XV International AIDS Conference Symposium: Education for HIV/AIDS

prevention:What Works?

Scaling up: costing scarce resources and assessing

absorptive capacity By Alan Whiteside

Director, HEARD Bangkok 14th July 2004

www.heard.org.za

National trends in HIV prevalence

 

05

1015202530354045

Botsw ana

Namibia

South Africa

Sw aziland

HIV Prevalence among ANC respondents by age group 1994 -

2002

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40+

Age group

%

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Epidemic Curves, HIV

27Aug01 -Report I: Epidem’gy & Lit. p. 27

T1 T2 Time

Numbers

A1

A2

HIV prevalence

A

B

Epidemic Curves, HIV and AIDS

27Aug01 -Report I: Epidem’gy & Lit. p. 27

T1 T2 Time

Numbers

A1

A2

HIV prevalence

AIDS - cumulative

B1

A

B

Epidemic Curves, HIV, AIDS & Impact

27Aug01 -Report I: Epidem’gy & Lit. p. 27

T1 T2 Time

Numbers

A1

A2

HIV prevalence

B1

A

B

AIDS - cumulative

Impact

Mitigation of HIV/AIDS at the District Level: The Case for

the Collection of Local Indicators & the Development

of DEMMIS

DEMMIS Monthly Summary Information (Form A) Month: KZNDEC Form DEMMIS/A/2002

School Name: EMIS Number: District Circuit No. of school days this month :

1 Learner Enrolment: 2 Number of school 3 Number of DAYS lost through learner absenteeism this month: (indicate the number of days) * (Total enrolment in

all grades)

DAYS attended by total number of learners

Illness Compassionate

Reasons Pregnancy

Transport problems

Unknown reason

TOTAL

Male Male Male Female Female Female TOTAL TOTAL

4 Number of LEARNERS who left the school during this month: (indicate number of learners)

Relocation

Financial reasons

Drop-out Pregnancy Orphaned Offered

employment Expelled Death

Unknown reason

TOTAL

Male Female

5 6 7

Number of LEARNERS who entered the school during THIS month (new entrants):

Number of LEARNERS who have been orphaned (lost a parent/guardian) during THIS month:

Number of LEARNERS whose parents/guardians have been granted exemption from paying school fees THIS month:

Male One parent/guardian Full exemption Female Both parents/guardians Partial exemption TOTAL Conditional exemption

8 State Paid Educators 9 Privately Paid Educators 10 Number of DAYS lost through State Paid Educators who were absent during this month: * Male Male * (indicate Female Female

Illness Transport problems

Strike action

Unknown reason

TOTAL number

Male of days Female per month)

11 Number of DAYS lost through State Paid Educators who took leave during this month: (indicate number of days per month)

Sick leave

Accouche-ment/paternity

Compassion-ate leave

Urgent private affairs

Study leave

Long leave Other TOTAL

Male Female

12 Number of State Paid EDUCATORS that left the school/resigned during this month: (indicate number of educators) 13 Number state-paid substitute educators

Relocation Transfer/ promotion

Left the Department

Death Retirement Unknown

reason TOTAL

provided: Male Male Female Female

Educators

Learners

EMIS: Mortality due to Illness

Educator Mortality due to illness, 1999 - 2000

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 34 35 – 39 40 – 44 45 – 49 50 – 54 55+

Age Group

Educ

ator

s

1999 2000

Pupil AttritionNumbers of learners leaving school

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Jan-02

Feb-02

Mar-02

Apr-02

May-02

Jun-02

Jul-02

Aug-02

Sep-02

Oct-02

Nov-02

Dec-02

Male Female

“New” OrphansCummulative number of new orphans, all schools

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

20001 2002

Orphans as a % of enrolment:2001: 1.5%2002: 2.3%

Loss of Contact TimeLoss of contact time - Educators

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.1

Jan-02

Feb-02

Mar-02

Apr-02

May-02

Jun-02

Jul-02

Aug-02

Sep-02

Oct-02

Nov-02

Dec-02

Leave Absent

Loss of time:2001: 7%

2002: 7.6%

HIV/AIDS Impacton

The Education Sector The Mobile Task Team

Approach

MTT Country Activity

MTT Regional Activity

MTT Objectives

Empower MoEs to develop systemic, sustainable response to HIV/AIDS, through effective management & mitigation;

Guide sectoral policy & prioritised, decentralised implementation plans;

Cost implementation plans to utilise available internal and external resources;

Develop MoE/sectoral capacity & provide knowledge, systems, tools, models, templates and training required to measure, manage, mitigate HIV/AIDS and report response.

MTT Research Activity Published analysis of mortality &

attrition rates in 70 000 educator workforce in KwaZulu Natal;

Analysis of mortality & attrition rates for 360 000 teachers in South Africa for teacher demand & supply modelling;

Assembly & analysis of education sector data for 13 MTT countries;

Global Readiness Report –education sector study of 100 HIV/AIDS vulnerable countries,

www.mttaids.com

www.heard.org.za