BayAreaTransportation:WhereWe’veBeen,WhereWe’reGoing

Assembly Select Committee

Steve HemingerExecutive Director

Metropolitan Transportation Commission

August 21, 2015

AnHistoricChapter…

2

…IsComingtoaClose

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So,WhatShallWeDoforanEncore?

4

GovernorBrown’sCalltoAction–EatYourPeas!

“We must also deal with longstanding infrastructure challenges. We are finally grappling with the long-term sustainability of our water supply… equally important is having the roads, highways and bridges in good enough shape to get people and commerce to where they need to go. It is estimated that our state has accumulated $59 billion in needed upkeep and maintenance. Each year, we fall further and further behind and we must do something about it.”

— Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. 2015 State of the State Address 5

FixItFirstPlan Bay Area Investments by Function

292 Billion*

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$20BillioninPotholes

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PenniesforPotholes?

L.A.County

SanDiego/Orange

OtherSouthern

CA

CentralValley

SFBayArea

OtherNorthern

CATOTAL

Support 52% 39% 40% 41% 68% 45% 49%

Oppose 44% 56% 60% 59% 29% 55% 48%Don'tKnow 4% 5% 0% 0% 3% 0% 3%

Source:FieldPollFebruary2015

WouldYouSupportorOpposea10‐CentPer‐GallonIncreaseintheStateGasTaxWithMoneyUsedtoImproveRoadsandHighways?

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$20BillioninTransitRepairs

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TransitCoreCapacity

• Focused on modernizing SFMTA, BART, AC Transit fleets

• Over 80 percent of all Bay Area riders, over 75 percent of minority and low-income riders

• Leverage federal funds with state, regional and local money

• Requires transit agencies to meet performance objectives, improve cost-effectiveness

Transit Core Capacity Challenge Grant

Funding Plan

$7.5billionTransitCoreCapacityChallengeGrantProgram

FederalFormula44%

Regional7%

Cap&Trade12%

FederalDiscretionary2%

Local35%

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GrowingPains,Too

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BayAreaRanks#3forCongestedDelay

3 6

7 104

1

9

8

2

5

Delay from Congestion

Source: Texas Transportation Institute, 2011; MTC Vital Signs, 2015

1. LosAngeles2. Houston3. BayArea4. NewYork5. Dallas6. WashingtonDC7. Chicago8. Atlanta9. Miami10.Philadelphia

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Source: INRIX/Iteris/MTC, 2013

13

1 10

4 29

8

6

5

3

7

But#1inTravelTimeReliability:

Source: Texas Transportation Institute, 2011

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Investment StrategyFocusedGrowth

• Priority Development Areas: • 3% of region’s land• 77% new homes• 63% new jobs

• All growth within existing urban growth boundaries/limit lines

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BettingonTransit

Plan Bay Area Investments by Mode$292 Billion

37%Road and

Bridge63%

Transit

16

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012

Per

cent

Cha

nge

in P

er-C

apita

Tra

nsit

Boa

rdin

gs Percent Change in Per-Capita Transit Boardings by Operator Since 1991

Source: FTA NTD, 2012

AC TransitVTA

SamTransGolden Gate

Muni

Baby Bullet service initiated

GOODNEWS:WeKnowHowtoGrowTransitRidership

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-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012

New York

WashingtonChicago

Philadelphia

Bay Area

Atlanta

Los Angeles

Miami

Houston

Dallas

Source: FTA NTD, 2012

BADNEWS:BayAreaLaggingItsMetroPeers

Percent Change in Per Capita Transit Boardings by Metro Area Since 1991

Per

cent

Cha

nge

in P

er-C

apita

Tra

nsit

Boa

rdin

gs

18

GettingaHandleonCost

%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Operating Cost (Inflation-Adjusted) Revenue Vehicle Hours Unlinked Passenger Trips

Bay Area Large Operators: Percent Change in Cost and Performance Indicators (1997-2008)

34%

15%

7%

Source: National Transit Database, “Big 7” only, excludes ferry, cable car and paratransit

0

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PerformanceTargets– Big7Operators

• Reduce “real” operating cost per service hour, cost per passenger or cost per passenger mile by 5% by 2017.

• Financial targets are set compared to the highest cost per hour experienced by each agency between 2008 and 2011.

• Based on evaluation and possible savings in areas including: fringe benefits, work rules and administrative costs.

• Existing and new operating and capital funds administered by MTC can be linked to progress towards target.

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HighSpeedRail

• Statewide Cap & Trade program includes $250 million in 2014-15 and a 25% share of future funding

• Region has committed to funding the $1.8 billion CaltrainElectrification program which includes funding from state High Speed Rail bonds

• Two Grand Centrals: Transbay and Diridon.

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CommuteModeChoice:Localvariationbyemploymentcenter

35%

77%

63%

81%

73%

10%

11%

10%

11%

11%

37%

3%

14%

6%

7%

4%

5%

4%

6%

SAN FRANCISCO

SAN JOSE

OAKLAND

SANTA CLARA

PALO ALTO

Drive Alone Carpool Public Transit Walk Bike Other Telecommute

Source: American Community Survey, 2013s

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ExpressLanes–Revenueis Reform

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ManagingCongestion

Work Zones15%

Bad Weather

10%

Bottlenecks 50%

Causes of Congestion

Traffic Incidents25%

Congestion Mitigation:Active Operational Management

and Traveler Information

Transportation Management

System

Columbus Day Initiative

Next Gen511

Next GenRideshare

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Pursue Additional Operational Strategies

“Columbus Day Initiative”

Adaptive Ramp Metering

Queue Warning

Hard ShoulderRunning

Adaptive Traffic Signalsw/Transit Signal Priority

Connected Vehicles/Corridors

HighwaySignage

Detection/MeteringSystems

TransportationManagement

Center

CommunicationInfrastructure

HighwayCameras

IncidentManagement

ManagingCongestion

Maintain and Operate Exiting Investments

“Transportation Management Systems”

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AnnualCountySTIPRevenuesDwarfedbySalesTaxRevenues

18

163

68

80

21

68

112

9

26

12

11

4

15

22

$- $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175

Sonoma

Santa Clara

San Mateo

San Francisco

Marin

Contra Costa

Alameda

Millions

County STIP Revenues vs. Sales Tax Revenues

Six-year average annual county share of the State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP)FY12 local transportation sales tax revenues

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TheBayArea’sSeven‐BridgeSystemBenicia-Martinez BridgeOpened 1962 Widened 1991Second span opened in 2007

San Mateo-Hayward BridgeOpened 1929Replaced 1967Widened 2003

San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge

Opened 1936

New East Span opened September 2013

Richmond-San Rafael Bridge

Opened 1956

Dumbarton Bridge

Opened 1927 Replaced 1984

Antioch BridgeOpened 1926Replaced 1978

Carquinez BridgeOpened 1927, 1958 and 2003

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ElectionResults:RegionalMeasures1and2

Regional Measure1(1988)

Regional Measure2(2004)

Yes No Yes NoAlameda 71% 29% 56% 44%ContraCosta 68% 32% 51% 49%Marin 76% 24% 64% 36%SanFrancisco 69% 31% 69% 31%SanMateo 74% 26% 55% 45%SantaClara 71% 29% 60% 40%Solano 58% 42% 41% 59%TOTAL 70% 30% 57% 43%

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TollBridgeMeasuresDeliverBigReturns

Source: FTA NTD, 2012

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AnyoneforRegionalMeasure3?

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