case study on economic impact of broadband implementation · case study on economic impact of...
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![Page 1: Case study on Economic impact of Broadband Implementation · Case study on Economic impact of Broadband Implementation Ignat Stanev ITC, Bulgaria ITU -D Regional Development Forum](https://reader034.vdocuments.mx/reader034/viewer/2022042805/5f63c956560fc67523515487/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 1
SessionSession 88
Case study on Economic impact Case study on Economic impact
of Broadband Implementationof Broadband Implementation
Ignat StanevIgnat StanevITC, BulgariaITC, Bulgaria
ITUITU --D Regional Development Forum D Regional Development Forum for the for the EUR and CISEUR and CIS Region:Region:
““ NGN and Broadband, Opportunities and ChallengesNGN and Broadband, Opportunities and Challenges””
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 2
Content of the presentation :Content of the presentation :
� Used for the case study planning tools
� Problem 1 – Economic Impact of Service bandwidth upgrade
� on xDSL broadband access network
� on FTTH broadband access network
� Problem 2 – Economic selection of broadband access technology
� xDSL vs. FTTH for brownfield
� FTTH vs. WiMAX for greenfield
� xDSL vs. WiMAX for rural area
![Page 2: Case study on Economic impact of Broadband Implementation · Case study on Economic impact of Broadband Implementation Ignat Stanev ITC, Bulgaria ITU -D Regional Development Forum](https://reader034.vdocuments.mx/reader034/viewer/2022042805/5f63c956560fc67523515487/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 3
Case study toolsCase study tools
Market definition
Evolution forecasting
Demand mapping
Technology modeling
Network design optimization
Economy analysis
VPIsystemsVPIsystemsOnePlanOnePlanAccessAccess
MULTIlink is a complete solution
for fast microwave link
engineering and designing of
PMP/WLL/LMDS networks.
LStelcomLStelcom MULTIlinkMULTIlink
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 4
Problem 1 – “Service upgrade”
There is a need to model the impact of upgrading the service bandwidth, the service take rate, and the service mix on the accessnetwork.
For a given market, the access network planners want to perform Bandwidth Upgrade Scenarios, Uptake Growth Scenarios, and Service Mix Scenarios
The access network planners have to dimension the required capacity of the access nodes, to optimize the access network and to calculate related costs to upgrade it.
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 5
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” – example I
<- Normal
Upgraded:
Upgraded
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 6
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” – example IAverage Bandw idth per Service (for 10/1/2008)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
CC_01
CC_02
CC_03
CC_04
CC_05
CC_06
CC_07
CC_08
CC_09
CC_10
Service Areas and Sites
in M
bit/s
Data connectivity
Internet-bus
Internet-res
IPTV
POTS
POTS (ADSL)
VoIP
Average Bandwidth per Service (for 10/1/2008)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
CC_01
CC_02
CC_03
CC_04
CC_05
CC_06
CC_07
CC_08
CC_09
CC_10
Service Areas and Sites
in M
bit/s
Data connectivity
Data connectivity upgradex 2
Internet-bus
Internet-res
IPTV
IPTV Upgrade x 2
POTS
POTS (ADSL)
VoIP
<- Normal
Upgraded:
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 7
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” - example I
1.4792.13354.2585401.6200.878.3104.4Total :
0.918000048.664.8CC_10
0.561000029.739.6CC_09
00.089250.178516.88.400CC_08
00.0510.097759.64.800CC_07
00.344250.688564.832.400CC_06
00.28050.56152.826.400CC_05
00.403750.80325763800CC_04
00.5781.156108.854.400CC_03
00.233750.4675442200CC_02
00.1530.30628.814.400CC_01
VoIPPOTS (ADSL)POTSIPTVInternet-resInternet-bus
Data connectivity
Service Areas and Sites
1.4792.13354.25851606.4200.878.3469.8Total :
0.918000048.6291.6CC_10
0.561000029.7178.2CC_09
00.089250.178567.28.400CC_08
00.0510.0977538.44.800CC_07
00.344250.6885259.232.400CC_06
00.28050.561211.226.400CC_05
00.403750.803253043800CC_04
00.5781.156435.254.400CC_03
00.233750.46751762200CC_02
00.1530.306115.214.400CC_01
VoIPPOTS (ADSL)POTS
IPTV Upgrade x 2Internet-resInternet-bus
Data connectivity upgrade x 2
Service Areas and SitesUpgraded:
<- Normal
Difference:
298.0%
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 8
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” - example I
<- Normal
(3 MSAN)
Upgraded:
(5 MSAN)
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 9
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” – example I
1589527332943305334233743Maintenance
5466-410-230-730-6507486Installation
41524-4830-3250-8050-739065044Acquisition
Total:10/1/201210/1/201110/1/201010/1/200910/1/2008
Difference :
1376893276947276247275347274547273807Maintenance
53423137017601570144047283Installation
2030593130701686015070137201971873Acquisition
Total:10/1/201210/1/201110/1/201010/1/200910/1/2008
Upgraded services :
1360998274214273304272294271124270064Maintenance
47957178019902300209039797Installation
1989069179002011023120211101906829Acquisition
Total:10/1/201210/1/201110/1/201010/1/200910/1/2008
Normal services :
Costs :
Costs difference: %1.85
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 10
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” – example II
Normal :
Upgraded:
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 11
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” – example II
<- Normal
Upgraded:
Average Bandw idth per Service (for 10/1/2010)
020004000
CC
_01
CC
_05
CC
_09
MA
3
FT
TH
2
FT
TH
6
FT
TH
_
FT
TH
_
FT
TH
_
Service Areas and Sites
in M
bit/s
Data connectivity
FTTH-Bus
FTTH-Res
Internet-bus
Internet-res
IPTV
Mobile 3G
POTS
POTS (ADSL)
Average Bandw idth per Service (for 10/1/2010)
010002000300040005000600070008000
CC_01
CC_04
CC_07
CC_10
MA3
FTTH1
FTTH4
FTTH7
FTTH_3
FTTH_6
FTTH_9
FTTH_12
Service Areas and Sites
in M
bit/s
Data connectivity
FTTH-Bus Upgraded
FTTH-Res Upgraded
Internet-bus
Internet-res
IPTV
Mobile 3G
POTS
POTS (ADSL)
VoIP
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 12
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” - example II
Upgraded:
<- Normal
Difference:
100 %
164622080
6000FTTH_12
0600FTTH_11
0400FTTH_10
3000FTTH_9
6000FTTH_8
0200FTTH_7
0400FTTH_6
6000FTTH_5
4500FTTH_4
0200FTTH_3
3000FTTH_2
1500FTTH_1
80500FTTH7
204100FTTH6
019000FTTH5
377500FTTH4
281900FTTH3
297200FTTH2
375000FTTH1
FTTH-ResFTTH-Bus
Data connectivity
Service Areas and Sites
329234160
12000FTTH_12
01200FTTH_11
0800FTTH_10
6000FTTH_9
12000FTTH_8
0400FTTH_7
0800FTTH_6
12000FTTH_5
9000FTTH_4
0400FTTH_3
6000FTTH_2
3000FTTH_1
160900FTTH7
408100FTTH6
038000FTTH5
755100FTTH4
563800FTTH3
594400FTTH2
750000FTTH1
FTTH-ResUpgraded
FTTH-Bus Upgraded
Data connectivity
Service Areas and Sites
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 13
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” - example II<- Normal
(3 OLT, 17 Splitter 1:8 , 89 Splitter 1:4)
Upgraded:
(3 OLT, 28 Splitter 1:8, 93Splitter 1:4)
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 14
Problem 1 – “service upgrade” – example II
Costs :
Costs difference: %1.16
10631547188824942809Maintenance
-971-682-1210-6295650Installation
12737-2388-10189-1779100082Acquisition
10/1/201210/1/201110/1/201010/1/200910/1/2008
Difference :
1429314256142081419814172Maintenance
74100255632651Installation
23187543721655072814089Acquisition
10/1/201210/1/201110/1/201010/1/200910/1/2008
Upgraded services :
1323012709123201170411364Maintenance
1045783123568527001Installation
104507825123546851714006Acquisition
10/1/201210/1/201110/1/201010/1/200910/1/2008
Normal services :
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 15
Problem 2 –Techno-economical Access Study
Aim is to investigate the techno-economical impact of various access technologies on the network for a given market
Multiple techno-economical studies are carrier out for the purpose to determine the optimum access technology for the network
Selection is done by comparison of the economical parameters for each access technology
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 16
Problem 2 – selection of access technology –example I
xDSL
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 17
Problem 2 – selection of access technology–example I
FTTH
October 01,20127901
October 01,20111800
October 01,20107601
October 01,20091500
October 01,200830505Splitter 1:32 costSplitter 1:32 _3
October 01,2012900
October 01,2011900
October 01,20106701
October 01,2009600
October 01,200812202Splitter 1:32 costSplitter 1:32 _2
October 01,2012600
October 01,2011600
October 01,2010600
October 01,2009600
October 01,200812202Splitter 1:32 costSplitter 1:32 _1
October 01,20122504000
October 01,20112504000
October 01,20102504000
October 01,20092504000
October 01,200819226001OLTCO_Ubhur
Date
Total New Cost
Total Number Existing
Total Number New
DescriptionPart Number
Node DescriptionNode Name
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 18
Problem 2 – selection of access technology–example I
UC_1_9a UC_1_1-3Net Present Value
-1000000
-500000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
10/1/2008 10/1/2009 10/1/2010 10/1/2011 10/1/2012
US
D UC_1_9a
UC_1_1-3
xDSL vs. FTTH brownfield
FTTHxDSL
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 19
Problem 2 – selection of access technology–example II
FTTH
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 20
Problem 2 – selection of access technology–example II
WiMAX
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 21
Problem 2 – selection of access technology–example II
FTTH vs. WiMAX greenfield
UC_1_9c UC_1_9bNet Present Value
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
10/1/2008 10/1/2009 10/1/2010 10/1/2011 10/1/2012
US
D UC_1_9c
UC_1_9bWiMAXFTTH
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 22
Problem 2 – selection of access technology –example III
xDSL
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ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 23
Problem 2 – selection of access technology –example III
WiMAX
ITU-D Forum Chisinau, Moldova, 24 – 26 August 2009 Ses sion 8_IS - 24
Problem 2 – selection of access technology–example III
xDSL vs.
WiMAX
rural area