catriona mcleod - ee investments in southeast asia

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  • 8/6/2019 Catriona McLeod - EE Investments in Southeast Asia

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    Catriona McLeod, CFAAssociate, ReEx Capital Asia

    ASIA CLEAN ENERGY FORUMMANILA, JUNE 20-24 2011

    Energy Efficiency Investments in Southeast Asia:Opportunities in the Short Term and in the Long Term

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    Outline

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    Potential Long-Term Opportunities

    Some Energy Efficiency markets are notattractive now, but may be in the future

    Barrier #1: Artificially low electricity prices

    Barrier #2: Investment risks

    Short Term OpportunitiesThere are many attractive Energy Efficiencyinvestments available

    High returns

    Which sector is best?

    Which country is best?

    Ways to Invest

    Energy Efficiency Investment Strategies

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    Energy Efficiency High Returns (1/2)

    3**Source: McKinsey

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    Which Sector? (1/2)

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    INDUSTRIAL SECTOR:EE Potential inProduction Processes, Heating andCooling systems in production facilitiesof industry sectors like Semi-con,Pharmaceuticals, Automotive, F&B etc.

    COMMERCIAL SECTOR:EE Potentialin Heating, Cooling, Lighting systemsin Private and Government Offices,Hotels, Malls, Hospitals, DataCenters and Educational institutions

    Low Operational RiskHigh Operational Risk

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    Which Sector? (2/2)

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%70%

    Yearly Savings/Investment

    Industrial Commercial

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    Which Country? (1/2)

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    0

    2

    4

    6

    810

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Electricity Tariff (US cent/kWh)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    2025

    30

    35

    4045

    Investment Returns (%)

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    Tax Incentives?

    Grants /Subsidies?*

    Mature ESCOSector?

    100% ForeignOwnership OK?

    Grants available through: Thailand: Energy Efficiency Revolving Fund (EERF), ESCO Fund Singapore: GREET scheme

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    PHILIPPINES THAILAND SINGAPORE MALAYSIA INDONESIA VIETNAM

    Which Country? (2/2)

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    Short Term: How Do I Invest?

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    Building Owners / Energy Users

    Invest directly in Energy

    Efficiency measures

    Non- Owners / Private Investors

    Buy shares in an EnergyServices Company (ESCO)

    OR

    Invest in an Energy Efficiency

    Fund

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    Long Term: Even Larger Market

    10

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Singapore Vietnam Philippines

    Energy Efficiency Market Size - Investment Potential

    (US$ millions)

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    Barrier #1: Subsidies (1/2)

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    ElectricitySubsidies

    MalaysiaIndonesia

    Vietnam Thailand

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    Barrier #1: Subsidies (2/2)

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    02

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Electricity Tariff (US cents / kWh)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    4045

    Investment Returns (%)

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    Barrier #2: Investment Risks

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    Performance Guarantees Supplied by ESCOs Measurement and Verification

    Performance Risk

    Insurance Products Aggregation of Projects

    Credit Risk

    Hedging Instruments

    Electricity Price Uncertainty

    Insurance Products Aggregation of Projects

    Energy Usage Uncertainty

    Securitization of Savings Cash Flows

    Secondary Market

    Time Horizon Uncertainty

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    Contact us

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    Catriona McLeod

    ReEx Capital Asia16 Collyer Quay Hitachi Tower #20

    Singapore 049318www.reexasia.com

    Mobile: +65 9860 7806Tel: +65 6818 [email protected]