen
)
Original estimate Pj result targetCost estimation estimated through the project
Others
Valves
Sensors
Blws/pmps
Cost reduction attained through Pj
Further efforts beyond Pj
Summary of NEDO BOP ProjectSummary of NEDO BOP ProjectSummary of NEDO BOP ProjectSummary of NEDO BOP Project
�Common specification and target were clearly defined to eight components.Common specification and target were clearly defined to eight components.Common specification and target were clearly defined to eight components.Common specification and target were clearly defined to eight components.�40 companies joined to NEDO BOP project for 5 years activity40 companies joined to NEDO BOP project for 5 years activity40 companies joined to NEDO BOP project for 5 years activity40 companies joined to NEDO BOP project for 5 years activity
Competitive
Collaborative
Project organization by 29 companies in Phase 18 components selected in the Pj
Government
System Makers
BOP Makers[Phase1]PumpsBlowersValvesSensors
[Phase2]PCSHEXWater Sys.
18
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Copyright © 2014 Toshiba Fuel Cell Power Systems Corporation. All rights reserved. 19
Discussion of technical approach for Discussion of technical approach for Discussion of technical approach for Discussion of technical approach for PEFC future businessPEFC future businessPEFC future businessPEFC future businessCost estimation through the discussion
Cost scope for full scale Cost scope for full scale Cost scope for full scale Cost scope for full scale commercial phasecommercial phasecommercial phasecommercial phaseHow can we promote our cost
reduction toward full scale
commercial phase of PEFC?
Cost Down Studies in FCCJ toward Real CommercializationCost Down Studies in FCCJ toward Real CommercializationCost Down Studies in FCCJ toward Real CommercializationCost Down Studies in FCCJ toward Real Commercialization
*FCCJ: Fuel Cell Commercialization Conference of Japan by around 100 companies
Prelim study working
Coordinator NEDO
Observer FCCJ FCCJ FCCJ FCCJ Ebara B
Sanyo
Toshiba FCP
Matsushita
FCCJ steering meeting of FCCJ steering meeting of FCCJ steering meeting of FCCJ steering meeting of stationary PEFCstationary PEFCstationary PEFCstationary PEFCFCCJFCCJFCCJFCCJLeader Toshiba FCPLeader Toshiba FCPLeader Toshiba FCPLeader Toshiba FCPCoordinator Coordinator Coordinator Coordinator FCCJ FCCJ FCCJ FCCJ Observer Observer Observer Observer NEDONEDONEDONEDOElementary SWGElementary SWGElementary SWGElementary SWGPanasonicPanasonicPanasonicPanasonicSystem SWGSystem SWGSystem SWGSystem SWGToshiba FCPToshiba FCPToshiba FCPToshiba FCP Systems teamSystems teamSystems teamSystems teamSanyoSanyoSanyoSanyoMMMM----BOP teamBOP teamBOP teamBOP teamMatsushitaMatsushitaMatsushitaMatsushitaFPS作業会FPS作業会FPS作業会FPS作業会Toshiba FCPToshiba FCPToshiba FCPToshiba FCPEEEE----BOP teamBOP teamBOP teamBOP teamEbara BEbara BEbara BEbara BStack teamStack teamStack teamStack teamSanyoSanyoSanyoSanyoFCCJFCCJFCCJFCCJ CR teamCR teamCR teamCR teamEbara B
Sanyo
Toshiba FCP
Aishin
Fuji AT
Matsushita
Proposal of Technical developmentProposal of Technical developmentProposal of Technical developmentProposal of Technical development Tokyo GasTokyo GasTokyo GasTokyo GasOsaka GasOsaka GasOsaka GasOsaka GasNippon OilNippon OilNippon OilNippon OilEbara BEbara BEbara BEbara BSanyoSanyoSanyoSanyoToshiba FCPToshiba FCPToshiba FCPToshiba FCPMatsushitaMatsushitaMatsushitaMatsushitaFCCJFCCJFCCJFCCJ expanded CR teamexpanded CR teamexpanded CR teamexpanded CR teamFCCJFCCJFCCJFCCJLeader Tokyo GasLeader Tokyo GasLeader Tokyo GasLeader Tokyo GasCoordinatorCoordinatorCoordinatorCoordinator FCCJ FCCJ FCCJ FCCJ Proposal of Proposal of Proposal of Proposal of product conceptproduct conceptproduct conceptproduct concept
�Preliminary discussion at
NEDO (Aug. 2006)
�Detail and specific
discussion by FCCJ team.
Started activities by 5
working group (Nov. 2006)
�Discussion of system
specification w/ energy
companies (May, 2007)
FCCJ Cost reduction Team for Full Scale CommercializationFCCJ Cost reduction Team for Full Scale CommercializationFCCJ Cost reduction Team for Full Scale CommercializationFCCJ Cost reduction Team for Full Scale Commercialization
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企業間連携での活動主体仕様・構成の検討等貯湯ユニットの低コスト化検討S1システム系 新規PJコンタミデータベース化→低コスト化代替材料使用材料の最適化・標準化M3
現行補機PJの延長線上ガス凝縮器、水-水熱交器熱交換器共用化開発M2
現行補機PJの延長線上LCCを踏まえた低コスト水処理装置・樹脂水処理装置開発M1機械系 現行補機PJの延長線上現状Qファスナーの更なる低コスト化本格量産における低コスト継手の開発M4 現行補機PJの延長線上MIPISに類したマルチ配管、それに応じた機器類機械系機器・配管のモジュール化研究M5
FCCJ系統連系検討会で検討基準・規格化、認証試験、系統連系環境整備普及環境面からの低コスト化検討E2
(継続議論中)低コスト化インバータ標準インバータ開発E1b
現行補機PJの延長線上低電圧-大電流インバータ(効率維持)インバータ系のモジュール・サブモジュールの共用化開発E1a電気系 新規PJあるいは補機PJの延長線上ATR方式等の高効率改質系本格量産に向けた低コスト化改質系開発F2
現行改質触媒開発PJのスコープ拡大メンテフリー脱硫剤、高活性シフト触媒、ATR改質触媒、耐酸化性向上、パ シー゙技術等改質系触媒開発F1改質系 (未定)低コスト化・高温運転対応炭化水素系膜の劣化メカニズム解析C5
(未定)例えばPt<1g/kW低白金MEAの高性能・高耐久性研究C4
新規PJシステム低コスト化コンタミデータベース化と高コンタミ耐性電池研究開発C3
現行ロバストPJのスコープ拡張温度80~90℃、無加湿~RH30%高温・低加湿対応スタックの開発C2
新規PJCO=2000ppm耐性高CO耐性PEFCの研究開発C1電池本体 国プロ化の要望目的・開発内容等開発テーマ案No.分野 企業間連携での活動主体仕様・構成の検討等貯湯ユニットの低コスト化検討S1システム系 新規PJコンタミデータベース化→低コスト化代替材料使用材料の最適化・標準化M3
現行補機PJの延長線上ガス凝縮器、水-水熱交器熱交換器共用化開発M2
現行補機PJの延長線上LCCを踏まえた低コスト水処理装置・樹脂水処理装置開発M1機械系 現行補機PJの延長線上現状Qファスナーの更なる低コスト化本格量産における低コスト継手の開発M4 現行補機PJの延長線上MIPISに類したマルチ配管、それに応じた機器類機械系機器・配管のモジュール化研究M5
FCCJ系統連系検討会で検討基準・規格化、認証試験、系統連系環境整備普及環境面からの低コスト化検討E2
(継続議論中)低コスト化インバータ標準インバータ開発E1b
現行補機PJの延長線上低電圧-大電流インバータ(効率維持)インバータ系のモジュール・サブモジュールの共用化開発E1a電気系 新規PJあるいは補機PJの延長線上ATR方式等の高効率改質系本格量産に向けた低コスト化改質系開発F2
現行改質触媒開発PJのスコープ拡大メンテフリー脱硫剤、高活性シフト触媒、ATR改質触媒、耐酸化性向上、パ シー゙技術等改質系触媒開発F1改質系 (未定)低コスト化・高温運転対応炭化水素系膜の劣化メカニズム解析C5
(未定)例えばPt<1g/kW低白金MEAの高性能・高耐久性研究C4
新規PJシステム低コスト化コンタミデータベース化と高コンタミ耐性電池研究開発C3
現行ロバストPJのスコープ拡張温度80~90℃、無加湿~RH30%高温・低加湿対応スタックの開発C2
新規PJCO=2000ppm耐性高CO耐性PEFCの研究開発C1電池本体 国プロ化の要望目的・開発内容等開発テーマ案No.分野Categorized 15 themes by 5 working groupsCategorized 15 themes by 5 working groupsCategorized 15 themes by 5 working groupsCategorized 15 themes by 5 working groups既存活動・研究テーマ 今後の研究テーマ(H19年度以降) 既存国プロの延長・拡大 新規国プロ 企業間連携で推進 C2:高温・低加湿対応スタックの開発
M1,2,4 ,5:水処理、熱交、継手、モジュール化開発F1:改質系触媒開発NEDO ロバストPj
NEDO 補機Pj
NEDO 改質系触媒Pj
E1:インバータ系モジュール共用、標準インハ ゙ータ開発E2:普及環境面からの低コスト化検討M3:仕様材料の最適化・標準化C3:コンタミデータベース化と高コンタミ耐性電池開発C1,4,5:高CO耐性、低白金、炭化水素膜など電池開発
F2:本格量産に向けた低コスト改質系開発S1:貯湯ユニット(排熱利用系)の低コスト化検討
FCCJ 系統連系検討会既存活動・研究テーマ 今後の研究テーマ(H19年度以降) 既存国プロの延長・拡大 新規国プロ 企業間連携で推進 C2:高温・低加湿対応スタックの開発M1,2,4 ,5:水処理、熱交、継手、モジュール化開発F1:改質系触媒開発NEDO ロバストPj
NEDO 補機Pj
NEDO 改質系触媒Pj
E1:インバータ系モジュール共用、標準インハ ゙ータ開発E2:普及環境面からの低コスト化検討M3:仕様材料の最適化・標準化C3:コンタミデータベース化と高コンタミ耐性電池開発C1,4,5:高CO耐性、低白金、炭化水素膜など電池開発
F2:本格量産に向けた低コスト改質系開発S1:貯湯ユニット(排熱利用系)の低コスト化検討
FCCJ 系統連系検討会
5.5.5.5.Theme selectionTheme selectionTheme selectionTheme selection��重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化重要テーマの具体化��研究目的研究目的研究目的研究目的研究目的研究目的研究目的研究目的��研究内容研究内容研究内容研究内容研究内容研究内容研究内容研究内容��国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性国プロ化の必要性��開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)開発体制(事業体制)��研究計画研究計画研究計画研究計画研究計画研究計画研究計画研究計画��予算予算予算予算予算予算予算予算
Possible theme selection
Preliminary themesPreliminary themesPreliminary themesPreliminary themesSpecify each theme •Purpose•Content•Necessity as NEDO Pj•Pj organization•Pj schedule•Budget
20
2.2.2.2.Cost analysisCost analysisCost analysisCost analysis253 222 207 122 99 79050100150200250300補機・システム排熱回収スタック燃料改質装置インバータ組立・試験システムシステムシステムシステム作業会作業会作業会作業会 電池本体電池本体電池本体電池本体作業会作業会作業会作業会改質系改質系改質系改質系作業会作業会作業会作業会MC作業会作業会作業会作業会EC作業会作業会作業会作業会 58%29% 14% MEAセパレータ機構部品等21% 8%43%12% 16% 触媒脱硫容器改質/変性/部分酸化器断熱材その他25.8%25.0%18.3%9.0%10.5% 11.5% DC/DCコンバータ部DC/ACインバータ部制御回路(CPU含む)その他部材(ハーネス等)組立費出荷検査費20.7% 8.8%8.4%5.0%16.0%2.7%38.5% ブロワ&ポンプセンサ類電磁弁類フィルタ等熱交&加湿器ハーネス類配管・フレームシステム予測システム予測システム予測システム予測98万円万円万円万円 ≒目標乖離 2 ≒目標乖離 2 ≒目標乖離 2 ≒目標乖離 2システム予測システム予測システム予測システム予測98万円万円万円万円 ≒目標乖離 2 ≒目標乖離 2 ≒目標乖離 2 ≒目標乖離 2 各サブシステムへの各サブシステムへの各サブシステムへの各サブシステムへのコスト分析の掘下げコスト分析の掘下げコスト分析の掘下げコスト分析の掘下げ各サブシステムへの各サブシステムへの各サブシステムへの各サブシステムへのコスト分析の掘下げコスト分析の掘下げコスト分析の掘下げコスト分析の掘下げサブシステムコストサブシステムコストサブシステムコストサブシステムコスト[千円千円千円千円]Cost analysis of each category
by team engineers
4.4.4.4.Rough estimation of CR effectRough estimation of CR effectRough estimation of CR effectRough estimation of CR effect69 19 15020406080100 触媒、GDLなど セル数減 電流25%下げる電池電池電池電池CD 103千円千円千円千円電池電池電池電池CD 103千円千円千円千円1 17 6 6 10 401020304050 NH3 低水素 高CO s/C 断熱材 SUS材料改質系改質系改質系改質系CD 43千円千円千円千円改質系改質系改質系改質系CD 43千円千円千円千円85 105 4 1020406080100120 インター フェース システム簡素化 温度ロバストFPS 安定燃焼システムシステムシステムシステムCD 195千円千円千円千円システムシステムシステムシステムCD 195千円千円千円千円14 10 13 701020304050 HEX 配管 材料 QFMC CD 42千円千円千円千円MC CD 42千円千円千円千円 -5 14 16-10010203040 15V化 仕様面 普及面EC CD 25千円千円千円千円EC CD 25千円千円千円千円978 57040802004006008001000 当初見込み CD可能性(1次)1次次次次CD検討検討検討検討⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後のCD可能可能可能可能性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象システムコストシステムコストシステムコストシステムコスト[千円千円千円千円] 978 57040802004006008001000 当初見込み CD可能性(1次)1次次次次CD検討検討検討検討⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後のCD可能可能可能可能性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象システムコストシステムコストシステムコストシステムコスト[千円千円千円千円] コスト[千円]コスト[千円] コスト[千円] コスト[千円]コスト[千円] 69 19 15020406080100 触媒、GDLなど セル数減 電流25%下げる電池電池電池電池CD 103千円千円千円千円電池電池電池電池CD 103千円千円千円千円69 19 15020406080100 触媒、GDLなど セル数減 電流25%下げる電池電池電池電池CD 103千円千円千円千円電池電池電池電池CD 103千円千円千円千円1 17 6 6 10 401020304050 NH3 低水素 高CO s/C 断熱材 SUS材料改質系改質系改質系改質系CD 43千円千円千円千円改質系改質系改質系改質系CD 43千円千円千円千円1 17 6 6 10 401020304050 NH3 低水素 高CO s/C 断熱材 SUS材料改質系改質系改質系改質系CD 43千円千円千円千円改質系改質系改質系改質系CD 43千円千円千円千円85 105 4 1020406080100120 インター フェース システム簡素化 温度ロバストFPS 安定燃焼システムシステムシステムシステムCD 195千円千円千円千円システムシステムシステムシステムCD 195千円千円千円千円85 105 4 1020406080100120 インター フェース システム簡素化 温度ロバストFPS 安定燃焼システムシステムシステムシステムCD 195千円千円千円千円システムシステムシステムシステムCD 195千円千円千円千円14 10 13 701020304050 HEX 配管 材料 QFMC CD 42千円千円千円千円MC CD 42千円千円千円千円14 10 13 701020304050 HEX 配管 材料 QFMC CD 42千円千円千円千円MC CD 42千円千円千円千円 -5 14 16-10010203040 15V化 仕様面 普及面EC CD 25千円千円千円千円EC CD 25千円千円千円千円-5 14 16-10010203040 15V化 仕様面 普及面EC CD 25千円千円千円千円EC CD 25千円千円千円千円978 57040802004006008001000 当初見込み CD可能性(1次)1次次次次CD検討検討検討検討⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後のCD可能可能可能可能性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象システムコストシステムコストシステムコストシステムコスト[千円千円千円千円] 978 57040802004006008001000 当初見込み CD可能性(1次)1次次次次CD検討検討検討検討⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後の⇒今後のCD可能可能可能可能性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象性の議論の対象システムコストシステムコストシステムコストシステムコスト[千円千円千円千円] コスト[千円]コスト[千円] コスト[千円] コスト[千円]コスト[千円]
Rough estimation of CR effect by each theme
Possible theme from component and system
3.3.3.3.Theme brain stormingTheme brain stormingTheme brain stormingTheme brain storming協調・連携協調・連携協調・連携協調・連携システムシステムシステムシステム作業会作業会作業会作業会 �インターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したCD案について、立案ととりまとめ案について、立案ととりまとめ案について、立案ととりまとめ案について、立案ととりまとめ�CD加速の為の仕様検討と効果予測加速の為の仕様検討と効果予測加速の為の仕様検討と効果予測加速の為の仕様検討と効果予測�熱利用形の機能分析、簡素化と熱利用形の機能分析、簡素化と熱利用形の機能分析、簡素化と熱利用形の機能分析、簡素化とCDの可能性検討の可能性検討の可能性検討の可能性検討サブシステムサブシステムサブシステムサブシステム
Bサブシステムサブシステムサブシステムサブシステム
A
サブシステムサブシステムサブシステムサブシステムA の要求機能に着目の要求機能に着目の要求機能に着目の要求機能に着目し、簡素化項目の抽出検討し、簡素化項目の抽出検討し、簡素化項目の抽出検討し、簡素化項目の抽出検討サブシステムサブシステムサブシステムサブシステムB
サブシステムサブシステムサブシステムサブシステムA
サブシステムサブシステムサブシステムサブシステムA の要求機能に着目の要求機能に着目の要求機能に着目の要求機能に着目し、簡素化項目の抽出検討し、簡素化項目の抽出検討し、簡素化項目の抽出検討し、簡素化項目の抽出検討�各分野の専門技術者各分野の専門技術者各分野の専門技術者各分野の専門技術者16人(人(人(人(4人/グループ)による人/グループ)による人/グループ)による人/グループ)によるCD技術施策の技術施策の技術施策の技術施策の立案立案立案立案�インターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したCD案の立案案の立案案の立案案の立案� CD効果額の概略予測効果額の概略予測効果額の概略予測効果額の概略予測�課題解決のための技術困難度の議論課題解決のための技術困難度の議論課題解決のための技術困難度の議論課題解決のための技術困難度の議論� CD効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性etc))))の2視点から、の2視点から、の2視点から、の2視点から、CD施策施策施策施策の重要性を定義の重要性を定義の重要性を定義の重要性を定義電池本体電池本体電池本体電池本体作業会作業会作業会作業会改質系改質系改質系改質系作業会作業会作業会作業会
MC作業会作業会作業会作業会EC作業会作業会作業会作業会 �各分野の専門技術者各分野の専門技術者各分野の専門技術者各分野の専門技術者16人(人(人(人(4人/グループ)による人/グループ)による人/グループ)による人/グループ)によるCD技術施策の技術施策の技術施策の技術施策の立案立案立案立案
�インターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したインターフェース機能に着目したCD案の立案案の立案案の立案案の立案� CD効果額の概略予測効果額の概略予測効果額の概略予測効果額の概略予測�課題解決のための技術困難度の議論課題解決のための技術困難度の議論課題解決のための技術困難度の議論課題解決のための技術困難度の議論� CD効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性効果×困難度(リスク・不透明性etc))))の2視点から、の2視点から、の2視点から、の2視点から、CD施策施策施策施策の重要性を定義の重要性を定義の重要性を定義の重要性を定義電池本体電池本体電池本体電池本体作業会作業会作業会作業会改質系改質系改質系改質系作業会作業会作業会作業会
MC作業会作業会作業会作業会EC作業会作業会作業会作業会電池本体電池本体電池本体電池本体作業会作業会作業会作業会改質系改質系改質系改質系作業会作業会作業会作業会MC作業会作業会作業会作業会EC作業会作業会作業会作業会
1. Recognition of cost gap1. Recognition of cost gap1. Recognition of cost gap1. Recognition of cost gap本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格 50万円万円万円万円 普及段階普及段階普及段階普及段階 ( ( ( (10万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)導入段階導入段階導入段階導入段階 ( ( ( (1万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格 120万円万円万円万円販売価格販売価格販売価格販売価格 現状現状現状現状 (数百台/年) (数百台/年) (数百台/年) (数百台/年) 00 .511 .522 .5 A社 B社 C社 D社乖離度合目標価格に対しての各社の目標価格に対しての各社の目標価格に対しての各社の目標価格に対しての各社の乖離は、乖離は、乖離は、乖離は、1.7~~~~2.1倍倍倍倍 見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均========9898万円万円万円万円万円万円万円万円約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコストダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要120万円@万円@万円@万円@10,000台台台台/年達成に向け活動年達成に向け活動年達成に向け活動年達成に向け活動本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)本格商用期に向けたコスト見込み(ゴールコストとの乖離)目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格 50万円万円万円万円 普及段階普及段階普及段階普及段階 ( ( ( (10万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)導入段階導入段階導入段階導入段階 ( ( ( (1万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)万台/年)目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格目標販売価格 120万円万円万円万円販売価格販売価格販売価格販売価格 現状現状現状現状 (数百台/年) (数百台/年) (数百台/年) (数百台/年) 00 .511 .522 .5 A社 B社 C社 D社乖離度合目標価格に対しての各社の目標価格に対しての各社の目標価格に対しての各社の目標価格に対しての各社の乖離は、乖離は、乖離は、乖離は、1.7~~~~2.1倍倍倍倍 見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均見込み平均========9898万円万円万円万円万円万円万円万円約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコスト約2倍のコストダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要ダウンが必要120万円@万円@万円@万円@10,000台台台台/年達成に向け活動年達成に向け活動年達成に向け活動年達成に向け活動CR gap recognized;500k-yen target vs. 900k-yen estimation
More than 30 engineers discussed future cost potential based on current More than 30 engineers discussed future cost potential based on current More than 30 engineers discussed future cost potential based on current More than 30 engineers discussed future cost potential based on current technology, and made up the specific theme for further cost reduction.technology, and made up the specific theme for further cost reduction.technology, and made up the specific theme for further cost reduction.technology, and made up the specific theme for further cost reduction.Process Flow of Team ActivitiesProcess Flow of Team ActivitiesProcess Flow of Team ActivitiesProcess Flow of Team Activities
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1. General Status of ENE-FARM Dissemination
2. Commercialization Activities in Toshiba
3. Governmental and Industrial Activities as Driving Force
for Successful Commercialization
4. Summary
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Business and Market Expansion toward the Future
HEMS、Smart grid with PV and Battery-20degC ambient
�Continuous improvement of ENE-FARM as core product
(cost, performance, reliability and durability and maintainability)�Offering and preparing wider application to expand the market
(HEMS, expanded GI option, fuel diversity, option for colder area)
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~ Thank you ~
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