brunei rice industry

8/2/2019 Brunei Rice Industry

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BRUNEI RICE INDUSTRY

COMPILED BY

A.B. JAMALUDINMARDITECH CORPORATION



2007 DATA

PRODUCTION 982.9 MT (3.2% SSL)

PRODUCTION AREA 1,355 HA

NUMBER OF FARMERS 1,233

IMPORT VOLUME 29,252 MT

RESERVE/ STOCK 46,380 MT

CONSUMPTION 30,259 MT

TARGET (JULY 2008)TO INCREASE FROM 3.12% SSL (2007)

TO 20% SSL; 5,800 MT (2010)

60% SSL; 18,000 MT (2015)



MILLED RICE

PRODUCTION

Market Year Rough Production Unit of Measure Growth Rate

1960 5 (1000 MT) NA

1961 5 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1962 5 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1963 5 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1964 3 (1000 MT) -40.00 %

1965 3 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1966 3 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1967 6 (1000 MT) 100.00 %

1968 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1969 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1970 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %1971 5 (1000 MT) -16.67 %

1972 5 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1973 5 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1974 5 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1975 10 (1000 MT) 100.00 %

1976 6 (1000 MT) -40.00 %

1977 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1978 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1979 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1980 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1981 10 (1000 MT) 66.67 %

1982 6 (1000 MT) -40.00 %

1983 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1984 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1985 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1986 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1987 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1988 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1989 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1990 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1991 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1992 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1993 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1994 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1995 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1996 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1997 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1998 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1999 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2000 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2001 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2002 2 (1000 MT) -66.67 %

2003 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2004 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2005 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2006 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2007 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2008 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2009 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2010 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

2011 2 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

According to US FDA Data, Brunei milled rice

production has reduce in production over the

years.

The year 2000 and before, production was up

to 8,000 MT per year, and then reduce to only

2,000 MT per year.



MILLED RICE IMPORT

Market Year ImportsUnit of

MeasureGrowth Rate

1960 6 (1000 MT) NA

1961 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1962 6 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1963 7 (1000 MT) 16.67 %

1964 9 (1000 MT) 28.57 %

1965 7 (1000 MT) -22.22 %

1966 9 (1000 MT) 28.57 %

1967 10 (1000 MT) 11.11 %

1968 11 (1000 MT) 10.00 %

1969 11 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1970 11 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1971 9 (1000 MT) -18.18 %

1972 10 (1000 MT) 11.11 %

1973 11 (1000 MT) 10.00 %

1974 12 (1000 MT) 9.09 %

1975 11 (1000 MT) -8.33 %

1976 11 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1977 16 (1000 MT) 45.45 %

1978 16 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1979 13 (1000 MT) -18.75 %

1980 16 (1000 MT) 23.08 %

1981 21 (1000 MT) 31.25 %

1982 13 (1000 MT) -38.10 %

1983 18 (1000 MT) 38.46 %

1984 14 (1000 MT) -22.22 %

1985 18 (1000 MT) 28.57 %

1986 22 (1000 MT) 22.22 %

1987 20 (1000 MT) -9.09 %

1988 16 (1000 MT) -20.00 %

1989 14 (1000 MT) -12.50 %

1990 31 (1000 MT) 121.43 %

1991 22 (1000 MT) -29.03 %

1992 27 (1000 MT) 22.73 %

1993 27 (1000 MT) 0.00 %

1994 24 (1000 MT) -11.11 %

1995 28 (1000 MT) 16.67 %

1996 37 (1000 MT) 32.14 %1997 33 (1000 MT) -10.81 %

1998 38 (1000 MT) 15.15 %

1999 34 (1000 MT) -10.53 %

2000 31 (1000 MT) -8.82 %

2001 27 (1000 MT) -12.90 %

2002 32 (1000 MT) 18.52 %

2003 23 (1000 MT) -28.13 %

2004 31 (1000 MT) 34.78 %

2005 40 (1000 MT) 29.03 %

2006 44 (1000 MT) 10.00 %

2007 36 (1000 MT) -18.18 %

2008 31 (1000 MT) -13.89 %

2009 35 (1000 MT) 12.90 %2010 28 (1000 MT) -20.00 %

2011 35 (1000 MT) 25.00 %

Brunei importation of milled rice has increased from 6MT

per year in 1960 to 35MT in 2011, that is almost 97% of

its consumption.

That means the importation has grown at more than 6%

p.a. , year-on-year basis.



• Although Brunei has

double its SSL% of

milled rice in 2003-

2007 period, from

1.8% to 3.2%, it has a

long way to go in

achieving the targetset in 2008 (60% SSL

in 2015)

production

consumption

SSL%



PRODUCTION AREAS

• From 4 areas of

production, Belait is

the largest,

contributing 35% of

the total production.



PLANNED AREAS OF EXPANSION

• The government has planned 2,560 ha new land for rice production

• With a yield of 0.7MT rice milled/ha, the new area is expected to produce

an additional 1,792 MT.



ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

SSL

PRODUCTION

(MT)

IMPORT

(MT)

CONSUMPTION

(MT)

TOTAL

PRODUCTION

AREA (HA)

TOTAL NEW

PRODUCTION

AREA (HA)

2010 10% 5,800 52,200 58,000 8,286 6,786

2015 60% 18,000 12,000 30,000 25,714 24,214

• GoB has set a target of SSL and local production for 2010 and 2015.

• By extrapolation of the given target, total production area requiredfor 2010 and 2015 is 8,286 and 25,714 ha respectively.



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1 9 6 0

1 9 6 3

1 9 6 6

1 9 6 9

1 9 7 2

1 9 7 5

1 9 7 8

1 9 8 1

1 9 8 4

1 9 8 7

1 9 9 0

1 9 9 3

1 9 9 6

1 9 9 9

2 0 0 2

2 0 0 5

2 0 0 8

2 0 1 1

2 0 1 4

2 0 1 7

2 0 2 0

2 0 2 3

2 0 2 6

2 0 2 9

M I L L E D - R I C E C O N S U

M P T I O N ( M T )

ACTUAL AND FORCASTED MILLED-RICE CONSUMPTION (1960-

2030)

ACTUAL FORECAST

• From trend analysis of

actual consumption of

1960-2011,

consumption for 2012-

2030 has been

forecasted• 2012 consumption is

40MT and will reach

50MT in 2030.



STRATEGIES FOR PRODUCTION

EXPANSION

• Expansion of production/ land area

• Increase in yield



FAST TRACKING OF NEW RICE

PRODUCTION AREA• Development of pilot scale production area

• The pilot scale is designed as a real life production area with thepurpose of experiencing the learning- curve (“learning-by-doing”)

• Features of Pilot scale project:

– 200-500 ha

– Complete with:• Seed farm

• Irrigation system- infrastructure, maintenance & water management

• Mechanisation

• Integrated pest management

• Optimal crop care management- proper land preparation, fertilizer application,

pest and disease management, water management• Post harvest, milling & storage facilities

• Business/ management modality

• Human capital development/ training

• Maintenance scheduling



MARDITECH CONTRIBUTION



WHY MARDITECH

brunei rice industry

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