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Opportunities in the Pharma/ Biotech Sector 2009 - Market Analysis by Napoleon Samarasam SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY Imbued with Passion... Muscled by Reason…!!!

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  • Opportunities in the Pharma/ Biotech Sector 2009
    - Market Analysis

    by

    Napoleon Samarasam

    SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY

    Imbued with Passion... Muscled by Reason!!!

  • Plans fail for lack of counsel,
    but with many advisers they succeed

    SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY

  • Sub-sectors of the
    Pharma / Biotech Industry.

    SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY

  • List of Sub-sectors

    Pharmaceuticals sector (Small Molecule Drug Companies)

    2. Bio-pharma (Bio-drug Companies)

    3. CRAMS (Contract Research & Manufacturing Organizations) Custom Research

    4. Biotech Companies working on Industrial Enzymes

    SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY

  • Sub SectorsContd..

    5. Agri Biotech Companies

    6. Bio-informatics Companies

    7. Diagnostics Kit Development (Biomedical Assays etc)

    8. Lab Research Chemicals & Equipments (Bio-Suppliers Category)

    SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY

  • Drugs - Classification

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGMENTATION

    Drugs

    Ethical Drugs

    (Patented

    Small Molecule Drugs)

    Biologics

    ( Biotech Drugs

    Very Expensive )

    Generics

    ( Patent

    expired

    Drugs offered at

    low prices )

  • Drug Types Global Market Segmentation

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • Global Pharma/Biotech Market - $770 billion in 2008

    2007 Sales 663.5 B$

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • Breakup of the Global Pharma Market
    $ 770 Billion

    Small Molecule drugs accounted for $ 570 billion

    biotechnology drugs/biologics accounted for $120 billion

    generics for $80 billion of the global market

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • Top Three Therapeutic categories - Global

    The three top therapeutic categories were

    CNS drugs at $118 billion,

    Cardiovascular drugs at $ 105 billion and

    Cancer drugs at $70 billion of sales.

    The list of therapeutic categories is quite long a separate one for each type of disease & disorder.

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • Top Therapeutic Categories - India

    Top therapeutic segments:

    gastro-intestinal

    cardiac therapies.

    Opthologicals,

    cardiovascular,

    anti-diabeticand

    neurological drugs.

    anti-infective,

    neurology,

    Cardiovascular

    anti-diabetic segments

    THERAPEUTIC CATEGORIES

  • Biotech Drug Types - Global

    In Biologics top three categories were

    monoclonal antibodies at $33 billion,

    Vaccines at $24 billion and

    TNF inhibitors at $18 billion sales in 2008.

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGEMENTATION

  • Global rank of Biologics among top 20 drugs -
    ( 2008 - 2009 )

    Four biologics made the top ten best selling list and seven biologics made the top twenty lists in 2008 ( A very positive trend for bio-drugs)

    GOOD NEWS .!!!

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGEMENTATION

  • The Prognosis::Global Pharma Market 2008- 2012

    The global pharmaceutical market is forecast to grow to $929 billion in 2012, an equivalent CAGR of 5.5% over the next four years

    DRUGS CLASSIFICATION :: MARKET SEGEMENTATION

  • An Interlude

    A Peek into the different stages of Drug Development

    PHASES OF DRUG DEVELOPMENT

  • Different Phases of Drug Development

    Domains Involving Biological/Biomedical Research

    Image Source: Biocon Inc

    PHASES OF DRUG DEVELOPMENT

  • Image Source: Jubilant Biosys

    Drug Discovery Phase of Drug Development

    DRUG DISCOVERY SEQUENCE

  • Drug Discovery Sequence

    Source: Biocon Inc

    DRUG DISCOVERY SEQUENCE

  • 1. Core Pharma Industry

    Core Pharma companies are involved in making Small molecule drugs.

    The Indian pharmaceutical market value will reach as high as US $25 billion by 2015 .

    Current exports of top ten Pharma companies alone accounts to US $5.8 billion.

    SMALL MOLECULE PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Small Molecule Drug Companies

    Around 270 large R&D based pharmaceutical companies in India, including MNCs, government and private companies.

    Around 3,000 companies are involved in pharmaceutical production to cater to the market needs. (not all of them are up to international standards though)

    SMALL MOLECULE PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Brand Name drugs Vs Generics drugs

    Brand Name drugs have to carry out extensive R & D (pre-clinical drug discovery assays, Clinical trials [ Phases 14 ] testing) to test the efficacy/toxicity of the drugs.

    Generics drugs are drugs manufactured after a patent expires and are NOT required to do Pre clinical trials . They just directly perform Bioavailability /Bio-equivalent studies (i.e. Phase I of Clinical Trials).

    SMALL MOLECULE PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • FDA -ANDA (Generics) Approvals for Indian Companies

    Year Number

    2002 - 21

    2003 - 26

    2004 - 25

    2005 - 52

    2006 - 74

    2007- 124

    2008 - 134

    2009 50 (Q1 )

    FDA Approval for Indian Drugs on the rise!!!

    SMALL MOLECULE PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • India Generics Future (A News Excerpt )

    PATENT EXPIRY: RICH PICKINGS AHEAD

    A boost for the Indian generic industry will come from the significant number of blockbuster branded products many of them first-line therapies that will lose patent protection in the next 5 years in the US. Over 49 such products will be affected by the end of 2013, including Topamax, Effexor XR, Lipitor, Plavix and Cymbalta.

    Source : Research Study

    SMALL MOLECULE PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Biological Drug Testing in Core Pharma (small molecule drug companies)

    Core Pharma developing small molecule drugs perform Biological Testing & Validation as a part of the Pre-Clinical Testing.

    Fertile ground for Bioscience research.

    SMALL MOLECULE PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • 2. CRAMS :: Bio-Services

    CRAMS - Contract Research and Manufacturing Services.

    Overseas Companies have started to outsource their work to cut their cost from 40 70%.

    India A favored destination.

    ~98 Contract Research Organizations (both domestic & global) having operations in India.

    CRAMS :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • CRAMS :: WORLD MARKET A PROGNOSIS

  • Involves Biological Testing & Validation

    CRAMS :: MARKET SEGEMENTATION

  • CRAMS market value - India

    $0.5bn - 2005

    $0.9bn - 2006

    $2.7bn - 2010

    Currently,80% of the contract work undertaken consists APIs and intermediates manufacturing.

    India has managed to attract $360m in drug discovery investment (expected to grow in the near future.)

    CRAMS :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Clinical Trials - Drug testing Market

    India is a growing clinical trial destination, for MNCs to get approvals to test their new drugs in the country.

    No of applications for conducting Clinical trials

    100 - 2005

    170 - 2006

    200 - 2007

    350 - 2008

    CROs :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Biotechnology in India :: Few Perspectives

    The Indian biotechnology sector is one of the fastest growing knowledge-based sectors in India.

    Currently, India holds two per cent share of the global market.

    BIOTECH INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Comparative advantages of India

    R&D facilities

    knowledge

    skills, and

    cost effectiveness

    BIOTECH INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Indian Biotech market

    The Indian biotech market was estimated at $ 2.80 billion USD in 200708

    Likely grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30 per cent.

    Ranked 4 th in the Asia Pacific region behind Japan, China & Australia.

    The sector is poised to generate US$ 1316 billion by 2015.

    BIOTECH INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Biotech Categories Indian Market

    Bio-Pharma

    Agri-biotech

    Bio-informatics

    Bio-industrial and

    Bio-services

    The first three are the most important segments according to their revenue contribution.

    BIOTECH INDUSTRY :: CATEGORIES

  • 3. Bio-Pharma industry - India

    The bio-pharma industry accounted for almost 70 per cent (of the 2.8 Billion USD) of the overall revenues in 2007-08

    Likely to touch US$ 4.60 billion by 2012-13.

    Currently more than 40 % of the total 325 biotech companies in India are in the bio-pharma segment.

    Products from Fermentation/Animal Cell cultures etc

    Growth is expected in the Bio-Generics space

    BIO-PHARMA INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • 4. Bio-Industrial Segment - India

    Includes industry involved in the production of enzymes, and other products for agriculture, nutrition etc.

    Industry Size $ 101 Million USD

    BIO-INDUSTRIAL SEGMENT :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • 5. Agriculture Biotech

    One of the fastest growing sectors in the industry.

    India became the fourth largest adopter of biotech crop in the world, by planting Bt cotton on 7.6 million hectares

    The companies that come in the top 20 are all involved in developing Bt hybrid varieties.

    Current Size - $ 318 Million USD

    AGRI-BIOTECH INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • 6. Bioinformatics Companies

    A small section is involved in Bio-informatics approaches to help in drug discovery. (studying Structure Activity Relationship of drug-target etc)

    $47 Million USD.

    Expected to grow considering Indias IT strength

    BIO-INFO INDUSTRY :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • 7. Diagnostics Kit Development

    1. Diagnostic Kit Development

    Biochemical AssaysMolecular Biology Applications

    2. Bio medical Instruments used for Diagnosis like CT,MRI,PET

    Not a lot of R & D right now, but expected to Grow.Currently a billion dollar industry . Diagnostics subsectors are Heavily Fragmented.

    DIAGNOSTICS :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • 8.Lab Research Chemicals & Equipments

    Customers: Industry & Academia

    Current Size:- 3,621 crores (0.94 Billion USD)

    Source: Biospectrum

    BIO-SUPPLIERS :: INDIAN SCENARIO

  • Summary :: Indian Industry Market Size (08-09)

    Core Pharma Industry 12.3 Billion USD (55K crores)

    CRAMS Over 1 Billion USD

    Biotech 2.8 Billion USD

    Diagnostics 1.19 Billion USD

    Bio-Suppliers 0.94 Billion USD

    SUMMARY :: INDIAN MARKET

    Overall Size ~ 18 Billion USD

  • Summary :: Indian Industry

    Core Pharma Industry

    Huge Domestic Market.

    Increasing international presence in the Generics space.

    Appreciable consolidation across the globe in the last few years.

    Ranked 4 th in terms of Volume & 11 th in terms of Global Value share.

    CRAMS Increasing Growth in the coming years due to outsourcing & cost reduction by 40 70%.

    SUMMARY :: INDIAN MARKET

  • Summary :: Indian Industry

    Biotech A sunrise Industry, Picking up with a growth rate of 30% every year.

    Diagnostics Heavily Fragmented. A 25% annual growth rate is expected in the coming years.

    Bio-suppliers Domestic & MNCs catering to the growing industry & economy.

    SUMMARY :: INDIAN MARKET

  • Inputs & Suggestions plz

    Thank You !!!

    SUB-SECTORS :: MARKET SHARE :: GROWTH TRAJECTORY

    Hi,

    This is just my small effort to understand the Biotech/Pharma Market in India. I am eagerly looking forward to your feedback. Please do email me your comments at [email protected]

    Thanks.

    S.M.Napoleon