capability in complexity · 2017. 8. 11. · technology knowledge governance & accountability...
TRANSCRIPT
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Capability in Complexity
SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590
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From Aerospace Futures to Employed
(and back again)
Nikita Sardesai & John Furness
13 July 2017
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Overview
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Who is Shoal & what we do
Model-Based Systems Engineering
Modelling, Simulation and Analysis
Systems Engineering Life Advice
Introductions and our experience
Research and Development
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Company Overview
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Our people
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Aerospace Futures alums
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Our culture
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What we do
Shoal is a systems engineering firm, based in Australia and USA.
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Systems Engineering
Training
Research & Development
Modelling Simulation &
Analysis
Model-Based Systems
Engineering
Capability Design
Conceptual Design
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Systems Engineering Capability
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Holistic system view
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The ideal missile design from the viewpoint of various specialists
Source: Systems Engineering Principles and Practice, Kossiakoff et al. 2011
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Concept development focus
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Our area of focus
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Conceptual design examples at Shoal
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Ground Based Air and Missile Defence
Future Submarine & Frigate
Counter Improvised-Explosive Devices
Land Combat Vehicle System
Fire and Emergency Services
Defensive cyber operations
Future joint space/cyber concepts
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Projects Viewpoint
Integrated Systems Viewpoint
Capability Viewpoint
responsible for
shapes
guides
Fire & Emergency Events
shapes
Public Perception
influences
responds to
documents
documents
Mandate
guides
Fire Departmentguides
Fire Capability
Strategic Guidance
guides
guides
Legislation / Regulation
Enterprise Strategy
influences
Operational Viewpoint
performs
responsible for
results in
basis of
Scenario
Operational Activity
decomposed by Role
Organization
achieved by
People
Assets
Information Technology
Knowledge
Governance & Accountability
connected to
Requirement
Functionality
Interface
Capability Element
specified byspecified by
guides
performs
refines
refines
refines
refines
refines
guides
guides
guides
guides
refines
guides
People Plan
Capital Asset Plan
Capital Works Plan
IT Plan
Operating Procedures
Governance Plan
Project
accomplished by
Project Activity
Project Management
Module
Business Requirements
Database
generates
enabled by
definessupplied by
develops
defines
manages manages
Enterprise Strategy
refined by
Operational Item
Measure of Effectiveness
Critical Operational
Issue
Operational Interface
transfers
inputs / outputs
refinesrefines
Operational / End-user
Need
Limitation(Constraint)
results in
constrains
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Modelling, Simulation and Analysis
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Range Safety Template Toolkit
• ARAAM air-to-air missile
• JASSM cruise missile
• JAXA Hyabusa spacecraft return
• HIFiRE hypersonic test flights
• DT893 space launches
• FZ-90 70mm rocket
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Model development
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Engine performance - Thrust profile
- Mass profile
Mission concept - Event sequence & timing
- Launch azimuth, elevation & altitude
Geometry & mass properties - Masses
- Center of graviities
- Moments of Inertia
Aerodynamics - Aerodynamic coefficients
Failure modes - Reliability / Failure probabilities
- Vehicle response to failure
- Breakup characteristics
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Monte Carlo simulation
Typical computational statistics:
• 16 million simulation runs
• 80 million debris impacts
• Three calendar days for computer runs, plus post-processing
Two-stage ballistic rocket
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Weapon fly-out: no failure
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Weapon fly-out: fin failure, mid-flight
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Weapon fly-out: fin failure, end-flight
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Ground impact points to PDF
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Kernel Density Estimation
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Safety Products
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Flight vehicle modelling
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Weapon / Air Vehicle
Autopilot Control
Surfaces
Force
Summer
Accelerometer
Rate
Gyroscopes
Inertial
Navigation
System
MotorAirframe
Characteristics
Vertical
Launch
Seeker and
FilterHoming Law
Roll Law
Trajectory
Shaping
Fuze
Wind
Thrust Vector
Control
Umbilical
Decoder
Uplink
Decoder
Dynamics
Warhead &
Lethality
Target(s)
Fire Control SystemLaunch
Rail/Tube Observers
Aerodynamics
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Research & Development
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Design Visualisation
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Systems Engineering Life Advice
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Practical systems engineering
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Define the problem first
Develop your solution
Take a holistic approach
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Practical systems engineering
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Define the problem first
Develop your solution
Take a holistic approach
context
requirements
interfaces
continuous V&V
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Practical systems engineering
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Define the problem first
Develop your solution
Take a holistic approach
determine project scope
verification & validation
requirements
expected system behaviour
develop system architecture to
support behaviour
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Practical systems engineering
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Define the problem first
Develop your solution
Take a holistic approach
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Questions and Comments
Nikita Sardesai John Furness
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309 Angas StreetAdelaide SA 5000
Tel: +61 2 6239 4288
[email protected] www.shoalgroup.com
Adelaide Canberra New York Sydney
SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590