by: kenny ong … · according to a report by infields, australasia's subsea market share will...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
By:
Kenny Ong
CSE GLOBAL
![Page 2: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
The objective of the presentation is for educational purposes. The full content of the presentation is for illustration purposes only and should not be used as investment recommendations. AB Maximus and its presenters are not responsible for all investment activities conducted by the participants and cannot be held liable for any investment loss.
The company and presenters may have personal interest in the particular shares presented.
DISCLAIMER
2
![Page 3: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Company Background
Growth Drivers
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Risks
Conclusion
CONTENT
3
![Page 4: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
COMPANY BACKGROUND
CSE Global is a global system integrator operating in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Listing Date: 2000 Shares: 516 Million Market Cap: $420 Million Year End: 31 Dec
![Page 5: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
WHAT DOES CSE DO?
Automation
Healthcare
Environmental
Telecommunications
4 Segments
![Page 6: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
WHAT DOES CSE DO?
Automation
Process Control System
Safety Shutdown
Fire and Gas Detection System
Scada/telemetry/pipeline Control System
Wellhead Control System
Subsea Control System
Traffic Management and Control System
I& E Construction
![Page 7: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
WHAT DOES CSE DO?
Construction Communications
VSAT Satell ite Communications Network
Fiber Optics System
Conventional & Trunked Radio Systems
CCTV, Access Control & FIDS System
LAN/WAN Networks
IP Based Networks
Telecommunications
![Page 8: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
WHAT DOES CSE DO?
Meteorological Systems
Multiple Hearth Furnace
Carbon And Energy Recovery Systems
Fluid Bed Incinerator
Rotary Kilin Incinerator
Environmental
![Page 9: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
WHAT DOES CSE DO?
Hospital Information Systems – Patient Administration and Electronic Patient Record
Community & Mental Health Care Record System
Healthcare
![Page 10: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
DRIVER 1 - AGGRESSIVE STANCE
Year Company Country Industry
2000 W-Industries
CSE (UK)
US
UK
Systems Integrator
2002 Control Concepts US Engineering Systems
2003 Transtel
TTC S.R.O
Singapore
Slovakia
Telecom
Oil & Gas
2004 Uniserve Australia Power and Water
2006 Techno TradeSA
Scomagg
Belgium
Scotland
Telcoms
Systems Svc
2008 WAF
Hankin
New Zealand
US
Control Eng.
Incineration
2010 System Integration & Automation UK Controls Eng.
2011 Astib Australia Telcoms
2012 Power Diesel (66%) Global Oil & Gas
2013 Tynemarch UK Water and Env.
![Page 11: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Due the company’s low gearing, analysts expect CSE to be able to borrow up to $40 mill ion to fund its acquisitions this year
Inorganic growth to improve revenues and derive synergies between business units
Contracted its past CEO to carry out M&A transactions
11
DRIVER 1 - AGGRESSIVE STANCE
![Page 12: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Due the company’s low gearing, analysts expect CSE to be able to borrow up to $40 mill ion to fund its acquisitions this year
Inorganic growth to improve revenues and derive synergies between business units
Contracted its past CEO to carry out M&A transactions
12
DRIVER 1 - AGGRESSIVE STANCE
Proposition 1:
CSE has the financial strength, intention and a steady
track record of using M&As to boost inorganic growth
![Page 13: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
13
DRIVER 2 – END OF ZERO MARGIN
Historically CSE strength and highest margin contribution is in the offshore projects
Due BP oil spil l, there is lull in offshore projects at the Guld of Mexico, thus CSE has been undertaking low margins proejcts.
Undertook a few zero margins onshore projects
Middle East projects
Greenfield gas projects in USA
Hurt profitability although Revenues are not badly affected
![Page 14: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14
DRIVER 2 – END OF ZERO MARGIN
Zero Margin projects are ending.
In the 1Q 2013 report, as compare to 1Q2012, revenue are dropping, however, Net Profit increases drastically.
![Page 15: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
DRIVER 2 – END OF ZERO MARGIN
Net profit margin improves as zero -margin projects end
![Page 16: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16
DRIVER 2 – END OF ZERO MARGIN
Net profit margin improves as zero -margin projects end
Proposition 2:
CSE will see a constant Gross Margin but Net Margins
will improve to levels before FY2011
![Page 17: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
17
DRIVER 3 – STRONG OUTLOOK
CSE has a strong track record of obtaining orders
Every quarter CSE can obtain at least $100 mill ion worth of orders
11.1% growth of new order for Q1 of FY2013
Reduce outstanding orders by 9%
![Page 18: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18
DRIVER 3 – STRONG OUTLOOK
Number of Offshore rigs increasing since Feb -11
Traditionally CSE’s strongest segment
![Page 19: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19
DRIVER 3 – STRONG OUTLOOK
According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years
Notably, Asia is driven by fast -growing LNG export industry, which is racing to meet rising demand for natural gas in emerging Asian economies
CSE has been winning LNG projects
CAGR 2.8%
![Page 20: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
20
DRIVER 3 – STRONG OUTLOOK
According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years
Notably, Asia is driven by fast -growing LNG export industry, which is racing to meet rising demand for natural gas in emerging Asian economies
CSE has been winning LNG projects
CAGR 2.8%
Proposition 3:
CSE will see strong and large orders coming in from its
traditionally strong segments. LNG wins will give it
more opportunities to win more LNG projects.
![Page 21: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Risk Free Rate 2.50%
Beta 1.25
Equity Risk Premium 10.60%
Tax Rate 24.00%
Cost of Equity 12.63%
Weight of Debt 20%
Weight of Equity 80%
WACC 10.48%
Terminal Growth 2.00%
21
WACC CALCULATION
![Page 22: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
S$ Millions 2012 2013 F 2014 F 2015 F 2016F
Revenues
Automation 367 303 313 324 335
Telecoms 141 140 140 140 140
Healthcare 34 30 30 30 30
Environmental 22 23 25 28 30
Total 564 495 508 521 535
Net Margin 9.95% 9.56% 9.56% 9.56% 9.56%
Net Income 56 47 49 50 51
22
NET INCOME PROJECTIONS
![Page 23: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
2013 F 2014 F 2015 F 2016F
TV 604
PV 43 40 37 405
Firm Value 525
Less Debt 96
Add Cash 74
Intrinsic Value $0.98
23
DCF
![Page 24: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
24
RELATIVE VALUATION
Company P/E Normalized
(FY)
Boustead Singapore Limited 12.9
Cosco Corporation (Singapore) Limited 15.6
DMX Technologies Group Limited 9.7
Ezion Holdings Ltd 17.0
Ezra Holdings Limited 11.6
IEV Holdings Ltd 16.3
Jaya Holdings Limited 9.5
Keppel Corporation Limited 8.9
PEC Ltd. 13.4
SembCorp Marine Ltd. 17.3
Sound Global Ltd 9.6
Swiber Holdings Limited 9.5
Average 12.6
![Page 25: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
25
RELATIVE VALUATION
Average PE:
12.6
EPS1:
$0.10
Fair Value:
$1.26 X =
![Page 26: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
M&A Risk
There may be risks that M&A will not successfully occur, leading to financial losses for the company
Foreign Currency Translation
Group is exposed to many different currencies like EUR, USD etc. At the group level, consolidation lead to translational differences
Margin Squeeze
There may be a margin squeeze again like in previous projects. This may be due to increase competition and other disasters
26
RISKS
![Page 27: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Dividend Yield (5.2% vs 1.9%)
CSE offers stellar dividend yield. Even more attractive than big time offshore players like Keppel and Semb Marine
Current Ratio (2.3 vs 2.1)
CSE is has better liquidity than its peers
Debt to Equity (39% v 47%)
CSE is less geared than its peers giving it room to borrow
Receivables turnover ( 2.4 v 3.6)
CSE is less efficient at collecting trade receivables as compared to its peers
27
RATIO ANALYSIS
![Page 28: By: Kenny Ong … · According to a report by Infields, Australasia's subsea market share will increase by 7% over the next 5 years Notably, Asia is driven by fast-growing LNG export](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022071008/5fc646ac60f34f3a7038c086/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
28
CONCLUSION
DCF Fair Value (0.9)
$0.98
P/E Fair Value (0.1)
$1.26
Fair Value
$1.00