careers in systematic investing: advice and perspective at the end by matthew granade

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So you want to be an investor QuantCon 2015 3.14.15

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So  you  want  to  be  an  investor  

QuantCon  2015  3.14.15  

What  is  inves;ng?    Why  is  it  interes;ng?  

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Observe  the  world  

Formulate  hypotheses   Test  

So  you  want  to  be  an  investor…  

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Are  you  inves:ng  right  now?  

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Do.    Or  do  not.    There  is  no  try.  

So  you  want  to  be  an  investor…  

Opportunity  is  everywhere  

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Ideas   Data   Tools   Execu:on  

What  do  you  need  to  decide  to  be  investor?  

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1.  What  is  your  style?  

2.  How  will  you  manage  the  piIalls?    

3.  How  will  you  compound?  

1.    What  is  your  style?  

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•  Long/short    

•  Equi:es    

•  Fundamental  +  technical  

•  Discre:onary  

•  50+  porIolio  managers  w/  one  ‘uber’  PM  

•  One  month  horizon  

•  Long/short  

•  Bonds,  currencies,  commodi:es,  equi:es  

•  Fundamental  

•  Systema:c  

•  1  “porIolio  manager”  

•  Six  month  horizon  

 

 

Fund  “P”   Fund  “B”  

1.    What  is  your  style?  

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“Where  would  you  put  your  money?”  Mr.  Ackman  asked...  “Let’s  say  you  were  to  buy  one  asset,  or  one  stock,  or  one  market,  or  one  currency.”    There  was  a  pause.    “I  don’t  do  that,”  Mr.  Dalio  said.  “O.K,”  Mr.  Ackman  said.  “I’m  sorry,”  Mr.  Dalio  said.  

-­‐  From  Feb  12,  2014  interview  at  Harbor  Conference,  New  York  

1.    Dimensions  of  style  

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•  Long  only  vs.  long/short  • Asset  class(es)  •  Strategy,  e.g.,  -  Fundamental  -  Technical  -  High  frequency  

• Discre:onary  vs.  systema:c  • Concentrated  vs.  diversified  •  Investment  horizon  

1.    Lot  of  style  choices,  some  of  them  good  

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2.    Prepare  to  be  wrong.  

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"It's  not  whether  you're  right  or  wrong  that's  important,  but  how  much  money  you  make  when  you're  right  and  how  much  you  lose  when  you're  wrong.”  

       -­‐-­‐  George  Soros  

“If  you  can’t  understand  it,  don’t  do  it”    

       -­‐-­‐  Charlie  Munger  

“Anything  can  happen  in  stock  markets  and  you  ought  to  conduct  your  affairs  so  that  if  the  most  extraordinary  events  happen,  that  you’re  s:ll  around  to  play  the  next  day.“  

       -­‐-­‐  Warren  Buffeg  

2.    The  risk  of  blowing  up  

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2.    Get  yourself  in  the  right  headspace  

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3.    How  will  you  compound?  

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Learning  from  your  own  stuff  Learn  from  others’  stuff  –  pictures  of  two  big  books    

3.    Record  your  history,  learn  with  ;me  

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•  What  trade  did  you  make?  

•  Why  did  you  make  it?  

3.    Learn  from  others  

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What  do  you  need  to  decide  to  be  investor?  

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1.  What  is  your  style?  

2.  Are  you  prepared  for  the  piIalls?    

3.  How  will  you  compound?  

Repeat  un)l  rich.  

A  par;ng  thought…  

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“Never  give  up  searching  for  the  job  that  you’re  passionate  about.  Try  to  find  the  job  you’d  have  if  you  were  independently  rich.  Forget  about  the  pay.  When  you’re  associa:ng  with  the  people  that  you  love,  doing  what  you  love,  it  doesn’t  get  any  beger  than  that.”    

         -­‐-­‐  Warren  BuffeF