bangkok condominium market report q1 2011 | colliers international thailand
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Q4 2010 - Q1 2011
new Supply
lAunCHeS
pRICeS
TAKe-up
Bangkok Condominiummarket rePort
THAIlAnd
.c i rs.c .th
Bangkok Condominium Market
exeCuTIve SummARy
n w l ch s Q1 2011 ll s s bl l v l ll w h c p v s sC c s v h p p y h v b ll y s s l . th c
h s b h p c ss c s l .
W h b B , h n h S h s l h w y w l 15% ch h l h wh l B . th S b b cc
56% h l.
a 3,500 s w s ppl Q1 2011, sl h c s q/q. F h p s w yq ly s w s pply h v b bly s bl .
th hq Ch m m ch 2011 c s y p l b y s p y s l c b l s s ch v s. m y b q
c c s l h h B s s p s s s s c c v y.
n w l ch s Q1 2011 w w c p w h h p v s q by 46% 10,800 s w l ch Q1 c p 20,000 Q4 2010. a h
l s y , h w w s h h w s b v h w h hb w s b l ch . th B th l s h c l h
l l h x l v l (LtV) 90% c s p cll b h . th s, c pl w h s ll c s s s s, h s h h c c
.
Q1 2011 | Condominium
mARKeT IndICAToRS
newly lAunCHed CondomInIum unITS duRIng THe yeAR 2010 Q1 2011 by QuARTeR
S c : C ll s i l th l r s ch
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i Q1 2011, h S b b B p b B w h hh h b s l ch . m y p j c s h S b b B
c v 600 s.
W h b B , h n h F S h F sh v sh w h h h s b s w h pp x ly 1,600 s 15%
ch l c h l. th C y w s h , w h 600 th S h F b w s h b c l -scp j c , th t s r ch r 3.
app x ly 3,500 w c s w c pl s h d p L Q1 2011 h l b
h wh l B w s pp x ly 300,000 s, h
39,500 s sch l b c pl 2011. th b c s c s c sch l b c pl2011 s h h h s s c h l b l c l c s s 1997.
S c : C ll s i l th l r s ch
S c : d p L , C ll s i l th l r s chr : th b s s cl p j c s h n l H s a h y
newly lAunCHed CondomInIum unITS In Q1 2011 by loCATIon
AddITIonAl Supply by QuARTeR
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ToTAl HISToRICAl Supply by loCATIon To 1Q 2011
CumulATIve fuTuRe Supply SCHeduled To be CompleTed duRIng 2011 2013 by loCATIon In uRbAn bAngKoK (AS of Q1
2011)
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S c : d p L , C ll s i l th l r s ch
S c : C ll s i l th l r s chr : S pply s cl s S b b B
m h 195,000 c s, 65% h l, l c h S b b B . W h h b B ,
h n h F c s h s s s p x y hc y c , ss s c c s l v ly l w l p c s
c p h C y . th o C y s pp sc h x s h BtS c ss h Ch Ph
v l S h v h s s s c .
Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2011
app x ly 21,150 s sch l b c pl hs 2011. th n h F c s b h pl y b B , w h ly 8,500 s sch l b c pl
2011, ll w by h C y w h 6,200 s. i s xph h n h F w ll c s pply
p h c b B .
fuTuRe Supply uRbAn bAngKoK
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th cc p cy h S b b B w s h h h s ,ll w by h e s F o C y - e s s. th p s v
s h e s F h s l p p l wly l ch
p j c S s . th o n -B x s l s cl s h c l p a s 2011 h s sp - p
o C y - e s .
LPn h b sp h c hs q 2011 w h h p j c s w l c s, l h h b h
l c s S b b B . LPn l ch w p j c s hs . L p V ll L s l B S h v 105 r h s
1,028 s sh w h h h s - p l s 100%. a h
p j c by LPn s L p C w n S h , l c Sr , w h l 593 s h h h s -as s l LPn l ch w p j c , L p C w nS h 2 pp s h s p j c w h 750 s. th w p j
h s h h - p .
S c : C ll s i l th l r s ch
AveRAge SAleS pRopoRTIon of newly lAunCHed unITS In Q1 2011 by loCATIon
TAKe-up
lAunCHeS wITH HIgH TAKe up RATeS In Q1 2011
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u d l h 2 @ B s S by g u L v C ., L . s l c P ch ch r h s l c u d l h @ B s
S w h l 645 s h S b b B h h - p h 80% sh ly h l l
Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2011
S c : C ll s i l th l r s ch
AveRAge SellIng pRICeS of newly lAunCHed pRojeCTS by loCATIon, Q1 2011
th v s ll p c h C y s h h h s h tHB95,000 p sq , h w v h s s ly 13% l w h h vs ll p c 2010. th s w s l ss p s s p j c s b
l ch Q1 2011. th v s ll p c h n h F e s F s s l h l p c h
ss s sys p v h .
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th - p p j c s h 1,000 s h BtS /mrt sys s w s h h h s , 50%. P j c s l ss h 200
s h ss s sys h h l w s - p ,
b c s l h h h p j c s cl s h BtS / mrt l s, hs ll p c w s h h h h s.
th v s ll p c p j c s h 200 s BtS / mrt l s w s h h by 55% - 134%, wh ch c ly c
- p .
S c : C ll s i l th l r s ch
S c : C ll s i l th l r s ch
TAKe-up RATe of newly lAunCHed pRojeCTS by pRoxImITy To exISTIng mASS TRAnSIT
lIneS, Q1 2011
AveRAge SellIng pRICeS of newly lAunCHed pRojeCTS by pRoxImITy To exISTIng mASS
TRAnSIT lIneS, Q1 2011
mASS TRAnSIT effeCT
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HouSIng loAnS foR peRSonAl ConSumpTIon exTended by fInAnCIAl InSTITuTIonS
S c : B th l C ll s i l th l r s chn : excl s l bl s c h s c s. P c ch s c p bl q - -q .
th w h h s l s c s h 3% Q3 2009 Q1 2010 b c s h v s c v s c b y s p ch s s by h s c q 2010. th s b s
h s l s h p c p h p s. th l s 4Q 2010 c s h 2%, h w l - -vl s h B th l h c J y 1, 20
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 7
fInAnCIng
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STRengTHS
th s by l , l s v l p s w h sp c s h b l . th s s c s sc l , p v c p s p j c s h l v
c s. H w v s ll pl y s c s ll s cc ss lly h c v c v y h x.
H hly p p l c h s xh b s s w ll s qc v h h s h p ss h lp p h p c
h p l b y s s h lp s l h .
d v l p s c s s ph csw h c s ly s ph s c b wh ch l v s h b y
xp c . g s h v b p c q l ysh w s h p v b y s w h b s h h p c s
h y s b y .
weAKneSSeS
S c p j c s B w s b s l p eia (e v l i p c ass ss ) pp v l, h yp j c s c ch h s f pl , c h
b f s s c ply v b c c lll h , l h h h y y h v s l l y. eia pp v l s
h c c s b y s y v l p s w v seia pp v l h s v s l .
oppoRTunITIeS
th c B h s w, sp c lly lh w BtS x s l s h h c y. ev llyh h h l s h c y h l ly l p p y w ll
b h s y w s l v l p s ch p lp c s.
B s h c p l c y th l c w s y p pl h p s th l v l v BF s b y s s ll p c h sp
h l w h .
d ph cs ls p w b pl s 50-y -b y s wh y b s p b q l y s l c s c s sp p w x c p
h c .
i h l , h aSean v h c c l w l hy v ls h s c s p ch s h
s B wh h y l ly p . th s h l h l h 2010s. F h
b s p s l v s s i Ch .
THReATS
th hq my m ch 2011 w s h b th l c s h h- s b l s Bth y h s s , y p pl w w b h s
h h- s b l s B h s c ly c h c p pl s b y c . al h h v l p s c h h w p j c s w s , s b
s ll p s p h c s . al h h s hp c h s b cl c s c p s h py s, x c c h s b s bl sh s w
x b l c w hs 5.0 hq s s y. H w v , B s l c hq
c ly b l w hs w c .
C y p c s c s f c p p lc c w h, h p ss s s s s c l
v h h .
SwoT AnAlySIS
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AppendIx
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ZonIng
HISToRICAl Supply by yeAR
CumulATIve Supply In bAngKoK
Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2011
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CITY AREA
th c v s j c b c p s b- s: h S h vs c c p s S h v r b w S 1 S 55 h
h S 2 S 38 h s h; h C l L p s ccl Phl Ch r , r i r , S L s , S S s ,
Ch l r , r ch r , W h y r r ch p sr ; h S l / S h s c ; h r v s s c hCh Ph y r v l Ch r Ch r ,wh s v l v -s h ls l c . th C y s c v
b s ss , xp s s s, b c s s p x y y c b l s, l l c l c s.
CITY FRINGE AREA
th s c v s h p s B :
n rth r fri :
th s s c c v s h BtS s r ch h w S
m Ch S h h h mrt s P ch bs B s s h h.
S th r fri :
th s s c c v s n h w r ch r , Ch r ,S h p r , Ch r r iii r l h ChPh y r v .
east r fri :
th s s c c v s h BtS s th L S on S h s , r iV r P ch b r ,
th s c v s l c s w h h w l c l s cc v sp . H w v , c s q
cc ss h c l b s ss s.
OUTER CITY AREA
th c v s w p s B :
o t r Cit (east):
th s s c s s h x s h BtS o n S h B b y h s .
o t r Cit (w st):
th s s c s s h x s h BtS t s B W s , wh ch cl s h k th b r ch ph r P ch s s c .
SUBURBAN BANGKOK
th s h v s s h s l y . exp h ss s sys s h c s
s pply p c l . th xp s o n S Ps sch l b c pl 2011. th xp s h BtS w
b c ly h s c s, s w ll c sc sp c s s . th s w ll c h v
w c s h s . S b b B p sb s h p p s s h s p cl s Bc ys l w (k h r s b y ). th s l ch s c p h s v w pl c ls s c b l h
h c p j c s h .
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CollIeRS InTeRnATIonAl THAIlAndmAnAgemenT TeAm
ProJeCt SaLeS & marketingm ch o w p s | S m
reSidentiaL SaLeS & LeaSingn p sw Ch ph | n
oFFiCe & induStriaL SerViCeSn r s v ph | S m
retaiL SerViCeSash w W ch | S m adViSorY SerViCeSn p t ch | ass c d c
reaL eState management SerViCeSB Ch y | ass c d c
adViSorY SerViCeS | HoSPitaLitYJ m c g | d c
inVeStment SerViCeSn S w l | ass c d cW s r jj l | S m
reSearCH
a y P c | ass c d cS ch k ch p | S m
VaLuation & adViSorY SerViCeSn ch l s B w | ass c d cPh chs Ph h | ass c d cS p k h | S mW S s w | m
PattaYa oFFiCem B wl | S S l s mS p S j s | S B s ss d v l pm / o c m
CoLLierS internationaL thaiLand:
B ofc 17/F Pl ch C ,2 S h v r , kl y,B 10110 th lTel +662 656 7000fAx +662 656 7111emAIl . h@c ll s.c
P y ofc 519/4-5, P y S c r (opp s C l F s v lP y B ch), n p , B l , Ch b 20150
Tel +6638 427 771fAx +6638 427 772emAIl .p y @c ll s.c
ReSeARCHeR:
th la y P cass c d c | r s chemAIl y.p c @c ll s.c
ReSeARCHeR:
th lS ch k ch pS m | r s chemAIl s ch . ch p@c ll s.c
480 c s 61 c s 6 c s
th h l s c c ll s s v c s c p y
h w l th s c s c sc c l l s b
l b lly uS$2 b ll l v ov 2 b ll sq
ov 15,000 p ss ls
th s p h s ch ls y b w bs www.c ll s.c . h. Q s s l h sh l b c h r s ch d p h b c b v . th s c
b p p by C ll s i l v s l ly. C ll s is, p s s w s y , xp ss pl , h c
l , w s c , cc cy l b l y. a y s p y sh l hq s s h cc cy h . C ll s i l xcl s q v c lly ll
s, c s w s s h s c xcl s ll l b l y l ss s h . C ll s i l s w l w l p ly w p c p s.
acc l s cc ss.
u S s: 135
C : 39L a c : 17as P c c: 194emea: 95
Bangkok Condominium market rePort | Q1 2011