bringing about a broadband future for thailand2
DESCRIPTION
I gave this presentation to Cisco partners' meeting in Hua Hin, 28 Jan 2010TRANSCRIPT
Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
ICT2020 Broadband ChallengesICT2020 Broadband Challenges
Bringing about a Bringing about a Broadband FutureBroadband Future
for Thailandfor Thailand
Thaweesak KoanantakoolVice President,
National Science and Technology Development Agency28 January 2010
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Agenda
• What can you do with broadband?• Global broadband situation -
Who has the fastest broadband?• Does broadband contribute to our
economy?• ICT Policies: IT2010-IT2020• Our Entangled Regulatory Environment• National Broadband Goals for Thailand
2020• Challenges and The Way Forward
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
What can you do with broadband?
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Source: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf
Applications, Bandwidth and TechnologySource: Verizon
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Which screen will you be using?
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Who has the fastest broadband service?
Best Broadband Speeds of Selected Countries 2000 -2009
0
50
100
150
200
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Mbp
s
USA UK Sweden Korea Japan
* In case of missing data, the previous year’s speed is used.Source: OECD 2005-2008 and countries’ broadband data
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Broadband status: World
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Broadband status: World
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Who has the fastest broadband service?Ja
pan
Kore
aFr
ance
Finl
and
Neth
erla
nds
Ger
man
yA
ustra
liaDe
nmar
kPo
rtuga
lIc
elan
dNe
w Z
eala
nd**
Norw
aySw
eden Italy
Unite
d Ki
ngdo
mCz
ech
Repu
blic
Aus
tria
Luxe
mbo
urg
Unite
d St
ates
Spai
nSw
itzer
land
Belg
ium
Gre
ece
Slov
ak R
epub
licCa
nada
Irela
ndHu
ngar
yPo
land
Turk
eyM
exic
o
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
100 000
OECD Broadband statistics [oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband]5a. Average advertised broadband download speed, by country, kbit/s, Sept 2008
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
ICT Status: Fixed, Mobile and Internet Usage in Thailand
24.316,10093.762,000N/AN/A2008
20.313,41680.453,00010.26,7092007
17.411,41362.240,72310.26,7082006
15.29,90947.931,13710.36,6712005
10.86,97042.527,37910.06,4812004
9.46,00034.121,8289.96,3202003
Penetration Rate
Number of Users
(in 000s)
Penetration Rate
Subscribers(in 000s)
Penetration Rate
Subscribers(in 000s)
InternetMobileFixed Lines
Source: TOT; ITU; and NECTEC
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Broadband Status: Broadband Subscribers
Source: IDC Thailand; the NTC
* The NTC reports the number of broadband subscribers in Q2/2552 at 1.8 millions
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Does broadband availability contributes to economy?
Economy Broadband
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
ICT Policy - IT2000
• Thailand to become a Sustainable Economy• Three main development “pillars”
– National Information Infrastructure– Human Development– Good Governance
• Key driver: The National IT Committee– NII: Privatization of CAT, TOT; Establishment of
NTC/NBC; Providing a universal access law– HD: IT in schools, SchoolNet Thailand– Good Governance;:Government CIO program, Y2K
handling, Government IT Service Organization (GITS), minimum IT equipment in government agencies
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
ICT Policy - IT2010
• Drive Thailand towards a Knowledge-based Economy
• Three Policy Issues:– Strengthen information
infrastructure and industry– Build human capital– Promote innovation
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
ICT Policy - IT2010
Five main focuses:– eSociety– eEducation– eGovernment– eIndustry– eCommerce
• Implemented by two ICT Master Plans – ICT Master Plan 1 (2003-2008)– ICT Master Plan 2 (2009-2012)
• Create a Ministry to execute the work– NECTEC → Ministry of Information and
Communications Technology
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
In progress – ICT2020
• NECTEC and MICT jointly formulating a comprehensive ICT policy framework for the next 10 years with all stakeholders
• To take into consideration: – Lessons learned: ICT2010 and past ICT Masterplans– World’s economic, social and environmental trends – Thailand’s development plan set forth by the NESDB
• To set an ambitious yet realistic goal to drive Thailand’s ICT development
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Does broadband contributes to our economy?
• Broadband development is not “for the sake of having broadband”
• but to ensure that Thailand will have the best infrastructure to accommodate– Vibrant ICT industry: Hardware, software, and digital content
sectors– Strong participatory and transparent governments at both
national and local levels – Sound economic development, especially in the agricultural
sector– Solid social development and social inclusion, especially in
health and education– Proactive environmental protection and disaster management
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Who will you be talking to?
Picture source: slideshare.net
Social media needs “always-on” narrowband services.
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Crowd-sourcing of contents - Power!!
• Swine-flu exploration• Disaster in China, Haiti• Amazing collaboration at the global scale• YouTube Orchestra • etc.
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Health Application- Nurse Gudrun, Sweden
• Senior citizen in Karlskrona can get remote medical advice • IPTV linked to the local healthcare clinic through broadband.
• Healthcare channel - Nurse Gudrun to appear on the screen, saving time, effort, and money.
• Typical visit to the clinic costs patient around €150; the cost for video call counseling is €10
Source: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Education Application – Singapore iN2015
Students• Connecting with teachers via e-books, games, videos, intelligent
assessment, virtual experiment, etc.• Being active in online communities and learning through games• Learning via virtual tutors and mentors• Communicating real-time with peers in other countries
• Teachers• Giving lessons to students overseas• Participating in think-tank and research groups• Sharing ideas and experience in community of practice• Upgrading themselves professionally
• Parents• Connecting to teachers and children to monitor their progress in
school
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Source: Singapore’s iN2015
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Ultimate Broadband Goals for Thailand in 2020
• Everyone in Thailand will – have access to a “sustainable” national broadband
network and– Be guaranteed broadband services that are affordable
and of high-quality• How?
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Broadband Challenge 1:
• Concession trap– Delay in 3G licensing & deployment– Problems with existing concessions and loss of
revenues to state-owned telcos once 2G providers moving their customers over to their new 3G network
– State-owned telcos: rolling back of privatization and lack of incentives to compete
Our Entangled Regulatory Environment needs a big clean up
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Existing Mobile Concessions
25-30%16 years(2015)
CAT1800 GSMDPC
25-30%16 years(2013)
CAT1800 GSMOrange(True move)
12-30%27 years(2017)
CAT1800 GSMDTAC
15-30%25 years(2015)
TOT900 GSMAIS
Revenue Sharing
Period (Year expired)
ConcessionGranted by
NetworkOperator
Source: Adapted from http://www.ndaventures.com/Thailand_Telecom_Brief.pdf p.6End the concessions sooner...
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Challenge 2:
• FTTx/ FTTP for Thailand– Upgrading from copper to optical fiber – Migrating to IP-based/ packet-switched networks – Appropriate investment models – Government
funding? Public-private partnership? Private investment? Combination of methods?
New technologies needs solid national open access network backbone
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Challenge 3:
• Some pressing regulatory issues – Strong competition policy to discourage abuse of
power by incumbents • Account separation/ structural separation
– Open access backbone network• Reducing redundancy
– Unbundling policy for last miles– Hand-off policy for value-added services– Consumer protection: Price, speed & quality of
service
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Infrastructure Sweet Spots lead toHappy Operators
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Challenge 4:
• Bridging the digital divide– Moving forwards technologically while ensuring
nobody is left behind– Appropriate investment models to encourage
broadband deployment in rural and other cost-prohibitive areas
• Deployment of wired + wireless networks• Appropriate USO/ funding mechanisms
Watch for LTE and Femtocells, and be watchful for 3G and WiMAX.
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Further Steps for the next 10 years?
• Addressing management and regulatory issues– End of concession era– ICT2020 and the national broadband plan?
• Upgrading the networks– Backbone: Complete migration from copper to fiber– Last miles: 100% coverage using a combination of wired and
wireless technologies• Investing in infrastructure with “sustainability” in
mind– Gradual upgrades– Shared resources with little redundancy/ Open access networks– Reuse of equipment where possible
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
The Way Forward
• Clean up the Concession Contracts• Redefine TOT/CAT Infrastructure Sweet Spots• Create happy operator environment –
level-playing field• Creating local industry on broadband
infrastructure– Service Innovations by Thai Companies– Export potential
• Protecting & educating consumers– Focus on price, speed, and quality of broadband
services – Channels to address grievance
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thank you for your attentionThank you for your [email protected]@nectec.or.th
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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010
Image credits:
Slide 1: http://www.flickr.com/photos/darthmaus/386383244/Slide 4: http://www.youtube.comSlide 5: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdfSlide 6: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdfSlide 7: Singapore’s iN2015Slide 9: OECD and ITIF Broadband Rankings [Information Technology and Innovation Foundation]Slide 10: Internet World Stats Broadband Penetration [Information Technology and Innovation
Foundation]Slide 12: IDC Thailand