china july 2013 fudan university

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Michael Eriksen, ScD Dean, School of Public Health Georgia State University July 2013

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Presentation given by Dr. Michael Erickson at Fudan University.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: China july 2013  Fudan University

Michael Eriksen, ScDDean, School of Public Health

Georgia State University

July 2013

Page 2: China july 2013  Fudan University

The Tobacco Atlas

Page 3: China july 2013  Fudan University

Globally, 6 million preventable deaths annually from tobacco…• Tobacco accounts for more than

16% of male and 7% of female deaths globally• 80% of deaths occur in LMIC• 100 million deaths in

20th century and one billion deaths in 21st century

Page 4: China july 2013  Fudan University

Smoking harms the entire body…

Page 5: China july 2013  Fudan University

Cancer from smoking causes more deaths than all other cancers combined…

Page 6: China july 2013  Fudan University

“Forced smoking” kills people…• 600,000 deaths annually from secondhand

smoke exposure (mostly women and children)• Over 50% of the people in the Western Pacific

region are exposed to secondhand smoke (highest rate in the world)

Page 7: China july 2013  Fudan University

Say “NO” to forced smoking

Bill Gates and Baidu CEO Robin Li wear shirts reading “Say no to forced smoking”

47% of youth ages 13-15 years were exposed to secondhand smoke in the home (Shanghai in 2005)

Page 8: China july 2013  Fudan University

If you are concerned about NCDs, tobacco must be a priority…

Page 9: China july 2013  Fudan University

Cigarette smoking is a 20th century phenomenon…

Page 10: China july 2013  Fudan University

Cigarette consumption varies greatly by region…• Consumption shifting from West to East (1990-2009)• Western Europe dropped 26%• Middle East and Africa increased 57%

Page 11: China july 2013  Fudan University

Five countries smoke more than half of the world’s cigarettes…

Page 12: China july 2013  Fudan University

There are over one billion adult smokers in the world…• 1 billion adult smokers worldwide (80% are men)

– nearly 20% of all adults• 80% of male and 50% of female

smokers are in low- and middle-income countries• Men’s smoking rates are ten times

as high as women’s in 49 countries• But there is major progress in many

countries

Page 13: China july 2013  Fudan University

800 million men smoke worldwide…

50.4% of male adults in China smoke cigarettes

Page 14: China july 2013  Fudan University

200 million women smoke worldwide now, but what about the future?

2.1% of female adults in China smoke cigarettes

Page 15: China july 2013  Fudan University

Tobacco prevalence and cessation in China mirrors the U.S. in 1965…

References: CDC 2012, Personal Communication, China GATS 2010

Page 16: China july 2013  Fudan University

Chinese cigarette increase40 years after US increase

US adults, 1910-1950 China (men),1950-1990

Year Cigarettesper day

Year Cigarettesper day

1910 1 1952 1

1930 4 1972 4

1950 10 1992 10

Delayed hazard: proportion of all deathsat ages 35-69 due to tobacco

US: All adults China: Men only 1950 12% 1990 12%

1990 33% 2030 ~33%

Page 17: China july 2013  Fudan University

Is youth smoking the next epidemic? • Boys’ and girls’ smoking rates

differ by less than 5 percentage points in almost half of the world’s countries• Girls smoke more than boys

in at least 25 countries• 2.7% of boys and 0.8% of girls

ages 13-15 in Shanghai smoke cigarettes (2005)

Page 18: China july 2013  Fudan University

Tobacco company advertising can be deceiving…

Shanghai Tobacco Company’s “I Love China” brand circumvents advertising bans

Page 19: China july 2013  Fudan University

China leads the world in growing tobacco…

• In 2011, China grew tobacco on more than 1.4 million hectares of land• In 2011, more than 3.1

million tonnes of tobacco were grown in China• In 2011, China grew

41.7% of the world’s tobacco

Page 20: China july 2013  Fudan University

The Western Pacific Region leads the world in cigarette manufacturing…

In 2010, 41% of the world’s cigarettes were produced in China.

Page 21: China july 2013  Fudan University

Tobacco is very big business and CNTC leads in profits and revenue…• Global cigarette market valued at almost half a

trillion dollars (taxes excluded)• Comparable to GDP of Poland and Sweden

• CNTC manufactured 2.1 trillion of the world’s 5.9 trillion cigarettes (2008)

Page 22: China july 2013  Fudan University

Does corporate social responsibility and philanthropy negate global harm?

In 2010, PMI donated only $25 million from their $7.5 billion profits to charitable causes (less than 1% of net profits)

Page 23: China july 2013  Fudan University

Tobacco-related costs in China are growing…

2000$7.2 billion

2008$28.9 billion

Between 2000 and 2008, total costs

attributable to tobacco use in China

more than quadrupled

Direct costs of smoking (size of figures proportional to total in USD)

Page 24: China july 2013  Fudan University

Tobacco companies profit on each tobacco-related death…• $35 billion in annual profits• 6 million deaths each year• Nearly $6,000 in profit for every death caused by tobacco

Page 25: China july 2013  Fudan University

Evidence-based solutions are a must…Outlined in WHO FCTC, MPOWER and U.S. Surgeon General’s Reports• Tax increases• Clean indoor air laws• Advertising bans• Graphic warning labels

Page 26: China july 2013  Fudan University

Michael Eriksen, ScDDean, School of Public Health

Georgia State [email protected]

Additional information available at:TobaccoAtlas.orgTobaccoPortal.org