calibration for historical crop et estimates –a process · xxx coag xlsxxx coag.xls -- qc dataqc...
TRANSCRIPT
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EVAPOTRANSPIRATIONWORKSHOPEVAPOTRANSPIRATION WORKSHOP
Calibration for Historical
Crop ET Estimates – A Process
Ivan A Walter P EIvan A. Walter, P.E.
Ivan’s Engineering, Inc.
3/12/2010 1Ivan A. Walter, P.E.
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Kc ETstzd vs SCS BCKc ETstzd vs SCS BCKc ETstzd vs SCS BCKc ETstzd vs SCS BC
Kc ET is more accurate than SCS BC Kc ETstzd is more accurate than SCS BC– Kc -- Generate from measurement at known sites
K T f bl– Kc -- Transferrable– ETstzd – ET professional & researchers have
t daccepted– SCS BC – Crop Coefficients derived where???
SCS BC R i l l lib i– SCS BC – Requires local calibration
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Why Isn’t Kc ET dUsedWhy Isn’t Kc ET dUsedWhy Isn t Kc ETstzd UsedWhy Isn t Kc ETstzd Used
A t “Wh t?”Answers to “Why not?”– SCS BC is well accepted in Colo.SCS BC is well accepted in Colo.
Water Court. – Do not have the data for ETstzd
Do not have the Kc’s– Do not have the Kc s
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What is Desirable ResultWhat is Desirable ResultWhat is Desirable ResultWhat is Desirable Result
J t b f ETJust some number for ETcAccurate daily Temp, Rs, U, & RhAccurate daily Temp, Rs, U, & RhAccurate daily ETrs & ETos
Accurate monthly ETrs & ETos
E l fil & P f l iExcel files & Programs for analysis
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Criteria (ASCE Task Committee)Criteria (ASCE Task Committee)Criteria (ASCE Task Committee)Criteria (ASCE Task Committee)
UnderstandableUnderstandableDefensible Simplification without loss of accuracyB d & T bl t E i t lBased on & Traceable to Experimental
Data
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Rocky Ford ETrs
10
12
ETrs ETrs Est
8
6
2
4
0Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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Rocky Ford: Est as % of Actual
105%
110%
ETrs Est /: ETrs ETos Est / ETos
100%
95%
85%
90%
80%
85%
May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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0.6
Fort Morgan -- 2005 Daily Data
0.5
ETrs
ETrs Est
0.4
0.3
inch
es
0.2
0.1
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01-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct
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Raw Data >>>>>> ETcRaw Data >>>>>> ETcRaw Data >>>>>> ETcRaw Data >>>>>> ETc
Download data fromWeb site Download data from Web site
QC the data – Select good data
Calc ETrs, ETos, and ETHrgv Calibration Calc’s with good data Calibration Calc’s with good data
COEFHgrv x ETHrgv = ETrsHgrv Hrgv rs
COEF1Hgrv x ETHrgv = ETos
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Begin Hereg
Standardized Reference ET Equation:
)(273
)(408.0 2 eeuT
CGR as
nn
)1(273
2uCT
ETd
ref
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Begin Here w/ Data from Webg
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Calculate & Analyze & Comparey p
)()(4080 2 eeuC
GR n
Standardized Reference ET Equation:
)1(
)(273
)(408.0
2
2
uC
eeuT
GRET
d
asn
ref
1985 Hargreaves Equation:
ameano RTTTET )8.17()(0023.0 5.0minmax
1985 Hargreaves Equation:
3/12/2010 12Ivan A. Walter, P.E.
ameano )()( minmax
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Final ProductFinal ProductFinal ProductFinal Product
St d di d R f ET l Standardized Reference ET values– Short Crop: ETos– Tall Crop: ETrs– Daily values
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Step 1: XXX COAG.xlsStep 1: XXX COAG.xlsStep 1: XXX COAG.xlsStep 1: XXX COAG.xls
Download data from COAGMet site Download data from COAGMet site
QC the data
– Identify the Good Data
Fix small gaps & errors– Fix small gaps & errors
– Throw out everything else
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Step 2: ColCrbt2.exe -- ApplicationStep 2: ColCrbt2.exe -- ApplicationStep 2: ColCrbt2.exe ApplicationStep 2: ColCrbt2.exe Application
Input data from XXX COAG xls Input data from XXX COAG.xls– Text file XXXEtrData.prn
Calculates Reference ET (daily)– ETrsETrs– ASCE PM Etr, 1982 Kimberly Penman ETr
– ETosETos– ASCE PM ETo, Hargreaves ETo
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Step 3: Colcrbt2.exe -- ResultsStep 3: Colcrbt2.exe -- ResultsStep 3: Colcrbt2.exe ResultsStep 3: Colcrbt2.exe Results
Linear Regression Analysis (daily) Linear Regression Analysis (daily)
Zero intercept
Monthly Ratio: ETrs to ETHgrvMonthly Ratio ET to ETMonthly Ratio: ETos to ETHgrvMonthly Ratio: ETrs to ETosrs os
Regression Coef & SEE
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Step 3 Results: Ratio ET : ETHStep 3 Results: Ratio ET : ETHStep 3 Results: Ratio ETrs : ETHrgvStep 3 Results: Ratio ETrs : ETHrgv
MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPMAY JUN JUL AUG SEPFort Morgan(Tdpt Adjusted) 1995 ‐ 2006 1.40 1.36 1.27 1.25 1.37Fort Collins 03 1999 ‐ 2006 1.48 1.41 1.38 1.38 1.56Center 1996 ‐ 2006 1.54 1.38 1.15 1.18 1.47Avondale 1994 ‐ 2008 1.30 1.33 1.22 1.16 1.22Rocky Ford 1994 ‐2008 1.32 1.36 1.22 1.17 1.17Yuma 1996 ‐ 2006 1.58 1.54 1.34 1.28 1.47Fruita 1999 2006 1.34 1.28 1.15 1.13 1.21ll k
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Yellow Jacket 1992 ‐ 2008 1.31 1.29 1.22 1.24 1.36
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Results @ Center: Ratio ET : ETHResults @ Center: Ratio ET : ETHResults @ Center: Ratio ETrs : ETHrgvResults @ Center: Ratio ETrs : ETHrgv
MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPAll 1 54 1 38 1 15 1 18 1 47All 1.54 1.38 1.15 1.18 1.471996 1.68 1.25 1.06 1.14 1.471997 1.31 1.32 1.16 1.06 1.251998 1.62 1.56 1.08 1.15 1.481999 1.56 1.43 1.09 1.12 1.382000 1 43 1 30 1 11 1 17 1 572000 1.43 1.30 1.11 1.17 1.572001 1.45 1.35 1.07 1.15 1.522002 1.56 1.36 1.15 1.23 1.342003 1.50 1.38 1.21 1.17 1.482004 1.61 1.38 1.23 1.37 1.562005 1.54 1.44 1.24 1.26 1.57
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2005 1.54 1.44 1.24 1.26 1.572006 1.57 1.43 1.17 1.15 1.47
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Step 3 Results: Ratio ET : ETHStep 3 Results: Ratio ET : ETHStep 3 Results: Ratio ETos : ETHrgvStep 3 Results: Ratio ETos : ETHrgv
MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPMAY JUN JUL AUG SEPFort Morgan(Tdpt Adjusted) 1995 ‐ 2006 1.02 1.01 0.96 0.96 1.00Fort Collins 03 1999 ‐ 2006 1.07 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.10Center 1996 ‐ 2006 1.15 1.06 0.93 0.94 1.09Avondale 1994 ‐ 2008 1.03 1.01 0.94 0.93 0.99Rocky Ford 1994 ‐2008 1.04 1.04 0.94 0.94 0.95Yuma 1996 ‐ 2006 1.14 1.13 1.03 0.99 1.07Fruita 1999 2006 1.00 0.97 0.90 0.88 0.91ll k
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Yellow Jacket 1992 ‐ 2008 1.01 1.01 0.98 0.99 1.05
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Step 4: ETRETOH 2.exeStep 4: ETRETOH 2.exeStep 4: ETRETOH 2.exeStep 4: ETRETOH 2.exe
Calculate ET & ET using ET Calculate ETrs & ETos using ETHgrv Input File
– DataT&P.prn from XXX COAG.xls Latitude, Tmax, Tmin, Tavg
– COEFHRGV.datMonthly Coefficient all Station (15 max.)
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Step 4: COEFHGRV.datStep 4: COEFHGRV.datStep 4: COEFHGRV.datStep 4: COEFHGRV.dat
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Step 4: ETRETOH 2.exeStep 4: ETRETOH 2.exeStep 4: ETRETOH 2.exeStep 4: ETRETOH 2.exe
Calculation of ET & ET using 1985 Calculation of ETrs & ETos using 1985 Hargreaves
ETrs = COEF x ETHgrv (Daily)
ET = COEF1 x ET (Daily) ETos = COEF1 x ETHgrv (Daily)
RTTTET )817()(00230 5.0 ameano RTTTET )8.17()(0023.0 5.0minmax
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Step 4: Final ResultsStep 4: Final ResultsStep 4: Final ResultsStep 4: Final Results
Year DOY Month Day ETrs ETos Precip Year, DOY, Month, Day, ETrs,ETos, Precip.
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9Ft Morgan ETrs
7
8ETrs ETrs Est
5
6
4
5
2
3
0
1
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0Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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8Center ETrs
7ETrs ETrs Est
5
6
3
4
2
3
0
1
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0Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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12Yuma2 ETrs
10ETrs ETrs Est
8
6
2
4
0
2
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12
Rocky Ford ETrs
10
12
ETrs ETrs Est
8
6
4
0
2
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0Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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12Avondale ETrs
10
12
ETrs ETrs Est
8
6
2
4
0
2
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Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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12Fruita ETrs
10ETrs ETrs Est
8
6
2
4
0
2
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10Yellow Jacket ETrs
8
9ETrs ETrs Est
6
7
4
5
2
3
0
1
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Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
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CoAgMet Stations Years
8 - 11
12 - 14
PTV01 0YUM01 8
HYK02 18HEB01 0.3
COW01 0.4
GLY04 1.5
ILF01 1.9
STG01 3.7
WLT01 4.4
WFD01 5.1
BRG01 7.4
WGG01 7.6
PAI01 8.2
WGG02 8.3
HXT01 12.7
YUM02 13.6WRY01 13.6FTM01 14.7
AKR02 17 5
KSY01 17.6
FTC03 17.6
LCN01 17.8ALT01 17.8
FTC01 17.9
0 - 4
5 - 7
15 - 18
IDL01 18
BRL03 1.7
HRT01 2.7
STN01 3.7
EAC01 9.4
KRK01 13.6
BRL02 17.4FRT02 17 5
AKR02 17.5
BRL01 17.6
FTL01 17.8
FRT01
PAN01 0
ORM01 4
SCM01 1.4
CDG01 3.8
HOT01 11.6DLT01 14.7
GJC01 15.6
OTH01 17.4
BRL02 17.4FRT02 17.5
YJK01 18
PBL01 1.8 LAM02 2.9LAM04 4.6HLY02 4.6LMS01 4.8LJT01 4.8
FWL01 4.8
CTR02 6.2
RFD02 6.5LAM03 7.4 HLY01 8.2
LAM01 13.4
CTR01 16.2
VLD01 16.4
DVC01 17.1
RFD01 17.5AVN01 17.5
CTZ01 18
STT01 1.8LJR01 4.1
YUC01 7.3
SAN01 9.4
HNE01 9.8TWC01 11.5
BLA01 11.6
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Process -- Historical ETref EstimatesProcess -- Historical ETref EstimatesProcess Historical ETref EstimatesProcess Historical ETref Estimates
CoAgMet Data CoAgMet Data
XXX COAG.xls ‐‐ QC for Good data
Colcrbt2.exe ‐‐ Cal’c Monthly Hgrv FactorsFactors
ETRETOH 2.exe ‐ Calculate ETrs & ETos
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Meadow Grass ETMeadow Grass ET
Review of Methods Recommendation for Calculation ETc
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Reported ProceduresReported ProceduresReported ProceduresReported Procedures
SCS BC Past re Grass SCS –BC Pasture Grass– 10% / 1,000 m. change in elevation
ASCE Man al 70 does not recommend– ASCE Manual 70 does not recommend
Pochop Method -- ASAE 1984Li i d Alf lf (9%) & T f (6%)– Limited to Alfalfa (9%) & Turf (6%)
– Adjusted kt --- thus not true SCS BCAdjust from elevation Coefficient derived– Adjust from elevation Coefficient derived
– Wyoming
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Reported ProceduresReported ProceduresReported ProceduresReported Procedures
Den er Water Board BC “k” coefDenver Water Board, BC “k” coef.– South Park, Elev. 8,900 ft msl– Standard BC not modified BC– Local calibration– ET calculated as:
Lysimeter water use + Precipitation (100%)
– ETirr wtr = ETc - Precipitation
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Recommend Transferrable KcRecommend Transferrable KcRecommend Transferrable Kc Recommend Transferrable Kc
Smith’s G nnison basin Smith’s Gunnison basin – Hargreaves Monthly Coefficients– Letter Describing included in Materials
Maly & Walter – Kc’s Meadow Grass– Memo Describing process included in Materials
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Hargreaves Kc’s for Meadow GrassHargreaves Kc’s for Meadow GrassHargreaves Kc s for Meadow GrassHargreaves Kc s for Meadow Grass
M ltiple Sites 5 ears of dataMultiple Sites -- 5 years of dataMay = 1.16 June = 1.28 J l 1 04 July = 1.04August = 0.86 September = 0.88
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Meadow Grass Kc ‐‐ Derived using Calibrated Hargreaves
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Software & Documents ProvidedSoftware & Documents ProvidedSoftware & Documents ProvidedSoftware & Documents Provided
XXX COAG xls QC data XXX COAG.xls -- QC data Colcrbt2.exe -- Calc’ Monthly Coef. ETRETOH 2.exe -- Calc’ ETrs & ETos
Example Input and Output filesp p p Memo: Coefficients for Meadow Grass Smith Letter: Hargreaves Kc M Grass Smith Letter: Hargreaves Kc M.Grass Daily Ra calculation Application
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CoAgMet Stations Years
8 - 11
12 - 14
PTV01 0YUM01 8
HYK02 18HEB01 0.3
COW01 0.4
GLY04 1.5
ILF01 1.9
STG01 3.7
WLT01 4.4
WFD01 5.1
BRG01 7.4
WGG01 7.6
PAI01 8.2
WGG02 8.3
HXT01 12.7
YUM02 13.6WRY01 13.6FTM01 14.7
KSY01 17.6
FTC03 17.6
LCN01 17.8ALT01 17.8
FTC01 17.9
0 - 4
5 - 7
15 - 18
YUM01 8
IDL01 18
BRL03 1.7
HRT01 2.7
STN01 3.7
WFD01 5.1
EAC01 9.4
KRK01 13.6
AKR02 17.5
BRL01 17.6
FTL01 17.8
FRT01
PAN01 0
ORM01 4
SCM01 1.4
CDG01 3.8
HOT01 11.6DLT01 14.7
GJC01 15.6
OTH01 17.4
BRL02 17.4FRT02 17.5
PBL01 1.8 LAM02 2.9LAM04 4.6HLY02 4.6LMS01 4.8LJT01 4.8
FWL01 4.8
CTR02 6.2
RFD02 6.5LAM03 7.4 HLY01 8.2
LAM01 13.4
CTR01 16.2
VLD01 16.4
DVC01 17.1
RFD01 17.5AVN01 17.5
YJK01 18
CTZ01 18
STT01 1.8LJR01 4.1
YUC01 7.3
SAN01 9.4
HNE01 9.8TWC01 11.5
BLA01 11.6
3/12/2010 Ivan A. Walter, P.E. 40