CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ENERGY POLICYENERGY POLICY

TRAVEL DEMAND TRAVEL DEMAND COORDINATING COMMITTEECOORDINATING COMMITTEE

FEBRUARY 7, 2008FEBRUARY 7, 2008

GHG REDUCTION GOALSGHG REDUCTION GOALS

►Passed by 2007 LegislaturePassed by 2007 Legislature►Statewide GHG Reduction from 2005 Statewide GHG Reduction from 2005

LevelsLevels 15% by 201515% by 2015 30% by 202530% by 2025 80% by 205080% by 2050 MnCCAG Does Not Address 2050MnCCAG Does Not Address 2050 Must be Solved by Technology AdvancesMust be Solved by Technology Advances

POLICY REPORTS DUEPOLICY REPORTS DUEFebruary 2008February 2008

►Mn Climate Change Advisory Group Mn Climate Change Advisory Group (MnCCAG) Final Meeting 1/24/08(MnCCAG) Final Meeting 1/24/08

►U of M CTS Transportation Greenhouse U of M CTS Transportation Greenhouse Gas Reduction Study – Draft February 08Gas Reduction Study – Draft February 08

►Governors Report to Legislature Governors Report to Legislature Submitted 2/1/08Submitted 2/1/08 Based upon MnCCAG processBased upon MnCCAG process Not the MnCCAG Final ReportNot the MnCCAG Final Report

MN Climate Change Advisory MN Climate Change Advisory Group (MnCCAG)Group (MnCCAG)

►Technical Work GroupsTechnical Work Groups Residential, Commercial & Industrial (RCI)Residential, Commercial & Industrial (RCI) Energy Supply (ES)Energy Supply (ES) Transportation & Land Use (TLU)Transportation & Land Use (TLU) Agriculture, Forestry & Waste (AFW)Agriculture, Forestry & Waste (AFW) Cross Cutting Issues (CC)Cross Cutting Issues (CC) Cap & TradeCap & Trade

► Priority Policy options - MnCCAG Voting Priority Policy options - MnCCAG Voting

TRANSPORTATION & LAND USETRANSPORTATION & LAND USEArea 1 Reduce VMTArea 1 Reduce VMT

► TLU-1 Improved Land Use & DevelopmentTLU-1 Improved Land Use & Development► TLU-2 Expand Transit InfrastructureTLU-2 Expand Transit Infrastructure► TLU-5 Climate Friendly PricingTLU-5 Climate Friendly Pricing► TLU-7 Fix It First Investment PolicyTLU-7 Fix It First Investment Policy► TLU-9 Workplace Tools for TDMTLU-9 Workplace Tools for TDM► TLU 14 Freight Mode ShiftsTLU 14 Freight Mode Shifts

► BoldBold Directly Affects Mn/DOT Directly Affects Mn/DOT

TRANSPORTATION & LAND USETRANSPORTATION & LAND USEArea 2 Reduce Carbon / Unit of Area 2 Reduce Carbon / Unit of

FuelFuel►TLU-3 Low GHG Fuel StandardTLU-3 Low GHG Fuel Standard

Mandate Reduction in Carbon Intensity of Mandate Reduction in Carbon Intensity of FuelFuel

10% Less by 2020: 15% Less by 202510% Less by 2020: 15% Less by 2025 E20 & more E85E20 & more E85 B5 to B10 to B20B5 to B10 to B20 Electric VehiclesElectric Vehicles

►AFW -7 in-State Liquid BiofuelsAFW -7 in-State Liquid Biofuels Biodiesel & Cellulosic EthanolBiodiesel & Cellulosic Ethanol

TRANSPORTATION & LAND USETRANSPORTATION & LAND USEArea 3 Reduce Carbon/Mile & or Area 3 Reduce Carbon/Mile & or

/Hr/Hr

►TLU-4 Infrastructure ManagementTLU-4 Infrastructure Management►TLU-6 Adopt CA Clean Car Standards*TLU-6 Adopt CA Clean Car Standards*►TLU-11 Heavy Duty Idle ReductionTLU-11 Heavy Duty Idle Reduction►TLU-12 Fleet Emissions ReductionTLU-12 Fleet Emissions Reduction►TLU-13 Reduce Speed LimitsTLU-13 Reduce Speed Limits**

►*Serious Opposition within MnCCAG*Serious Opposition within MnCCAG

TLU 1 TLU 1 Improved Land Use Improved Land Use Planning/DevelopmentPlanning/Development

GOAL OPTIONSGOAL OPTIONS►Reduce 2025 VMT to 1990 VMT Levels Reduce 2025 VMT to 1990 VMT Levels ►Reduce 2025 VMT to 1990 Per Capita Reduce 2025 VMT to 1990 Per Capita

VMT levelsVMT levels

MECHANISMMECHANISM► Various compact development Various compact development

mandates or incentives mandates or incentives

AGENCY PLANAGENCY PLAN

► Voluntary Approach to VMT Voluntary Approach to VMT Reduction Ask Public to Drive LessReduction Ask Public to Drive Less

TLU 2 TLU 2 Expand Transit, Bike, Expand Transit, Bike, Ped InfrastructurePed Infrastructure

► Met Council 2030 Plan by 2020Met Council 2030 Plan by 2020► Improve Transit: Regional Centers & TCImprove Transit: Regional Centers & TC► Increase Bike & Ped Infrastructure in CitieSIncrease Bike & Ped Infrastructure in CitieS

► Agency PlanAgency Plan► Increase Transit, Bike & Ped where Cost Increase Transit, Bike & Ped where Cost

EffectiveEffective► Balance investment between Metro & Balance investment between Metro &

Greater MNGreater MN

TLU 5 TLU 5 Climate Friendly Climate Friendly Transportation PricingTransportation Pricing

► Implement Pay As You Drive Insurance Implement Pay As You Drive Insurance (PAYD)(PAYD)

►Agency PlanAgency Plan

TLU 7TLU 7 “Fix It First” “Fix It First” Investment Policy & PracticeInvestment Policy & Practice

GOAL GOAL

Legislative Mandated Funding PrioritiesLegislative Mandated Funding Priorities

1.1. Maintenance/PreservationMaintenance/Preservation

2.2. Expansion ONLY to serve Compact Expansion ONLY to serve Compact DevelopmentDevelopment

TLU 7TLU 7 “Fix It First” “Fix It First” Investment Policy & PracticeInvestment Policy & Practice►Recommend Support w ModificationsRecommend Support w Modifications► Investment PrioritiesInvestment Priorities

Preservation/MaintenancePreservation/Maintenance Safety ImprovementSafety Improvement Management, which includes low cost Management, which includes low cost

targeted bottleneck removal (i.e. TH100, I-targeted bottleneck removal (i.e. TH100, I-94@3M, etc) 94@3M, etc)

►All Capacity Expansion Projects To Be All Capacity Expansion Projects To Be Identified by Legislature and Funded with Identified by Legislature and Funded with Non- Dedicated DollarsNon- Dedicated Dollars

TLU 14 TLU 14 Freight Mode Shifts Freight Mode Shifts

GoalsGoals► Increase Rail Capacity in MN (bottleneck Increase Rail Capacity in MN (bottleneck

removal)removal)► Prevent Modal Shift of Freight from Rail to Prevent Modal Shift of Freight from Rail to

TruckTruck

ImplementationImplementation► Incentives to Join EPA SmartWay Incentives to Join EPA SmartWay

Transportation PartnershipsTransportation Partnerships► Incentives to Increase Freight on Trucks Incentives to Increase Freight on Trucks

with Emissions Reductionwith Emissions Reduction

TLU-3 Low GHG Fuel TLU-3 Low GHG Fuel StandardStandard

►Only Indirectly Affects Mn/DOTOnly Indirectly Affects Mn/DOT►More ethanol use will increase gallons More ethanol use will increase gallons

usedused (due to less energy/gallon)(due to less energy/gallon) Positive impact on gas tax revenuePositive impact on gas tax revenue

►Cellulosic Ethanol and/or Biomass Use for Cellulosic Ethanol and/or Biomass Use for Energy Supply will allow R/W Vegetation Energy Supply will allow R/W Vegetation Harvest as Revenue GeneratorHarvest as Revenue Generator

TLU-4 Infrastructure TLU-4 Infrastructure ManagementManagement

► Manage to Reduce Congestion – Invest InManage to Reduce Congestion – Invest In Traffic Signal SynchronizationTraffic Signal Synchronization Traffic Signal Pre-emption for BusesTraffic Signal Pre-emption for Buses Improved Incident ManagementImproved Incident Management ITS Real Time Traffic InformationITS Real Time Traffic Information More Roundabouts More Roundabouts State of Art Parking StrategiesState of Art Parking Strategies Expand HOT Lanes – Profit to TransitExpand HOT Lanes – Profit to Transit

► Manage to Accommodate All ModesManage to Accommodate All Modes Adopt Complete Streets Policy Adopt Complete Streets Policy Cities required to adopt Bike/Ped PlansCities required to adopt Bike/Ped Plans Street Connectivity Policies for MunicipalitiesStreet Connectivity Policies for Municipalities

TLU-4 Infrastructure TLU-4 Infrastructure ManagementManagement

Recommend Support w ModificationsRecommend Support w Modifications

► Delete Bus Traffic Signal Pre-emptionDelete Bus Traffic Signal Pre-emption► HOT profits reinvested in Infrastructure HOT profits reinvested in Infrastructure

Management (not Transit)Management (not Transit)► Add Targeted, Low Cost Bottleneck Add Targeted, Low Cost Bottleneck

Removal as Management ToolRemoval as Management Tool► Complete Streets Policy Applies Only to Complete Streets Policy Applies Only to

Local Roads and Collectors (?) in MSA Local Roads and Collectors (?) in MSA Cities – with City Opt Out ClauseCities – with City Opt Out Clause

► City Bike/Ped Plans Advisory not City Bike/Ped Plans Advisory not MandatoryMandatory

TLU-11 Heavy Duty Idle TLU-11 Heavy Duty Idle ReductionReduction

► Truck Stop ElectrificationTruck Stop Electrification► Mn/DOT to Study Feasibility of Installing and Mn/DOT to Study Feasibility of Installing and

Maintaining Electrification and Climate Maintaining Electrification and Climate Control Units at Mn/Dot Rest Areas and Truck Control Units at Mn/Dot Rest Areas and Truck StopsStops

► Recommend Support for Rest Area Recommend Support for Rest Area StudyStudy

► Oppose Mn/DOT Study of Private Truck Oppose Mn/DOT Study of Private Truck StopsStops

TLU-13 Reduce Speed LimitsTLU-13 Reduce Speed Limits

► Urban Interstates from 65mph to 55mphUrban Interstates from 65mph to 55mph► Rural Interstates from 70mph to 60mphRural Interstates from 70mph to 60mph► Would Require Increased EnforcementWould Require Increased Enforcement► Changed by 2008 Legislature for 1/1/09 Changed by 2008 Legislature for 1/1/09

ImplementationImplementation

► Not in Agency PlanNot in Agency Plan

CC–3 State Agencies CC–3 State Agencies Lead the WayLead the Way

►State Owned Fleets reduce GHG State Owned Fleets reduce GHG emissions by 25%emissions by 25%

►Required Mn/DOT Fleet Turnover will Required Mn/DOT Fleet Turnover will require 300-400% Equipment Budget require 300-400% Equipment Budget IncreaseIncrease

►RCI Energy Efficient Building Codes will RCI Energy Efficient Building Codes will Increase Capital CostsIncrease Capital Costs

VMT PROJECTIONSVMT PROJECTIONS

►Old projections, Used by MnCCAG, Old projections, Used by MnCCAG, overestimated VMT Growthoverestimated VMT Growth

►Recent Data Shows 2004-7 VMT is Recent Data Shows 2004-7 VMT is Essentially FlatEssentially Flat

►OTDA & Met Council Revised Projections OTDA & Met Council Revised Projections in Light of New Datain Light of New Data

►Controversial – Results in 18% VMT in Controversial – Results in 18% VMT in 20252025

►Star Tribune Story Last WeekStar Tribune Story Last Week

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

►Can Meet Goals Only with Serious EffortCan Meet Goals Only with Serious Effort Will be costlyWill be costly Transportation may not cut its shareTransportation may not cut its share

►Mn Ahead of Most States (Next Gen Energy)Mn Ahead of Most States (Next Gen Energy)►2050 Goal Will Take Fundamental Technology 2050 Goal Will Take Fundamental Technology

Advances in Energy ProductionAdvances in Energy Production►Will need to Manage Transition to New TechWill need to Manage Transition to New Tech►Economic & Environmental Justice Issues will Economic & Environmental Justice Issues will

Need to be AddressedNeed to be Addressed