between week the lines 31 · shares in lvmh, the french luxury brand conglomerate run by...

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UK: For retail clients. Rest of Europe and Singapore: For sophisticated investors only. Microsoft Apple Amazon Alphabet Facebook Rest of S&P 500 Market value of the top five companies in the S&P 500 relative to all others $1.42trn Market value as at 24 Jul 2020 $1.41trn $1.08trn $1.04trn $0.59trn $21.16trn (Value of all other S&P 500 companies) $1.61trn $1.52trn $1.50trn $1.03trn $0.66trn $20.28trn (Value of all other S&P 500 companies) Market value as at 11 Feb 2020 Source: Macrotrends, CNN, Standard & Poor’s and Haver Analytics. A bigger slice of the pie: Tech giants flourish in lockdown Between the lines 31 Week Chips and dips… Despite announcing better than expected second quarter results last Thursday (23 Jul), shares in the chipmaking giant Intel plummeted more than 16% the following day on the news that shipments of its critical next-generation chips could be delayed at least a year. Meanwhile, shares in its much smaller US rival, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), gained just over 16% on the same day. Although Intel’s newly-reinstated full-year guidance still implies annual earnings growth of 4%, the numbers did little to counter investor concerns that the company had not only failed to deliver but was effectively admitting defeat. It’s now looking for an outside partner to make chips incorporating tiny 7-nanometer transistors (the rule of thumb being that the smaller the transistor, the faster and more efficient it is). Meanwhile, shares in AMD, which already sells 7-nanometer chips, soared 16.5% on Friday (24 Jul). By Monday (27 Jul) Intel had announced the resignation of its $27m-a-year chief engineering officer, Murthy Renduchintala. Dancing around their handbags Shares in LVMH, the French luxury brand conglomerate run by billionaire Bernard Arnault, fell on Tuesday (28 Jul) following news that second quarter sales had slumped 38% and that profits had nosedived 68% in the first half of the year amid what’s expected to be the worst-ever quarter for the luxury goods industry. LVMH’s operating profits of €1.67bn were almost €1bn shy of analysts’ expectations. While sales of fashion and handbags from ‘big guns’ such as Louis Vuitton and Dior held up better than jewellery sales from brands like TAG Heuer and Bulgari, second-quarter sales fell 38% after falling 17% in the first. The damage was done by store closures and travel restrictions that impacted both its sales in China, a key segment of its business, and in major European cities and airports, much of which is driven by US tourist traffic. Industry analysts have forecast sales of personal luxury goods could shrink by up to 30% this year and might not recover to 2019 levels until 2023. Credit: TonyV3112/Shutterstock

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Page 1: Between Week the lines 31 · Shares in LVMH, the French luxury brand conglomerate run by billionaire Bernard Arnault, fell on Tuesday (28 Jul) following news that second quarter sales

UK: For retail clients. Rest of Europe and Singapore: For sophisticated investors only.

Microsoft Apple Amazon Alphabet Facebook Rest of S&P 500

Market value of the top five companies in the S&P 500 relative to all others

$1.42trn

Market value as at 24 Jul 2020

$1.41trn$1.08trn

$1.04trn$0.59trn

$21.16trn(Value of all other S&P 500 companies)

$1.61trn$1.52trn

$1.50trn

$1.03trn

$0.66trn

$20.28trn(Value of all other S&P 500 companies)

Market value as at 11 Feb 2020

Source: Macrotrends, CNN, Standard & Poor’s and Haver Analytics.

A bigger slice of the pie: Tech giants flourish in lockdown

Between the lines 31

Week

Chips and dips… Despite announcing better than expected second quarter results last Thursday (23 Jul), shares in the chipmaking giant Intel plummeted more than 16% the following day on the news that shipments of its critical next-generation chips could be delayed at least a year. Meanwhile, shares in its much smaller US rival, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), gained just over 16% on the same day.

Although Intel’s newly-reinstated full-year guidance still implies annual earnings growth of 4%, the numbers did little to counter investor concerns that the company had not only failed to deliver but was effectively admitting defeat. It’s now looking for an outside partner to make chips incorporating tiny 7-nanometer transistors (the rule of thumb being that the smaller the transistor, the faster and more efficient it is).

Meanwhile, shares in AMD, which already sells 7-nanometer chips, soared 16.5% on Friday (24 Jul).

By Monday (27 Jul) Intel had announced the resignation of its $27m-a-year chief engineering officer, Murthy Renduchintala.

Dancing around their handbagsShares in LVMH, the French luxury brand conglomerate run by billionaire Bernard Arnault, fell on Tuesday (28 Jul) following news that second quarter sales had slumped 38% and that profits had nosedived 68% in the first half of the year amid what’s expected to be the worst-ever quarter for the luxury goods industry.

LVMH’s operating profits of €1.67bn were almost €1bn shy of analysts’ expectations. While sales of fashion and handbags from ‘big guns’ such as Louis Vuitton and Dior held up better than jewellery sales from brands like TAG Heuer and Bulgari, second-quarter sales fell 38% after falling 17% in the first.

The damage was done by store closures and travel restrictions that impacted both its sales in China, a key segment of its business, and in major European cities and airports, much of which is driven by US tourist traffic.

Industry analysts have forecast sales of personal luxury goods could shrink by up to 30% this year and might not recover to 2019 levels until 2023.

Credit: TonyV3112/Shutterstock

Page 2: Between Week the lines 31 · Shares in LVMH, the French luxury brand conglomerate run by billionaire Bernard Arnault, fell on Tuesday (28 Jul) following news that second quarter sales

UK: For retail clients. Rest of Europe and Singapore: For sophisticated investors only.

This communication is issued by Quilter Investors Limited (“Quilter Investors”), Millennium Bridge House, 2 Lambeth Hill, London, England, EC4V 4AJ. Quilter Investors is registered in England and Wales (number: 04227837) and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 208543).

This communication is for information purposes only. Nothing in this communication constitutes financial, professional or investment advice or a personal recommendation. This communication should not be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments in any jurisdiction. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is

provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein, nor is it intended to be a complete statement or summary of the securities, markets or developments referred to in the document.

Any opinions expressed in this document are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by other business areas or companies within the same group as Quilter Investors as a result of using different assumptions and criteria.

Quilter Investors is not licensed or regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (“MAS”) in Singapore. This document has not been reviewed by MAS.

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