col jeff “push” donnithorne - afitc 2018 · col jeff “push” donnithorne air university....
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Col Jeff “Push” DonnithorneAIR UNIVERSITY
Blue Horizons:Technology, Strategy, and the FutureAir Force Information Technology Conference
August 28, 2017
Col Jeff “Push” DonnithorneAir University
“THE FUTURE IS ALREADY HERE.
IT’S JUST NOT EVENLY DISTRIBUTED.”‐‐WILLIAM GIBSON
[video clip of arriving train]
THE GREAT MIGRATION
THE GREAT CONVERGENCE
“PERIODS OF SPECIATION AREN’T PRETTY.”‐‐JOI ITO, MIT MEDIA LAB
NEXT INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
Blockchain+
Artificial Intelligence
RoboticsInternet of Everything
3D/4D Printing
Modified Reality
Synthetic Bio
NEW REALITY OF CONFLICT
Counter‐intervention High‐Low‐Bio Threats
Contested Space/Cyber Vulnerable Flows Ubiquitous Sensing
Unsustainable Acquisition‐Budgetary Foundation
WARPEACE
HIGH‐YIELD INVESTMENTS
Connection Code Culture
INVESTMENT #1: CONNECTION
“High‐velocity networks are a new geography.” – Joshua Cooper Ramo
IF IT WON’T CONNECT, IT’S BROKEN
PEOPLE INFORMATION LEVERAGE
INVESTMENT #2: CODE
“This is not a race against the machines. If we race against them, we lose. This is a race with the machines.”
‐‐ Kevin Kelly
CODE
AlphaGo vs Lee SedolMarch 8‐15, 2016
“It’s not a human move. I’ve never seen a human play this move. So beautiful.” – Fan Hui, European Go champion
#2) CODE: EVOLVING THE AIRMAN‐MACHINE OPERATING SYSTEM
HUMAN‐MACHINE CAPITAL
DEFAULT RULESETSAIRMAN WATSON
&
INVESTMENT #3: CULTURE
#3) CULTURE: READY FOR JAZZ
STRUCTURE RISKSECURITY
WHO ARE WE?
Purposefully unorthodox
Asymmetric…off‐axis…over not through…what if?
INHERIT THE FUTURE
“In the twenty‐first century, knowing all the answers won’t distinguish someone’s intelligence—rather, the ability to ask all the right questions will be the mark of true genius.”
‐‐ John E. Kelly III
DISCUSSION