basf capital market story 05/2012

39
We add value as one company May 2012

Upload: basf

Post on 28-Nov-2014

1.217 views

Category:

Investor Relations


1 download

DESCRIPTION

 

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

We add value as one company

May 2012

Page 2: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 2

This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

Forward-looking statements

Page 3: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 3

Dispersions & Pigments Performance Chemicals Care Chemicals Nutrition & Health Paper Chemicals

Crop Protection

Inorganics Petrochemicals Intermediates

Catalysts Construction Chemicals Coatings

Chemicals

Functional Solutions Performance Products

Agricultural Solutions Oil & Gas Exploration & Production and

Natural Gas Trading

Percentage of sales 2011*

BASF today – a well-balanced portfolio Total sales 2011: €73.5 billion

Performance Polymers Polyurethanes

Plastics

* not depicted here: 9% of Group sales reported as ‚Other‘

Page 4: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Business review BASF Today Trends Purpose and strategic principles Targets Strategic levers BASF Tomorrow – Board priorities

4 BASF Strategy: We create chemistry__November 2011

Business review

BASF growth targets

Strategic levers

Fit for 2020

Page 5: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 5

Sales €20.6 billion +6% EBITDA €3.9 billion +16% EBIT before special items €2.5 billion (7%) EBIT €3.1 billion +22%

Net income €1.7 billion (28%) EPS €1.88 (28%) Adjusted EPS €1.57 (19%)

Business performance Q1’12 vs. Q1’11

BASF with solid start to 2012 First quarter highlights

Sales increase primarily driven by higher prices, volumes stable Demand in chemical activities did not match the exceptionally strong level of Q1 2011 Agricultural Solutions and Oil & Gas with strong start into the year Divestiture of fertilizer activities completed, ~€650 million disposal gain booked as special item

Page 6: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Continuous strong free cash flow generation

6

* Cash provided by operating activities less capex (in 2005 before CTA) ** 2009 adjusted for re-classification of settlement payments for currency derivatives

2.8 2.6

3.3 3.5 3.2

2.53.2

0.9

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009** 2010 2011 Q12012

Free cash flow* in billion €

3.9 3.7

-0.1

Page 7: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Delivering attractive shareholder returns

€2.50 dividend per share for 2011, dividend yield 4.6%*

15% average annual dividend increase for 2002-2011 period

Dividend yield above 3% in any given year since 2002, total payout €14.5 billion

Dividend per share in €

* Dividend yield based on share price at year-end

Dividend payments

3.7% 3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.8% 7.0% 3.9%

Dividend yield* 4.6% 3.9% 3.1%

7

2.50

Between 1999 & 2008, BASF bought back 28.65% of shares outstanding, spent €9.9 billion

AGM 2012 approved new share buy-back program; up to 10% of shares, 5 years

Share buy-backs 0.70 0.70

0.851.00

1.50

1.95 1.951.70

2.20

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Page 8: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 8

Outlook 2012 confirmed

BASF aims to exceed the record levels of sales and EBIT before SI achieved in 2011

In H1 2012, BASF will most likely not achieve the exceptionally high results of the comparable period in 2011. However, we aim to outperform H2 2011.

In 2012, BASF will strive again to earn a high premium on cost of capital

Outlook 2012

GDP: +2.7%

Industrial production: +4.1%

Chemical production: +4.1%

US$ / Euro: 1.30

Oil price (US$ / bbl): 110

Assumptions 2012

Page 9: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Business review BASF Today Trends Purpose and strategic principles Targets Strategic levers BASF Tomorrow – Board priorities

9 BASF Strategy: We create chemistry__November 2011

Business review

BASF growth targets

Strategic levers

Fit for 2020

Page 10: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Demographic challenges set the stage for the future of the chemical industry

Nine billion people in 2050 but only one earth

10

Resources, Environment & Climate Food & Nutrition Quality of Life

Chemistry as enabler

Page 11: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Key trends for the chemical industry

11

Integrated chemical companies remain cornerstone

Emerging markets players grow quickly

Raw material players invest further downstream

Competitive landscape will change

Use opportunities from sustainability

Increase resource efficiency

Renewables as raw materials

Stakeholder dialog

Sustainability as strategic driver

Chemistry as enabler

Chemical products replace traditional materials

Create innovative sustainable solutions

Innovation gains in importance

Growth will accelerate

Industrial production > GDP

Chemical production > GDP

Emerging markets will outgrow developed markets

Chemical industry remains an attractive growth industry

Page 12: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Striving for strong profitable growth Medium- and long-term sales target

12

Sales* in billion €

64

2010 Target 2020

Target 2015

Investments

Acquisitions Innovations

Investments

Acquisitions Innovations

~85

~115

We will outperform chemical production by 2 percentage points p.a. * Potential impact of IFRS changes not included

Page 13: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Striving for strong profitable growth All regions will deliver profitable growth

13

Regional sales targets 2020 (by location of customers) in billion €

North America

2010 2020

13

~5.5% p.a. ~22

South America, Africa, Middle East

~8% p.a.

5 ~11

Europe

~4.5% p.a.

33

~53

Asia Pacific

~8% p.a.

13 ~29

2010 2020

2010 2020 2010 2020

19%* 20%* 46%* 52%*

25%* 20%* 10%* 8%*

* Percentage of total sales

Page 14: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Striving for strong profitable growth Doubling EBITDA by 2020

14

EBITDA* in billion €

2010 Target 2020

Target 2015

11.1

~23

~15 Op. Excellence

Growth

Acquisitions

Op. Excellence

Growth

Acquisitions

* Assumptions 2010-2020: Exchange rate $/€ Ø 1.40, Oil price Ø $110/bbl

Page 15: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Business review BASF Today Trends Purpose and strategic principles Targets Strategic levers BASF Tomorrow – Board priorities

15 BASF Strategy: We create chemistry__November 2011

Business review

BASF growth targets

Strategic levers – Portfolio development

– Market approach – Innovations for a sustainable future – Investments – Acquisitions – Operational excellence

Fit for 2020

Page 16: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

We expand from chemicals to chemistry

Chemistry as key enabler for functionalized materials & solutions

Deep understanding of customer value chains required

16

New molecules

Improved applications

Functionalized materials & solutions

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

Batteries, membranes ...

Page 17: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Portfolio development towards more market driven and innovative businesses

17

Crop protection Engineering plastics Electronic chemicals Custom synthesis Catalysts Construction chemicals Water-based resins Pigments Plastic additives Oil & Gas Personal care & food

BASF core business

Strong partnerships

Gazprom Monsanto Petronas Shell Sinopec Total

Selected transactions 2001 − today

Acquisitions

~ €15bn sales ~ €10bn sales*

Divestitures

Pharma Fibers Printing systems Polyolefins Polystyrene Americas Agro generics Vitamins premix Fertilizers Styrenics (transferred into

Styrolution JV on Oct. 1, 2011)

* without Styrenics

Page 18: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Moving downstream towards customer industries

18

* Agriculture, Construction, Consumer Goods, Health & Nutrition, Electronics, Energy & Resources, Transportation ** Sales excluding Oil & Gas

Functionalized Materials & Solutions Customized Products Classical Chemicals

2020 in % of sales**

Chemical Industry First customer industries*

2010 in % of sales**

~ 40%

~30% ~ 70%

2001 in % of sales**

~ 50%

~ 60%

~ 50%

Page 19: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Building on our cross-divisional customer industry approach

19

BASF sales by first customer industry*

Bubble Size: BASF divisional sales by first customer industry (2010)**

* Excluding Oil & Gas and Other ** Excluding Agricultural Solutions, Health & Nutrition, Oil & Gas and Other

> 15 %

< 10 %

< 10 %

> 15 %

Inorganics Petro- chemicals

Construction Chemicals

Dispersions & Pigments

Catalysts Intermediates Coatings Care Chemicals

Performance Polymers

Poly- urethanes

Performance Chemicals

Paper Chemicals

Consumer goods

Transportation

Construction

Energy & Resources

Page 20: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Combining cross-divisional technology competencies with customer know-how

20

E-textiles

Solar roof with transparent organic solar panels and OLED modules

Multifunctional seat

Infrared-reflective coating

Infrared-reflective film

High performance foams

Lightweight tridion cell

All-plastic wheel

Smart forvision – Joint concept car of Daimler and BASF

Page 21: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Chemistry as an enabler for many customer industries

21

Sustainability in customer industries will drive our innovative growth fields

Health & Nutrition

Consumer Goods Construction Transportation Electronics Energy &

Resources Agriculture

Customer industries

Energy management

Water solutions

Wind energy

Rare earth metals

recycling

Heat management

Enzymes Plant biotechnology

Batteries for mobility

Lightweight composites

Heat management

Functional crop care

Medical Organic Electronics

Growth Fields*

* Including growth fields still under evaluation

Ongoing inflow of new growth fields

Page 22: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Growth Field examples

Business potential 2020

Market size: >€20 billion

BASF sales potential: >€500 million

Market size: ~€20 billion

BASF sales potential: >€800 million

Market size: ~€11 billion gross trait value

BASF sales potential: €1.8 billion gross trait sales before partner share

Existing Activities

New global business unit for battery chemicals & materials

Electrode material plant being built in Ohio. Acquired Novolyte, Merck’s electrolytes, Ovonik, equity position in Sion Power

R&D network with academia Sites in US, China, Europe

BASF expertise and portfolio (high-performance flocculants, desalination and antifouling chemicals….)

Acquired inge water-technologies (membranes) to offer module systems

BASF as Trait Technology Partner of leading trait and seed companies

Yield & Stress collaboration with Monsanto (corn, soy, cotton, canola and wheat)

Targets Become the leading supplier of battery materials

Target customers: Battery producers

Leading supplier of innovative water solutions

Forward integration into membrane technologies

Contribute to more efficient agriculture, healthier nutrition

Make Plant Biotechnology an operating division within the Agricultural Solutions segment

Batteries for mobility Plant biotechnology Water solutions

BASF growth field examples

22

Page 23: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 23

Innovation will spur further growth

€1.6 billion R&D expenditures in 2011 (2010: €1.5 billion)

~10,100 employees in R&D

~2,800 projects

Research Verbund: About 1,950 partnerships with universities, start-ups and industry partners

24%

1%

Corporate Research 23%

Agricultural Solutions

26%

Functional Solutions 12%

Performance Products 21%

Chemicals 8%

Plastics 9%

€1.6 billion

Oil & Gas 1%

Increase R&D spending to €1.7 billion in 2012

Total R&D expenditures 2011 in billion €

Strong commitment to R&D

Page 24: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

€7 billion EBITDA targeted from innovations in 2020

24

Sales and EBITDA from innovations in billion €

2015 2020

~10

~30

Sales from innovations launched within last 5 years

Sales from innovations launched within last 10 years

~2.5

~7 EBITDA from innovations launched within last 5 years

EBITDA from innovations launched within last 10 years

Page 25: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Investments will boost future organic growth

25

Future investments in € billlion

Thereof investments in emerging markets

Total investments

35-45%

15-20

30-40%

~15

2006 – 2010 2011 – 2015 2016 – 2020

10.9

~20%

Page 26: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 26

Expansion joint venture activities in Malaysia

Expansion Verbund site Nanjing, China*

MDI plant Chongqing, China

Acrylic acid complex, Brazil

Expansion oil & gas activities

* Memorandum of Understanding signed

Major investment projects

TDI plant Ludwigshafen, Germany

Page 27: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Acquisitions will contribute to profitable growth in the future

27

Provide a minimum return on investment of 8% after tax

Are EPS accretive by year three at the latest

Financial acquisition criteria

Generate profitable growth above the industry average

Are innovation-driven

Offer a special value proposition to customers

Reduce earnings cyclicality

Strategic acquisition criteria

We want to acquire businesses which …

Page 28: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Strong focus on operational excellence

BASF Group 2002–2011 Index

28

50

100

150

200

250

300

2002 2005 2008 2011

CAGR 2002 – 2011

10 %

10 %

4 %

EBITDA

Sales

Fixed costs

Page 29: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 29 29

Annual earnings contribution in € million

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

2012 2015

Former cost saving programs NEXT STEP

Project timeline: 2012–2015 Measures to optimize processes and

structures in all regions, e.g. − manufacturing, maintenance − supply chain − engineering, best-cost country sourcing

Fixed cost savings and margin improvements

One-time costs & investments: ~€1 billion Targeted annual earnings contribution:

~€1 billion by end of 2015, thereof €100 million in 2012 (run-rate)

NEXT Program

STrategic Excellence Program ‘STEP’

Annual earnings contribution of €1 billion will be achieved in 2012

Achieved by end 2011: >€ 800 million

New operational excellence program STEP: Earnings contribution ~€1 billion

Page 30: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Business review BASF Today Trends Purpose and strategic principles Targets Strategic levers BASF Tomorrow – Board priorities

30 BASF Strategy: We create chemistry__November 2011

Business review

BASF growth targets

Strategic levers

Fit for 2020

Page 31: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012

Key financial targets 2015 / 2020

31

Grow at least 2 percentage points above chemical production

Earn a premium on cost of capital of at least €2.5 billion on average p.a.

Profitability targets Growth targets

2015

2020

Sales ~€85 billion

Sales ~€115 billion

EBITDA ~€15 billion EPS ~€7.50

Double EBITDA to ~€23 billion (compared with 2010)

Page 32: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 32 BASF Strategy: We create chemistry__November 2011 32

Appendix Business development Q1 2012

Page 33: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 33

Chemicals Margins improved over Q4 2011 thanks to higher prices

Intermediates 683 -4%

Inorganics 354 +0%

Petrochemicals 2,447 +11%

€3,484 +6%

EBIT before special items (million €)

2012 2011

Q1’12 segment sales (million €) vs. Q1’11

Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies

Q1’12 vs. Q1’11 (4%) (1%) 8% 3%

Page 34: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 34

Plastics TDI and MDI margins improved on higher prices vs. Q4 2011

Polyurethanes 1,409 -5%

Performance Polymers

1,269 -3%

€2,678-4%

Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies

Q1’12 vs. Q1’11 (9%) 2% 1% 2%

Q1’12 segment sales (million €) vs. Q1’11

EBIT before special items (million €)

2012 2011

Page 35: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 35

Performance Products Solid demand but below exceptionally high level of Q1 2011

Performance Chemicals

900 +1%

Care Chemicals 1,283 -7%

€3,999 +0%

Paper Chemicals 410 +4%

Q1’12 segment sales (million €) vs. Q1’11

Nutrition & Health 476 +1% Dispersions

& Pigments 930

+10%

EBIT before special items (million €)

2012 2011

Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies

Q1’12 vs. Q1’11 (5%) 3% 0% 2%

Page 36: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 36

Functional Solutions Good performance driven by high demand from automotive

Catalysts 1,630 -3%

Construction Chemicals

502 +7%

Coatings 713

+6%

€2,845 +1%

Q1’12 segment sales (million €) vs. Q1’11 EBIT before special items (million €)

2012 2011

Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies

Q1’12 vs. Q1’11 (4%) (1%) 4% 2%

Page 37: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 37

Agricultural Solutions Excellent start into the year

Q1’12 segment sales (million €) vs. Q1’11 EBIT before special items (million €)

2012 2011

0

200

400

Q1 Q1

2012 2011

0

500

1,000

Q1 Q1

1,327

Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies

Q1’12 vs. Q1’11 3% 3% 0% 2%

419 343

1,230

Page 38: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 38

Oil & Gas Higher volumes and prices boosted sales and earnings

Exploration & Production 1,336 +25%

Natural Gas Trading

3,639 +52%

€4,975 +44%

Q1’12 segment sales (million €) vs. Q1’11 EBIT bSI/Net income (million €)

118306 202

416626

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Q1/2011 Q1/2012

1,157

Natural Gas Trading

Exploration & Production

Net income

Non compensable oil taxes (Q1 2011: €280 million; Q1 2012: €451 million)

744 955

Sales development Period Volumes Prices/Currencies Portfolio

Q1’12 vs. Q1’11 22% 23% (1%)

Page 39: BASF Capital Market Story  05/2012

BASF Capital Market Story__May 2012 39