brain drain vs. brain gain - lu · 2012-04-20 · brain drain vs. brain gain we must stop other...

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Brain drain vs. brain gain … or let‘s cooperate, i.e., free ride on other countries’ education and innovation systems rather than let them free ride on us… © Swedbank MārtiĦš Kazāks, PhD Chief Economist in Latvia AS Swedbank Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora” Session “Cooperation with the Diaspora on Promoting Innovation, Research and Education” Riga April 13, 2012

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Page 1: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

Brain drain vs. brain gain… or let‘s cooperate, i.e., free ride on other countries’ education

and innovation systems rather than let them free ride on us…

© Swedbank

MārtiĦš Kazāks, PhD

Chief Economist in Latvia

AS Swedbank

Conference “Migration and Identity:

Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”

Session “Cooperation with the Diaspora on Promoting Innovation, Research and Education”

Riga April 13, 2012

Page 2: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

Is it good that they leave?

YES!

• Lower unemployment cost to the budget (in unemployment

benefits alone close to LVL 2ths per year per unemployed).

• Migrants’ transfers to Latvia were estimated at ca LVL 351m

in 2011, i.e. more than the budget of Ministry of Welfare.

• New experience, improve their skills, boost human capital.

© Swedbank 2MārtiĦš Kazāks, Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”, Riga April 13, 2012

Do we need them back?

YES!

• Loss is very costly, e.g. an average employee in 2011 added

LVL 14.5ths to the Latvian GDP or ca LVL 4ths in taxes; if

extrapolated over 40 years of a working life it is ca LVL 600ths

in today's value added terms.

• No immigrants’ integration cost as they know local customs,

social networking, etc.

• They are smart and potentially very productive.

Page 3: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

Guesstimate is the best that we know about them…

• Business

• ResearchWHERE ARE

THEY?

WHAT DO THEY

DO?

© Swedbank 3MārtiĦš Kazāks, Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”, Riga April 13, 2012

• Education

THEY?

e.g., who knows

Rūdolfs Bēms?

Page 4: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

How do they look like?

• MOBILE

• SKILLED?

© Swedbank 4MārtiĦš Kazāks, Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”, Riga April 13, 2012

• SKILLED

• YOUNG

?

Page 5: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

How to win them back?i.e., not what we need from them but what can we offer them!

ASK THEM (I asked myself):

• Do they have job opportunities here?

− e.g., how open Latvian academic institutions are, is there a clear career

ladder, are the requirements comparable with those abroad (including

publications’ record), are these research or teaching institutions, etc.

− e.g., how swift is their career, responsibility and complexity.

© Swedbank 5MārtiĦš Kazāks, Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”, Riga April 13, 2012

− e.g., how swift is their career, responsibility and complexity.

• What is the level of pay in public administration?

• Overall infrastructure to raise kids (e.g., kindergartens, schools), social

cohesion.

• What is the transport infrastructure (easy in, easy out)?

• Is somebody having an interest in bringing them back? Do interested

institutions keep in touch with them?

• How efficient is innovation platform in Latvia? What about grey economy?

Page 6: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN

We must stop other countries free riding on us and

start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must be

attractive!

© Swedbank 6MārtiĦš Kazāks, Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”, Riga April 13, 2012

attractive!

Page 7: Brain drain vs. brain gain - LU · 2012-04-20 · BRAIN DRAIN VS. BRAIN GAIN We must stop other countries free riding on us and start free riding on them. To do that, Latvia must

Thank you!

© Swedbank 7MārtiĦš Kazāks, Conference “Migration and Identity: Encouraging the Role of Diaspora”, Riga April 13, 2012