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Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Charting the Course Overview of the Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan 2007 State Water Plan

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Page 1: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Bill MullicanNovember 16, 2006

Charting the CourseCharting the CourseOverview of theOverview of the

2007 State Water Plan2007 State Water Plan

Page 2: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Why Plan?Why Plan?

Lake LavonLake Lavon

--20062006

Page 3: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Public Water Supply SystemsPublic Water Supply SystemsAffected by DroughtAffected by Drought

Page 4: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Legislative Response to DroughtLegislative Response to Drought

• Late 1950’s Drought of Record– 1957: Creation of TWDB– $200 million Development Fund– 8 State Water Plans

• Late 1990’s: Potential New Drought of Record– $6 billion estimated economic losses in 1996 -

most in agriculture– Approximately 300 entities with threat to water

supplies– 1997: Implementation of Senate Bill 1 (SB 1)

Page 5: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

2007 Texas State Water Plan2007 Texas State Water Plan

Page 6: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Basic Steps in Water PlanningBasic Steps in Water Planning

• 50 year planning period

• Projection of population

• Projection of water demands

• Determine existing supplies

• Determine future surplus or needs• Evaluate and select water management

strategies

Page 7: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Basic Steps in Water PlanningBasic Steps in Water Planning

• TWDB resolution of interregional conflicts

• TWDB approval of regional water plans

• TWDB develops and adopts State Water Plan

Page 8: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

16 Planning Regions16 Planning Regions

Page 9: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water User GroupsWater User Groups

Page 10: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

CitiesCities

- Cities: 956

Page 11: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

UtilitiesUtilities

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378

Page 12: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

CountyCounty--OthersOthers

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 377- County-Others: 254

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254

Page 13: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

ManufacturingManufacturing

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254- Manufacturing: 174

Page 14: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Steam ElectricSteam Electric

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254- Manufacturing: 174- Steam Electric: 83

Page 15: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

LivestockLivestock

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254- Manufacturing: 174- Steam Electric: 83

- Livestock: 254

Page 16: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

MiningMining

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254- Manufacturing: 174- Steam Electric: 83

- Livestock: 254- Mining: 226

Page 17: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

IrrigationIrrigation

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254- Manufacturing: 174- Steam Electric: 83

- Livestock: 254- Mining: 226- Irrigation: 239

Page 18: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Total = 2,564Total = 2,564

- Cities: 956- Utilities: 378- County-Others: 254- Manufacturing: 174- Steam Electric: 83

- Livestock: 254- Mining: 226- Irrigation: 239

Page 19: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Regional SummariesRegional Summaries

• Six basic steps in water planning(region specific information)

• Conservation recommendations

• Ongoing issues

• Select policy recommendations

Page 20: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Projected Water Demand & Projected Water Demand & SupplySupply

18.3 19.0 19.6 20.1 20.8 21.6

17.916.9 16.1 15.4 15.0 14.6

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

mill

ion

s o

f ac

re-f

eet

Water Demand Water Supply

Page 21: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Projected DemandProjected Demand

Page 22: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Supply: Surface WaterSupply: Surface Water

8.7 8.78.4

8.88.99.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Su

rfac

e W

ater

Su

pp

lies

(mill

ion

s o

f ac

re-f

eet)

Page 23: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Supply: GroundwaterSupply: Groundwater

Page 24: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Projected Water Supply NeedsProjected Water Supply Needs

Page 25: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water Volume from RecommendedWater Volume from RecommendedWater Management StrategiesWater Management Strategies

4,500 Water Management Strategies

Page 26: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water ConservationWater Conservation

State Wide Totals

2002 Plan 2007 Plan990,000 af/y 2 million af/y

14% of total WMS 23% of total WMS

Page 27: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water ConservationWater Conservation

Municipal

2002 Plan 2007 Plan68,000 AFY 612,000 AFY<1% of total WMS 7% of total WMS

Page 28: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water ConservationWater ConservationMunicipal

Dallas/Fort Worth Region has recommended 292,000 AFY of water conservation in their

2006 regional plan

Page 29: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water ConservationWater ConservationMunicipalMunicipal

<1 *

Page 30: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water ConservationWater ConservationIrrigationIrrigation

Page 31: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water ConservationWater ConservationIrrigationIrrigation

Page 32: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Water needs not met by the recommended Water needs not met by the recommended water management strategieswater management strategies

1.8

2.1

2.5

2.7 2.8 2.7

-

1

2

3

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Un

met

nee

ds

(mill

ions

of

acre

-fee

t)

Page 33: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

RecommendedRecommendedMajor and Minor ReservoirsMajor and Minor Reservoirs

Page 34: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

What will it cost to

implement?

$30.7 Billion$30.7 Billion91% funded locally91% funded locally

Page 35: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Policy RecommendationsPolicy Recommendationsto the Legislatureto the Legislature

• Financing water management strategies

• Reservoir site designation and acquisition and stream segment designation

Page 36: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Overall Funding Needs for Water Supply, Water and Overall Funding Needs for Water Supply, Water and Wastewater Infrastructure, and Flood Protection by 2060Wastewater Infrastructure, and Flood Protection by 2060

Page 37: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Businesses and workers: - $9.1 billion in 2010

- $98.4 billion in 2060

Lost local and state taxes: - $466 million in 2010- $5.4 billion in 2060

Estimated Costs of Not Implementing Estimated Costs of Not Implementing Strategies in State Water PlanStrategies in State Water Plan

Page 38: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

2060About 85 percent

2010About 45 percent

Percent of the state’s projected Percent of the state’s projected population population

without waterwithout water during a drought of recordduring a drought of record

Page 39: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

• Designate all remaining viable reservoir sites of unique value for the construction of reservoirs under Texas Water Code, Section 16.05(g),

• Designate recommended river or stream segments of unique ecological value for protection under Texas Water Code, Section 16.05(f) as potential mitigation for future reservoirs, and

• Provide a mechanism to acquire viable reservoir sites and possible mitigation areas.

The Legislature ShouldThe Legislature Should

Page 40: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Unique Reservoir SitesUnique Reservoir Sites

Page 41: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Unique Stream SegmentsUnique Stream Segments

Region E Region H

Page 42: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Policy RecommendationsPolicy Recommendationsto the Legislatureto the Legislature

• Interbasin transfers of surface water

• Environmental water needs

• Water conservation

• Expedited amendment process

• Indirect reuse

Page 43: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Thank you

Questions and Answers

www.twdb.state.tx.us

Page 44: Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan · Bill Mullican November 16, 2006 Charting the Course Overview of the 2007 State Water Plan. Why Plan? Lake Lavon-2006

Bill MullicanNovember 16, 2006

Briefing to the 80Briefing to the 80thth LegislatureLegislatureon theon the

2007 State Water Plan2007 State Water Plan