bringing about a broadband future for thailand2

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for Thailand Bringing about a Broadband Future for Thailand Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010 Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010 ICT2020 Broadband Challenges ICT2020 Broadband Challenges Bringing about a Bringing about a Broadband Future Broadband Future for Thailand for Thailand Thaweesak Koanantakool Vice President, National Science and Technology Development Agency 28 January 2010

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I gave this presentation to Cisco partners' meeting in Hua Hin, 28 Jan 2010

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Bringing About A Broadband Future For Thailand2

Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

ICT2020 Broadband ChallengesICT2020 Broadband Challenges

Bringing about a Bringing about a Broadband FutureBroadband Future

for Thailandfor Thailand

Thaweesak KoanantakoolVice President,

National Science and Technology Development Agency28 January 2010

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Agenda

• What can you do with broadband?• Global broadband situation -

Who has the fastest broadband?• Does broadband contribute to our

economy?• ICT Policies: IT2010-IT2020• Our Entangled Regulatory Environment• National Broadband Goals for Thailand

2020• Challenges and The Way Forward

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

What can you do with broadband?

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Which screen will you be using?

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Who has the fastest broadband service?

Best Broadband Speeds of Selected Countries 2000 -2009

0

50

100

150

200

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Mbp

s

USA UK Sweden Korea Japan

* In case of missing data, the previous year’s speed is used.Source: OECD 2005-2008 and countries’ broadband data

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Broadband status: World

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Broadband status: World

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Who has the fastest broadband service?Ja

pan

Kore

aFr

ance

Finl

and

Neth

erla

nds

Ger

man

yA

ustra

liaDe

nmar

kPo

rtuga

lIc

elan

dNe

w Z

eala

nd**

Norw

aySw

eden Italy

Unite

d Ki

ngdo

mCz

ech

Repu

blic

Aus

tria

Luxe

mbo

urg

Unite

d St

ates

Spai

nSw

itzer

land

Belg

ium

Gre

ece

Slov

ak R

epub

licCa

nada

Irela

ndHu

ngar

yPo

land

Turk

eyM

exic

o

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

100 000

OECD Broadband statistics [oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband]5a. Average advertised broadband download speed, by country, kbit/s, Sept 2008

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

ICT Status: Fixed, Mobile and Internet Usage in Thailand

24.316,10093.762,000N/AN/A2008

20.313,41680.453,00010.26,7092007

17.411,41362.240,72310.26,7082006

15.29,90947.931,13710.36,6712005

10.86,97042.527,37910.06,4812004

9.46,00034.121,8289.96,3202003

Penetration Rate

Number of Users

(in 000s)

Penetration Rate

Subscribers(in 000s)

Penetration Rate

Subscribers(in 000s)

InternetMobileFixed Lines

Source: TOT; ITU; and NECTEC

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Broadband Status: Broadband Subscribers

Source: IDC Thailand; the NTC

* The NTC reports the number of broadband subscribers in Q2/2552 at 1.8 millions

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Does broadband availability contributes to economy?

Economy Broadband

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

ICT Policy - IT2000

• Thailand to become a Sustainable Economy• Three main development “pillars”

– National Information Infrastructure– Human Development– Good Governance

• Key driver: The National IT Committee– NII: Privatization of CAT, TOT; Establishment of

NTC/NBC; Providing a universal access law– HD: IT in schools, SchoolNet Thailand– Good Governance;:Government CIO program, Y2K

handling, Government IT Service Organization (GITS), minimum IT equipment in government agencies

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

ICT Policy - IT2010

• Drive Thailand towards a Knowledge-based Economy

• Three Policy Issues:– Strengthen information

infrastructure and industry– Build human capital– Promote innovation

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

ICT Policy - IT2010

Five main focuses:– eSociety– eEducation– eGovernment– eIndustry– eCommerce

• Implemented by two ICT Master Plans – ICT Master Plan 1 (2003-2008)– ICT Master Plan 2 (2009-2012)

• Create a Ministry to execute the work– NECTEC → Ministry of Information and

Communications Technology

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

In progress – ICT2020

• NECTEC and MICT jointly formulating a comprehensive ICT policy framework for the next 10 years with all stakeholders

• To take into consideration: – Lessons learned: ICT2010 and past ICT Masterplans– World’s economic, social and environmental trends – Thailand’s development plan set forth by the NESDB

• To set an ambitious yet realistic goal to drive Thailand’s ICT development

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Does broadband contributes to our economy?

• Broadband development is not “for the sake of having broadband”

• but to ensure that Thailand will have the best infrastructure to accommodate– Vibrant ICT industry: Hardware, software, and digital content

sectors– Strong participatory and transparent governments at both

national and local levels – Sound economic development, especially in the agricultural

sector– Solid social development and social inclusion, especially in

health and education– Proactive environmental protection and disaster management

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Who will you be talking to?

Picture source: slideshare.net

Social media needs “always-on” narrowband services.

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Crowd-sourcing of contents - Power!!

• Swine-flu exploration• Disaster in China, Haiti• Amazing collaboration at the global scale• YouTube Orchestra • etc.

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Health Application- Nurse Gudrun, Sweden

• Senior citizen in Karlskrona can get remote medical advice • IPTV linked to the local healthcare clinic through broadband.

• Healthcare channel - Nurse Gudrun to appear on the screen, saving time, effort, and money.

• Typical visit to the clinic costs patient around €150; the cost for video call counseling is €10

Source: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Education Application – Singapore iN2015

Students• Connecting with teachers via e-books, games, videos, intelligent

assessment, virtual experiment, etc.• Being active in online communities and learning through games• Learning via virtual tutors and mentors• Communicating real-time with peers in other countries

• Teachers• Giving lessons to students overseas• Participating in think-tank and research groups• Sharing ideas and experience in community of practice• Upgrading themselves professionally

• Parents• Connecting to teachers and children to monitor their progress in

school

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Source: Singapore’s iN2015

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Ultimate Broadband Goals for Thailand in 2020

• Everyone in Thailand will – have access to a “sustainable” national broadband

network and– Be guaranteed broadband services that are affordable

and of high-quality• How?

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Broadband Challenge 1:

• Concession trap– Delay in 3G licensing & deployment– Problems with existing concessions and loss of

revenues to state-owned telcos once 2G providers moving their customers over to their new 3G network

– State-owned telcos: rolling back of privatization and lack of incentives to compete

Our Entangled Regulatory Environment needs a big clean up

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Existing Mobile Concessions

25-30%16 years(2015)

CAT1800 GSMDPC

25-30%16 years(2013)

CAT1800 GSMOrange(True move)

12-30%27 years(2017)

CAT1800 GSMDTAC

15-30%25 years(2015)

TOT900 GSMAIS

Revenue Sharing

Period (Year expired)

ConcessionGranted by

NetworkOperator

Source: Adapted from http://www.ndaventures.com/Thailand_Telecom_Brief.pdf p.6End the concessions sooner...

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Challenge 2:

• FTTx/ FTTP for Thailand– Upgrading from copper to optical fiber – Migrating to IP-based/ packet-switched networks – Appropriate investment models – Government

funding? Public-private partnership? Private investment? Combination of methods?

New technologies needs solid national open access network backbone

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Challenge 3:

• Some pressing regulatory issues – Strong competition policy to discourage abuse of

power by incumbents • Account separation/ structural separation

– Open access backbone network• Reducing redundancy

– Unbundling policy for last miles– Hand-off policy for value-added services– Consumer protection: Price, speed & quality of

service

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Infrastructure Sweet Spots lead toHappy Operators

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Challenge 4:

• Bridging the digital divide– Moving forwards technologically while ensuring

nobody is left behind– Appropriate investment models to encourage

broadband deployment in rural and other cost-prohibitive areas

• Deployment of wired + wireless networks• Appropriate USO/ funding mechanisms

Watch for LTE and Femtocells, and be watchful for 3G and WiMAX.

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Further Steps for the next 10 years?

• Addressing management and regulatory issues– End of concession era– ICT2020 and the national broadband plan?

• Upgrading the networks– Backbone: Complete migration from copper to fiber– Last miles: 100% coverage using a combination of wired and

wireless technologies• Investing in infrastructure with “sustainability” in

mind– Gradual upgrades– Shared resources with little redundancy/ Open access networks– Reuse of equipment where possible

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

The Way Forward

• Clean up the Concession Contracts• Redefine TOT/CAT Infrastructure Sweet Spots• Create happy operator environment –

level-playing field• Creating local industry on broadband

infrastructure– Service Innovations by Thai Companies– Export potential

• Protecting & educating consumers– Focus on price, speed, and quality of broadband

services – Channels to address grievance

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thank you for your attentionThank you for your [email protected]@nectec.or.th

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Bringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandBringing about a Broadband Future for ThailandThaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Image credits:

Slide 1: http://www.flickr.com/photos/darthmaus/386383244/Slide 4: http://www.youtube.comSlide 5: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdfSlide 6: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdfSlide 7: Singapore’s iN2015Slide 9: OECD and ITIF Broadband Rankings [Information Technology and Innovation Foundation]Slide 10: Internet World Stats Broadband Penetration [Information Technology and Innovation

Foundation]Slide 12: IDC Thailand