c. stefan, v. dobrica c. demetrescu · c. stefan, v. dobrica, c. demetrescu institute of...

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Decomposing the geomagnetic field: oscillation modes and characteristics C. Stefan, V. Dobrica, C. Demetrescu Institute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy, Bucharest, Romania, [email protected] Acknowledgements : The study has been supported by the Institute of Geodynamics (Projects 3/2017,2019) and by the Ministry of Education and Research, UEFISCDI ( Project 19 PCCDI/2018) Highlights - the Earth’s surface geomagnetic field, namely the vertical component, into various oscillations; - Two different approaches were applied in our study; on one hand, Empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) and, on the other, HP (Hodrick and Prescott, 1997) and Butterworth (Butterworth, 1930 ) filtering; - Both methods show oscillations of >100 years as well as 60-90 years; - Comparisons of the two used approaches are illustrated here for the vertical component of the COV-OBS.x1 model as it covers a wider time interval than the IGRF-13 model. COV-OBS.x1 (Gillet et al., 2015) and IGRF-13 models were used to decompose References Butterworth, S. (1930). On the theory of filter amplifiers. Wireless Engineer 7, pp 536-541. Demetrescu, C., Dobrica, V. (2014) Multi-decadal ingredients of the secular variation of the geomagnetic field. Insights from long time series of observatory data. Phys Earth Planet Inter 231:39–55. doi:10.1016/j.pepi.2014.03.00.1. Dobrica, V., Demetrescu, C., Mandea, M. (2018). Geomagnetic field declination: from decadal to centennial scales. Solid Earth, 9, pp 491-503, https://doi.org/10.5194/se-9-491-2018. Bjornsson H., Venegas S.A. (1997). A manual for EOF and SVD analyses of climate data, Tech. Rep. No. 97-1, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Centre for Climate and Global Change Research, McGill University Gillet, N., Barrois, O., Finlay, C.C. (2015). Stochastic forecasting of the geomagnetic field from the COV-OBS.x1 geomagnetic field model, and candidate models for IGRF-12. Earth Planet Space, 67, pp 71-85, DOI:10.1186/s40623-015-0225-z. Hodrick, R. J., Prescott, E. C. (1997). Postwar U. S. business cycles: An empirical investigation. J. Money, Credit, Banking, 29, pp 1-16. Stefan, C., Dobrica, V., and Demetrescu, C.: Core surface sub-centennial magnetic flux patches: characteristics and evolution,Earth Planet. Space, 69, 146, https://doi.org/10.1186/S40623-017-0732-1, 2017. Principal component (PC) comparisons Wavelet comparison between PC4 and PC5 of the EOF analysis and the sub- centennial component obtained by means of HP and Butterworth filtering methods showing that the two PCs can be explained by the sub-centennial component Conclusions - The first three oscillation modes have periodicities of >100 years and describe 75.83% (mode 1), 13.29% (mode 2), respectively 4.92% (mode 3) of the vertical component characteristics at the Earth’s surface; - EOF modes 4 and 5 are characterized by dominant periodicities of 60-90 year. These modes are responsible for 2.91% (mode 4) and 1.86% (mode 5) of the vertical component characteristics; - Although the variance of the modes 4 and 5 is rather small compared to that of the first three modes, these two modes are responsible for the detailed structure of the geomagnetic field; - The results of the EOF analysis endorse our previous studies (Demetrescu&Dobrica, 2014; Stefan et al., 2017; Dobrica et al., 2018) according of which the geomagnetic field consists of oscillations at inter-centennial (> 100 years) and sub-centennial time scales (60-90 years); with the inter-centennial oscillation bearing the largest part of the field while the sub- centennial oscillation is responsible for the detailed structure of the geomagnetic field. 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 -200 -100 0 100 200 Standardized values PC1 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 Year COV-OBS.x1 IGRF-13 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 -80 -40 0 40 80 120 Standardized values PC2 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 Year COV-OBS.x1 IGRF-13 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 -40 -20 0 20 40 Standardized values PC3 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 Year COV-OBS.x1 IGRF-13 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 -40 -20 0 20 40 Standardized values PC4 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 Year COV-OBS.x1 IGRF-13 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 Year -200 -100 0 100 200 Standardized values PC1 -400 0 400 800 1200 Z intercentennial (nT) 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 Year -80 -40 0 40 80 Standardized values PC2 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 Year -40 -20 0 20 40 Standardized values PC3 36 yr s ~ 6 3 yr s 127 yrs 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 Frequency (cycles/year) 0 2 4 6 PSD (x10 5 ) PC1 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 Frequency (cycles/year) 0 4 8 12 16 PSD (x10 6 ) PC2 127 yrs ~ 51 yr s ~ 32 yr s ~ 40 yrs 127 yrs 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 Frequency (cycles/year) 0 2 4 6 8 PSD (x10 6 ) PC3 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 Frequency (cycles/year) 0 1 2 3 4 5 PSD (x10 6 ) PC4 ~ 85 yrs 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 Frequency (cycles/year) 0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2 PSD (x10 6 ) PC5 ~ 63 yrs ~ 42 yrs Principal component (black) and HP and Butterworth filtering (red) EOF modes HP and Butterworth filtering The general aspect of the EOF modes as well as the PCs obtained using COV-OBS.x1 and IGRF-13 models are in good agreement, different time spans covered by the models. slightly different periodicities in the principal component time series are due to Standardized values of the inter-centennial component for the year 2015 Sub-centennial component for the year 1930 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 Year -40 -20 0 20 40 Standardized values PC4 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Z sub-centennial (nT) 1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040 Year -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Standardized values PC5 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Z sub-centennial (nT)

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Page 1: C. Stefan, V. Dobrica C. Demetrescu · C. Stefan, V. Dobrica, C. Demetrescu Institute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy, Bucharest, Romania, cristiana_stefan@geodin.ro Acknowledgements:The

Decomposing the geomagnetic field: oscillation modes and characteristics

C. Stefan, V. Dobrica, C. DemetrescuInstitute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy, Bucharest, Romania, [email protected]

Acknowledgements:The study has been supported by the Institute of Geodynamics (Projects 3/2017,2019) and by the Ministry of Education and Research, UEFISCDI ( Project 19 PCCDI/2018)

Highlights

-the Earth’s surface geomagnetic field, namely the vertical component, into various oscillations;- Two different approaches were applied in our study; on one hand, Empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) and, on the other, HP (Hodrick and Prescott, 1997) and Butterworth (Butterworth, 1930 ) filtering; - Both methods show oscillations of >100 years as well as 60-90 years;- Comparisons of the two used approaches are illustrated here for the vertical component of the COV-OBS.x1 model as it covers a wider time interval than the IGRF-13 model.

COV-OBS.x1 (Gillet et al., 2015) and IGRF-13 models were used to decompose

ReferencesButterworth, S. (1930). On the theory of filter amplifiers. Wireless Engineer 7, pp 536-541.

Demetrescu, C., Dobrica, V. (2014) Multi-decadal ingredients of the secular variation of the geomagnetic field. Insights from long time series of observatory data. Phys Earth Planet Inter 231:39–55. doi:10.1016/j.pepi.2014.03.00.1.Dobrica, V., Demetrescu, C., Mandea, M. (2018). Geomagnetic field declination: from decadal to centennial scales. Solid Earth, 9, pp 491-503, https://doi.org/10.5194/se-9-491-2018.

Bjornsson H., Venegas S.A. (1997). A manual for EOF and SVD analyses of climate data, Tech. Rep. No. 97-1, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Centre for Climate and Global Change Research, McGill University

Gillet, N., Barrois, O., Finlay, C.C. (2015). Stochastic forecasting of the geomagnetic field from the COV-OBS.x1 geomagnetic field model, and candidate models for IGRF-12. Earth Planet Space, 67, pp 71-85, DOI:10.1186/s40623-015-0225-z.Hodrick, R. J., Prescott, E. C. (1997). Postwar U. S. business cycles: An empirical investigation. J. Money, Credit, Banking, 29, pp 1-16.Stefan, C., Dobrica, V., and Demetrescu, C.: Core surface sub-centennial magnetic flux patches: characteristics and evolution,Earth Planet. Space, 69, 146, https://doi.org/10.1186/S40623-017-0732-1, 2017.

Principal component (PC) comparisons

Wavelet comparison between PC4 and PC5 of the EOF analysis and the sub-centennial component obtained by means of HP and Butterworth filtering methods showing that the two PCs can be explained by the sub-centennial component

Conclusions- The first three oscillation modes have periodicities of >100 years and describe 75.83% (mode 1), 13.29% (mode 2), respectively 4.92% (mode 3) of the vertical component characteristics at the Earth’s surface;- EOF modes 4 and 5 are characterized by dominant periodicities of 60-90 year. These modes are responsible for 2.91% (mode 4) and 1.86% (mode 5) of the vertical component characteristics;- Although the variance of the modes 4 and 5 is rather small compared to that of the first three modes, these two modes are responsible for the detailed structure of the geomagnetic field;- The results of the EOF analysis endorse our previous studies (Demetrescu&Dobrica, 2014; Stefan et al., 2017; Dobrica et al., 2018) according of which the geomagnetic field consists of oscillations at inter-centennial (> 100 years) and sub-centennial time scales (60-90 years); with the inter-centennial oscillation bearing the largest part of the field while the sub-centennial oscillation is responsible for the detailed structure of the geomagnetic field.

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040

-200

-100

0

100

200

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

1

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040Year

COV-OBS.x1

IGRF-13

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040

-80

-40

0

40

80

120

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

2

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040Year

COV-OBS.x1

IGRF-13

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040

-40

-20

0

20

40

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

3

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040Year

COV-OBS.x1

IGRF-13

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040

-40

-20

0

20

40

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

4

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040Year

COV-OBS.x1

IGRF-13

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040Year

-200

-100

0

100

200

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

1

-400

0

400

800

1200

Z

intercen

tenn

ial (nT

)

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040Year

-80

-40

0

40

80

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

2

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040Year

-40

-20

0

20

40

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

3

36

yrs~ 63

yrs

127 yrs

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2Frequency (cycles/year)

0

2

4

6

PS

D

(x10

5 )

PC

1

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2Frequency (cycles/year)

0

4

8

12

16

PS

D

(x10

6 )

PC

2

127 yrs

~ 51

yrs

~

32

yrs

~

40 yrs

127 yrs

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2Frequency (cycles/year)

0

2

4

6

8

PS

D

(x10

6 )

PC

3

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2Frequency (cycles/year)

0

1

2

3

4

5

PS

D

(x10

6 )

PC

4

~ 85 yrs

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2Frequency (cycles/year)

0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

2

PS

D

(x10

6 )

PC

5

~ 63 yrs

~ 42 yrs

Principal component (black) and HP and Butterworth filtering (red)

EOF modes HP and Butterworth filtering

The general aspect of the EOF modes as well as the PCs obtained using COV-OBS.x1 and IGRF-13 models are in good agreement,

different time spans covered by the models. slightly different periodicities in the principal

component time series are due to

Standardized values of the inter-centennial component for the year 2015

Sub-centennial component for the year 1930

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040Year

-40

-20

0

20

40

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

4

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Z

sub

-centen

nial (n

T)

1840 1880 1920 1960 2000 2040Year

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Sta

nd

ard

ized

valu

es

PC

5

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Z

sub

-centen

nial (n

T)

Page 2: C. Stefan, V. Dobrica C. Demetrescu · C. Stefan, V. Dobrica, C. Demetrescu Institute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy, Bucharest, Romania, cristiana_stefan@geodin.ro Acknowledgements:The

Additional information regarding the poster “Decomposing the geomagnetic field: oscillation modes

and characteristics”, authors C. Stefan, V. Dobrica, C. Demetrescu

Data and method

The COV-OBS.x1 (Gillet et al., 2015) and IGRF-13 main geomagnetic field models, covering the time span

1840–2020, respectively 1900-2020, were used to obtain time series of the vertical component (Z) at the

Earth’s surface in a 2.5° × 2.5° latitude/longitude grid. The codes and coefficients of the models are

available online at http://www.spacecenter.dk/files/magnetic-models/COV-OBSx1/ and at

https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/IAGA/vmod/igrf.html, respectively.

Two different approaches were applied in order to decompose the geomagnetic field, on one hand, the

empirical orthogonal functions (EOF), and, on the other hand, Hodrick–Prescott (HP) (Hodrick and

Prescott, 1997) and Butterworth (Butterworth, 1930) filtering. Briefly, EOF allows defining the spatial

distribution of the oscillation modes/variability modes of a physical field, their temporal variation as well as

their relevance in terms of variance (Bjornsson and Venegas, 1997). Bjornsson and Venegas (1997)

proposed that the term EOF to be used to describe the spatial distribution of the variability modes and the

principal component (PC) term to be used for the temporal variation of the variability modes as there was

confusion in the literature as both terms were used to describe the same method. In our study the terms EOF

and PC are used according to Bjornsson and Venegas (1997). The principle of the HP filter is that a time

series is the sum of a long term component (trend) and a cyclic component. The determination of the long

term component is equivalent to a cubic spline smoother.

Results and discussion

The vertical component time series of the geomagnetic field, in a 2.5° × 2.5° latitude/longitude global grid,

obtained using the COV-OBS.x1 and IGRF-13 models were decomposed in oscillation modes using the

EOF method as well into a long term and a cyclic component by means of HP filtering. The long term

component resulted using the HP filter, with amplitudes reaching 7000 nT, is associated to the internal field

while the cyclic component, with much smaller amplitudes, could correspond to the external field. Further

the long term component is filtered by means of a Butterworth filter (1930) with different cut-off periods in

order to obtain oscillation at inter-centennial (> 100 years) and sub-centennial (60-90 years) time scales.

The results of the EOF analysis shows that the first three oscillation modes are characterized by periodicities

of >100 years and describe 75.83% (mode 1), 13.29% (mode 2) and 4.92% (mode 3) of the characteristics

of the geomagnetic field at Earth’s surface. Modes 4 and 5 are characterized by dominant periodicities of

60-90 year. These modes are responsible for 2.91% (mode 4), respectively 1.86% (mode 5) of the vertical

component characteristics. Although the variance of the modes 4 and 5 is rather small compared to that of

the first three modes, these two modes are responsible for the detailed structure of the geomagnetic field.

Modes 6-10 that have a total variance of 1.18% also lend to the detailed structure of the geomagnetic field.

We consider that the inter-centennial component (> 100 years) obtained by means of HP and Butterworth

filtering explains the first EOF mode as it bears the largest part of the geomagnetic field at the Earth’s

surface. EOF modes 4 and 5 can be attributed to the sub-centennial component (60-90 years) that reveals the

detailed structure of the geomagnetic field.

References

Bjornsson H., Venegas S.A. (1997). A manual for EOF and SVD analyses of climate data, Tech.

Rep. No. 97-1, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Centre for Climate and Global

Change Research, McGill University.

Butterworth, S. (1930). On the theory of filter amplifiers. Wireless Engineer 7, pp 536– 541.

Gillet, N., Barrois, O., Finlay, C.C. (2015). Stochastic forecasting of the geomagnetic field from

the COV-OBS.x1 geomagnetic field model, and candidate models for IGRF-12. Earth Planet Space,

67, pp 71-85, DOI:10.1186/s40623-015-0225-z.

Hodrick, R. J., Prescott, E. C. (1997). Postwar U. S. business cycles: An empirical investigation.

J. Money, Credit, Banking, 29, pp 1-16.