city sustainability indicator: an example. city... · 2019. 12. 16. · city sustainability...
TRANSCRIPT
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Dr. Soheil Rastan, Statistics Canada, P. Eng., MBA. MRIAC
System of Environmental Economic Accounting https://seea.un.org/
Acting Regional Advisor, Economic and Environment Statistics - Statistics Division
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific
Regional Inception Workshop on Integrating Statistical Geospatial Data
for Land Accounts and Statistics in Central Asia
Tashkent, Uzbekistan, 14-15 November 2019
City Sustainability Indicator: An Example
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SEEA-EEA
SEEA-CF
SEEA-AE
SNA
SEEA – EnergySEEA – WaterSEEA – AirSEEA – O2SEEA – GHGSEEA – OceanSEEA – WasteSEEA – ShorelinesSEEA – LandSEEA – City SEEA – ……
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Economy ($)
Energy (kJ)
Environment (kg, m3, m2)
SEEA: e3 entropy indicators(construct and variables)
SEEA: Indicators to quantify the unidirectional anthropogenically-induced minimization of
ecosystem entropies
Tipping point (entropy minimization!)
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4Plus more …….
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Beyond the boundary of the GDP, S.R. 2011
GDP
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Before showcasing what is SEEA Land or SEEA City, etc.
let us start with an easier example
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Before showcasing what is SEEA Land or SEEA City, etc.
let us start with an easier example
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Before showcasing what is SEEA Land or SEEA City, etc.
let us start with an easier example
SEEA: Egg
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PEC; CEN; CEG; COH; COB; CON; COG; MEB; MEU; MEN; MEG; IPB; IPU; IPN; IPG INVF; INVR INTEX; INTRX
MPG MPSENEIMGIMSFICNNPNGS
PRM1
PRM2
GVAPRM3to PRM8
BS; FC; NP; GS
MPG MPSENEIMGIMSFICNNPNGS
PRM1
INTIM MRGTDE; MRGTRN; MRGTAX
BS; FC; NP; GS
40
%
60
%
% %
11
46
Supply @ P
Use@ P
Sum
= 11
46
Taxes on imported products
Sum of Col
Sum of Col.
Sum
= 68
5
Sum
= 95
5
Sum
= 46
1
Sum
of ro
ws
Eggs-in-Shell, Million $ (@ P), Canada, 2012 BS Supply of Eggs (Animal Production) M
PG
= Eggs in Sh
ell
884 71 187; 4; 0
Total Supply of Eggs at Basic Prices = 884 + 71 = 995Total Supply of Eggs at Purchaser's Prices = 995 + 187 + 4 + 0 = 1146Taxes on imported products is an aggregate for all types of imported products
* 10 million is missing to add up due to “confidentiality”
MP
G = Eggs in
Shell
BS Use of Eggs in Shell
Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing = 8
Other Food Manufacturing = 113
Gasoline Stations = 1Hotels = 25
Camps, Room and Boards = 2 Restaurants = 279
Operating Supplies = 22
8; 113; 1; 25; 2; 279; 22 = 450*
PECs “Eggs in Shell” as Food consumed by Residents
in Canada = 649”Eggs in Shell” consumed by Canadians Abroad
= 1”Eggs in Shell” consumed by Non-Residents in
Canada = -6
649; 1; -6
0; -3
44; 0
Total Su
m = 4
61
+ 68
5 = 1
14
6
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SEEA Egg (Canada, 2012 estimates)
6.7 billion
28 million m3
3,000 km2
10,300 TJ
$$1.1 billion
40%
60%
430,000 tonnes
= =
≈ 1 x annual energy for 98,000 Canadian households
≈ 8 x the area of the Island of Montreal
≈ 1 x annual water consumptions for 300,000 Canadians
≈ 1 x weight of the Empire State Building
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358 cal. → 72 cal. (inedible energy → edible energy)
Energy Edibility Conversion Factor = 5
Ecosystem Sustainability Indicator: Egg
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e-CPI-b: Egg
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Geospatial data and Statistics at the Egg level
6.7 billion
28 million m3
3,000 km2
10,300 TJ
$$1.1 billion
40%
60%
430,000 tonnes
= =
≈ 1 x annual energy for 98,000 Canadian households
≈ 8 x the area of the Island of Montreal
≈ 1 x annual water consumptions for 300,000 Canadians
≈ 1 x weight of the Empire State Building
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City Metabolism
City’s Potential Energy ≡
City’s Ecosystem Potential Capacity
Geospatial data and Statistics at the City level
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Ecosystem Potential Capacity
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Lower Ecosystem Potential Capacity
potential capacity shelter
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Ecosystem Potential Capacity
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Lower Ecosystem Potential Capacity
potential capacity road
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Ecosystem Potential Capacity
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Lower Ecosystem Potential Capacity
potential capacity Tourism and recreation
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Case study: Montreal, Canada
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3 3 2 1
Examples of land cover classes
1=built up area; 2 = grass land; 3 forestland/wetland
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Components of a Geospatial Unit Change
• Composition i.e., what is in it
• Structure i.e., what is around it
• Function i.e., what has changed
Δ
Δ
t2 - t1
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Composition and Structure
The micro scale (the cell) and the macro scale (1 kilometre radius buffer)
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Input (binary signal) Output
(ternary signal) Logical operation (V ≡ OR, Λ ≡ AND)
Δ Element (2011-2001) cell V buffer cell Λ buffer
ΔE 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
0 0 0
1 0 1
1 1 2
Non Parametric Signal Processing Script
The two togetherOne alone
Cell
Buffer
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The Census Metropolitan Area of Montreal versus the 25-km radius study area
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Cell A Cell B Cell C
Point ID 13238 5888 566
Cell ID 13421 6019 612
Cell area (km2) 0.0625 0.0625 0.0625
Micro E1 3 3 2
Macro E2 120 119 102
Micro E3 5 4 2
Macro E4 450 504 90
Micro E5 0 0 0
Macro
2001 Elements
E6 2325 1649 1245
Micro E1 1 3 2
Macro E2 106 115 102
Micro E3 10 9 2
Macro E4 1523 684 90
Micro E5 691 418 0
Macro
2011 Elements
E6 6260 4214 1245
Micro ΔE1 -2 0 0
Macro ΔE2 -12 -4 0
Micro ΔE3 5 5 0
Macro ΔE4 1068 175 0
Micro ΔE5 691 418 0
Macro
Difference (2011-2001)
ΔE6 3245 2147 0
Micro ΔE1 1 0 0
Macro ΔE2 1 1 0
Micro ΔE3 1 1 0
Macro ΔE4 1 1 0
Micro ΔE5 1 1 0
Macro
Binary Signals
ΔE6 1 1 0
Micro ΔE1 AND ΔE2 2 0 0
Macro ΔE1 OR ΔE2 1 1 0
Micro ΔE3 AND ΔE4 2 2 0
Macro ΔE3 OR ΔE4 1 1 0
Micro ΔE5 AND ΔE6 2 2 0
Scal
e
Macro
Ternary Signals
ΔE5 OR ΔE6 1 1 0
Likelihood Signal R27 (2,2,2) R18 (1,2,2) R1 (0,0,0)
Intensity Signal High Low No change
27,535 cells
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Industrial/commercial developments, case study area, 2001 - 2011Cells R25
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City Ecosystem Sustainability Indicator: Land Metabolism
Montreal, 2001 - 2011Colour fraction is the area per intensity signals (km2, log10 scale).
Numerical figures are cumulative land area
1716 km2 0 km2
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The Handbook of Clean Energy Systems: Environmental Sustainability Indicators
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., UK , 2015
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Capacity Building, Integrating and Sharing
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Year 2003
Year 2015
Kyrgyzstan
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
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Year 2015Year 2003
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyzstan
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Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Year 1995
Year 2015
Uzbekistan
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Year 1995 Year 2015
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Tashkent, Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
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Year 1995
Year 2015
Turkmenistan
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
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Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Year 1995 Year 2015
Turkmenistan
Ashgabat, Turkmenistan
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Tajikistan
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Year 1995
Year 2015
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Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Year1995 Year2015
Tajikistan
Dushanbe, Tajikistan
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Afghanistan
Year 1995
Year 2015
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
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Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Kandahar, Afghanistan
1995 2015
Afghanistan
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Year 1995
Year 2015
Armenia
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
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Year 2015Year 1995
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Yerevan, Armenia
Armenia
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Year 1995
Year 2015
Azerbaijan
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
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Legend
Azerbaijan_Baku_city.tif.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Graslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Inland water bodies
Year 1995 Year 2015
Baku, Azerbaijan
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Azerbaijan
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Year 1995
Year 2015Kazakhstan
Legend
Kazakhstan.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Grasslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
![Page 50: City Sustainability Indicator: An Example. City... · 2019. 12. 16. · City Sustainability Indicator: An Example . 2 SEEA-EEA SEEA-CF SEEA-AE SNA SEEA –Energy SEEA –Water SEEA](https://reader033.vdocuments.mx/reader033/viewer/2022060912/60a68f18ac8c1364ea0b14e6/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
Year 1995
Year 2015
Legend
Kazakhstan_Tselinogradskiy2015.tif.tif
Value
Artificial surfaces
Herbaceous crops
Woody crops
Multiple or layered crops
Graslands
tree-covered areas
Mangroves
Shrub-covered areas
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation, aquatic or regularly flooded
Sparsely natural vegetated areas
Terrestrial barren land
Permanent snow and glaciers
Inland water bodies
Legend
Hot spote.tif
ValueHigh : 137227
Low : 0
Kazakhstan
Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan
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1995 land type(rows)/2015 land type(cols) Ref 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Total 1995
Artificial surfaces 1 705.74 705.74
Herbaceous crops 2 190.20 6177.28 0.96 37.20 0.30 24.56 58.97 0.59 6490.05
Woody crops 3 2.80 2.80
Multiple or layered crops 4 2623.95 3.38 85971.36 847.87 54.92 3.24 1469.42 222.77 25.07 91221.96
Grassland 5 288.06 144.18 1.17 735.88 24936.29 127.34 242.70 139.62 65.07 26680.31
Tree-covered areas 6 0.15 5.22 120.94 122.93 289.17 36.46 25.66 44.99 11.92 657.44
Mangroves 7
Shrub-covered areas 8 4.71 0.89 44438.70 0.59 44444.88
Shrubs and/or herbaceous vegetation 9 2.65 665.52 0.07 668.24
Sparsely natural vegetated areas 10 28.53 108.52 582.52 442.31 1.25 21969.30 112.41 48.45 23293.29
Terrestrial barren land 11 35.66 40.29 547.60 1084.89 4.56 2.94 2649.97 243279.96 244.31 247890.18
Permanent snow and glaciers 12 391.14 391.14
Inland water bodies 13 0.07 1.61 39.34 43.45 15.96 20.95 1.03 4.34 400.91 6004.28 6531.95
Coastal water bodies 14
Total 2015 3877.06 6480.48 3.97 88001.25 27514.94 494.37 44502.30 666.55 26385.94 244259.64 391.14 6400.35 448,978
Example: Land Cover Change Matrix 1995 vs 2015Non-official statistics calculated by ESCAP, QGIS-R script. Figures are in square kilometers.