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Budapest Renminbi Initiative April 2018 SWIFT's RMB Tracker - monitoring of the RMB internationalisation

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Page 1: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

Budapest Renminbi Initiative

April 2018

SWIFT's RMB Tracker - monitoring of the RMB internationalisation

Page 2: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

2

RMB’s share as a domestic and international payments currencyCustomer initiated and institutional payments.

Messages exchanged on SWIFT. Based on value.

January 2012

Source: SWIFT BI Watch

January 2013 January 2014

Page 3: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

3

RMB’s share as a domestic and international payments currencyCustomer initiated and institutional payments.

Messages exchanged on SWIFT. Based on value.

USD

EUR

GBP

JPY

CHF

CAD

CNY

AUD

HKD

THB

SEK

SGD

NOK

PLN

ZAR

MYR

DKK

MXN

NZD

TRY

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

38.00%

34.29%

7.34%

3.29%

1.64%

1.57%

1.56%

1.48%

1.31%

1.06%

0.85%

0.84%

0.77%

0.52%

0.44%

0.42%

0.39%

0.30%

0.30%

0.25%

USD

EUR

GBP

JPY

CNY

CAD

CHF

AUD

SEK

HKD

THB

SGD

NOK

PLN

DKK

ZAR

MXN

NZD

TRY

CLP

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

41.40%

31.47%

8.78%

3.16%

1.76%

1.73%

1.52%

1.52%

1.02%

1.00%

1.00%

0.86%

0.68%

0.52%

0.43%

0.40%

0.36%

0.31%

0.26%

0.19%

February 2016 February 2018

Source: SWIFT BI Watch

Page 4: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

4

Currency usage for cross-border payments between Europe and the rest of the worldLive and delivered, MT 103 and 202, sent and received, excluding central banks, FY 2017, by value

Source: SWIFT BI Watch

EUR45%

USD34%

GBP7%

JPY3%

CHF3%

Others8%

USD; 33%

EUR; 31%

GBP; 10%

CHF; 5%

JPY; 3%

Others; 18%

Euro zone* Non Euro zone

*Excluding payments within Euro zone

Rank 8th

CNY = 0.65%

Rank 15th

CNY = 0.81%

Page 5: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

Source: SWIFT BI Watch

Hungary 100%

Commercial payments in RMB, sent from China to Belt and Road countries,

YTD June 2017 vs YTD June 2014, by value

Page 6: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

6

BOC

Official RMB Clearing Banks appointed by

the People’s Bank of ChinaGeographical location and timeline

Page 7: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

0

50

100

150

200

250

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

Traffic between Hungary and CN/HK, all currencies Traffic between Hungary and CN/HK, CNY

7

Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HKLive, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015

Source: SWIFT BI Watch

Tra

ns

ac

tio

ns

se

nt

in a

ll c

urr

en

cie

s

Tra

ns

ac

tio

ns

se

nt

in C

NY

June 2015:

BOC Budapest

Appointment of RMB Clearing Bank

Growth is based on March 2018 vs June 2015 (RMB Clearing Bank appointment)

Growth -6%

Growth -25%

Page 8: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

8Source: SWIFT BI Watch

Currency usage for payments sent from Hungary to China/HKLive and delivered, MT 103 and 202 sent, excluding central banks, FY 2017

By value By volume

EUR; 39,6%

USD; 32,9%

CNY; 24,0%

HKD; 2,2%

CAD; 0,7%

Others; 0,6%

USD; 72,4%

EUR; 22,9%

CAD; 2,7%

CNY; 1,3% GBP; 0,2%

Others; 0,5%

Page 9: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

FY 2017- Selected economies

% of payments in RMB (by value) with China/Hong Kong FY 2017

% C

hin

a’s

tra

de

So

urc

e W

orl

d B

an

k,

Imp

ort

an

d E

xp

ort

by C

hin

a/H

on

g K

on

g,

20

16

Volume of payments (all ccy) with China/Hong Kong

RMB usage by country for payments ending in China/HKLive and delivered, MT 103 and MT 202, direct, cross-border, excluding central banks

4035302520151050

14

13

12

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

90656055

HungaryDenmark

Ireland

PakistanSouth Africa

Thailand

Sweden

United Arab Emirates

Spain

Canada

LuxembourgNetherlands

Macau BelgiumSwitzerland

Malaysia

Korea, Republic of

Taiwan

Australia

Germany

Japan

France

Singapore

United Kingdom

United States

Size of bubble is not according to scale

Source: SWIFT BI Watch9

Page 10: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

10

Top 15 offshore RMB

economies with

clearing centres, by

weight

Customer initiated and institutional

payments. Inbound + Outbound traffic.

Based on value. Excluding China.

FY 2017

FY 2016

Source: SWIFT BI Watch

United Arab Emirates 0.15%0.13%

Canada 0.38%0.23%

Macau 0.41%0.25%

Luxembourg 0.47%0.35%

Germany

Switzerland 0.09%0.11%

Russia 0.08%0.12%

0.61%0.68%

Australia 0.95%1.02%

France 1.38%1.55%

Taiwan 2.68%2.19%

United States 3.03%2.59%

Korea, Republic of 2.11%2.99%

Singapore 4.93%4.41%

United Kingdom 6.51%5.59%

Hong Kong 74.08%75.68%

Hungary0.003%

0.008%32Rank

Page 11: Budapest Renminbi Initiative...Monthly evolution of traffic between Hungary and China/HK Live, delivered, MT 103 and 202, cross-border excluding central banks since Jan 2015 Source:

www.swift.com

Budapest Renminbi Initiative 11