best: business opportunities and challenges in new markets. karthikeyan natarajan

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Business opportunities and challenges in new markets 29.11.2016 Karthikeyan Natarajan Researcher University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu [email protected] POLAND India

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Page 1: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Business opportunities and

challenges in new markets

29.11.2016

Karthikeyan Natarajan

Researcher

University of Eastern Finland,

Joensuu

[email protected]

POLAND India

Page 2: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

A Triple Helix based BEST consortium

Case India (2013-2014):

UEF, TUT, LUKE, Fortum, Valmet, VTT, Arbonaut, TERI, local Govt departments

Public

actorsIndustries

R&D

Institutions

Consortium:

Case Poland (2015-2016):

UEF, TUT, UO, LUKE, Fortum, Valmet, VTT, Arbonaut, Nicolaus Copernicus University, University of Lodz, Statistics department, local Marshal offices

Page 3: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Research methods applied in India and Poland

Policy/market

India

Resources

Supply chain

Technology

Poland

Policy review

Scenario modeling

Field survey

Policy review

Field survey

Satellite images

Sustainability

Existing inventory

Field survey

Satellite images

Existing inventory

Cost model

ICT solutionsCost model

Simulation model (basic)

CHP

Fuel quality & properties

Combustion modeling

Fuel quality & properties

3D Optimization modeling

Page 4: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Status of biomass market in Poland

(Dominating role of Policy actions)

Green

Certificate

Cofiring Hydro

WindBiomass

Obligation Quota

Substitution FeeSupply

RE generation

Demand

5,23

7,126,2 6

2011 2012 2013 2014

Biomass Consumption (MT)

6,947,67

6,716

2011 2012 2013 2014

Biomass Price (€/GJ)

70,5

26 25 25

2011 2012 2013 2014

Green certificate price (€/MWh)

48,3349,73 50,34

45,38

2011 2012 2013 2014

Electricity Price (€/GJ)

1€=4PLN (2015)

<

Page 5: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Green

Certificate

Cofiring Hydro

WindBiomass

Obligation Quota

Substitution FeeSupply

RE generation

Demand

5,23

7,126,2 6

2011 2012 2013 2014

Biomass Consumption …

6,947,67

6,716

2011 2012 2013 2014

Biomass Price (€/GJ)

70,5

26 25 25

2011 2012 2013 2014

Green certificate price (€/MWh)

Unsold 15TWh

GC since 2012

19 TWh

2015 RE generation

17 TWh 2015 redemption

48,3349,73 50,34

45,38

2011 2012 2013 2014

Electricity Price (€/GJ)

1€=4PLN (2015)

>

Status of biomass market in Poland

(Dominating role of Policy actions)

Page 6: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Challenges facing the biomass industry in India(Diversified India)

0500

100015002000250030003500

Rupees/M

T

2009-2010

2013-2014

No Plant characteristics Units Value

1 Installed capacity MWe 10

2 Investment cost (no land price) Crores

(MEuros)

65 (8.1)

3 C.F (fuel-to-power) % 19

4 Biomass tons/day 450-500

5 Carbon credits – UNFCCC Rs/Kwh 1.5 - 3.6

6 Employees – permanent

(temporary)

nos 40(60)

7 Emission savings CO2equi/year 46,991

Page 7: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Farmer price

4 €∕MWh

Supply chain

5.8 €∕MWhBiomass @ plant

9.8 €∕MWhBiomass

Indian

Western

Cost of Electricity is 85€∕MWhe

Cost of Electricity is 76€∕MWhe

REC incentives

17.8 €∕MWhe

Tariff

60 €∕Mwhe,

80 €∕Mwhe

Challenges facing the biomass industry in India(Diversified India)

Page 8: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Business opportunities in revamping the

biomass industry in India

Pic, Valmet

Power, VTT

Page 9: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Opportunities for reciprocal knowledge and technology transfer between

Finland, Poland and India.

Paddy straw

(India)

Wheat straw

(Poland)

Finnish

know-how

Finnish

know-how

CHP

Cofiring

(Poland)

Biomass

plant (India)

Miscanthus

(Poland)

Elephant

grass (India)

Page 10: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

New circular economy solutions for an

Indian energy market(Great opportunities of technology and knowledge transfer)

ZGO GAĆ

Page 11: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

RDF Production

ProducersMSWSegregation

unitsRecovery

Fuel

processing RDF CHPsEnergy Consumers

Acceptance

New circular economy solutions for an

Indian energy market(Great opportunities of technology and knowledge transfer)

Page 12: BEST: Business opportunities and challenges in new markets. Karthikeyan Natarajan

Thank you!

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