case: going local - applying and developing sub-national analysis

8/8/2019 CASE: Going Local - Applying and developing sub-national analysis

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CASE: Going localApplying & developing sub-national analysis


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Issue

Increasing localism

More power at a local and sub-local level

Reducing role of central government:

Not imposing from above

BUT...

Limited resources locally to exploit social science


3/23

Local needs

Data: Base-lining, benchmarking, transparency,

accountability

Analysis: Business cases, policy options

Evidence: relevance, effectiveness and

persuasiveness (partnerships)

Others?


4/23

What CASE has - Data

Baselining, benchmarking, accountability

Regional Insights Investment, tourism, education, place-shaping, communities and well-being and engagement

Toolkit for asset mapping

Data (for making evidence)Understanding Society (longitudinal data)


5/23

What CASE has - Analysis

Drivers, Impact and Value project

Understanding local population (Drivers)

Policy simulation tool (Drivers)

Valuing policy impacts (Value)

Issues:

Drivers work based on Taking Part

Local conditions not fully accounted for


6/23

2. Statistical analysis

of participation Results for Heritage


7/23

The effects of ethnicity and media use on

participation


8/23

Drivers of engagement: simulation

1,254 models: 38 activities, 33 cohorts


9/23

Drivers of engagement: simulation

30% increase in theatre attendance in young males of lowincome


10/23

SWB Gains: actualand predicted

engagement

SWBC

han

ge


11/23

Illustration of income compensation

E.g. engagement: SWB from 2 to 4

Equivalent:

c20k pa

in income


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Value of engagement: well-being

Weekly Once a year

Sport 11 -

Concert 9 5

Cinema 9 4

New innovative method, with methodological challenges

Equivalent annual income increase required to get SWBincrease (K)

Internal consistency: increased frequency = greater SWB

Actual engagement


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What CASE has - Evidence

Drivers, Impact and Value project

Sound evidence for learning effects in young

people

Research database: practical benefit

Issue

Not geographic specific

Need to make the generalisation leap


14/23

Where next?

No guarantee of a future for CASE

BUT...

Could focus on a number of areas:

More data at local level

More analysis at local level

Better access to data for local areas


15/23

Marshal more data...

CIPFA data

Audience data

Wider economic and social data

Drawing together local datasets on assets etc

What else?


16/23

More analysis at a local level...

Eg. GIS analysis

Nearest neighbour etc

BUT...

Danger of top-down analysis

Resource-heavy for centre

Needs demand from local areas to justify


17/23

Density of all arts, museums, libraries and sports and heritage assets

per head of population as at 2008/9

This map shows the steep differences

in both privately- and publicly-funded

culture and sport opportunities by local

authority.

Fewer than 8% of authorities have over

25% of the assets

1-3 assets per 1000

3-4 assets per 1000

4-7 assets per 1000

7-34 assets per 1000


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Count of all arts, museums, libraries and sports and heritage assets

per local authority as at 2008/9

9-250 assets

251-385 assets

386-558 assets

559-4056 assets

Removing the population figures from

the analysis has little effect overall, with

rural areas remaining higher up the

scale. However, small town type areas

now tend the lower part of the scale

Fewer than 8% of authorities have over

25% of the assets


19/23

Density of arts, museums, galleries,

libraries, sport and heritage

assets per hectare per 10,000 people

for each local authority

Highest accessibility is in London and

areas of the south coast. Larger, rural

counties have much lower

accessibility. Key metropolitan areas

such as Leeds and Birmingham are317th & 303rd out of 324.

Accessibility is very unevenly

distributed. A rural-urban divide exists,

but is not consistent.


20/23

Better access to data...

Already got Taking Part Netquest

Could go further with regional insights data?

E.g. Dynamic website, bespoke analysis

BUT...

Skills available locally?

Demand for this?

Requires resources to develop...


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Your views

We are exploring different channels

QUESTION IS...

How do you think CASE can be more relevant for

local areas?

case: going local - applying and developing sub-national analysis

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