budapest exceedenceprob

11
Wind speed (mph) Thunderstorm Non-thunderstorm Combined 10 0.999889 1.000000 1.000000 20 0.999774 1.000000 1.000000 30 0.987032 1.000000 1.000000 40 0.749902 0.999996 0.999999 50 0.312617 0.644962 0.755953 60 0.092396 0.081977 0.166799 70 0.024478 0.007040 0.031346 80 0.006297 0.000583 0.006876 90 0.001607 0.000048 0.001656 100 0.000410 0.000004 0.000414 110 0.000104 0.000000 0.000105 120 0.000027 0.000000 0.000027 130 0.000007 0.000000 0.000007 140 0.000002 0.000000 0.000002 150 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 RP50 = 72.9 mph RP100 = 77.5 mph RP300 = 85 mph RP700 = 91.1 mph RP1700 = 97.4 mph Annual exceedence probability Wind speed (mph)

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Page 1: Budapest Exceedenceprob

Wind speed (mph) Thunderstorm Non-thunderstorm Combined10 0.999889 1.000000 1.00000020 0.999774 1.000000 1.00000030 0.987032 1.000000 1.00000040 0.749902 0.999996 0.99999950 0.312617 0.644962 0.75595360 0.092396 0.081977 0.16679970 0.024478 0.007040 0.03134680 0.006297 0.000583 0.00687690 0.001607 0.000048 0.001656

100 0.000410 0.000004 0.000414110 0.000104 0.000000 0.000105120 0.000027 0.000000 0.000027130 0.000007 0.000000 0.000007140 0.000002 0.000000 0.000002150 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000

RP50 = 72.9 mphRP100 = 77.5 mphRP300 = 85 mphRP700 = 91.1 mphRP1700 = 97.4 mph

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1601.0E-12

1.0E-10

1.0E-08

1.0E-06

1.0E-04

1.0E-02

1.0E+00

ThunderstormNon-thunderstormCombined

wind speed (mph)

Annu

al e

xcee

denc

e pr

obab

ility

-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 300

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

ThunderstormNon-thunderCombined

-ln(-ln(1-Pa))

Win

d sp

eed

(mph

)

Page 2: Budapest Exceedenceprob

X-thunder x-nonthun-2.209327 Err:502-2.127694 Err:502-1.469094 Err:502-0.326352 -2.5286780.981194 -0.0349132.333592 2.4588533.697598 4.9526185.064572 7.4463846.432302 9.940157.800226 12.433929.168198 14.9276810.53618 17.4214511.90417 19.9152113.27216 22.4089814.64015 24.90274

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1601.0E-12

1.0E-10

1.0E-08

1.0E-06

1.0E-04

1.0E-02

1.0E+00

ThunderstormNon-thunderstormCombined

wind speed (mph)

Annu

al e

xcee

denc

e pr

obab

ility

-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 300

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

ThunderstormNon-thunderCombined

-ln(-ln(1-Pa))

Win

d sp

eed

(mph

)

Page 3: Budapest Exceedenceprob

x-combErr:502Err:502Err:502

-2.63353-0.3438681.7011153.446785

4.976216.4027817.790554

9.1650510.5351611.9038413.2720514.64011

Page 4: Budapest Exceedenceprob

Wind speed (mph) Thunderstorm Non-thunderstorm Combined10 1.000000 1.000000 1.00000020 0.999988 1.000000 1.00000030 0.970881 1.000000 1.00000040 0.668462 0.999353 0.99978650 0.291540 0.608671 0.72275960 0.102013 0.112959 0.20344970 0.033034 0.015197 0.04772980 0.010432 0.001955 0.01236690 0.003269 0.000250 0.003518

100 0.001022 0.000032 0.001053110 0.000319 0.000004 0.000323120 0.000100 0.000001 0.000100130 0.000031 0.000000 0.000031140 0.000010 0.000000 0.000010150 0.000003 0.000000 0.000003

RP50 = 76.3 mphRP100 = 81.6 mphRP300 = 90.4 mphRP700 = 97.4 mphRP1700 = 104.9 mph

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1601.0E-09

1.0E-08

1.0E-07

1.0E-06

1.0E-05

1.0E-04

1.0E-03

1.0E-02

1.0E-01

1.0E+00

ThunderstormNon-thunderstormCombined

Wind speed (mph)

Annu

al e

xcee

denc

e pr

obab

ility

-5 0 5 10 15 20 250

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

ThunderstormNon-thunderCombined

-ln(-ln(1-Pa))

Win

d sp

eed

(mph

)

Page 5: Budapest Exceedenceprob

X-thunder x-nonthun-3.584731 Err:502-2.427241 Err:502-1.263097 Err:502-0.098952 -1.9938271.065192 0.0637862.229336 2.1213993.393481 4.1790124.557625 6.2366265.721769 8.2942396.885914 10.351858.050058 12.409479.214203 14.4670810.37835 16.5246911.54249 18.582312.70664 20.63992

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1601.0E-09

1.0E-08

1.0E-07

1.0E-06

1.0E-05

1.0E-04

1.0E-03

1.0E-02

1.0E-01

1.0E+00

ThunderstormNon-thunderstormCombined

Wind speed (mph)

Annu

al e

xcee

denc

e pr

obab

ility

-5 0 5 10 15 20 250

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

ThunderstormNon-thunderCombined

-ln(-ln(1-Pa))

Win

d sp

eed

(mph

)

Page 6: Budapest Exceedenceprob

x-combErr:502Err:502Err:502

-2.133882-0.2490981.4807653.0178724.3865665.6481976.8551488.0373539.20898410.3762111.5416212.70628