Johnnycashproject.com

Reveal

Mario Molina

Communicating on Climate in an Uncertain Communication Climate

IGBP

@keeling_curve

Populationaction.org

1983 111111111

1983 111111111

1985 111111111

1985 1988

Perhaps earth scientists of the future will name this new post-Holocene era for its causative element -- for us. We are entering an age that might someday be referred to as, say, the Anthrocene. After all, it is a geological age of our own making. The challenge now is to find a way to act that will make geologists of the future look upon this age as a remarkable time, a time in which a species began to take into account the long-term impact of its actions.

j.mp/92warmbook

Matthew Fontaine Maury, ~1855: “[T]o the right-minded mariner, and to him who studies the physical relations of earth, sea, and air, the atmosphere is something more than a shoreless ocean, at the bottom of which he creeps along.... It is an inexhaustible magazine, marvellously adapted for many benign and beneficent purposes.

“Upon the proper working of this machine depends the well being of every plant and animal that inhabits the earth; therefore the management of it, its movements, and the performance of its offices, cannot be left to chance.”

Me, 1992: Now we have arrived at a time when, voluntarily or involuntarily, humans are indeed "managing" the atmosphere. We had better manage it well.

j.mp/92warmbook

The Shapers of “News”

Tyranny of the ‘Peg’

Lure of the Front-Page Thought

Tyrannies of Space/Time

Tyranny of Balance

Lure of Conflict and debate

Paucity of data leads to overabundance of assertion.Argument, edge and policy relevance

lead to media interest

Too often content to be “right for a day”

museumvictoria.com.au

There is no “we”…

Girding for a climate fight? Pick your

physics Nobelist.• Nobe

CulturalCognition.net

High dwellings are the peace and harmony of our descendants…. Remember the calamity of the great tsunamis. Do not build any homes

below this point.

mind

Design? Manage? DECIDE??

j.mp/epaheriberto

“Coordinated manipulation of at least six variables is necessary to maintain stability

for 200 years or so.”

We lack a cultural narrative that says sustainability is really important. We have a cultural narrative that says murder is wrong. We don’t have a cultural narrative that says managing our planet in a way that allows us to live on it as

long as we can is probably the most important thing.

“Coordinated manipulation of at least six variables is necessary to maintain stability

for 200 years or so.”

Old Goals

Woe is me

350

80% by 2050

<2 Degrees

December, 2015

j.mp/unepco2gap

j.mp/unepco2gap

j.mp/unepco2gap

They assume the blue “safe” emissions drop can occur even as populations and resource appetites soar in Africa and South Asia.

750 million >

NIGERIA (U.N. 2015 projection)

New Goals

New Goals

Traits

hhnaturemuseum.org

Woe is me

Bend

Bend

Billy Parish, 2005 Energy Action Coalition

Bend

Billy Parish, 2005 Energy Action Coalition

Billy Parish, 2014 joinmosaic.com

Paul Kench George Steinmetz

Bend

Fill in this blank

@theWCS welikia.org

Bend

Stretch

Prospective Design – Houses, Ecosystemsriverarchitects.com j.mp/seariseconservation

Stretch

Stretch

Taylorguitars.com

Stretch

Stretch

Stretch

Reach

IPCC to its authors

j.mp/wmorevkin

Known Unknowables

Escape from the “Nerd Loop”

Randy Olson @abtagenda

#

#

Noise

#planetworks#iamascientistbecause

#manthropocene

#farmhack#deepuncertainty

#birdclass

Signal

#planetworks#iamascientistbecause

#manthropocene

#farmhack#deepuncertainty

#birdclass

WARMIST!

DENIER!

Beyond the shouting match

Climate disputes hide energy and resilience agreement

Support for a cap & trade policy

Support for providing rebates for purchases of solar panelsand fuel-efficient vehicles

Support for requiring 45 mpg fuel efficiency across vehicle fleets, even at a $1,000 price premium.

j.mp/yaleclimatemaps

j.mp/yaleclimatemaps

j.mp/yaleclimatemaps

j.mp/yaleclimatemaps

John D. Sutter / CNN “2 Degrees”

Find the Denier: Oil-Patch America

Teach

The new classroom

j.mp/pacedocs

The new classroom

The new classroom?

Nature: j.mp/riskschool

The new classroom

Reveal

Reveal

Reveal

Cafee.wvu.edu theICCT.org

Reflect

Designing discourse!

@USGSjwp

Reflect

Response diversity, ecosystem change, and resilienceThomas Elmqvist, Stockholm University

Nov. 2003, Frontiers in Ecology & the Environment

The diversity of responses to environmental change among species contributing to the same ecosystem function, which we call response diversity, is critical to resilience. Response diversity is particularly important for ecosystem renewal and reorganization following change….

We should pay special attention to response diversity when planning ecosystem management and restoration, since it may contribute considerably to the resilience of desired ecosystem states against disturbance, mismanagement, and degradation.

j.mp/responsediversity

Response diversity, ecosystem change, and resilienceThomas Elmqvist, Stockholm University

Nov. 2003, Frontiers in Ecology & the Environment

The diversity of responses to environmental change among people contributing to the same social function, which we call response diversity, is critical to resilience. Response diversity is particularly important for ecosystem and social renewal and reorganization following change….

We should pay special attention to response diversity when planning ecological and social management and restoration, since it may contribute considerably to the resilience of desired ecosystem and social states against disturbance, mismanagement, and degradation.

j.mp/responsediversity

Data & Values: “You can’t get an ought from an is.”

j.mp/dotvatican

The Virtues of “Mundane Science”

Avoidance of the mundane sphere has been a continuing characteristic of modern science, without prejudice to particular disciplines….

[A]gricultural scientists valorized the high-tech green revolution agriculture and ignored low-tech, native systems of managing forests and fields; health experts pursued “exotic” diseases (like Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome [SARS]) while ignoring ubiquitous problems like infant diarrhea and indoor air pollution….

Science, Society and the Environment : Applying Anthropology andPhysics to Sustainability / Michael R. Dove and Daniel M. Kammen

Futureearth.info

Rejoice

Repeat

Justin Maxon / Bloomberg Businessweek

Gavin Free / Slow Mo Guys John Brandon Miller

Raymond Pierrehumbert, Oxford