chapter 11 l11-3 notes: making predictions. vocabulary a survey is a method of collecting...

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Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions

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Page 1: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Chapter 11

L11-3 Notes:

Making Predictions

Page 2: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Vocabulary

• A survey is a method of collecting information.

• The group being studied is the population.

Page 3: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Vocabulary

• A sample is a randomly-selected group that is used to represent a whole population.

selected at random (without preference)

representative of the population

large enough to provide accurate data.

Page 4: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Determine a Good Sample

Every ninth person entering a grocery store one day is asked to state whether they support the proposed school tax for their school district. Is this a good sample? Explain.

One hundred people eating at an Italian restaurant are surveyed to name their favorite type of restaurant. Is this a good sample? Explain.

Page 5: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Make Predictions Using Proportions

Lorenzo asked every tenth student who walked into school to name their favorite pizza topping.

Page 6: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Continued…

1. What is the probability that a student will prefer pepperoni pizza?

2. There are 384 students at the school Lorenzo attends. Predict how many students prefer pepperoni pizza.

Page 7: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

On your own…

David asked every eighth customer who walked into an ice cream shop to name their favorite sundae topping. Hot fudge was chosen by 12 customers, butterscotch by 10, and strawberry topping by 8. What is the probability that a customer will prefer strawberry topping?

Predict how many will select strawberry topping if they have an average on 450 customers each week.

Page 8: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Chapter 11

L11-4 Notes:

Probability and Area

Page 9: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Probability and Area

The probability of landing in a specific region of a target is the ratio of the area of the specific region to the area of the target.

Page 10: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Example 1

Find the probability that a randomly thrown dart will land in the shaded region of the dartboard.

Page 11: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Example 2

Find the probability that a randomly thrown dart will land in the shaded region of each dartboard.

If a dart is randomly thrown 400 times at the dartboard, about how many times will the dart land in the shaded region?

Page 12: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

On Your Own…

1. Find the probability that a randomly thrown dart will land in the shaded region of the dartboard.

2. If a dart is randomly thrown 640 times at the dartboard, about how many times will the dart land in the shaded region?

Page 13: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Chapter 11

L11-5 Notes:

Probability of Independent Events

Page 14: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Vocabulary

Two or more events in which the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of the other event are independent events.

The probability of two independent events is found by multiplying the probability of the first event by the probability of the second event.

Page 15: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Example 1

A coin is tossed, and the spinner shown is spun. Find the probability of tossing heads and spinning a 3.

Page 16: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

Example 2

Amanda placed 2 red marbles and 6 yellow marbles into a bag. She selected 1 marble without looking, replaced it, and then selected a second marble. Find the probability that each marble selected was not yellow.

Page 17: Chapter 11 L11-3 Notes: Making Predictions. Vocabulary A survey is a method of collecting information. The group being studied is the population

On Your Own…

A coin is tossed and a number cube is rolled. Find the probability of each event.

1. P(tails and even)

2. P(heads and less than five)