business first editorial board dr. james ramsey president, university of louisville november 8, 2013

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Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

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Page 1: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

Business First Editorial BoardDr. James Ramsey

President, University of Louisville

NOVEMBER 8, 2013

Page 2: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

2

Thank you

Page 3: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U

Our Trajectory – Pretty “Damn” Amazing

Page 4: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U4

State Revenue Growth

Public Pensions Medicaid Debt Service Corrections/Adult Prisons

K-12 Base Higher Ed-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

10.0%

63.5%

41.9%

32.8%

15.3%

-1.0%

-14.0%

http://www.ksba.org/protected/PrintArticle.aspx?iid=50GAYB&dasi=3UBI

So, While Modest Economic Recovery, State Budget (2008-14) Continues To Be Ugly Because of Expenditure Side of Budget

Page 5: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U5

The Real Issue

136,290,000

US jobsDecember 2007

137,982,000

Jobs lost in the recession

7.479 million

Jobs gained in the

recovery

5.787 million

US jobsSeptember 2013

Still 1.69m fewer people working today

http://beta.bls.gov/dataViewer/view/timeseries/CES0000000001http://www.deptofnumbers.com/employment/us/

Page 6: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U6

Kentuckians working

1,745.0

1,765.0

1,785.0

1,805.0

1,825.0

1,845.0

1,865.0

1,885.0

1,846.9

1,870.6

1,814.4

1,750.6

August 2013

Page 7: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U7

But there is more to itKentucky Manufacturing Employment

Why Important? WAGES!

August 2013

Jan-00

Jul-00

Jan-01

Jul-01

Jan-02

Jul-02

Jan-03

Jul-03

Jan-04

Jul-04

Jan-05

Jul-05

Jan-06

Jul-06

Jan-07

Jul-07

Jan-08

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

200.0

220.0

240.0

260.0

280.0

300.0

320.0

225.2

Page 8: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U8

Just a little comparison

U.S. KY

Jobs Lost 7,500,000 120,000

Jobs Regained 5,787,000 96,300

% of Jobs Regained 77% 80%

Page 9: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U9

Continue to face difficult state and fiscal challenges that impact our future

• Slow State General Rund revenue growth

(estimate 2013/14 is 2.5%, FY 14/15: 2.4%,

FY 15/16: 2.3%

• State’s structural budget imbalance still

exists

(more funding needed for state pensions)

Our Outlook

Page 10: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U10

• Limited / if any funding for higher education• Funding, if available, tied to “performance”• Funds, if available, tied to specific initiatives; i.e.

“college readiness”• Continued pressure on modest tuition increases

Tough Fiscal Outlook to Continue

2014 - 2016

Our Outlook

Page 11: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U11

1. Continuing re-engineering of processes and expense

management

2. Aggressively improving balance sheet management, with an

emphasis on converting underperforming assets

3. Increasing clinical income to support education and research

4. Increasing contract research and commercialization income

5. Creating private sector partnerships

6. Being creative in expanding the research mission through

innovative financing tools like the tax increment financing plan

7. Enhancing fund raising

“Our Seven Strategies”

Page 12: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U12

Our Trajectory

1. Continue on our trajectory – 2020 Plan

2. Trajectory slows down – push out date in

2020 Plan

3. We accept where we are – flatline

4. The “unthinkable.”

Possible Paths of Future

Page 13: Business First Editorial Board Dr. James Ramsey President, University of Louisville NOVEMBER 8, 2013

L O U I S V I L L E . E D U13

Next step in campus discussions of “University of 21st Century”

1. “Clusters” of excellence

2. Reviewing education delivery models that are student centered

3. Look at organization/structural/financial processes

4. Build culture of excellence