better block
TRANSCRIPT
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Cap
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Answers
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Transition Wars
Non-unique: transition wars are happening now
Transition wars inevitable
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Generics
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Terrorism DA
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Terror threat high
More people are being recruited b terrorist groups than !"#
estimates: !"# director $ames Come said that thousands o%
people are being recruited on encrpted websites that the !"#can&t penetrate'
McCaul( chairman o% )ouse )omeland *ecurit Committee sas
there has been an increase in threat streams against local
police and militar bases'
Threat o% a lone o+ender is increasing' )omegrown violent
e,tremists pose the most liel threat to .* domestic securit'
The #nternet maes terror attacs in the .* e,tremel liel
and allows #*#* to reach out to a large number o% people'
#*#*& leader urged Muslims everwhere to /ght in his land in a
01 minute audio recording'
Garland( Te,as shooting on Ma 2th is an e,ample o%
homegrown domestic terror in the .* inspired b #*#*'
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.* surveillance increasing
3bama administration has drasticall increased intelligence
gathering a%ter warnings o% potential terrorist attacs'
The .'*' militar has ordered an increase in securit at its
bases around the .nited *tates %or the /rst time in nearl %our
ears because o% general threats at home'
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N*A e
There is no alternative 4 other organi5ations onl trac nown
terrorists( but it is the unnown terrorist who will in6ict the
greatest harm'7#% ou&re looing %or a needle in a hastac( ou have to get
the hastac /rst8
*ecret surveillance programs helped prevent more than 29
potential terror attacs worldwide'
The resident&s ;eview Group sas that the lac o% mass
surveillance would result in a loss o% signi/cant intelligence
and impede our abilit to respond to new threats'
29 incidents o% potential terrorism at home and abroad were
stopped b the set o% N*A surveillance programs'
!"# arrested at least 09 Americans on terrorism-related
charges this ear on 7lone-wol%8 plots( all inspired b #*#*
propaganda'
At least ?? attacs' The overwhelming ma@orit
have been thwarted thans to timel( operational intelligence
about the threats'
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Nuclear terrorism
Terrorists have the abilit to direct individuals to conduct
small-scale attacs in the .* 4 could pose threat o% WMD'
Garland( Te,as
C#A ocial sas that it is not %ar %etched that #*#* or other
terrorist groups could gain access to weapons o% mass
destruction'
Nuclear terrorism is e,tremel liel under Bawahiri a%ter
anal5ing his
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Fven a %ew thousand deaths would result in escalation'
Turns econ: would result in hundreds o% thousands o% %atalities
and massive propert damage' !ear would erode public
con/dence'
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China-Taiwan War
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War will happen
China thins the can win a war with the .*' *imulations show
China beat the .* because o% our diminished /ghter
capabilities'
China concerned o% Taiwanese government seeing
recognition( meaning it&s now or never %or China to invade'
eaders in "ei@ing concerned over Taiwanese elections' The
thin Tsai #ng-wen( the D candidate( will win' revious D
president was hostile to China'
;ecent A drills in region are a simulation o% possible
invasion o% Taiwan'
Chinese leaders have alwas de%erred invasion because o%
cross-strait tals but recentl Taiwanese leaders have rebu+ed
tals'
A has ?(299 missiles aimed at Taiwan'
Taiwanese militar budget decrease allows A to be ahead'
Taiwan and China have overlapping claims in the *outh China
*ea( increases tension'
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Fconom
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Globali5ation decreases war
*tocholm #ntl eace #nstitute sas number o% con6icts
decreased due to increasing trade and globali5ation'
Fconomies more connected( means countries decreased
incentive to have war'
Allows countries to acquire wealth through trade instead o%
conquest( less need %or war'
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"ad econ leads to war
#ncreases terrorism and radical politics( because mainstream
politics clearl isn&t helping politics' The warrant %or this is
)itler'
Fconomic worries lead states to pursue nuclear ambitions %or
domestic securit'
Con6icts over resources re-emerge 4 protectionism and neo-
mercantilist policies increase in times o% economic decline'
!iscal stimulus turns to militar( buildup o% militaries lead toincreased tensions and counterbalancing'
Dicult to cooperate in economic decline'
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overt in .*
More than H o% Americans live in povert
Ccle o% povert: people become trapped in povert'
Children in povert %ace lower cognitive development(
increased rates o% incarceration( lower li%etime earnings'
overt hurts everone( taes awa government resources
that could be invested in other areas'
Child povert in .* costs more than 299 billion annuall'
eople in povert %ace higher rates o% illness and lower li%ee,pectancies( because the can&t a+ord their basic needs'
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#nterest ;ates
!ederal ;eserve is sending mi,ed messages with its interest
rates'
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ow #nterest ;ates
ow interest rates harm baners'
ow interest rates create bubbles and economic crashes'
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Middle Class su+ering
Middle class incomes stagnating 4 econom has grown 0H but
incomes haven&t increased'
?H American counties have lower median income than be%ore'
)ousing bubble crash means man middle class people have
houses worth %ar less than what the paid %or 4 huge loss o%
monetar value and decreased incentive %or home
construction'
Middle class is e to demand 4 stagnant incomes meansdemand won&t be able to match growing econom'
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#ncome #nequalit e,ists
" 9?
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Ta,ation Good
With ta,es are more able to provide public education( medical
care( li%e insurance( and wel%are and citi5ens are more able to
/nd opportunities %or @obs instead o% constantl worringabout their ne,t meal or getting their child a proper education'
)arvard "usiness *chool stud shows increasing %ood stamp
program increased amount o% household businesses b ?
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Ta,ation "ad
eads to ta, evasion( H o% .* GD o% uncollected ta, dollars'
#;* can&t solve 4 H reduction in /eld e,aminers while
worload increased ?
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Whistleblowing
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ow
eople are a%raid to whistleblow 4 riss losing @ob and %riends'
#n some cases the %ear %or their lives( and get little support
%rom governments and courts'
.* lawers reluctant to protect whistleblowers because
the&re unliel to win'
!inancial malpractice is top concern o% worers et more than
hal% o% concerns go ignored'
Currentl no wa to report concerns con/dentiall'
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Good
#nvaluable public service 4 .* government sas whistleblowers
e to discovering corporate %raud'
Whistleblowing presence creates transparenc in corporations'
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"ad
Fncouraging whistleblowing encourages people to stretch the
truth @ust to mae mone 4 whistleblower law in ?=< gives
them 09H cut o% mone recouped b government'