climate change and poverty report - world bank...climate change? • the poor are more exposed? •...
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Climate change and poverty report
Coordinated by
Office of the Chief Economist
Climate Change VP
LAC Workshop, September 4th 1
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The poor are more vulnerable to climate change?
• The poor are more exposed? • The poor have a higher direct vulnerability? • The poor have lower ability to recover when affected? • The poor have lower ability to adapt to changes?
• Now? And in the future?
4 Questions to Answer… • Can climate change impacts threaten poverty eradication? • Can poverty eradication reduce climate change impacts? • Should we design poverty reduction differently to account for
climate change? • Should we design adaptation and mitigation policies differently
because we care about poverty?
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Channels
• Agriculture
– Food prices
– Productivity and income
• Ecosystem Services
• Health
• Natural disasters…
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Poverty
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Exposure
Vulnerability and resilience
Poverty
Ability to adapt to changes
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Exposure
Vulnerability and resilience
Poverty
Ability to adapt to changes
RISK
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Exposure
Vulnerability and resilience
Poverty
Impacts on assets and capital
accumulation
Impact on income and productivity
Ability to adapt to changes
Impact on ability to change
livelihood and benefit from
growth
RISK
Feedback on poverty
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The specific case of disasters
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Income
(Rs. / month)
% of all HH in
Survey (Greater
Mumbai Area)
% Exposed
<5000 27% 44%
5001 – 7500 28% 33%
7501 – 10000 22% 16%
10001 – 15000 12%
5%
15001 – 20000 6%
1%
>20000 6% 1%
All 100%
n=4972
100%
n=210
A case study on Mumbai and the 2005 floods
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And in India (Kosi flood in Bihar
in 2008)
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Impact on assets and
income
16 From Somanathan & Somanathan (2009)
Patankar and Patwardhan (2014)
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Resilience and social protection
17 From Somanathan & Somanathan (2009)
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Thank you
• We look forward to discussing further!
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