bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

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Loan Valuation Prepared by: The Phoenix Group— Roy Lunsford, Delton Mcbride, Stephenie Wilson, and Dena-Rose Wilson Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. (Formerly OSI Restaurant Partners, LLC)

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Page 1: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Loan ValuationPrepared by:

The Phoenix Group—

Roy Lunsford, Delton Mcbride, Stephenie Wilson, and Dena-Rose Wilson

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc.(Formerly OSI Restaurant Partners, LLC)

Page 2: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

• Examine Bloomin’ Brands, Inc.’s (BLMN) financial performance to determine its ability to service its current and future debt.

• Assess Bloomin’ Brands’ long-term viability.

Objectives

Page 3: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Summary

To improve upon its restaurant functions and expand its market share of the industry, Bloomin’ Brands is seeking a working capital revolving credit facility of $313,000,000 (USD).

Page 4: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Synopsis of the Chain Restaurant Industry

• Consists of eateries providing full service restaurant operations to patrons

• Generates approximately $54.6B in revenue annually

• Industry analysts expect revenue to grow by 3.6% annually through 2017

• Weak consumer spending persists and continues to be a major concern

Page 5: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Chain Restaurant Industry Sales (2011 - 2012)

DRI,16%

BLMN,6%

CBRL, 5%

OTHER,73%

DRI BLMN CBRL OTHER

Page 6: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Key External Drivers

• Consumer Spending

• Healthy Eating Index

• Households earning over $100,000

• Consumer Sentiment Index

Page 7: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Characteristics of the Industry—

• Requires a substantial capital investment

• Extremely high levels of competition leading to fragmentation

• Low barriers to entry

• Limited globalization at present

• Revenue and commodity pricing volatility

Page 8: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Threats to Profitability

• Seasonality, costs of labor, changes in consumers’ lifestyles, and fluctuating costs for commodities (DataMonitor, 2012)

• Cyclical changes in the economy

• Ineffective leadership

Page 9: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc.’s Core Concept

Providing quality food and exceptional service at an affordable price.

Page 10: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Bloomin’ Brands’ Portfolio and Sources of Revenue

Outback,67%

Carrabba's, 16%

Bonefish,11%

Fleming's,4%

Roy's, 2%

Outback Carrabba's Bonefish Fleming's Roy's

Page 11: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Salient Facts

• Prior to 2010, OSI Restaurant Partners was highly overleveraged leading Moody’s Investors Services to conclude that it was likely to default on its debt obligations (DataMonitor, 2012).

• OSI responded to the debt agency’s findings by restructuring the organization, offering equity, and reducing its debt.

Page 12: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Recent Corporate Initiatives

• In August 2012, Bloomin’ raised $176M in a successful initial public offering campaign at $11 per share.

• Bloomin’s senior leadership implemented a new strategic plan aimed at enhancing brand management, encouraging growth, and facilitating innovation.

Page 13: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Effects of Reducing Debt

• In minimizing its exposure to risk, Bloomin’ Brands exhausted most of its cash reserves (DataMonitor, 2012).

• Without securing additional capital, Bloomin’ is unable to expand thereby hindering its ability to grow its market share and compete with Darden Restaurants, Inc.

Page 14: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Proforma Profit and Loss Statement for Bloomin’ Brands, Inc.

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc./OSI Restaurant Partners, LLCYear 2009 2010 2011

         Revenue  Cost of Goods Sold 2.39B 2.34B 2.47B           Operating Income (74.44M) (6.64M) 19.11M           Operating Expenses  Selling, General, and Administrative Expense 1.10B 1.12B 1.18B

 EBIT After Unusual Expense (74.44M) (6.64M) 19.11M  Total Expenses 1.03B 1.11B 1.20B           EBITDA  Income Taxes (Current) 13.58M 16.12M 21.89M  Income Taxes (Deferred) (16.04M) 5.19M (175.00K)  Interest Expenses 100.31M 89.99M 83.39M  Depreciation 186.07M 156.27M 153.69M  Net Income (64.84M) 52.97M 100.01M  Profit Margin (%) (2)% 2% 2%  

Page 15: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Current Financial Position

Bloomin’ Brands’ financial reports for the first two quarters of 2012 reflect an improved financial outlook and reveal that the company is turning a profit despite the sluggish economy (Reuters, 2012).

Page 16: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Overview of Darden Restaurants, Inc.

• Darden Restaurants, Inc.’s (DRI) core concepts are Red Lobster, Olive Garden, The Capital Grille, LongHorn Steakhouse, Seasons 52 Restaurant, and Bahama Breeze.

• In 2011, Darden realized $7.50 billion in revenue representing a 5.4% increase over FY2010 (DataMonitor, 2012).

Page 17: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Summary of Bloomin’s and Darden’s Financial Position

2010 2011

(In millions) BLMN DRI BLMN DRI

Net revenues 3.63B 7.11B 3.84B 7.50B

Net income 52.97 407.00 100.01 478.70

Earnings per share 0.44 2.90 0.84 3.48

Return on net revenues 1.46% 5.72% 2.60% 6.38%

Cash and short-term investments 373.68 248.80 502.72 70.50

Total assets 3.24B 5.28B 3.35B 5.47B

Shareholder equity (69.23) 1.89B 220.24 1.94B

EBITDA 324.89 944.30 344.22 1.06B

Page 18: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Comparative Balance Sheet2010 2011

(In millions) BLMN DRI BLMN DRI

Assets

• Cash and short-term investments 373.68 248.80 502.72 70.50• Accounts receivable 29.68 59.40 62.83 65.40• Inventories 58.97 220.80 69.22 300.10• Other 2.78B 4.75B 2.64B 5.03BTotal Assets 3.24B 5.28B 3.35B 5.47BLiabilities

• Accounts payable 78.25 246.40 97.39 251.30• Accrued compensation 109.44 352.80 117.01 401.00• Income taxes payable 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.30• Other 3.12B 2.78B 2.92B 2.87BTotal Liabilities 3.30B 3.38B 3.13B 3.53BShareholder Equity (69.23) 1.89B 220.24 1.94B

Page 19: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Comparative Ratio Analysis

 

2009 2010 2011

BLMN DRI BLMN DRI BLMN DRI

Current Ratio 1.98x 8.9x .82x (.14)x .74x .54x

Debt Ratio 94% 6% 102% 5% 99% 4%

Debt to Equity Ratio (49)% 3% (59)% (1)% 52% 4%

Debt to Total Assets Ratio 94% 64% 102% 64% 99% 65%

Net Profit Margin (2)% 5% 2% 6% 2% 6%

Gross Profit Margin Ratio 14% 8% 15% 8% 15% 9%

Page 20: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Profit Margin Comparative Trend Analysis

OSI Restaurant Partners Darden Restaurants

Page 21: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Debt to Assets Comparative Trend Analysis

OSI Restaurant Partners Darden Restaurants

Page 22: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Darden’s Revenue Projections

2009 2010 2011 2017

$7.22 $7.11 $7.50

$12.0

($ in Billions)

Page 23: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Darden’s Cash Flow Projections

2009

2010

2011

2017

$784

$903

$895

$1,600

(in millions)

Page 24: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Industry Analysts’ Forecasts for Earnings Growth

2012 2013 2014 2015 5 Year

0.50%

14.03%

22.74%

0.50%

18.00%

8.35%

12.99% 13.28%12.59% 12.55%

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Darden Restaurants, Inc.

Page 25: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Using Loan Proceeds to Finance Growth

If approved, Bloomin’ Brands plans to use the proceeds from the working capital revolving credit facility to improve upon its restaurant functions employing a three-step approach to growth.

Page 26: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Strategic Approach to Growth

Step One Step Two Step Three

Page 27: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Criteria for Ensuring Success

• Employ price and non-price barriers to entry to grow Bloomin’s position (e.g., advertising, etc.). • Achieve economies of scale by

attaining productive and allocative efficiency.• Capitalize on brand equity as a tool for

differentiating its products.

Page 28: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Recommendation

In contrast to industry analysts’ optimism, the Phoenix Group recommends rejecting Bloomin’ Brands’ application for a working capital revolving credit facility.

Page 29: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Rationale for Decision

• The proceeds from the loan would cause Bloomin’s liabilities to increase to $3.44B constituting cause for concern (as its total assets are only $3.35B).

• Bloomin’s profits will decrease as a result of slow GDP growth, volatile commodity prices, high unemployment, and less disposable income.

Page 30: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Alternatives to Borrowing Capital

• Bloomin’ Brands may offer additional equity in the company.• Or, Bloomin’ can adopt a less

aggressive strategy for expansion and focus on building its cash reserves and strengthening its financial position.

Page 31: Bloomin' brands loan valuation presentation (v. 3 ma)

Conclusion

Although Bloomin’s branding revitalization initiatives and its renewed commitment to realizing productive efficiency resulted in cost savings and improved sales performance in 2012, economic indicators suggest that an annual increase in revenue of approximately 3 to 5% is not sustainable.