basic charting of stocks - open tradez · the chart •a picture is worth a thousand…dollars!...

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Presents BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS With Bill Corcoran

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Page 1: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Presents

BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS

With

Bill Corcoran

Page 2: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

I am not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. I will mention that I consider certain securitiesor positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because Iconsider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does notmean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providingyou with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we areproviding is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not arecommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for anyspecific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation,regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk.

I am not subject to trading restrictions. Myself and other instructors could have a position in a security orinitiate a position in a security at any time.

Page 3: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

The Fundamentals

• An “appraisal” of the company not the stock!

• Does not reflect market sentiment.

• Can take years to “be right”

• Typically requires a “margin of safety (error)”

Page 4: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

The Chart

• A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars!

• A picture of the market psychology.

• Tells us what the market is “thinking”.

• Pure supply and demand in picture form.

Page 5: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

The Chart

• Chart patterns occur in multiple time frames.

• Chart patterns occur in all asset classes.

• Anytime there is a buyer and a seller there is likely a chart pattern being created.

Page 6: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

The Basics

Page 7: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Line Charts

• DOW theory holds the closing price as the most important price of the period.

• Closing price of one time period connected to the closing price of the next time period.

• Example: Monday’s close connected to Tuesday’s close connected to Wednesday’s.

• Creates identifiable and predictable patterns.

Page 8: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Chart TypesLINE CHART

Page 9: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Candlestick Charts

• Break down individual trading periods.

• Can identify market sentiment in each trading period.

• Patterns can emerge within individual candlesticks or even groups of candlesticks.

Page 10: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Bullish Candlestick

OPEN

CLOSE

LOW

HIGH

Page 11: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Bearish Candlestick

OPEN

CLOSE

LOW

HIGH

Page 12: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Line Chart Patterns

Page 13: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Line Chart Reversal Patterns

• Double Top

• Double Bottom

• Head and Shoulders

• Inverted Head and Shoulders

• Trend Break

• Rounding Bottom

• Rounding Top

Page 14: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Double Tops

• Indicates an exhaustion of buying pressure.

• First reversal indicates early sellers.

• Second reversal indicates continued selling.

• Pattern confirms below middle low.

Page 15: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

TOP

UPTREND

TOP

DOWNTREND

DOUBLE TOP

Page 16: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Double Bottom

• Indicates an exhaustion of selling pressure.

• First reversal indicates early buyers.

• Second reversal indicates continued buying.

• Pattern confirms above middle high.

Page 17: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

DOUBLE BOTTOM

BOTTOMBOTTOM

DOWNTREND

UPTREND

Page 18: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Head and Shoulder

• Indicates an exhaustion of buying pressure.

• First reversal indicates early sellers.

• New high creates possibility of higher trend.

• Failure to reach new high creates selling pressure and right shoulder.

• Pattern confirms below neck line.

Page 19: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Shoulder

Shoulder

Head

Neckline

HEAD AND SHOULDERS

Page 20: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Inverted Head and Shoulder

• Indicates an exhaustion of selling pressure.

• First reversal indicates early buyers.

• New low creates possibility of trend lower.

• Failure to reach new low creates buying pressure and right shoulder.

• Pattern confirms above neck line.

Page 21: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

NECKLINE

SHOULDER

HEAD

SHOULDER

INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS

Page 22: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Trend Break

• Indicates significant change of sentiment.

• First breakout indicates sentiment change.

• Successful test of former trendline confirms the move.

Page 23: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

BREAKOUT

TEST OF TRENDLINE

Page 24: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Rounding Bottom

• Indicates significant change of sentiment.

• First breakout indicates sentiment change.

• Successful test of former trendline confirms the move.

Page 25: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

ROUNDING BOTTOM

Page 26: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Line Chart Continuation Patterns

• Ascending Wedge

• Descending Wedge

• Flag

• Pennant

• Trend

Page 27: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

ASCENDING WEDGE

Page 28: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

DESCENDING WEDGE

Page 29: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

FLAG PATTERN

Page 30: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

PENNANT PATTERN

Page 31: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 32: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

CANDLESTICK PATTERNS

Page 33: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Candlestick Reversal Patterns

• Evening Star

• Morning Star

• Bullish Engulfing

• Bearish Engulfing

• Bullish Harami

• Bearish Harami

Page 34: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Evening Star Reversal Pattern

Page 35: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 36: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

DID IT WORK?

Page 37: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Morning Star Reversal Pattern

Page 38: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 39: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

DID IT WORK?

Page 40: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Bearish Engulfing Reversal Pattern

Page 41: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 42: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

DID IT WORK?

Page 43: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Bullish Engulfing Reversal Pattern

Page 44: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 45: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

THIS ONE DIDN’T WORK(IT HAPPENS)

Page 46: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Bearish Harami Reversal Pattern

Page 47: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 48: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

WORKED!

Page 49: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Bullish Harami Reversal Pattern

Page 50: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 51: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

NOT REALLY

Page 52: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

CANDLESTICK CONTINUATION PATTERNS

Page 53: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Rising Three Method Pattern

Page 54: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 55: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Falling Three Method Pattern

Page 56: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”
Page 57: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Flagpole(steep climb)

Rectangle (Consolidation)

Breakout

Page 58: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

Ascending Wedge

Sellers Enter at the Same Level

Buyers enter at higher and higher levels

Page 59: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

The Role of Volume

• Bullish

– Price is rising

– Volume is rising

• Bearish

– Price is falling

– Volume is rising

Page 60: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

The Role of Volume

• Potential Bullish Reversal– Price is falling and approaching support

– Volume is falling

– Watch for reversal patterns

• Potential Bullish Reversal– Price is rising and approaching resistance

– Volume is falling

– Watch for reversal patterns

Page 61: BASIC CHARTING OF STOCKS - Open Tradez · The Chart •A picture is worth a thousand…Dollars! •A picture of the market psychology. •Tells us what the market is “thinking”

I am not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. I will mention that I consider certain securitiesor positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because Iconsider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does notmean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providingyou with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we areproviding is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not arecommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for anyspecific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation,regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk.

I am not subject to trading restrictions. Myself and other instructors could have a position in a security orinitiate a position in a security at any time.