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    TOPIC 5 BANK RISK EXPOSURES

    1. CREDIT RISK

    Basle Committee on Banking Supervision, 2000 the potential

    that a Bank Borrower or Counterparty will fail to meet the

    obligations in accordance with agreed terms.

    Risk of Loan not repaid in full or part on time and within conditions also obligations associated with Securities, Derivatives,

    Guarantees etc

    Credit Status declines via Ratings, Interest Rate and Security

    Price changes

    NB CREDIT V. DEFAULT V. COUNTERPARTY

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    2. CAPITAL ADEQUACY RISK [ SOLVENCY ]

    Insolvent when Equity Value is Negative,eg, TOTAL LIABILITIES >

    TOTAL ASSETS as Market/Book Value of Assets decreases below

    Market/Book Value of Liabilities [ Compare Value of Cash and Debt

    versus Value of Profits and Assets.

    RECEIVERSHIP

    Creditors apply to courts for Receiver to take over Assets/Liabilities

    of company to turn around, revert to owner, sell or liquidate

    LIQUIDATION

    Receiver dissolves company, sells assets, repays debt & winds up

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    3. LIQUIDITY RISK

    Liquid Assets converted to cash quickly and without capital loss [

    Compare liquidity of Property, Shares, Treasury Bills, Stock,

    Equipment etc ]

    Liquidity Risk

    a. Value and Maturity Mismatch of Assets and

    Liabilities, eg, Deposit v Loan; Time Deposit v Time Loan

    b. Even with a matched balance sheet, a loan default can eliminate

    capital value as new deposits needed to repay deposit withdrawals.

    c. Bank Run

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    d. Inter Bank Loans dry up

    LIQUIDITY = INSOLVENCY

    Daily Liquidity Risk versus Crisis Liquidity RiskLimit Liquidity Risk by:

    1.Hold Notes and Coin

    2. Hold B. of E. Balances, Treasury Bills, Gilts, CDs, CP, Bills

    3. Arrange Inter Bank Loan Facilities

    4. Use Longer Term Funds to finance Loans

    5. ST Securities/Deposits & Loans/Deposits Ratios

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    4. MARKET RISK

    a. Interest Rate Risk

    Fixed Rate Assets and Liabilities have constant rates over time and

    cash flows do not change; Floating Rate Assets and Liabilities are

    repriced over time and cash flows vary; Rising Rates create greaterexposure for Fixed Rate Loans and Variable Rate Deposits and

    Falling Rates create greater exposure for Variable Rate Loans and

    Fixed Rate Deposits.

    When Rate Sensitive Assets > Rate Sensitive Liabilities per

    Maturity Period, Net Interest Income is exposed to Falling Rates

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    When position is reversed, Net Interest Income is exposed to

    Rising Rates

    IRSA/IRSL > 1, then Income falls as Rates fall

    IRSA/IRSL < 1, then Income rises as Rates rise

    Manage by GAP, MATURITY, DURATION ANALYSIS ANALYSIS

    Refinancing Risk when Asset exceeds Liability Maturity

    Reinvestment Risk when Liability exceeds Asset Maturity

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    2 Foreign Exchange Rate Risk

    ER fluctuations affect value of assets, liabilities and net income in

    foreign currency.

    SEE Currency Liabilities/ Total Liabilities and Currency Assets/

    Total Assets from Eurocurrency or International Banking.LONG Currency Assets > Liabilities exposed to falling rates

    SHORT Currency Assets < Liabilitiesd exposed to rising rates

    3. Other Price Movement Risks,eg, Commodities, Derivatives

    Rise in Market Risk due to income from security trading

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    5. OTHER RISKS

    1. Country Risk

    b. Sovereign Risk

    c. Operational Risk

    d. OBS Riskse. Macro Risks

    f. Micro Risks

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    TUTORIAL TOPIC 5

    Q1. Explain Credit Risk andthe difference between Credit, Default

    and Counterparty Risks; contrast Market & Capital Risks

    Q2. Define Interest Rate Risk and distinguish between

    Reinvestment and Refinancing Risks.

    Q3. Give examples of interest rate sensitive bank assets andliabilities and their exposure to fixed and floating interest rates.

    Q4 Explain Exchange Rate Risk and the exposure of Long and

    Short Currency Positions of bank eurocurrency activity

    Q5 Give examples of different types of Liquidity Risk.

    Q6. Distinguish between Country and Sovereign Risks.

    Q7. Give examples of Operational and OBS Risks.

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    REFERENCES

    Lecture Slides and Handouts

    Chapter 10 of Core Text on International Banking

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