by prof. dr. mstislav afanasiev · macroeconomic indicators of russia 2007 – 2011 by prof. dr....

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MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector www.abik.ru THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION February 2011

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Page 1: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS

OF RUSSIA

2007 –

2011

by Prof. Dr. Mstislav

AFANASIEV 

rector www.abik.ru

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE 

OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

February 2011

Page 2: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

GDP in Russia and Japan 

1

Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2010: Global Insight and Nomura database. Russian Federal State Statistics Service.

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 3: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Structure of elements of GDP use in Russia (at constant prices 2003), as percentage of total GDP

2

*first estimate Source: Russian Federal State Statistics Service

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 4: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Investments in fixed capital in Russia

3

Source: Russian Federal State Statistics Service, author calculations

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 5: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Production indices by kinds of economic activity (2006 = 100%)

4

Source: OECD, Russian Federal State Statistics Service, author calculationsTHE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE 

OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 6: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Inflation in Russia and in Japan 

5

Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2010; Russian Federal State Statistics Service.

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 7: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Consumer prices indices in Russia  in

2009 and 2010,

to December of the previous year; percentage

6

Source:

OECD, Russian Federal State Statistics Service

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 8: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Consumer prices indices in Russia in

2010,  to December of the previous year; percentage

7

Source: Russian Federal State Statistics Service THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE 

OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 9: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Current account balance

8

Source: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation; International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2010

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 10: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Export and import of the Russia (according to the methodology of the Balance of payment)

9

Source: 

The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 11: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Ruble exchange rate (annual average)

10

Source: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation,IMF: Principal Global Indicators

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 12: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Net capital export/import by private sector  in Russia in 2007 ‐

2010

(based on the Balance of Payments, Flows Data)

11

Source: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 13: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Balance of Payments  of the Russian Federation for 2008 ‐

2010

12

Source: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 14: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

International Reserves

13

Source: Japan Ministry of Finance; The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 15: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Money supply (М2)

14

Source: Bank of Japan, The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 16: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Deposits taken by Credit  institutions in Russia

15

Source: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 17: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Loans and other funds placed with  organizations and individuals in Russia

16

Source: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 18: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Unemployment in Russia and in Japan

17

Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2010.Russian Federal State Statistics Service.

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 19: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Real accrued wages and unemployment  rate in Russia

(seasonally adjusted)

18

Source: The Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 20: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Real disposable money incomes and turnover of  retail trade in Russia (seasonally adjusted)

19

Source: The Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 21: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Government Revenues in Russia and Japan

20

Source: Japan Ministry of Finance; Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 22: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Government Expenditures in Russia and Japan

21

Source: Japan Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 23: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Reserve and National Wealth Funds in Russia

22

Source: Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation

THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Page 24: by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV · MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF RUSSIA 2007 – 2011 by Prof. Dr. Mstislav AFANASIEV rector THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

23THE BUDGET AND TREASURY ACADEMY OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION