collnet expected authorrate
TRANSCRIPT
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Multi-authorship and citation advantages:A mythical relationship
Bart Thijs1
Rodrigo Costas2
Wolfgang Glänzel1,3
1. ECOOM, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium2. Leiden University, Centre for Science and
Technology Studies (CWTS), Netherlands3. Institute for Research Policy Studies, Hungarian
Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Introduction
The study of the relation between collaboration among scientists and research output has a long tradition.
• Collaboration and production
– Price & Beaver, 1966
– Beaver & Rosen, 1979
– Braun et al. 2001
– Glänzel, 2002
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Introduction• Collaboration and Citations
– Glänzel & Schubert, 2001 and Glänzel, 2001
– Schmoch & Schubert, 2008
• Collaboration patterns in specific fields or institute
– Bordons et al., 1996
– Gomez et al., 1999
– Iribarren-Maestro et al., 2009
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
IntroductionIn this study we investigate the relation between collaboration and citation scores.
We introduce a methodology to normalize measurements of multi-authorship and international collaboration in order to be able to investigate the relation in absence of field specific effects. These normalized measures are applied on three different levels of aggregation: journals, countries and institutes.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Data
• SCIE,SSCI from Thomson-Reuters
• Publications from the annual updates 1998-2007
• Only citable document type: Article, Letter, Proceedings Paper or Review
• 3 year citation window is used
• Leuven-Budapest classification = Journal based field/discipline classification
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
First observations
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Multi
Single
Multi authored papers have more citations than single authored papers
The difference between multi and single papers remains constant over time.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
First observations
Same observations applies for countries. Papers with international collaboration have on average more citations than domestic papers.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Internat.
Domestic
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
First observations
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Countries
Authors
Average number of citations increases with growing number of authors/countries.
Kendall t
Countries 0.15
Authors 0.21
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Conclusions?Can we conclude based on these three graphs that more authors/countries leads to more citations?
More than … what?
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Role of fields • Research field plays a important role on the
behaviour of scientists.
• Different fields act like different communities or even like different cultures.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Authors
Countries
High rank correlation between authors and citations across 62 fields.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Central tendencyMore than ….?
…the average within the field.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Central tendency
The use of expected citation rates are very common in bibliometrics.
Analogue to these we can define an
• Expected Author Rate
• Expected Country Rate
More than ….?
…the average within the field.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
DefinitionsThe Expected Author Rate for a field (EARf) is the average number of authors over all papers that are in full or partially assigned to the field within one year. Papers with multiple field assignments are fractionated and only partially counted both in numerator and denominator.
The Expected Author Rate for a journal (EARj) is the average number of authors over all papers in a journal within one year.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
DefinitionsEAR and ECntrR provides us with reference standards for collaboration both for fields and for journals.
As with citations we can calculate a relative indicator that shows us whether a paper (or set of papers) has more or less authors than we might expect based on the reference standardNormalized Author Rate =
Observed Number of AuthorsExpected Author Rate
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
ResultsThe relation between collaboration and citation indicators will be investigated at three different levels of aggregation
• Journals
• Countries
• Institutes
Publications from 2005 to 2007
Al least 100 publications over three year period
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: JournalsKendall’s t Average Citations
Expected Citation Rate Field 0.35
Average Number of Authors 0.35
Expected Authors Rate Field 0.28
Average Number of Countries 0.30
Expected Country Rate Field 0.15
Normalized Citation Rate Field 0.60
Normalized Author Rate Field 0.22
Normalized Country Rate Field 0.25
The average number of citations within journals has a significant positive rank correlation with all 8 other indicators. The highest correlation can be found with the Normalized Citation Rate for the field
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: Journals, field normalizedKendall’s t Normalized citation rate
Expected Citation Rate Field -0.05**
Average Number of Authors 0.12
Expected Authors Rate Field -0.05**
Average Number of Countries 0.35
Expected Country Rate Field 0.04**
Normalized Author Rate Field 0.27
Normalized Country Rate Field 0.38
The average number of citations within journals has a significant positive rank correlation with 4 other indicators. All Expected Rates do not rank correlate. The underlined correlations are even higher than in the previous analysis.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: Journals, field normalized
Stepwise regression Step Status Coeff P-value
Average Number of Authors Out -0.016 0.07
Average Number of Countries 3 In 0.35 0.0004
Normalized Author Rate Field 2 In 0.30 0.0000
Normalized Country Rate Field 1 in 1.07 0.0000
In a stepwise regression, the average number of authors is not entered in the model. The relation between the normalized rates holds. Also the average number of countries involved in papers explains additional variance in the regression model. We can conclude that journals that have papers with more authors/countries than we might expect based on their field also have more citations than we expect.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: CountriesKendall’s t Average Citations
Expected Citation Rate Journal 0.78
Expected Citation Rate Field 0.60
Relative Citation Rate (RCR) 0.56
Mean Normalized Citation Rate (NMCR) 0.71
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 0.54
Average Number of Authors 0.43
Expected Authors Rate Journal 0.56
Expected Authors Rate Field 0.51
Normalized Author Rate Journal 0.21
Normalized Author Rate Field 0.29
Average Number of Countries 0.15
Expected Country Rate Journal 0.17
Expected Country Rate Field 0.07
Normalized Country Rate Journal 0.12
Normalized Country Rate Field 0.14
The average number of citations in countries shows significant rank correlations with all 15 available indicators. Those indicators related to citations show the highest correlations.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: CountriesKendall’s t Average Citations RCR NMCR
Expected Citation Rate Journal 0.78 0.35 0.56
Expected Citation Rate Field 0.60 0.28 0.31
Relative Citation Rate (RCR) 0.56 1.00 0.64
Normalized Mean Citation Rate (NMCR) 0.71 0.64 1.00
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 0.54 0.30 0.66
Average Number of Authors 0.43 0.30 0.34
Expected Authors Rate Journal 0.56 0.33 0.38
Expected Authors Rate Field 0.51 0.30 0.28
Normalized Author Rate Journal 0.21 0.21 0.21
Normalized Author Rate Field 0.29 0.25 0.30
Average Number of Countries 0.15 0.13 0.17
Expected Country Rate Journal 0.17 0.06 0.22
Expected Country Rate Field 0.07 -0.05 0.09
Normalized Country Rate Journal 0.12 0.14 0.12
Normalized Country Rate Field 0.14 0.15 0.16
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: Countries – Stepwise RegressionStepwise regression - RCR Step Status Coeff P-value
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 1 In 0.5248 0
Average Number of Authors Out 0.7462
Expected Authors Rate Journal Out 0.6761
Expected Authors Rate Field Out 0.2481
Normalized Author Rate Journal Out 0.5329
Normalized Author Rate Field Out 0.7998
Average Number of Countries Out 0.9034
Expected Country Rate Journal Out 0.5138
Expected Country Rate Field 2 In 1.0536 8.60E-03
Normalized Country Rate Journal Out 0.9003
Normalized Country Rate Field Out 0.9324
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: Countries – Stepwise Regression
Stepwise regression - NMCR Step Status Coeff P-value
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 1 In 1.4958 0
In the stepwise regression, the ratio between the two expected citation rates takes a prominent role.
For countries it is safe to conclude that those who score high on normalized citation indicators also tend to publish more in journals that have higher expected citations rates than the field in which they are active.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: InstitutesKendall’s t Average Citations
Expected Citation Rate Journal 0.78
Expected Citation Rate Field 0.40
Relative Citation Rate (RCR) 0.65
Mean Normalized Citation Rate (NMCR) 0.90
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 0.75
Average Number of Authors 0.40
Expected Authors Rate Journal 0.47
Expected Authors Rate Field 0.23
Normalized Author Rate Journal 0.32
Normalized Author Rate Field 0.38
Average Number of Countries 0.26
Expected Country Rate Journal 0.40
Expected Country Rate Field 0.17
Normalized Country Rate Journal 0.23
Normalized Country Rate Field 0.26
The average number of citations in institutes shows significant rank correlations with all 15 available indicators. Those indicators related to citations show the highest correlations.
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: InstitutesKendall’s t Average Citations RCR NMCR
Expected Citation Rate Journal 0.78 0.35 0.56
Expected Citation Rate Field 0.40 0.28 0.31
Relative Citation Rate (RCR) 0.65 1.00 0.64
Mean Normalized Citation Rate (NMCR) 0.90 0.64 1.00
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 0.75 0.30 0.66
Average Number of Authors 0.40 0.30 0.34
Expected Authors Rate Journal 0.47 0.33 0.38
Expected Authors Rate Field 0.23 0.30 0.28
Normalized Author Rate Journal 0.32 0.21 0.21
Normalized Author Rate Field 0.38 0.25 0.30
Average Number of Countries 0.26 0.13 0.17
Expected Country Rate Journal 0.40 0.06 0.22
Expected Country Rate Field 0.17 -0.05 0.09
Normalized Country Rate Journal 0.23 0.14 0.12
Normalized Country Rate Field 0.26 0.15 0.16
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: Institutes – Stepwise RegressionStepwise regression / RCR Step Status Coeff P-value
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 2 In 0.3038 0
Average Number of Authors Out 0.9712
Expected Authors Rate Journal Out 0.3423
Expected Authors Rate Field 1 In 0.1302 0
Normalized Author Rate Journal Out 0.5179
Normalized Author Rate Field 5 In -0.0176 0
Average Number of Countries Out 0.0282
Expected Country Rate Journal Out 0.0375
Expected Country Rate Field 3 In -0.4312 0
Normalized Country Rate Journal 4 In 0.2217 0
Normalized Country Rate Field Out 0.023
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Results: Institutes – Stepwise RegressionStepwise regression / NMCR Step Status Coeff P-value
ECRj/ECRf = NMCR/RCR 1 In 1.5473 0
Average Number of Authors Out 0.3353
Expected Authors Rate Journal Out 0.3723
Expected Authors Rate Field 2 In 0.1326 0
Normalized Author Rate Journal Out 0.7983
Normalized Author Rate Field 4 In -0.0204 0
Average Number of Countries Out 0.7056
Expected Country Rate Journal 5 In -0.3697 0
Expected Country Rate Field Out 0.1624
Normalized Country Rate Journal 3 In 0.2764 0
Normalized Country Rate Field Out 0.4558
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Conclusions
The introduction of normalized collaboration measures for both multi-authorship and international collaboration helps us in understanding the relation between collaboration and citation scores by enhancing comparability among fields
We observed strong correlations between averages of authors and citations but when we take the normalization into account the correlation does not hold at all levels of aggregation
COLLNET 2011, September 20-23, Istanbul, Turkey
Conclusions
Countries: Only a correlation between normalized citation scores and journal strategy is observed.
Journals: By applying a field normalization all correlations with field expected collaboration scores dissapear. However, the correlation with normalized collaboration scores remains.
Institutes: Here we see a more scattered image.