cbs nyt poll dem toplines 9/15/15

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Cbs Nyt Poll Dem Toplines 9/15/15

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  • CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL Race for the Democratic Nomination: Clintons Lead Narrows September 9-13, 2015 Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

    REGISTERED VOTERS Total Rep Dem Ind Dem. Primary Voters Jul15e % % % % % % A lot 36 44 30 35 36 30 Some 35 35 35 35 35 41 Not much 17 12 22 15 17 20 No attention so far 12 8 12 15 12 9 Dont know/No answer 1 1 1 0 1 -- Q2. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a (Republican presidential primary) or caucus, or a (Democratic presidential primary) or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? Republican primary 36 87 4 22 Democratic primary 33 1 76 20 Not likely to vote 17 6 10 32 Never vote * - - 1 Dont know/No answer 14 6 10 24

    Q3a. Which one of these potential candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President in 2016?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % % Hillary Clinton 47 58 Bernie Sanders 27 17 Joe Biden 15 11 Lincoln Chafee 1 1 Jim Webb 1 2 Martin O'Malley * 1 Someone Else (vol.) 1 -- None of them (vol.) 2 4 Dont know/No answer 7 7 (*) % is less than 0.5

  • Q4a. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure? AMONG DEM PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE Mind made up 43 Too early 56 Dont know/No answer 1 Q5a. Who would be your second choice for the Democratic nomination for president? AMONG DEM PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE Joe Biden 36 42 Hillary Clinton 23 20 Bernie Sanders 14 15 Jim Webb 3 4 Martin O'Malley 2 3 Lincoln Chafee - 1 Someone Else (vol.) 1 2 None of them (vol.) 12 6 Dont know/No answer 8 7 Q5b. Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2016 comes down to the following candidates, which one would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President in 2016?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS % Hillary Clinton 58 Bernie Sanders 28 Jim Webb 3 Martin O'Malley * Lincoln Chafee - Someone Else (vol.) 2 None of them (vol.) 2 Dont know/No answer 6 (*) % is less than 0.5

  • Q6a. What is the main reason you would like to see the Democratic Party nominate Hillary Clinton as its 2016 presidential candidate? DEM PRIMARY VOTERS WHO PICK CLINTON AS 1ST OR 2ND CHOICE % Has the right experience 16 Shes a woman/time for woman pres. 13 Best candidate for the job 10 Married to Bill Clinton 9 Agree on the issues 6 Shes a democrat 6 Can win general election 4 Smart/intelligent 3 Strong leader 2 Like her 2 Successful politician/Sec. of State 2 Country needs change/will bring change 1 Honest/trustworthy 1 Stance on the economy 1 Stance of foreign policy 1 Understands how government works 1 Ran before/her turn * Dont like the other candidates * Other 16 Dont know/No answer 5 Q7a. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these potential Democratic presidential candidates would you be most dissatisfied with as the Democratic nominee?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % % Hillary Clinton 15 13 Martin O'Malley 14 13 Lincoln Chafee 11 12 Joe Biden 10 10 Jim Webb 10 11 Bernie Sanders 9 14 Someone Else (vol.) * * None of them (vol.) 5 3 Dont know/No answer 26 23 (*) % is less than 0.5

  • Q8a. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these potential Democratic presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Jul15e % % Hillary Clinton 55 78 Joe Biden 21 11 Bernie Sanders 10 5 Jim Webb 2 1 Lincoln Chafee 1 0 Martin O'Malley * * Someone Else (vol.) 1 * None of them (vol.) 2 1 Dont know/No answer 7 4 Q9a. If Hillary Clinton became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support her, support her but with reservations, support her only because she is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support her?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Enthusiastically support 48 Support with reservations 28 Support only because nominee 15 No support 6 Dont know/no answer 2 Q10a. Thinking about the Democratic party's nominee for president in 2016, which is more important to you -- a nominee who (agrees with your position on most issues), or a nominee who (can win the general election in November)?

    DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS % Agrees on issues 62 Can win in November 35 Dont know/no answer 4 Q11a. Would you like to see Joe Biden run for President of the United States in 2016, or not? Yes 57 No 34 Dont know/no answer 9

  • Q12. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not? REGISTERED VOTERS Total Rep Dem Ind Rep. Primary Voters % % % % %

    Honest and trustworthy 35 53 18 34 55 Not honest and trustworthy 55 32 74 56 32 Dont know/no answer 11 15 7 10 12 Q13. Do you think Donald Trump has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 56 80 35 54 81 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 41 16 63 43 17 Dont know/no answer 3 3 2 4 2 Q14. RELEASE SEPARATELY Q15. Do you think Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy, or not?

    Honest and trustworthy 49 73 27 48 79 Not honest and trustworthy 16 5 26 16 4 Dont know/no answer 36 22 47 36 16 Q16. Do you think Ben Carson has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 38 59 21 35 64 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 25 15 31 29 15 Dont know/no answer 37 26 48 36 22 Q17. RELEASED SEPARATELY Q18. Do you think Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy, or not? Voters

    Honest and trustworthy 48 71 32 43 72 Not honest and trustworthy 35 15 51 39 16 Dont know/no answer 17 14 17 19 13 Q19. Do you think Jeb Bush has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 44 57 37 41 58 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 42 31 50 43 32 Dont know/no answer 14 11 13 16 10

  • Q20. RELEASED SEPARATELY Q21. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not? REGISTERED VOTERS Dem. Primary Total Rep Dem Inds Voters Jul15e % % % % % % Honest and trustworthy 32 10 62 22 64 40 Not honest and trustworthy 62 87 30 70 30 55 Dont know/no answer 7 2 9 8 6 5 Q22. Do you think Hillary Clinton has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 53 24 84 51 88 65 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 43 75 12 45 9 31 Dont know/no answer 4 2 4 5 3 4 Q23. Do you think Hillary Clintons views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right? DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS % Too liberal 10 Not liberal enough 23 Just about right 64 Dont know/no answer 3 Q24. Do you think Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy, or not? REGISTERED VOTERS Dem. Primary Total Rep Dem Inds Voters % % % % % Honest and trustworthy 43 30 50 47 58 Not honest and trustworthy 20 29 15 16 15 Dont know/no answer 38 41 35 38 27 Q25. Do you think Bernie Sanders has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes, strong qualities of leadership 37 26 43 40 52 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 29 38 23 27 23 Dont know/no answer 35 36 34 33 25

  • Q26. Do you think Bernie Sanderss views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right? DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Too liberal 12 Not liberal enough 13 Just about right 49 Dont know/no answer 26 Q27. Do you think Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy, or not? REGISTERED VOTERS Dem. Primary Total Rep Dem Inds Voters Sep12a % % % % % % Honest and trustworthy 55 37 79 48 81 55 Not honest and trustworthy 31 47 14 32 14 32 Dont know/no answer 15 16 7 20 6 14 Q28. Do you think Joe Biden has strong qualities of leadership, or not? REGISTERED VOTERS Dem. Primary Total Rep Dem Inds Voters % % % % % Yes, strong qualities of leadership 49 29 73 43 78 No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 40 60 17 43 14 Dont know/no answer 12 12 9 14 8 Q29. Do you think Joe Bidens views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right? DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Too liberal 4 Not liberal enough 17 Just about right 69 Dont know/no answer 11 Q34a. How much have you heard or read about Hillary Clintons exclusive use of a personal email address and server for work-related matters while she was Secretary of State a lot, some, or not much? TOTAL RESPONDENTS Reg. Dem. Primary Total Rep Dem Inds Voters Voters Mar15c % % % % % % % A lot 44 54 42 39 52 50 40 Some 30 30 34 27 29 32 29 Not much 22 15 23 26 17 17 27 Nothing at all 4 1 2 7 2 1 3 Dont know/No answer 1 * * 1 * * 1

  • Q34b. Has Hillary Clintons exclusive use of a personal email address and server for work while she was Secretary of State made your opinion of her better, made your opinion worse, or has this not affected your opinion of Hillary Clinton? TOTAL RESPONDENTS Reg. Dem. Primary Total Rep Dem Inds Voters Voters Mar15c % % % % % % % Better 2 1 3 2 2 3 3 Worse 36 62 19 34 42 18 29 No Effect 59 36 77 59 55 76 65 Don't know/No answer 3 1 1 5 2 3 2 Q34c. Are you mostly satisfied or mostly dissatisfied with Hillary Clintons explanation about why she used a personal email address and server for work while she was Secretary of State? Mostly Satisfied 32 13 55 28 35 66 42 Mostly Dissatisfied 50 81 25 49 54 24 40 Don't know/No answer 17 6 19 23 11 10 18

    Unweighted Weighted Margin of error Total Respondents 1,261 3 pts. Total Registered voters 1,021 926 4 pts. Total Democratic Primary Voters 351 307 6 pts.