cats/ccs – ofgem project discovery mike farley …...doosan babcock post combustion capture...
TRANSCRIPT
CA
Ts/
CC
S –
OF
GE
M P
roje
ct D
isco
very
Mik
e F
arle
yD
oo
san
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s
Pre
senta
tion to U
KC
CS
C N
etw
ork
Meeting E
din
burg
h
Marc
h 3
1st 2010
Pa
ge
1
Ou
tlin
e
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Pa
ge
2
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Ou
tlin
e
Pa
ge
3
Key
Mes
sag
es
�W
e u
nd
erst
and
th
e o
bje
ctiv
es o
f g
lob
al e
ner
gy
and
en
viro
nm
ent
po
licie
s an
d w
ant
to p
lan
ou
r b
usi
nes
s ar
ou
nd
hel
pin
g t
o a
chie
ve t
hem
�W
e ar
e w
ell p
lace
d -
nat
ion
ally
an
d in
tern
atio
nal
ly -
as a
tec
hn
ical
lead
er
and
an
infl
uen
tial
par
t o
f th
e D
oo
san
Gro
up
-to
ro
ll o
ut
low
car
bo
n p
ow
er
gen
erat
ion
tec
hn
olo
gie
s g
lob
ally
�W
e n
eed
to
hav
e co
nfi
den
ce in
th
e im
ple
men
tati
on
of
po
licie
s (g
lob
al a
nd
U
K)
in o
rder
to
pla
n o
ur
ow
n in
vest
men
ts a
nd
bu
sin
ess
–co
al, g
as, C
CS
, n
ucl
ear
and
win
d
�W
e h
ave
gra
ve d
ou
bts
, rei
nfo
rced
by
Pro
ject
Dis
cove
ry, a
bo
ut
wh
eth
er
curr
ent
po
licie
s w
ill d
eliv
er t
he
UK
go
vern
men
t’s
thre
e o
bje
ctiv
es
(sec
uri
ty, d
ecar
bo
nis
atio
n a
nd
aff
ord
abili
ty)
in 2
020
or
2030
Pa
ge
4
We
un
der
stan
d t
he
bac
kgro
un
d (
Clim
ate
Ch
ang
e T
arg
ets)
-U
K
Sou
rce
: U
K N
ationa
l A
tmo
sphe
ric E
mis
sio
ns In
ve
nto
ry (
200
8)
42 98 108
103
134
184
Inte
rnat
ion
al a
viat
ion
&
ship
pin
g*
UK
no
n-C
O2
GH
Gs
Oth
er C
O2
Ind
ust
ry (
hea
t &
in
du
stri
al p
roce
sses
)
Res
iden
tial
&
com
mer
cial
hea
t
Do
mes
tic
tran
spo
rt
Ele
ctri
city
Gen
erat
ion 20
06 e
mis
sio
ns
77%
cu
t (=
80%
vs.
199
0)77
% c
ut
(=80
% v
s. 1
990)
159
Mt
CO
2e
2050
ob
ject
ive
* B
un
ke
r fu
els
ba
sis
695
Mt
CO
2e
�D
ecar
bo
nis
e th
e el
ectr
icit
y sy
stem
by
2030
, an
d t
hen
uti
lise
clea
n e
lect
rici
ty t
o
dec
arb
on
ise
tran
spo
rt
and
res
iden
tial
h
eati
ng
, wit
h a
n
ove
rall
targ
et t
o
red
uce
CO
2 em
issi
on
s b
y 80
% in
20
50�
Imp
ort
ant
role
fo
r C
CS
, alo
ng
sid
e re
new
able
s (l
arg
ely
win
d)
and
nu
clea
r
Pa
ge
5
We
un
der
stan
d t
he
bac
kgro
un
d (
Clim
ate
Ch
ang
e T
arg
ets)
-G
lob
al
�IE
A h
ave
map
ped
th
e ab
atem
ent
tech
no
log
ies
to
ach
ieve
50%
red
uct
ion
in
glo
bal
CO
2 em
issi
on
s b
y 20
50
�Im
po
rtan
t ro
les
for
CA
Ts,
re
new
able
s an
d n
ucl
ear
26%
31%
15%
8%
12%
8%
CC
S
Re
ne
wa
ble
s
Nucle
ar
Bio
ma
ss
Ga
s e
ffic
iency a
nd f
ue
l sw
itchin
g t
o g
as
IGC
C/S
upe
rcri
tica
l co
al
Pa
ge
6
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Ou
tlin
e
Pa
ge
7
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
Op
erat
ion
Do
osa
n H
eavy
Ind
ust
ry O
per
atio
n
Do
osa
n B
abco
ck
HQ
: R
en
frew
, U
K
R&
D C
en
tre
: R
en
frew
, U
KC
arb
on
Cap
ture
CO
E: R
en
frew
, U
K
Wo
rld
wid
e D
oo
san
Op
erat
ion
s
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms,
hea
dq
uar
tere
d in
UK
, alo
ng
wit
h D
oo
san
Hea
vy,
hea
dq
uar
tere
d in
So
uth
Ko
rea,
hav
e w
orl
dw
ide
op
erat
ion
al a
nd
sal
es c
ove
rag
e to
m
eet
ou
r C
lien
ts r
equ
irem
ents
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
Co
rpo
rate
HQ
: C
raw
ley,
UK
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
-A
mer
icas
H
Q:
New
Je
rse
y,
U.S
.A.
Se
rvic
e C
en
tre
: A
tla
nta
, U
.S.A
Do
osa
n H
eavy
Co
rpo
rate
HQ
: S
eou
l, S
ou
th K
ore
aM
anu
f: C
hangw
on
, S
ou
th K
ore
aM
anu
f: V
ina
, V
ietn
am
Ško
da
Po
wer
H
Q:
Plz
e�
, C
ze
ch
Repub
lic
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
–E
uro
pe
HQ
: C
raw
ley,
UK
S
erv
ice
Ce
ntr
e:
Esse
n, G
erm
an
yS
erv
ice
Ce
ntr
e:
Rybn
ik,
Po
lan
d
Pa
ge
8
OE
M P
rod
uct
Co
mp
anie
s
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
Do
osa
nP
ow
er S
yste
ms
Do
osa
nP
ow
er S
yste
ms
•T
urb
ine
OE
M•
Aft
erm
arke
t
S
ervi
ces
•N
ew B
uild
•R
&D
•T
urb
ine
OE
M•
Aft
erm
arke
t
S
ervi
ces
•N
ew B
uild
•R
&D
•B
oile
r O
EM
•A
fter
mar
ket
Ser
vice
s •
CC
S•
New
Bu
ild•
R&
D
•B
oile
r O
EM
•A
fter
mar
ket
Ser
vice
s •
CC
S•
New
Bu
ild•
R&
D
•Bo
iler
& T
urb
ine
serv
ices
to
E
uro
pe
reg
ion
•Bo
iler
& T
urb
ine
serv
ices
to
E
uro
pe
reg
ion
•Bo
iler
& T
urb
ine
serv
ices
to
A
mer
icas
reg
ion
•Bo
iler
& T
urb
ine
serv
ices
to
A
mer
icas
reg
ion
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
colle
ctiv
ely
off
ers
BT
G s
up
ply
cap
abili
ty a
s a
sin
gle
so
urc
e ac
ross
th
e w
orl
d
Do
osa
n
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s(A
mer
icas
)
Do
osa
n
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s(A
mer
icas
)
Do
osa
n
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s(E
uro
pe)
Do
osa
n
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s(E
uro
pe)
Do
osa
n B
abco
ckD
oo
san
Bab
cock
Ško
da
Po
wer
Ško
da
Po
wer
Pa
ge
9
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
�D
oo
san
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s�
A s
ubsid
iary
of
Doosan o
f S
outh
Kore
a,
a m
ark
et
lead
er
in t
he E
nerg
y s
ecto
r
�H
Q in U
K;
inco
rpora
tes D
oosan B
abcock a
nd S
koda P
ow
er
�E
mplo
ys 6
000 p
eop
le (
50
00 in U
K),
>£1bn b
usin
ess
�H
eavy investm
ent
in a
dva
nce
d t
echnolo
gie
s (
inclu
din
g C
CS
)
�D
edic
ate
d R
&D
gro
ups in U
K a
nd C
zech R
epublic
�H
eavy investm
ent
in p
eo
ple
(re
cru
itm
ent
an
d t
rain
ing o
f ap
pre
ntices,
technic
ians a
nd g
radu
ate
s)
�W
ill b
e a
majo
r E
PC
contr
acto
r fo
r com
ple
te p
ow
er
pla
nt
with C
arb
on C
aptu
re
Nu
clea
rT
her
mal
Tu
rbin
e &
G
ener
ato
rD
esal
inat
ion
Cas
tin
g &
Fo
rgin
gC
on
stru
ctio
n
Pa
ge
10
Hig
hlig
hts
�T
her
e ar
e n
ow
alm
ost
50
x 60
0MW
su
per
crit
ical
co
al b
oile
rs o
f D
oo
san
Bab
cock
d
esig
n c
om
mis
sio
ned
in C
hin
a
�T
he
firs
t E
PC
(E
ng
inee
r-P
rocu
re-C
on
stru
ct)
con
trac
t aw
ard
ed t
o D
oo
san
Hea
vy
Ind
ust
ries
an
d C
on
stru
ctio
n f
or
a fu
ll su
per
crit
ical
bo
iler
and
tu
rbin
e m
ega
pro
ject
(2
x 68
5MW
) fo
r th
e R
aip
ur
-C
hh
atti
sgar
h c
oal
-fir
ed t
her
mal
po
wer
pla
nt
in In
dia
�O
rder
fo
r th
e fi
rst
sup
ercr
itic
al o
il fi
red
bo
ilers
to
be
inst
alle
d in
Eg
ypt
�O
rder
to
a K
ore
an c
on
sort
ium
fo
r a
$40b
n c
on
trac
t fo
r A
PR
1400
nu
clea
r p
ow
er
pla
nts
in t
he
Un
ited
Ara
b E
mir
ates
. D
HIC
will
su
pp
ly t
he
mai
n e
qu
ipm
ent
incl
ud
ing
th
e re
acto
r p
ress
ure
ves
sel,
stea
m g
ener
ato
rs a
nd
tu
rbo
gen
erat
ors
for
the
pro
ject
.
�D
oo
san
Win
DS
3000
off
sho
re w
ind
tu
rbin
e u
nd
erg
oin
g c
erti
fica
tio
n t
rial
s in
K
ore
a
Pa
ge
11
Hig
hlig
hts
-C
CS
�O
xyC
oal
TM
pilo
t d
emo
nst
rati
ng
saf
e an
d s
tab
le
com
bu
stio
n a
t 40
MW
wit
h 9
0% c
on
cen
trat
ion
of
CO
2 at
ou
r R
enfr
ew C
lean
Co
mb
ust
ion
Tes
t F
acili
ty
�D
oo
san
Bab
cock
po
st c
om
bu
stio
n c
aptu
re
tech
no
log
y se
lect
ed f
or
Bas
in R
iver
CC
S
dem
on
stra
tio
n in
No
rth
Dak
ota
, US
A -
125
MW
�C
CP
ilot1
00+
, a
100t
/d d
emo
nst
rati
on
of
CO
2ca
ptu
re b
y p
ost
co
mb
ust
ion
cap
ture
is t
o b
e d
esig
ned
, bu
ilt a
nd
co
mm
issi
on
ed b
y D
oo
san
B
abco
ck a
t F
erry
bri
dg
e P
ow
er S
tati
on
. Th
e p
roje
ct w
ill b
e jo
intl
y fu
nd
ed b
y th
e T
SB
, DE
CC
, T
he
No
rth
ern
Way
, Do
osa
n B
abco
ck, S
SE
an
d
Vat
ten
fall.
Pa
ge
12
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Ou
tlin
e
Pa
ge
13
Co
al a
nd
CC
S is
a C
ost
-Co
mp
etit
ive
Lo
w C
arb
on
Op
tio
n
107.
010
7.0
107.
0O
ffsh
ore
Win
d
75.0
75.0
75.0
On
sho
re W
ind
70.7
69.2
67.7
Co
al +
CC
S
70.8
56.4
41.7
Co
al
59.3
51.8
44.3
CC
GT
(g
as)
Incl
ud
ing
Co
st
of
Car
bo
n
Allo
wan
ces
€40/
te
Incl
ud
ing
Co
st o
f C
arb
on
A
llow
ance
s €2
0/te
Exc
lud
ing
co
st o
f C
arb
on
A
llow
ance
s
£/M
Wh
Co
al +
CC
S c
om
pet
itiv
e th
an o
ther
low
car
bo
n o
pti
on
s!
Bu
t m
ore
exp
ensi
ve t
han
un
abat
ed g
as!
Sou
rce
: E
.ON
, Ju
ly 2
008
.
Re
cen
t da
ta f
rom
Pa
rson
s B
rin
ke
rhoff
“P
ow
erin
g t
he
Na
tio
n U
pda
te 2
010
”h
as o
ffsh
ore
win
d £
150
-210
/ M
Wh
Pa
ge
14
Glo
bal
CC
S d
eplo
ymen
t in
th
e IE
A B
LU
E M
ap S
cen
ario
Number of Projects
MtCO2/year Captured
Th
ere
is a
n a
mb
itio
us
gro
wth
pat
h f
or
CC
S f
rom
201
0 to
205
0T
her
e is
an
am
bit
iou
s g
row
th p
ath
fo
r C
CS
fro
m 2
010
to 2
050
Sou
rce
: IE
A C
lean
Coa
l C
en
tre
Pa
ge
15
Glo
bal
Tre
nd
in C
CS
an
d A
mb
itio
n f
or
UK
Ind
ust
ry
160
KW
e E
RT
F a
t D
oo
san
B
abco
ck
Cu
rren
t te
st r
ig
scal
e tr
ials
40M
Wth
O
xyC
oal
5 M
We
SS
E
CC
Pilo
t100
+ a
t F
erry
bri
dg
e
Pilo
t sc
ale
tria
ls a
t P
ow
er
pla
nt
1MW
e u
pw
ard
s
2009
-20
12
At
leas
t th
ree
Dem
on
stra
tio
ns
pro
ject
s in
th
e fi
rst
tran
che
20+
full
scal
e C
CS
d
emo
nst
rati
on
s g
lob
ally
(10
-12
in
the
EU
),
op
erat
ion
al b
y 20
15/6
100M
W t
o 4
00M
W
Tar
get
bet
wee
n
5 an
d 1
0 p
roje
cts
by
2020
IEA
-10
0 fu
ll sc
ale
earl
y st
age
dep
loym
ent
pro
ject
s n
eed
ed b
y 20
20
Tar
get
10%
m
arke
t sh
are
of
po
wer
/CC
S
pro
ject
s,
aro
un
d 5
/yea
r
IEA
-10
0 C
CS
p
roje
cts/
year
Glo
bal
tr
end
Am
bit
ion
for
CC
S
for
UK
in
du
stry
2009
2020
2015
Pa
ge
16
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Ou
tlin
e
Pa
ge
17
CC
S -
Wh
at is
th
e U
K d
oin
g a
nd
Wh
at s
ho
uld
it b
e d
oin
g?
�S
up
po
rt f
or
R+
D a
nd
pilo
t sc
ale
pro
ject
s
�R
egu
lati
on
s fo
r C
arb
on
Dio
xid
e st
ora
ge
�M
ult
iple
ear
ly d
emo
nst
rati
on
s o
f co
al a
nd
gas
CC
S
�A
pla
n f
or
roll-
ou
t o
f C
CS
bey
on
d t
he
firs
t tr
anch
e o
f d
emo
nst
rati
on
s
�C
arb
on
Cap
ture
an
d S
tora
ge
Rea
din
ess
(CC
R)
Pa
ge
18
Wh
at is
th
e U
K d
oin
g a
nd
Wh
at s
ho
uld
it b
e d
oin
g?
�S
up
po
rt f
or
R+
D a
nd
pilo
t sc
ale
pro
ject
s–
We a
re p
lease
d t
hat
DE
CC
,TS
B,
ET
I and t
he R
esearc
h C
ouncils
UK
are
deliv
eri
ng g
ood s
upport
–Im
port
ant
that
this
contin
ues
–N
eed m
ore
larg
e s
cale
R+
D o
n s
tora
ge
Pa
ge
19
Wh
at is
th
e U
K d
oin
g a
nd
wh
at s
ho
uld
it b
e d
oin
g?
�R
egu
lati
on
s fo
r C
arb
on
Dio
xid
e st
ora
ge
–W
e b
elie
ve t
he
UK
is leadin
g in t
his
fie
ld
–W
e s
hould
su
pport
oth
er
coun
try’s
work
in t
his
are
a
–W
e h
ave t
o h
ave t
he r
ight
bala
nce b
etw
een c
ontr
ol an
d s
trangu
latio
n
Pa
ge
20
Wh
at is
th
e U
K d
oin
g a
nd
wh
at s
ho
uld
it b
e d
oin
g?
�M
ult
iple
ear
ly d
emo
nst
rati
on
s o
f C
CS
via
DE
CC
co
mp
etit
ion
an
d t
he
pro
po
sed
levy
–W
e w
elc
om
e U
K p
lan t
o e
sta
blis
h n
ationa
l fu
ndin
g b
ut
are
concern
ed a
bou
t
the p
ace
–G
overn
ment
needs t
o p
rovid
e m
ore
cla
rity
on s
upp
ort
for
full
CC
Sre
trofits
–G
overn
ment
(and E
U)
nee
d t
o b
e c
are
ful -
if e
lectr
icity c
om
panie
s a
re
expose
d t
o t
oo m
uch r
isk v
ers
us t
he p
ote
ntia
l re
wa
rd t
he
y w
ill n
ot
be a
ble
to invest
–G
overn
ment
needs t
o e
nsure
its
obje
ctive t
o a
chie
ve “
econ
om
ic b
en
efit”
in
the U
K is d
eliv
ere
d
•N
eed c
om
petition b
etw
een s
upplie
rs
•N
eed “
econom
ic b
enefit”
as a
n e
valu
ation e
xplic
it c
rite
rion f
or
the
com
petitio
n
Pa
ge
21
Wh
at is
th
e U
K d
oin
g a
nd
Wh
at s
ho
uld
it b
e d
oin
g?
�A
pla
n f
or
roll-
ou
t o
f C
CS
bey
on
d t
he
firs
t tr
anch
e o
f d
emo
nst
rati
on
s–
We h
ave b
ee
n p
ressin
g f
or
this
for
som
e t
ime
–U
nle
ss t
here
is c
ontinuity t
he lessons o
f th
e e
arl
y p
roje
cts
will
be lost
–N
eed e
arl
y r
evie
w o
f te
chnic
al via
bili
ty a
nd r
equire
d f
inancia
l support
for
next
ph
ase o
f in
vestm
ent
-no late
r th
an 2
016 t
o s
upp
ort
ne
xt
investm
ents
fro
m 2
018
–T
his
is w
ell
illu
str
ate
d b
y t
he f
ollo
win
g s
lides f
rom
EP
PS
A
Pa
ge
22
CC
S:
To
war
ds
Ear
ly Im
ple
men
tati
on
En
gin
ee
rin
g r
esou
rces to
bu
ild C
O2
ca
ptu
re p
lan
ts in
EU
27
1) F
igu
res
for
eng
inee
rin
g r
eso
urc
es a
re
ind
icat
ive
to s
ho
w r
elat
ion
s o
nly
Sou
rce
: E
PP
SA
Pa
ge
23
CC
S:
To
war
ds
Ear
ly Im
ple
men
tati
on
En
gin
ee
rin
g r
esou
rces to
bu
ild C
O2
ca
ptu
re p
lan
ts in
EU
27
Sou
rce
: E
PP
SA
Pa
ge
24
05
10
15
20
25 201
4201
5201
6201
7201
8201
9202
0202
1202
2202
3202
4202
5202
6202
7202
8202
9203
0
Ro
llou
t o
f C
CS
into
Op
erat
ion
in U
K t
o M
eet
Tar
get
s
Tar
get
fo
r C
CS
o
n c
oal
DE
CC
2 p
roje
cts
DE
CC
4 p
roje
cts
DE
CC
4 p
roje
cts
+ r
etro
fit
Nee
ded
We
nee
d t
o b
e h
ere
(5G
W C
CS
) in
20
20 n
ot
2025
!
Installed CCS Capacity (GW)F
irst
Tra
nche
of
De
mo
nstr
atio
ns
Se
co
nd T
ranche
of
De
mo
nstr
atio
ns
Co
mm
erc
ial R
ollo
ut
Pa
ge
25
Wh
at is
th
e U
K d
oin
g a
nd
wh
at s
ho
uld
it b
e d
oin
g?
�C
arb
on
Cap
ture
an
d S
tora
ge
Rea
din
ess
–W
e a
re s
upport
ive o
f E
uro
pe –
wid
e r
equir
em
ents
for
CC
R f
or
ne
w
coal an
d g
as p
ow
er
pla
nt
–C
CR
po
we
r pla
nt
plu
s C
CS
de
monstr
ations p
lus a
polic
y t
o
support
com
ple
tion o
f fu
ll C
CS
can a
ccele
rate
decarb
onis
ation o
f
the e
lectr
icity s
ecto
r
Pa
ge
26
Cap
ital
Inve
stm
ent
�N
eed
hu
ge
cap
ital
inve
stm
ent
to r
epla
ce a
gei
ng
pla
nt
and
dec
arb
on
ise
elec
tric
ity
�In
vest
ors
nee
d c
on
fid
ence
in t
he
pay
bac
k fr
om
th
eir
inve
stm
ents
–ex
pec
t h
igh
load
fac
tors
fo
r la
rge
cap
ital
inve
stm
ents
, bu
t…
Po
yry
rep
ort
�A
naly
ses t
he im
pact
of
30 G
W o
f w
ind o
n t
he U
K g
en
era
tion s
yste
m
�C
oncern
s b
oth
wh
en t
he w
ind b
low
ing a
nd a
lmost
all
oth
er
pla
nt
has t
o
be t
urn
ed o
ff ,
negative e
lectr
icity p
rices,
investm
ent
case f
or
nucle
ar
and C
CS
unde
rmin
ed
�C
oncern
s w
he
n n
o w
ind b
low
ing a
nd 3
0 G
W o
f backup p
lan
t could
be
need
ed
Po
yry
rep
ort
�A
naly
ses t
he im
pact
of
30 G
W o
f w
ind o
n t
he U
K g
en
era
tion s
yste
m
�C
oncern
s b
oth
wh
en t
he w
ind b
low
ing a
nd a
lmost
all
oth
er
pla
nt
has t
o
be t
urn
ed o
ff ,
negative e
lectr
icity p
rices,
investm
ent
case f
or
nucle
ar
and C
CS
unde
rmin
ed
�C
oncern
s w
he
n n
o w
ind b
low
ing a
nd 3
0 G
W o
f backup p
lan
t could
be
need
ed
Pa
ge
27
Gen
erat
ion
Pla
nt
Dis
pat
ch in
Jan
uar
y
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70 01
-Ja
n0
4-J
an
07
-Ja
n1
0-J
an
13
-Ja
n1
6-J
an
19
-Ja
n2
2-J
an
25
-Ja
n2
8-J
an
31
-Ja
n
Generation (GW)
Nu
cle
ar
Bio
ma
ss
Co
al
CH
PC
CG
TO
the
r re
ne
wa
ble
sD
em
an
dP
ea
kin
g p
lan
tsIm
po
rts
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70 01
-Ja
n0
4-J
an
07
-Ja
n1
0-J
an
13
-Ja
n1
6-J
an
19
-Ja
n2
2-J
an
25
-Ja
n2
8-J
an
31
-Ja
n
Generation (GW)
Nu
cle
ar
Bio
ma
ss
CC
SC
oa
lC
oa
lC
HP
CC
GT
Oth
er
ren
ew
ab
les
De
ma
nd
Pe
ak
ing
pla
nts
Imp
ort
s
2010
wit
h a
mo
des
t am
ou
nt
of
Win
d c
apac
ity
2010
wit
h a
mo
des
t am
ou
nt
of
Win
d c
apac
ity
Sou
rce
: P
oyry
2030
wit
h 3
0GW
of
Win
d c
apac
ity
2030
wit
h 3
0GW
of
Win
d c
apac
ity
Pa
ge
28
�O
n lo
w w
ind
day
s th
e w
ho
le c
apac
ity
of
the
win
d f
arm
s m
ust
be
sub
stit
ute
d b
y al
tern
ativ
e re
liab
le g
ener
atio
n c
apac
ity,
ap
pro
xim
atel
y d
ou
blin
g t
he
cap
ital
inve
stm
ent
req
uir
ed.
�O
n h
igh
win
d d
ays
ther
e w
ill b
e el
ectr
icit
y ca
pac
ity
wel
l in
exc
ess
of
dem
and
an
d o
ther
fo
rms
of
gen
erat
ion
will
hav
e to
be
turn
ed o
ff a
nd
el
ectr
icit
y p
rice
s w
ill p
lum
met
.
�T
oo
mu
ch w
ind
cap
acit
y o
n t
he
syst
em u
nd
erm
ines
th
e in
vest
men
t ca
se
for
Nu
clea
r, C
oal
or
gas
wit
h C
CS
�W
e n
eed
a m
ore
sen
sib
le b
alan
ce b
etw
een
nu
clea
r, C
CS
an
d r
enew
able
s
Pa
ge
29
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Ou
tlin
e
Pa
ge
30
Co
mm
ents
on
OF
GE
M P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�C
on
clu
sio
ns
are
no
t a
surp
rise
–m
any
of
us
hav
e b
een
exp
ress
ing
re
serv
atio
ns
abo
ut
the
go
vern
men
t’s
ener
gy
po
licie
s fo
r so
me
year
s
�N
ot
surp
rise
d t
hat
OF
GE
M h
ave
con
clu
ded
th
at t
hey
hav
e co
nce
rns
abo
ut
wh
eth
er t
he
pre
sen
t ar
ran
gem
ents
will
del
iver
th
e n
eces
sary
inve
stm
ent
in
new
gen
erat
ion
cap
acit
y an
d t
hat
sig
nif
ican
t ac
tio
n w
ill b
e ca
lled
fo
r g
iven
th
e “u
np
rece
den
ted
ch
alle
ng
es f
acin
g t
he
gas
an
d e
lect
rici
ty in
du
stri
es”.
�In
th
e tw
o “
Gre
en S
cen
ario
s”co
nsi
der
ed b
y O
FG
EM
, wh
ich
mo
st n
earl
y re
pre
sen
t g
ove
rnm
ent
po
licie
s, t
he
Key
Su
pp
ly R
isk
is “
gen
erat
ion
va
riab
ility
”, d
ue
to t
he
hig
h p
enet
rati
on
of
inte
rmit
ten
t re
new
able
s
�P
rese
nt
po
licie
s le
adin
g t
o i
nte
rmit
ten
t w
ind
an
d u
nab
ated
gas
CC
GT
s
Pa
ge
31
En
erg
y P
olic
ies
in U
K –
Ris
k an
d S
olu
tio
n
�O
FG
EM
Pro
ject
Dis
cove
ry s
tro
ng
ly r
ein
forc
es o
ur
view
s�
Pro
ble
ms
aris
e b
ecau
se g
ove
rnm
ent
po
licie
s ar
e d
rivi
ng
to
war
ds
ag
ross
ly
imb
alan
ced
gen
erat
ion
po
rtfo
lio w
hic
h w
ill n
ot
mee
t an
y o
f it
s th
ree
ob
ject
ives
-C
O2,
sec
uri
ty o
r co
sts
�T
his
is a
res
ult
of
the
pre
scri
pti
on
of
ren
ewab
les
(Ren
ewab
les
Ob
ligat
ion
) b
ut
no
co
mp
arab
le p
resc
rip
tio
n o
r in
cen
tive
s fo
r n
ucl
ear
or
CC
S
We r
ecom
men
d m
odelli
ng o
f ele
ctr
icity s
yste
m t
akin
g a
ccou
nt
of
the f
eatu
res
of
diffe
rent
typ
es o
f pla
nt
(ba
selo
ad,
ram
p r
ate
s,
capacity,
cost)
and t
he
diffe
rent
featu
res o
f dem
and s
ide m
easure
s )
to e
sta
blis
h w
hat
abala
nced
port
folio
wo
uld
look lik
e.
This
work
shou
ld b
e c
om
ple
ted b
efo
re d
esig
nin
g a
ny m
ajo
r changes
to t
he
ele
ctr
icity m
ark
et
We r
ecom
men
d m
odelli
ng o
f ele
ctr
icity s
yste
m t
akin
g a
ccou
nt
of
the f
eatu
res
of
diffe
rent
typ
es o
f pla
nt
(ba
selo
ad,
ram
p r
ate
s,
capacity,
cost)
and t
he
diffe
rent
featu
res o
f dem
and s
ide m
easure
s )
to e
sta
blis
h w
hat
abala
nced
port
folio
wo
uld
look lik
e.
This
work
shou
ld b
e c
om
ple
ted b
efo
re d
esig
nin
g a
ny m
ajo
r changes
to t
he
ele
ctr
icity m
ark
et
Pa
ge
32
�K
ey m
essa
ges
�U
pd
ate
on
Do
osa
n P
ow
er S
yste
ms
and
ou
r ac
tivi
ties
�A
mb
itio
ns
for
CC
S a
nd
th
e U
K in
du
stry
�C
om
men
ts o
n p
olic
ies
on
CC
S D
emo
nst
rati
on
an
d C
oal
po
wer
pla
nt
�C
om
men
ts o
n P
roje
ct D
isco
very
�Im
po
rtan
ce o
f a
bal
ance
del
ectr
icit
y g
ener
atio
n p
ort
folio
Ou
tlin
e
Pa
ge
33
Sh
apin
g F
utu
re E
ner
gy
Po
licie
s –
Th
e N
ext
Ste
ps
�W
e w
ill c
on
tin
ue
to p
ress
fo
r cr
edib
le p
olic
ies
incl
ud
ing
gu
idan
ce t
o t
he
Infr
astr
uct
ure
Pla
nn
ing
Co
mm
issi
on
th
at w
ill le
ad t
o a
bal
ance
d p
ort
folio
of
low
car
bo
n e
lect
rici
ty g
ener
atio
n w
ith
an
am
bit
ion
of
sub
stan
tial
ly
dec
arb
on
isin
g t
he
elec
tric
ity
sect
or
by
2030
.
�T
his
will
req
uir
e ra
pid
pro
gre
ss o
n n
ucl
ear
and
CC
S a
s w
ell a
s re
new
able
s,
par
ticu
larl
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e im
ple
men
tati
on
of
the
CC
S le
vy f
or
the
fou
r d
emo
nst
rati
on
s an
d f
utu
re r
etro
fits
.
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e w
ill r
emin
d t
he
go
vern
men
t o
f it
s o
bje
ctiv
e to
del
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eco
no
mic
ben
efit
s fr
om
CC
S in
th
e U
K g
iven
th
e h
ug
e p
ote
nti
al m
arke
t an
d t
he
stro
ng
po
siti
on
o
f co
mp
anie
s lik
e D
oo
san
Po
wer
Sys
tem
s.
�W
e w
ill s
eek
po
licie
s –
agai
nst
wh
ich
we
can
pla
n o
ur
inve
stm
ents
in R
+D
, p
eop
le a
nd
cap
acit
y -
for
the
roll-
ou
t o
f co
al a
nd
gas
CC
S t
ech
no
log
y in
th
e 20
16 t
o 2
020
tim
efra
me.
Pa
ge
34
�D
oo
san
Bab
cock
are
co
mm
itte
d t
o
dev
elo
pm
ent
an
d g
lob
al
imp
lem
enta
tio
n o
f cl
ean
er p
ow
er
pla
nts
-cl
ean
co
al, c
lean
gas
, n
ucl
ear
and
ren
ewab
le a
s ra
pid
ly
as t
he
mar
ket
allo
ws
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e n
eed
a f
irm
bas
is o
n w
hic
h t
o
pla
n o
ur
bu
sin
ess
�T
han
k yo
u f
or
you
r at
ten
tio
n