bluelink update igst x 14-16 november 2005 u.k. met office, exeter andreas schiller

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BLUElink Update BLUElink Update IGST X IGST X 14-16 November 2005 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller Andreas Schiller CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Hobart, Australia Hobart, Australia N. R. Smith N. R. Smith BMRC BMRC Melbourne, Australia Melbourne, Australia

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BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Hobart, Australia N. R. Smith BMRC Melbourne, Australia. Contents. Reanalysis (BRAN) Nested-Relocatable System (ROAM) Global System: Operational Implementation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

BLUElink UpdateBLUElink Update

IGST XIGST X14-16 November 200514-16 November 2005U.K. Met Office, ExeterU.K. Met Office, Exeter

Andreas SchillerAndreas SchillerCSIRO Marine and Atmospheric ResearchCSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research

Hobart, AustraliaHobart, Australia

N. R. Smith N. R. Smith BMRCBMRC

Melbourne, AustraliaMelbourne, Australia

Page 2: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Contents

1) Reanalysis (BRAN)

2) Nested-Relocatable System (ROAM)

3) Global System: Operational

Implementation

4) GODAE Metrics

5) BLUElink II and Associated Activities

(ACCESS, AusIOOS, etc.)

Page 3: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Model SummaryModel SummaryOFAM:Ocean Forecasting Australia Model

Global model with eddy resolving resolution in Asian- Australian region

MOM4 (GFDL)

- Z coord./Free Surface

- Hybrid Chen mixed-layer model

- Quicker Advection Scheme

- Smagorinsky viscosity parameter. (anisotropic)

- isopycnal mixing and GM param.(anisotropic)

- No ice model (later)

- No river runoff (later)

Eddy-resolving (1/10°) -10-11km from 75ºS to 16°N, 90ºE to 180ºE

-47 levels (35 in top 1000m)

- Relaxation to CARS and Levitus WOA (T,S) below 2000m (250 days)

-6-hourly ECMWF (ERA-40 and/or operational fields)

- Plus relaxation to SST and SSS

BODAS:Bluelink Ocean DataAssimilation System

- Ensemble Optimal Interpolation

- 11 days data window in RA mode

- Along-track SLA (T/P, ERS, GFO, Jason-1, Envisat)

- Sea-level anomaly from all Australian coastal tide gauges

- Assimilation of SST (AMSR-E, ATSR,AVHRR)

- CTD and bottle profiles from ARGO, WOCE, TAO, and other regional experiments

- XBT profiles from WOCE & IOTA

- MSSH from data (diagnostic model run with strong nudging towards Levitus WOA)

Page 4: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Global Ocean Reanalysis: 1992-2005

BLUElink Reanalysis: BRAN-1BLUElink Reanalysis: BRAN-1

Page 5: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Surface Eddy Kinetic Energy: JanuarySurface Eddy Kinetic Energy: January

Altimetry Model

Page 6: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

% EKE of Total Kinetic Energy% EKE of Total Kinetic Energy

January July

Page 7: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

IntraseasonalK

elvi

n The great 97/98 El Niño

Courtesy A.L. Gordon

Makassar Strait MooringsMakassar Strait Moorings

Courtesy A.L. GordonCourtesy A.L. Gordon

Page 8: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Top-Bottom Volume Transports (1992-2001)Top-Bottom Volume Transports (1992-2001)

South China Sea: -1.7 ± 3.3 Sv

Makassar Strait: -8.3 ± 4.5 Sv

Maluku Sea: +3.5 ± 5.8 Sv

Halmahera: -4.2 ± 5.5 Sv

Torres Strait: -1.0 ± 1.2 Sv

Timor Sea: -6.7 ± 4.2 Sv

Ombai Strait: -2.1 ± 2.1Sv

Lombok Strait: -3.0 ± 2.2 Sv

Sunda Strait: -0.5 ± 0.45 Sv

Malakka Strait: +0.3 ± 0.3

Total ITF (Indian Ocean) -12.9 ± 6.1Sv

Page 9: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

(Ffield et al., 2000)

Observations Reanalysis

Makassar Strait: Temperature Section 1997/1998Makassar Strait: Temperature Section 1997/1998

Page 10: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller
Page 11: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Reanalysis

XBXBTT Section PX34: Geostrophic (0-2000db) Section PX34: Geostrophic (0-2000db)& Ekman Transports& Ekman Transports

Observations

Reanalysis (3-monthlyfiltered)

Reanalysis (weekly ave.)TOTAL Transport

Page 12: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Relocatable Ocean Atmosphere Model (ROAM): GUIRelocatable Ocean Atmosphere Model (ROAM): GUI

Page 13: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Relocatable Ocean Atmosphere Model (ROAM)Relocatable Ocean Atmosphere Model (ROAM)

Page 14: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

System Components of System Components of OceanMAPSOceanMAPS

Page 15: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Phase 1: Infrastructure Jun05-Dec05• Analysis cycle (Jun-Sep)• IT Software, Resource plan (Jun-Sep)• Implementation workshop (Sep/Oct)• Implementation Plan (Oct)• Forecast cycle (Oct-Dec)

Phase 2: Tuning Jan06-Jun06• Robust configuration• Hindcast trials• QC real-time observations• Analysis and Forecast GASP• SX6 operation configuration• Scheduling• Extended configuration

Phase 3: Monitoring Jun06-Dec06• Static configuration• Transition to operational infrastructure • Routine diagnostics• Validation/skill assessment• Documentation• Transition to NMOC

Global System: OceanMAPSGlobal System: OceanMAPS

Operational ImplementationOperational Implementation

Page 16: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Summary: BLUElinkSummary: BLUElink

• Integrated reanalyses of the ocean state over the last 1Integrated reanalyses of the ocean state over the last 133 years. years. Public access now available for registered users:Public access now available for registered users: http://www.cmar.csiro.au/bluelink/http://www.cmar.csiro.au/bluelink/

• Global Global Operational OOperational Outpuutputs and ts and Regional (shelf-scale) Regional (shelf-scale) Relocatable Nested SystemRelocatable Nested System (all available by 2006/07) (all available by 2006/07)::

7-28 days forecasts (global, BoM), 7-28 days forecasts (global, BoM), 3+ days (regional, RAN),3+ days (regional, RAN),

Prognostic variables: SSH; 3-D ocean temperature, Prognostic variables: SSH; 3-D ocean temperature, salinity and currentssalinity and currents

Page 17: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

BLUElink II (2006-2010):BLUElink II (2006-2010):• Higher resolution models and improved physics:Higher resolution models and improved physics:

global global coastal coastal littoral zonelittoral zone river discharge, tidal focingriver discharge, tidal focing

• Improved global analysis and prediction system (towardsImproved global analysis and prediction system (towards Ensemble Kalman Filter): Ensemble Kalman Filter):

full SST assimilationfull SST assimilation improved anomalies, error statisticsimproved anomalies, error statistics

• Downscaling: relocatable, fully coupled regional ocean-Downscaling: relocatable, fully coupled regional ocean- atmosphere model with limited DA capability atmosphere model with limited DA capability

(1/8)(1/8)º minº min

(1/16)º

Page 18: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

GODAE Intercomparison ProjectGODAE Intercomparison Project

Page 19: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller
Page 20: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Thank You!

Page 21: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Surface Transports 0-100mSurface Transports 0-100m& Mean Kinetic Energy:& Mean Kinetic Energy:

JulyJanuary

Integrated Transports in 1º x 1º bins 10 Sv

Page 22: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

BODAS:An Ensemble-based Optimal Interpolation

System

Page 23: BLUElink Update IGST X 14-16 November 2005 U.K. Met Office, Exeter Andreas Schiller

Sustainability of SatellitesQuikSCAT Microwave SST

?Altimetry

Ocean color