c3.1: regional assessment for the north sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3:...

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C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air data 3.1.5: VOS line Rotterdam- Bergen 3.1.6: Modelling of carbon transformation 3.1.7: Budget modelling C3.2: Regional assessment for the Mediterranean 3.2.1: data compliation 3.2.2: river input data 3.2.3: data on benthic calcification C3.3: European Integration 3.3.1: seasonal cycle of atm CO2 above the North Sea 3.3.2: seasonal cycle of atm CO2 above the NW Mediterranean 3.3.3: Inverse atm. Modelling 3.3.4: present day European C- budget 3.3.5: emission discharge reduction scenarios and socio-economic impacts Core theme 3: Quantification of the carbon sources and sinks at the European regional scale

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Page 1: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea3.1.1: data compliation3.1.2: river input data3.1.3: data on benthic calcification3.1.4: novel marine air data3.1.5: VOS line Rotterdam- Bergen3.1.6: Modelling of carbon transformation3.1.7: Budget modelling

C3.2: Regional assessment for the Mediterranean3.2.1: data compliation3.2.2: river input data3.2.3: data on benthic calcification3.2.4: novel marine air data3.2.5: time series sampling and Strait of Gibraltar3.2.6: Modelling of carbon transformation3.2.7: Budget modelling

C3.3: European Integration3.3.1: seasonal cycle of atm CO2 above the North Sea3.3.2: seasonal cycle of atm CO2 above the NW Mediterranean3.3.3: Inverse atm. Modelling3.3.4: present day European C-budget 3.3.5: emission discharge reduction scenarios and socio-economic impacts

Core theme 3: Quantification of the carbon sources and

sinks at the European regional scale

Page 2: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Refinement of tentative European scaling of coastal CO2 fluxes (Partner 10)

n o n - u p w e l l i n g c o n t i n e n t a l s h e l v e s

u p w e l l i n g c o n t i n e n t a l s h e l v e s

i n n e r e s t u a r i e s

2345

67

89

1 0

1 1

1 2

1 3

1 4

1 6

1 7

1 81 9

1

2 0

1 5

Extrapolation of calcification data base toward global scale (WP12 and 14)

Page 3: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Variability and feedbacks of North Sea carbon cycle

Consideration of both pelagic and benthic calcifiers

•3D basin wide modeling 2001/2002•Variability in the southern North Sea

Page 4: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Further work

Julian Day

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

fCO

2 (

µat

m)

250

300

350

400

450

Month

J F M A M JN JL A S O N D

• Optimize the grid size

• Find appropriate statistical model(s) to analyse the variance

Example: ±10 µatm ±0.14 mol m-2 yr-1, or 11% of the annual flux

Page 5: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Somme

Bathymetry

Future work: January to June 2007

Implement the CO2 module in the 3D-MIRO&CO Model (Lacroix et al., 2005) Simulations for the present-day period validated with ULg pCO2 data base Map regional sources and sinks of CO2 for different seasons and years and identify the controlling mechanisms

Geographical domain of the 3D-MIRO&CO

Page 6: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Future work-2007

Thermogravimetry (TG) + IR – useful tool to distinguish labile (L) and stabile (S) organic matter fractions in sediments. S – L = Return flux. The images show a 3D TG/IR of sedimentary OM

Wave length

Ab

sorb

ance

Anal

ysis

tim

e

Wave length

Ab

sorb

ance

Anal

ysis

tim

e

2 cm depth sediment (10 years old)

40 cm depth sediment sample (150 years old)

Stable OM fraction

Page 7: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Return carbon flux from sediments- an important part of Baltic carbon cycle

Future work

1. Further work on carbon exchange fluxes (concentrations, water exchange, future scenarios depending on climate changes)

Carbon cycle

ReturnFlux

Page 8: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

WP13: CO2 EXCHANGE BETWEEN WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN AND ATLANTIC OCEAN. FUTURE WORK

-Five more seasonal cruises will be performed in the Strait of Gibraltar during2007 on board the Moroccan RV Al Amir Moulay Abdallah.

March May September December

-Generation of a data sets from 3 cruises and a VOS line using Spanish ships in order to consolidate a permanent Timeseries (GIFT: Gibraltar Fixed Timeseries).

-Evolution of carbon fluxes through the Strait of Gibraltar.

Page 9: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

WP14

Set of emission/discharge factors for future releases of other carbon-containing GHGs (CH4) – scenarios to 2030

presently scenarios for whole Europe and Russia based on EEA projections for GHGs (database and reports) are ready,

additional data will be searched

analysis of main sources will be provided

Inversion modeling of European carbon balance

Page 10: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air
Page 11: C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air

Thank you very much to Magdalena, Melchor and their team