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www.coalimp.org.uk Coal Usage in the UK Future UK Coal & CCS Options Workshop University of Edinburgh 7 th February 2013

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www.coalimp.org.uk

Coal Usage in the UK

Future UK Coal & CCS Options Workshop

University of Edinburgh

7th February 2013

Coal Usage in the UK

Introduction

UK Coal Use

Sources of Coal

Transport Routes

Coal Price Breakdown

World Projections and Reserves

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 2

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

Mill

ion

To

nn

es

Oil

Equ

ival

en

t

Oil Coal Gas Nuclear Hydro Other Renewables

Coal – World’s Fastest Growing Energy Source

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 3

World Primary

Energy Consumption

Source: BP Statistical Review 2012

World Coal Trade Patterns 2011

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 4

Source: Verein der Kohlen Importeure

UK Coal Flow Chart 2011

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 5

Source: DECC – Digest of UK Energy Statistics 2012

Million Tonnes

UK 17.221

29%

Russia 17.289

29%

Colombia 10.963

18%

USA 9.986 17%

Australia 2.677

4%

South Africa 0.790

1%

EU 0.658

1%

Others 0.478

1%

UK Coal Supply Oct 2011 to Sept 2012

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 6

Source – DECC

Port Infrastructure (2006 Imports 50 Mt)

7

Immingham

Leith

NB Arrows to Scale Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 8

Source – Network Rail

Rail

Infrastructure

Coal Prices Delivered to North West Europe

0

50

100

150

200

250

$/t

on

ne

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 Slide 9

Source: MCIS

Typical UK Aire Valley Delivered Price Build-Up

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

$/Tonne

UK Rail Freight

Port Handling

UK Sea Freight Mark-Up

Sea Freight (Cape)

Colombia FOB

December 2012 Example Prices

Source: MCIS/Coal UK

World Coal Demand to Reach Oil by 2017

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 11

Source: IEA Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2013

IEA – World Coal Demand 2010 – 2035

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 12

EU

India

China

Others

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

20102020

2035

401 356

209

404 631 939

2,289

2,813 2,810

1,869 2,031 2,069

Mill

ion

To

nn

es

Co

al E

qu

ival

en

t

IEA New Policies Scenario

Source – IEA WEO2 012

DECC Projection of Generation by Fuel

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 13

Source – DECC Updated Energy and Emissions Projections 2012

World Gas Reserves & Resources (End-2011)

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 14 Source – BGR 2012

World Coal Reserves & Resources (End-2011)

Future Coal Workshop 07-02-13 15

Source – BGR 2012