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Ellen CoopersmithDecision Frameworks

Graham DeanCentrica

Slough

Jason McVean

Erling StorauneAker Maritime

12 18Joe Fay

Kent Burkholder Alexander LythellPaige McCown Slough CentricaPat Parry Aker MaritimeKenneth Ricard Didcot AEA

Laurence Wickens

Decision Tree PeepDPS-2000 Aker Excel

32000/2001

[ 1 ]

NPV

[2]

6

[3] NPV

[4]

1. Newendorp PD: Decision Analysis for PetroleumExploration Aurora PlanningPress 1996

2. Bailey W Couet B Lamb F Simpson G Rose PTaking a Calculated Risk

12 3 2000 20-35

3.

4. Newendorp 1 4

> 6NPV

>

Newendorp 1

, %

51

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05

03

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30,000

31,538

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[5]

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Newendorp 1

52000/2001

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1-2 Newendorp 1

AkerMaritime Aker Maritime

[6]

Aker MaritimeD e c i s i o n

FrameworksDecision Frameworks

MerakPeep

5. Beck GF Examination of MWD Measuring WhileDrilling Wireline Replacement by Decision AnalysisMethods Two Case Studies SPLWA 37

1996 6 16 19 U

Martinsen R Kjelstadli RM Ross C Rostad H TheValhall Waterflood Evaluation Decision AnalysisCase Study SPE38926 SPE

San Antonio1997 10 5-8

Macary S El-Haddad A Decision Trees OptimizeWorkover Program 96 51

1998 12 21 93-97 100

MacDonald JJ Smith RS Decision Trees ClarifyNovel Technology Applications 95

8 1997 2 24 69-71 74-76

6.

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Decision Frameworks Aker

DPS-2000

FPSO

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72000/2001

> Aker Maritime DPS-2000

>

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2001 12005 6

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2001 2001 2002 2002 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 2006

Aker DPS-2000

FPSO

2 0 0 3 1 2

2 0 0 3 8

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F EED

DPS-2000 $412 MM

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9

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2000/2001

> Hewett CentricaDecision Tree Centrica

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1

CentricaUK

Centrica

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HewettCentrica

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7000

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5007

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