college football 11/13/2009 5:00pm 115west virginia+300+10 (-110) ov 56 (-110) 116cincinnati-360-10...

College Football

11/13/2009 5:00pm

115 West Virginia +300 +10(-110)

Ov 56(-110)

116 Cincinnati -360 -10(-110)

Un 56(-110)

Please come and make a bet on the game listed above. Whether you have any sports betting experience or not, just try to make one bet. It’s all for fun, so give it a shot!

The Probabilities of Basic Sports Wagering

Ronald W. YatesPatrick L. Villa

College of Southern Nevada

52.380952381 %

What is aSquare?

Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football

West Virginia 0 14:12

Cincinnati 0 1st Quarter

National Football League – Week 10

11/15/2009 5:20pm

239 New England Patriots +120 +3(-120)

Ov 50(-110)

240 Indianapolis Colts -140 -3(100)

Un 50(-110)

Pro Basketball

11/13/2009 7:05pm

713 Houston Rockets -180 -4 1/2(-110)

Ov 207 ½ (-110)

714 Sacramento Kings +160 +4 1/2(-110)

Un 207 ½ (-110)


West Virginia 0 End


Money Line BetsLine Wager To Win

-120$120 $100

$12 $10

-180 $18 $10

-700 $70 $10

100 $10 $10

+140 $10 $14

+185 $10 $18.50

+600 $10 $60



Cincinnati 7 2nd Quarter

Pro Football – Week 10

11/15/2009 5:20pm

239 New England Patriots +120 +3(-120)

Ov 50(-110)

240 Indianapolis Colts -140 -3(100)

Un 50(-110)



Cincinnati 14 2nd Quarter


West Virginia 7 Half

Cincinnati 21 Time

National Hockey League

11/13/2009 4:35pm

59 Los Angeles Kings -185 -1 1/2 (+115)

Ov 6 (-120)

60 Atlanta Thrashers +165 +1 1/2 (-105)

Un 6 (Even)

Major League Baseball

11/4/2009 5:20pm

401 Philadelphia Phillies +160 +1 1/2 (+110)

Ov 9 (-105)

402 New York Yankees -180 -1 1/2 (-120)

Un 9(-105)



Cincinnati 21 3rd Quarter

BoxingWelterweight Bout

11/14/2009 8:00pm

2003 Miguel Angel Cotto +220

2004 Manny Pacquiao -300

2007 Will Go 9 Full Rounds +110

2008 Will Not Go 9 Full Rounds -130

2251 Cotto By Decision 4/1

2252 Cotto By KO 5/2

2253 Pacquiao By Decision 2/1

2254 Pacquiao By KO 5/8

2255 12 Round Draw 20/1

Parlay Bets

Off the Board (Current lines) Parlay Payouts (-110)

# Teams Payout

2 13/5

3 6/1

4 11/1

5 22/1

6 44/1

7 88/1

8 175/1


West Virginia 10 End


Expected Values of Parlay Bets

With n bets in a parlay, the probability of winning is (1/2)n, and the table is based upon a standard $10 wager.

ParlayType

Probability of Winning

Expected Value Formula

Expected Value

2 Team (1/2)2 = 1/4 (1/4)(+$26) + (3/4)(-$10)

-$1

3 Team (1/2)3 = 1/8 (1/8)(+$60) + (7/8)(-$10)

-$1.25

4 Team (1/2)4 = 1/16 (1/16)(+$110) + (15/16)(-$10)

-$2.50



Cincinnati 28 4th Quarter

Off the Board (Current lines) Parlay Expected Values

# Teams True Odds Payout Gain from aWinning $10 bet

Expected Return

($10 bet)

2 1/4 13/5 $26 $9.00

3 1/8 6/1 $60 $8.75

4 1/16 11/1 $110 $7.50

5 1/32 22/1 $220 $7.19

6 1/64 44/1 $440 $7.03

7 1/128 88/1 $880 $6.95

8 1/256 175/1 $1,750 $6.88

Payouts for Money Line Parlays (Lines are something other than -110)

The money line of each proposition is substituted into [(win amount/ bet amount) + 1], and the resulting terms are then multiplied together.Example: a 3-team parlay of the following propositions.

Bet #1 Bet #2 Bet #3 Result

Line -125 (SD) +220 (Buf) -180 (Den)

[(100/125) + 1] * [(220/100) + 1] * [(100/180) + 1]

1.8 * 3.2 * 1.5556 = 8.96

$30 bet Pays $30*8.96 = $268.80

Parlay Cards

The Language of Sports BettingSquare Action Bad Beats

Handicapping Added GameHedging a Parlay

Buck Circled Game Hook

Dollar Straight Up Units

Dime Middle Move the Line

Chalk ATS Opening Line

JuiceHalftime Wagers

Outlaw Line

Prop Bets First Half Bet Run/ Puck Line


West Virginia 17 Final

Cincinnati 35

Post Time

Expected Value of a Straight Bet:(1/2)(+$10) + (1/2)(-$11) = - $0.50

In order to break even, must win 11 out of every 21 bets

(11/21)(+$10) + (10/21)(-$11) = $ 0Winning 11 out of every 21 bets = 52.38… %

Makes winning sound easy… doesn’t it?

Experimental Probability15 Picks per week over the course of 7 Seasons

7 SeasonsPlayer A Player B Player C Player D Pooled

Wins 952 899 770 924 3545

Loses 872 854 741 880 3347

Ties 40 45 38 33 156

Winning % 51.47% 51.28% 50.96% 51.22% 51.44%

Experimental Probability15 Picks per week over the course of 7 Seasons

7 SeasonsPlayer A Player B Player C Player D Pooled

Wins 952 899 770 924 3545

Loses 872 854 741 880 3347

Ties 40 45 38 33 156

Winning % 51.47% 51.28% 50.96% 51.22% 51.44%

If everyone had wagered $11 per game…

Net: -$72 -$404 -$451 -$440 -$1,367

Round Robin Parlays

Let's say you have 4 bets that you like, call them A, B, C, and D, and you want to bet every possible parlay with these 4 bets.

Using combinations, we can find that this includes a total of 11 bets:

Parlays Combinations Different Bets

2 Team 4C2 AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD 6

3 Team 4C3 ABC, ABD, ACD, BCD 4

4 Team 4C4 ABCD 1

Betting ParlaysLet's say you do extremely well, and pick the winner in 4 out of

7 games (which is a 57% success rate). We will call the bets A, B, C, D, 1, 2, and 3, with the letters

being winners and the numbers being losers.Using a $10 wager:

Round Robin Parlays

Number of Bets

Winners ExpectedValue Formula

2 Team 7C2 = 21 Bets

AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD

(6/21)(+$26) + (15/21)(-$10)

+$0.29


ABC, ABD, ACD, BCD

(4/35)(+$60) + (31/35)(-$10)

-$2.00


ABCD is the only winner

(1/35)(+$100) + (34/35)(-$10)

-$6.86

Pro Football – Week 10 (1st Half)

11/15/2009 5:20pm

1239 New England Patriots +1 1/2(-110)

Ov 25(-110)

1240 Indianapolis Colts -1 1/2(-110)

Un 25(-110)

Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games

Jacksonville 0 14:31

New York Jets 0 1st

Denver 0 15:00

Washington 0 1st

Cincinnati 0 15:00

Pittsburgh 0 1st

Detroit 0 14:29

Minnesota 0 1st

Atlanta 0 14:01

Carolina 0 1st

Tampa Bay 0 13:29

Miami 0 1st

New Orleans 0 15:00

St. Louis 0 1st

Buffalo 0 14:42

Tennessee 7 1st



New York Jets 3 1st

Denver 0 9:31

Washington 7 1st

Cincinnati 7 12:47

Pittsburgh 0 1st

Detroit 3 11:16

Minnesota 0 1st

Atlanta 0 8:57

Carolina 7 1st

Tampa Bay 0 8:24

Miami 0 1st

New Orleans 3 13:02

St. Louis 0 1st

Buffalo 0 11:05

Tennessee 14 1st


Jacksonville 0 4:17

New York Jets 3 1st

Denver 3 5:34

Washington 7 1st

Cincinnati 7 6:01

Pittsburgh 7 1st

Detroit 3 5:25

Minnesota 0 1st

Atlanta 0 2:31

Carolina 7 1st

Tampa Bay 0 4:01

Miami 0 1st

New Orleans 10 7:48

St. Louis 0 1st

Buffalo 0 2:57

Tennessee 14 1st



New York Jets 10 2nd

Denver 3 0:52

Washington 7 1st

Cincinnati 7 1:28

Pittsburgh 7 1st

Detroit 3 2:29

Minnesota 7 1st

Atlanta 3 13:08

Carolina 7 2nd

Tampa Bay 0 0:09

Miami 7 1st

New Orleans 13 3:22

St. Louis 0 1st

Buffalo 0 13:42

Tennessee 14 2nd


Jacksonville 7 8:21


Denver 3 11:44

Washington 7 2nd

Cincinnati 7 13:10

Pittsburgh 14 2nd

Detroit 3 14:31

Minnesota 14 2nd

Atlanta 10 9:30

Carolina 7 2nd

Tampa Bay 0 11:57

Miami 14 2nd

New Orleans 20 14:30

St. Louis 0 2nd

Buffalo 0 9:18

Tennessee 14 2nd


Jacksonville 7 3:43


Denver 3 5:21

Washington 7 2nd

Cincinnati 7 7:52

Pittsburgh 14 2nd

Detroit 3 7:07

Minnesota 21 2nd

Atlanta 17 5:52

Carolina 7 2nd

Tampa Bay 0 6:24

Miami 21 2nd


St. Louis 0 2nd

Buffalo 0 3:52

Tennessee 14 2nd


Jacksonville 7 2:00


Denver 3 2:46

Washington 7 2nd

Cincinnati 7 3:39

Pittsburgh 14 2nd

Detroit 3 3:56

Minnesota 21 2nd

Atlanta 17 1:57

Carolina 7 2nd

Tampa Bay 0 3:09

Miami 21 2nd

New Orleans 27 7:44

St. Louis 3 2nd

Buffalo 0

Tennessee 17 Half


Jacksonville 10

New York Jets 10 Half

Denver 6 1:03

Washington 7 2nd

Cincinnati 7 1:53

Pittsburgh 14 2nd

Detroit 3 0:52

Minnesota 24 2nd

Atlanta 17

Carolina 14 Half

Tampa Bay 7 0:14

Miami 21 2nd

New Orleans 27 4:01

St. Louis 3 2nd

Buffalo 0

Tennessee 17 Half


Jacksonville 10

New York Jets 10 Half

Denver 6

Washington 7 Half

Cincinnati 7

Pittsburgh 17 Half

Detroit 3

Minnesota 24 Half

Atlanta 17

Carolina 14 Half

Tampa Bay 7

Miami 21 Half

New Orleans 34 1:57

St. Louis 3 2nd

Buffalo 3 13:24

Tennessee 17 3rd



New York Jets 10 3rd

Denver 6

Washington 7 Half

Cincinnati 7

Pittsburgh 17 Half

Detroit 3

Minnesota 24 Half

Atlanta 24 12:39

Carolina 14 3rd

Tampa Bay 7

Miami 21 Half

New Orleans 34

St. Louis 3 Half

Buffalo 3 8:34

Tennessee 24 3rd




Denver 9 11:21

Washington 7 3rd

Cincinnati 14 13:25

Pittsburgh 17 3rd

Detroit 3 12:45

Minnesota 31 3rd

Atlanta 24 7:02

Carolina 17 3rd

Tampa Bay 7 14:09

Miami 21 3rd

New Orleans 34

St. Louis 3 Half

Buffalo 6 3:29

Tennessee 24 3rd




Denver 16 6:59

Washington 7 3rd

Cincinnati 14 7:44

Pittsburgh 24 3rd

Detroit 10 7:04

Minnesota 31 3rd

Atlanta 24 3:41

Carolina 24 3rd

Tampa Bay 7 8:22

Miami 21 3rd


St. Louis 3 3rd

Buffalo 6 14:39

Tennessee 24 4th



New York Jets 13 4th

Denver 16 1:41

Washington 10 3rd

Cincinnati 14 0:39

Pittsburgh 24 3rd

Detroit 10 2:39

Minnesota 38 3rd

Atlanta 31 14:47

Carolina 24 4th

Tampa Bay 7 2:08

Miami 21 3rd

New Orleans 41 6:59

St. Louis 6 3rd

Buffalo 13 9:01

Tennessee 24 4th




Denver 16 12:04

Washington 10 4th

Cincinnati 21 11:30

Pittsburgh 24 4th

Detroit 10 12:11

Minnesota 38 4th

Atlanta 31 9:22

Carolina 24 4th

Tampa Bay 7 13:29

Miami 21 4th

New Orleans 44 1:20

St. Louis 6 3rd

Buffalo 13 2:00

Tennessee 31 4th




Denver 16 6:29

Washington 10 4th

Cincinnati 21 4:52

Pittsburgh 27 4th

Detroit 10 4:20

Minnesota 45 4th

Atlanta 34 3:01

Carolina 24 4th

Tampa Bay 14 5:56

Miami 21 4th


St. Louis 6 4th

Buffalo 13

Tennessee 31 F


Jacksonville 24

New York Jets 13 F

Denver 16 2:00

Washington 10 4th

Cincinnati 21 0:29

Pittsburgh 27 4th

Detroit 10

Minnesota 45 F

Atlanta 34

Carolina 24 F

Tampa Bay 21 End

Miami 21 4th

New Orleans 58 4:19

St. Louis 6 4th

Buffalo 13

Tennessee 31 F


Jacksonville 24

New York Jets 13 F

Denver 16

Washington 17 F

Cincinnati 21

Pittsburgh 27 F

Detroit 10

Minnesota 45 F

Atlanta 34

Carolina 24 F

Tampa Bay 21 13:02

Miami 21 OT

New Orleans 58 0:48

St. Louis 13 4th

Buffalo 13

Tennessee 31 F


Jacksonville 24

New York Jets 13 F

Denver 16

Washington 17 F

Cincinnati 21

Pittsburgh 27 F

Detroit 10

Minnesota 45 F

Atlanta 34

Carolina 24 F

Tampa Bay 21

Miami 24 F/OT

New Orleans 58

St. Louis 13 F

Buffalo 13

Tennessee 31 F

Pro Football – Week 10 (2nd Half)

11/15/2009 5:20pm

2239 New England Patriots +1(-110)

Ov 27(-110)

2240 Indianapolis Colts -1(-110)

Un 27(-110)

Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games

Kansas City 0 14:31

Oakland 0 1st

Seattle 0 15:00

Arizona 0 1st

Philadelphia 0 15:00

San Diego 0 1st

Dallas 0 14:42

Green Bay 7 1st


Kansas City 0 6:29

Oakland 7 1st

Seattle 0 9:22

Arizona 3 1st


San Diego 0 1st

Dallas 3 7:28

Green Bay 7 1st


Kansas City 0 14:30

Oakland 14 2nd

Seattle 7 4:33

Arizona 3 1st

Philadelphia 0 3:51

San Diego 7 1st

Dallas 3 1:50

Green Bay 7 1st


Kansas City 7 7:41

Oakland 14 2nd

Seattle 7 13:59

Arizona 6 2nd


San Diego 7 2nd

Dallas 10 12:45

Green Bay 7 2nd


Kansas City 7 2:00

Oakland 14 2nd

Seattle 7 9:40

Arizona 9 2nd

Philadelphia 0 8:49

San Diego 7 2nd

Dallas 10 6:20

Green Bay 7 2nd


Kansas City 7

Oakland 14 Half

Seattle 14 3:21

Arizona 9 2nd

Philadelphia 0 3:08

San Diego 7 2nd

Dallas 10 1:59

Green Bay 7 2nd


Kansas City 7

Oakland 14 Half

Seattle 14 1:01

Arizona 9 2nd

Philadelphia 0 0:39

San Diego 10 2nd

Dallas 17

Green Bay 7 Half


Kansas City 7 12:04

Oakland 14 3rd

Seattle 14

Arizona 16 Half

Philadelphia 0

San Diego 10 Half

Dallas 17

Green Bay 7 Half


Kansas City 14 5:23

Oakland 14 3rd

Seattle 14

Arizona 16 Half

Philadelphia 0

San Diego 10 Half

Dallas 24 14:02

Green Bay 7 3rd


Kansas City 14 0:53

Oakland 17 3rd

Seattle 14 12:19

Arizona 23 3rd


San Diego 10 3rd

Dallas 24 9:28

Green Bay 10 3rd


Kansas City 21 13:19

Oakland 17 4th

Seattle 21 5:52

Arizona 23 3rd

Philadelphia 0 5:21

San Diego 17 3rd

Dallas 31 4:09

Green Bay 10 3rd


Kansas City 21 7:40

Oakland 20 4th

Seattle 21 0:24

Arizona 26 3rd


San Diego 17 4th

Dallas 34 End

Green Bay 10 3rd


Kansas City 21 3:12

Oakland 27 4th

Seattle 28 13:58

Arizona 26 4th


San Diego 17 4th

Dallas 34 10:27

Green Bay 17 4th


Kansas City 21 1:20

Oakland 27 4th

Seattle 28 7:02

Arizona 26 4th

Philadelphia 7 6:20

San Diego 24 4th

Dallas 37 4:10

Green Bay 17 4th


Kansas City 21

Oakland 27 F

Seattle 28 2:00

Arizona 26 4th

Philadelphia 7 1:56

San Diego 31 4th

Dallas 37 0:18

Green Bay 17 4th


Kansas City 21

Oakland 27 F

Seattle 28 0:28

Arizona 26 4th

Philadelphia 7

San Diego 31 F

Dallas 37

Green Bay 17 F


Kansas City 21

Oakland 27 F

Seattle 28

Arizona 26 F

Philadelphia 7

San Diego 31 F

Dallas 37

Green Bay 17 F

NFL Games – Final Scores

Jacksonville 24

New York Jets 13 F

Denver 16

Washington 17 F

Cincinnati 21

Pittsburgh 27 F

Detroit 10

Minnesota 45 F

Atlanta 34

Carolina 24 F

Tampa Bay 21

Miami 24 F / OT

New Orleans 58

St. Louis 13 F

Buffalo 13

Tennessee 31 F

Kansas City 21

Oakland 27 F

Philadelphia 7

San Diego 31 F

Seattle 28

Arizona 26 F

Dallas 37

Green Bay 17 F

college football 11/13/2009 5:00pm 115west virginia+300+10 (-110) ov 56 (-110) 116cincinnati-360-10...

Documents

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