chowan river tmdl development nottoway area 08/31/04

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Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

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Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04. Historical data analysis Source assessment Physical Source Identification Bacterial source tracking Modeling Allocation. TMDL Development. Fecal Coliform Impairments. Impaired Stream Segments in the Nottoway River watershed. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Chowan River TMDL Development

Nottoway Area

08/31/04

Page 2: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

TMDL Development

Historical data analysis Source assessment

Physical Source Identification Bacterial source tracking

Modeling Allocation

Page 3: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Fecal Coliform ImpairmentsImpaired Stream Segments in the Nottoway River watershed

Page 4: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Water Quality Data AnalysisLocation of VADEQ water quality monitoring stations used for TMDL assessment in the Nottoway River watershed

Page 5: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Water Quality Data Analysis

Fecal Coliform Concentrations

Impairment Station ID Sampled

Dates Count Minimum Maximum Mean Median

% Violations

1000

% Violations

400

Big Hounds Creek 5ABHC003.73 9/90 - 6/03 58 18 16,000 794 130 14 26

Big Hounds Creek 5ABHC006.57 10/74 - 6/79 36 100 8,000 878 100 14 22

Beaver Pond Creek 5ABPC000.12 9/94 - 4/01 34 18 16,000 2,457 410 38 50

Little Nottoway R. 5ALNT004.68 10/90 - 6/03 61 15 16,000 1,192 300 18 30

Little Nottoway R. 5ALNT009.80 2/68 - 9/74 60 100 240,000 6,180 230 25 33

Lazaretto Creek 5ALZT004.21 11/74 - 6/79 31 100 6,000 677 100 16 23

Nottoway River 5ANTW126.94 7/02 - 6/03 6 100 400 150 100 0 0

Nottoway River 5ANTW136.52 2/68 - 9/74 &

8/90 - 6/94 103 0 21,000 699 100 10 24

Nottoway River 5ANTW142.08 10/74 - 6/79 35 100 6,000 326 100 6 6

Nottoway River 5ANTW145.30 8/16/03 1 100 100 100 100 0 0

Nottoway River 5ANTW155.06 7/94 - 4/97 &

4/03 - 3/04 18 20 16,000 1,388 200 17 28

Page 6: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Water Quality Data AnalysisLocation of BST water quality monitoring stations in the Nottoway River watershed

Page 7: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Water Quality Data Analysis

E. coli concentrations

Impairment Station ID Sampled

Dates Count Minimum Maximum Mean Median

% Violations

235 Big Hounds Creek 5ABHC003.73 7/03 - 12/03 6 25 280 160 165 33

Beaver Pond Creek 5ABPC000.12 2/02 - 3/04 17 25 2,000 441 200 47

Dry Creek 5ADRY002.85 7/03 - 3/04 9 25 100 50 25 0

Little Nottoway R. 5ALNT004.68 7/03 - 12/03 6 25 330 168 153 33

Little Nottoway R. 5ALNT009.80 7/03 - 3/04 9 25 320 114 75 22

Lazaretto Creek 5ALZT000.12 4/03 - 10/03 5 25 600 140 25 20

Modest Creek 5AMDT001.20 7/03 - 3/04 9 25 230 77 50 0

Nottoway River 5ANTW136.52 7/03 - 3/04 9 25 300 114 100 11

Nottoway River 5ANTW142.08 7/03 - 3/04 9 25 300 67 25 11

Nottoway River 5ANTW155.06 7/03 - 3/04 10 10 280 85 38 10

Page 8: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Water Quality Data Analysis Statistical Analysis of Water Quality Measurements

versus Precipitation to determine the relationship between rainfall and water quality

Summary of the Mood Median Test on mean monthly precipitation at station 444101 (p=0.013).

Month Mean (in)

Minimum (in)

Maximum (in)

Median Groups

January 3.93 0.54 8.06 A B February 3.15 0.54 5.63 A B March 4.36 1.34 8.27 A B April 3.40 0.64 7.64 A B May 3.95 1.02 7.93 B June 3.15 0.35 5.78 A B July 4.48 0.04 8.17 B August 4.35 0.44 12.49 A B September 4.77 0.58 16.85 A B October 3.52 0.00 9.53 A November 3.29 0.42 7.00 A B December 3.22 0.56 7.03 A B

Page 9: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Source Assessment

Identification of Sources DEQ/DCR/Locality records VPDES U.S. Census Ag Census Habitat Analysis Stakeholders, local knowledge – improve estimates BST

Delivery Mechanisms Direct Land-applied Exported Out of Watershed

Temporal Variation Migration Patterns/Resident Populations Import/Export of agricultural/STP waste?

Page 10: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Permitted Discharges

Page 11: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Permitted Discharges

Indicates poultry facility with some animals outside watershed boundary

** Farm no longer active

ND – no data, facility not required to submit monitoring data

NA – Not available

Facility Name Permit No Design Flow

(MGD) Permitted For Fecal Control

Data Availability

Victoria East Sewage Treatment Plant VA0020184 0.4 Yes 2/99 - 4/04

Victoria WTP VA0030015 0.03 Yes 5/99 - 4/04

Crewe WTP VA0050016 0.04 Yes 2/99 - 4/04

DOC - Nottoway Correctional Center VA0066869 0.35 Yes 5/99 - 4/04

Hood Wallace VPG270010 Poultry No ND

Ingram Charles VPG270058 Poultry No ND

Ingram William T VPG270074 Poultry No ND

Jeffrey W. Dunn VPG270062* Poultry No ND

Nottoway County Schools Nottoway High VA0061158 0.0256 Yes 5/99 - 4/04

Oakmotte Farm VPG270081* Poultry No ND

Randy Reynolds VPG270087 Poultry No ND

Rolling Acres Farm VPG270049* Poultry No ND

Triple R Farm VPG270018* Poultry No ND

Big Oak Farm VPG170043 CAFO No ND

Super Chic Ltd. VPG270024 Poultry No ND

Walter Berryman Glascock VPG270068 Poultry No ND

Page 12: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Human (2004)

ImpairmentPopulatio

n

Housing Units (HU)

HU with Sewer

HU with Septic

HU with Other

Beaverpond CreekBig Hounds Creek

2542,058

122983

4484

113461

439

Little Nottoway River 4,858 1,634 419 1,145 70Nottoway River 2,588 623 186 419 17

Page 13: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Human

Sanitary sewer Overflows - reported to DEQ Exfiltration – rate from literature

Failing septic systems Rate based on age of house

Straight pipes U.S. Census and VDH consultation

Page 14: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Pets (2004)

Impairment Dogs CatsBeaverpond CreekBig Hounds CreekLittle Nottoway River

65525873

73588977

Nottoway River 332 372

Page 15: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Livestock - 1997

Impairment Beef Dairy Horse Sheep

Beaverpond Creek 137 31 13 11Big Hounds Creek 215 13 10 5 Little Nottoway River 2,058 333 48 187Nottoway River 509 68 18 17

Page 16: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Wildlife Population

Impairment Deer Turkey Goose Duck MuskratRaccoo

nBeaver

Beaverpond CreekBig Hounds Creek

123268

3270

2141

3939

3,2387,788

4431,086

44142

Little Nottoway RiverNottoway River

1,240888

241215

129112

122107

21,18314,592

3,3862,952

424388

Page 17: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Bacterial Source TrackingLocation of BST stations in the Nottoway River watershed

Page 18: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Modeling

Hydrologic model Runoff model HSPF

Water Quality model Source Assessment Results HSPF

Model Calibration and Validation Based on data availability, period of

interest

Page 19: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Modeling

$

Page 20: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Modeling

VADEQ Station 5ANTW155.06 and USGS Station #02044500

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Flow Duration Interval (%)

Fec

al C

olif

orm

(cf

u/1

00m

l)

Listing Standard New Instantaneous Standard Observed FC

High Flow Moist Conditions Mid-Range Flow Dry Conditions Low Flow

Page 21: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Modeling

VADEQ Station 5ALNT004.68 and USGS Station #02044500

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Flow Duration Interval (%)

Fec

al C

olif

orm

(cf

u/1

00m

l)

Listing Standard New Instantaneous Standard Observed FC

High Flow Moist Conditions Mid-Range Flow Dry Conditions Low Flow

Page 22: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Hydrologic Calibration

$

Observed vs. Modeled (10/1/1990-9/30/1995)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

10

/01

/19

90

11/1

3/1

99

0

12

/26

/19

90

02

/07

/19

91

03

/22

/19

91

05

/04

/19

91

06

/16

/19

91

07

/29

/19

91

09

/10

/19

91

10

/23

/19

91

12

/05

/19

91

01

/17

/19

92

02

/29

/19

92

04

/12

/19

92

05

/25

/19

92

07

/07

/19

92

08

/19

/19

92

10

/01

/19

92

11/1

3/1

99

2

12

/26

/19

92

02

/07

/19

93

03

/22

/19

93

05

/04

/19

93

06

/16

/19

93

07

/29

/19

93

09

/10

/19

93

10

/23

/19

93

12

/05

/19

93

01

/17

/19

94

03

/01

/19

94

04

/13

/19

94

05

/26

/19

94

07

/08

/19

94

08

/20

/19

94

10

/02

/19

94

11/1

4/1

99

4

12

/27

/19

94

02

/08

/19

95

03

/23

/19

95

05

/05

/19

95

06

/17

/19

95

07

/30

/19

95

09

/11

/19

95

Date

Flo

w (

cfs

)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Pre

cip

ita

tio

n (

in.)

Precip Observed Modeled

Page 23: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

$

Hydrologic Calibration Criterion Observed Modeled Error Target

Total In-stream Flow: 48.57 47.29 -2.62% 10.00%

Upper 10% Flow Values: 22.02 21.42 -2.73% 15.00%

Lower 50% Flow Values: 6.85 6.37 -6.89% 10.00%

Winter Flow Volume 24.90 24.45 -1.78% 30.00%

Spring Flow Volume 12.68 13.91 9.65% 30.00%

Summer Flow Volume 4.48 3.50 -21.86% 30.00%

Fall Flow Volume 6.50 5.43 -16.51% 30.00%

Total Storm Volume 45.46 46.35 1.94% 20.00%

Winter Storm Volume 24.13 24.22 0.38% 30.00%

Spring Storm Volume 11.90 13.67 14.81% 30.00%

Summer Storm Volume 3.71 3.28 -11.75% 30.00%

Fall Storm Volume 5.72 5.19 -9.32% 30.00%

Page 24: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Modeling Source Loads

Source Characterization Fecal production / densities / distribution

Delivery Mechanisms Direct Land-applied Exported Out of Watershed

Temporal Variation

Page 25: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Load CharacteristicsAnimal Waste Load

(lb/an-day) Fecal Coliform Density

(cfu/lb) # Dairy Cow Equivalents

Dairy 120.4 1.23E+08 1 Beef 46.4 4.58E+07 7

Horse 51.0 4.26E+07 7 Swine 11.3 1.81E+08 7 Sheep 2.4 1.95E+07 316 Goat 5.7 6.80E+06 382

Broiler 0.2 2.66E+08 328 Layer 0.3 2.66E+08 214

Human 0.9 2.91E+08 58 Dog 1.0 2.18E+08 69 Cat 0.0 4.08E+03 84,765,882

Raccoon 1.0 9.53E+08 16 Muskrat 0.2 8.62E+08 78 Beaver 0.4 4.54E+05 74,001 Deer 1.7 1.72E+08 50

Turkey 0.7 6.04E+05 34,723 Goose 0.5 1.13E+08 263

Mallard 0.3 1.59E+06 28,191

Page 26: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Model Load Characterization

“Direct to Stream” Loads Point Sources: Design Flow/Fecal Discharge Overflows: Reported overflow volume Characterize Volume and Duration Animal/Human: direct deposition, straight pipes

“Land Applied” Loads Wildlife, Livestock, Pets Transported to stream during runoff producing event Use measured waste characteristics Compute die-off in between events

Application timing

Page 27: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Wildlife

Animal Type Portion of Day in Stream Access Areas

Direct Deposition

Time of Day Loads Produced

(%) (%) (hr) Deer 5 1 6PM – 6AM Raccoon 5 5 6PM – 6AM Muskrat 90 5 6AM – 6PM Beaver 100 100 6AM – 6PM Turkey 5 1 6AM – 6PM Goose 50 5 6AM – 6PM Duck 75 5 6AM – 6PM

Page 28: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Livestock

Average percentage of collected livestock waste applied throughout year

Month Applied % of Total Land use Dairy Beef Swine Poultry January 1.50 8.33 0.00 0.00 Cropland February 1.75 8.33 0.00 5.00 Cropland March 17.00 8.34 20.00 25.00 Cropland April 17.00 8.34 20.00 20.00 Cropland May 17.00 8.33 20.00 5.00 Cropland June 1.75 8.33 0.00 5.00 Pasture July 1.75 8.33 0.00 5.00 Pasture August 1.75 8.33 0.00 5.00 Pasture September 5.00 8.34 0.00 10.00 Cropland October 17.00 8.34 20.00 10.00 Cropland November 17.00 8.33 20.00 10.00 Cropland December 1.50 8.33 0.00 0.00 Cropland

Page 29: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Livestock

Average time dairy milking cows spend in different areas per day

Page 30: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Livestock

Average time dry cows and replacement heifers spend in different areas per day

Page 31: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Livestock

Average time beef cows not confined in feedlots spend in areas per day

Page 32: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Allocation

Quantify Current Source Conditions Run model with present-day sources

Develop reduction scenarios that will meet water quality standards 100% reduction in straight pipes, 25%

reduction in failed septic systems 100% reduction in straight pipes, 50%

reduction in livestock direct deposition Allocate loads to each source

Page 33: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Livestock - 2002

Impairment Beef Dairy Horse Sheep Poultry*

Beaverpond Creek 145 30 41 14 -Big Hounds Creek 338 0 31 4 -Little Nottoway River 1,955 365 144 20 337,680Nottoway River 575 40 59 8 118,000

* Must get information regarding import/export of poultry litter in watershed.

Page 34: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04

Allocation

Time, (days)

FC

Con

c., (

cfu/

100m

l)

Historical Data

TMDL

Page 35: Chowan River TMDL Development Nottoway Area 08/31/04