banco espirito santo · espirito santo internacional company presentation espirito santo...
TRANSCRIPT
BA
NC
OE
SP
IRIT
OS
AN
TO
Esp
irit
oS
anto
Inte
rnat
ional
S.A
.R
atin
gJu
ly20
12
Contents
1.E
xecutiveS
umm
ary
2.E
spIritoS
anto
InternationalC
ompany
Presen
tation
3.S
PV
Rating
Tool
Presen
tation
4.P
arameters
used
inthe
assessmen
tof
ESI
rating
5.A
nnexes
Exe
cuU
veS
umm
ary
The
pre
sent
stud
yai
ms
toas
sess
the
ratin
gof
Esp
Irito
San
toIn
tern
atio
nal
S.A
.(“
ES
I”).
For
this
purp
ose
the
SP
VR
atin
gT
ool
was
appl
ied.
Thi
sM
odel
isem
ploy
edby
the
Glo
bal
Ris
kD
epar
tmen
tof
Ban
coE
spIr
ito
San
to(“
GR
D”)
inor
der
toas
sign
rati
ngs
tofi
nanc
ial
hold
ings
.
The
rati
ngdr
iver
ofa
fina
ncia
lho
ldin
gis
the
rela
tion
ship
betw
een
the
valu
eof
the
unde
rlyi
ngin
vest
men
ts—
adju
sted
/str
esse
dby
itspo
tent
ial
dec
reas
edu
eto
the
unce
rtai
nty
ofits
valu
ein
the
futu
re—
and
the
debt
ofth
esp
ecif
icen
tity.
The
inve
stm
ents
valu
ead
just
men
tis
bas
edup
onre
turn
san
dre
spec
tive
vola
tility
,an
dal
soin
corp
orat
esth
eco
rrel
atio
nbe
twee
nth
eas
sets
valu
es.
The
info
rmat
ion
inco
rpor
ated
inth
era
ting
asse
ssm
ent
was
bas
edup
on:
(I)in
form
atio
nse
nt
byE
SI;
(ii)
publ
icin
form
atio
nre
gard
ing
ESI
and
itssu
bsid
iari
es;
(iii)
the
inte
rnal
GR
Dex
pert
ise
abou
tth
ein
dust
ries
inw
hich
ESI
indi
rect
lyde
velo
psits
acti
viti
es.
Ret
urns
,vo
latil
ityan
dco
rrel
atio
npa
ram
eter
sem
ploy
edin
the
rati
ngas
sess
men
tof
ESI
wer
e
obta
ined
usin
ga
sam
ple
ofpee
rco
mpa
nies
*.H
owev
er,
and
give
nth
ein
exis
tenc
eof
liste
dpe
er
com
pani
esfo
rR
ioF
orte
,an
dgi
ven
the
atyp
ical
evol
utio
nof
stoc
km
arke
tsin
the
last
year
s,se
vera
l
*S
eeA
nnex
lit
Executive
Sum
mary
scenario
sw
erecalculated,
incorporatingdifferent
assum
ptio
ns
forreturns,
volatilityand
correlation
parameters*.
The
estimated
ratingof
Espirito
Santo
Internationalis
inbetw
een[bb;
bb-j,w
hichco
rrespo
nd
sto
a
PDof
[0,63%;
1,10%).
*See
Annex
II
1
Con
tent
s
1.E
xecu
tive
Sum
mar
y
2.E
spin
toS
anto
Inte
rnat
ional
Com
pan
yP
rese
nta
tion
3.S
PV
Rat
ing
Too
lP
rese
ntat
ion
4.P
aram
eter
sus
edin
the
asse
ssm
ent
ofE
SIra
ting
5.A
nnex
es
‘.j
;•
S
5•5
-5.
-
• ..*•.
..2’
•
SII
çI-
-..,
-:S
EspIrito
San
toInternacional
Com
panyP
resentatio
n
EspIrito
Santo
International,S.A
.(“ESI”)
was
incorporatedunder
thelaw
ofL
uxembourg
andis
subjectto
thelegislation
governingfinancial
holdingcom
panies(SoparfI).
The
activityof
ESI
islim
itedto
monitoring
theperform
anceof
itsinvestm
ents.E
SIthus
man
ages
itscapital
structurein
accordancew
iththe
needto
reinforceor
lightenits
investment
portfolioand
the
needto
supportthose
investments,
eitherthrough
loansor
capitalcontributions.
ESI
main
assetsare:
(i)35%
ofE
spIritoS
antoF
inancialG
roup,S.A
.(“E
SFG”),
directlyheld,
and
another10%
more,
indirectlyheld
throughE
SR
esourcesL
imited.
ES
FG
holdsinterests
infinancial
servicescom
panies,nam
elycom
mercial
bankingand
investment,
insurancecom
paniesand
healthcareproviders;
and(ii)
100%of
Rio
Forte
Investments,
S.A.
(“Rio
Forte”),w
hoseinvestm
ents
enco
mpass
variousnon
financialsectors,
includingreal
estate,construction,
leisure,agriculture
and
renewable
energies,as
well
asholdings
inother
diversifiedcom
panies.
iT
he2011
financialstatem
ents
ofE
SIw
asrevised
byC
omm
issaire
Machado
daC
ruz),w
hichprovided
anunqualified
opinion.
auxC
omples
(Francisco
a’3
t•-
,c
•
..?•‘
—r
S.)
SP
VR
atin
gT
ool
Pre
sent
atio
n
The
“SP
yR
atin
gT
ool”
or“F
inan
cial
Hol
ding
sM
odel
”w
asde
velo
ped
byB
anco
Esp
Irit
oS
anto
in
2008
,w
ithth
ead
viso
ryof
Oli
ver
Wym
an,
and
aim
sto
assi
gn
rati
ngs
toen
titi
esth
atfo
cus
thei
r
acti
viti
esin
the
inve
stm
ent
and
man
agem
ent
offi
nanc
ial
inve
stm
ents
(“fi
nanc
ial
hold
ings
”).
The
rati
ngdr
iver
toas
sess
solv
ency
and
assi
gn
ara
ting
toa
fina
ncia
lho
ldin
gis
the
rela
tion
ship
betw
een
the
valu
eof
the
unde
rlyi
ngin
vest
men
ts—
adju
sted
/str
esse
dby
itspo
tent
ial
dec
reas
edu
eto
the
unce
rtai
nty
ofits
valu
ein
the
futu
re—
and
the
debt
ofth
esp
ecif
icen
tity.
The
mai
nin
puts
ofth
atM
odel
are:
Ass
ets
char
acte
rist
ics:
Fai
rva
lue
ofas
sets
held
and
corr
espo
ndin
gra
ting
s;
Exp
ecte
dre
turn
ofas
sets
and
indu
stry
;
Vol
atili
tyof
asse
tsan
din
dust
ry;
Cor
rela
tion
ofre
turn
s;
Fin
anci
alli
abil
itie
sch
arac
teri
stic
s:
Tot
alH
oldi
ng’s
fina
ncia
llia
bilit
ies;
Contents
1.E
xecutiveS
umm
ary
2.E
spIritoS
antoInternational
Com
panyP
resentation
3.S
PV
Rating
Tool
Presen
tation
4.P
arameters
usedin
theassessm
ent
ofESI
rating
5.A
nnexes
SP
VR
atin
gT
ool
Pre
sent
atio
n
Thi
sse
ctio
nis
eith
ercl
assi
fied
as“R
elev
ant”
(itth
esh
areh
old
er/s
ponso
rh
asfi
nanc
ial
capa
city
and
ast
rong
stra
tegi
cin
tere
stin
the
Hol
ding
,w
hich
lead
sto
ast
rong
ince
ntiv
eto
supp
ort
itin
a
stre
ssfu
lsi
tuat
ion)
or“N
onR
elev
ant”
(ifit
isno
tth
eca
se).
The
qual
itat
ive
fact
ors
pre
sen
ted
inth
epr
evio
usse
ctio
nm
ayim
prov
eth
e“s
olve
ncy
scor
e”up
to
two
notc
hes
(tha
tis
from
the
“Sup
port
and
fina
ncia
lca
paci
tyof
shar
eho
lder
s/sp
on
sors
”)or
dec
reas
e
itto
the
wor
stra
ting
inth
esc
ale
(“cc
c”,
inth
eca
seth
at“C
ompl
exit
yan
dA
sset
Tra
nspa
renc
y”is
“Hig
hly
Opa
que’
).
-,
-S
.
•t1•
SP
yR
atingT
oolP
resentatio
n
iF
inancialliabilities
characteristics:(continued)
Financial
liabilities’characteristics:
(i)spread;
(ii);covenants;
(iii)cross-default
clauses;pan
passu;negative
pledge.
Based
uponthe
mentioned
inputs,the
SP
VR
atingTool
runsM
onteC
arlosim
ulations*,w
hichaim
toestim
atethe
probabilityof
holdingasset’s
valuebeing
lower
thanits
financialliabilities.
Fromthe
resultof
these
simulations
thesolvency
scoreis
obtained.
The
finalrating
features
thesolvency
scoreas
astarting
point,but
incorporatesother
qualitativefactors
inaddition:
Com
plexityand
transparencyof
assetsheld
bythe
Holding
—w
iththe
objectiveof
assessing
ifthe
existinginform
ationregarding
itsassets
isclear
andupdated.
This
sectionis
classified
intofive
possiblecateg
ories:
(i)T
ransparent;(ii)
Not
fullytransparent;
(iii)P
artiallyopaque;
(iv)
Significantly
op
aque;
(v)H
ighlyopaq
ue;
Support
andfinancial
capacityfrom
shareh
old
ers/spo
nso
rs—
inthis
sectionthe
financial
capacityand
theincentive
thatthe
sponso
rshave
tosupport
theH
oldingin
astressful
situation
isevaluated.
*Sim
uIationsate
based
uponthe
Merton
Model.
See
“Methodological
Fram
ework
SP
VR
atingT
ool”,accom
panyingthis
document.
Par
amet
ers
used
inth
eas
sess
men
tof
ESI
ratin
g
The
esti
mat
edra
ting
ofE
spIr
ito
San
toIn
tern
atio
nal
isin
betw
een
[bb;
bb-J
,w
hich
corr
esp
on
ds
toa
PDof
[0,6
3%;
1,10
%].
The
follo
win
gp
aram
eter
sw
ere
use
dth
roug
hout
ES
I’s
rati
ngas
sig
nm
ent
pro
cess
:
Ass
ets
char
acte
rist
ics:
100%
ofR
ioF
orte
,va
lued
ata
lair
valu
eof
EU
R1.
234
mill
ion.
The
inte
rnal
rati
ng
assi
gned
toR
ioF
orte
isb+
;
35%
ofE
SF
G,
valu
edat
afa
irva
lue
ofE
UR
1.28
7m
illio
n.T
hein
tern
alra
ting
assi
gn
ed
toE
SF
Gis
bbb-
(S&
P:N
R;
Moo
dy’s
:B
2;D
BR
S:
BB
B-)
;
Bot
hR
ioF
orte
and
ES
FG
wer
ecl
assi
fied
as“P
riva
teC
ompa
nies
”.In
the
case
ofE
SF
G,
this
isju
stif
ied
byth
efa
ctth
atit
isco
nsid
ered
that
ahy
poth
etic
alsa
leof
such
equi
tyst
ake
byE
SIw
ould
not
beac
com
plis
hed
thro
ugh
asa
leof
shar
esin
the
stoc
km
arke
t.
Ass
etan
din
dust
ryre
turn
s,vo
latil
ityan
dco
rrel
atio
nw
ere
calc
ulat
edus
ing
mar
ket
data
,
bas
edup
ontw
o“p
eer
grou
ps”
ofco
mp
anie
sco
mpa
rabl
eto
Rio
For
tean
dE
SF
G*.
*See
Ann
exIII
••‘
4,.
••
-
•:Y
.’
••
Contents
1.E
xecutiveS
umm
ary
2.E
spIritoS
antoInternational
Com
panyP
resentation
3.S
PV
Rating
Tool
Presentation
4.P
arameters
used
inth
easse
ssment
ofE
SIratin
g
5.A
nnexes
-
IL.
-
f..
Par
amet
ers
use
din
the
asse
ssm
ent
ofE
SIra
ting
.R
egar
ding
the
qual
itat
ive
ques
tion
s,th
ese
wer
eev
alua
ted
inth
efo
llow
ing
way
:
Com
plex
ity
and
Tra
nsp
aren
cy—
itw
asco
nsid
ered
as“T
rans
pare
nt”,
give
nth
atth
ere
isa
dee
pkn
owle
dge
ofE
SIas
sets
.T
his
clas
sifi
cati
ondi
dno
tle
adno
any
adju
stm
ent
ofth
e
“sol
venc
ysc
ore”
;
Cap
acit
yan
dfi
nanc
ial
flex
ibili
tyof
shar
eho
lder
s/sp
onso
rs—
itw
ascl
assi
fied
as
“Rel
evan
t”,
give
nth
atth
eydo
have
fina
ncia
lca
paci
tyan
da
stro
ngst
rate
gic
inte
rest
in
ESI
,le
adin
gto
ast
rong
ince
ntiv
eto
supp
ort
the
com
pany
inth
ehy
poth
etic
alsi
tuat
ion
ofa
fina
ncia
lst
ress
.To
this
poin
t,it
was
also
cons
ider
edth
elo
ngtr
ack
reco
rdan
dth
e
hist
oric
alab
ility
tora
ise
fund
sei
ther
thro
ugh
debt
orth
roug
heq
uity
.T
his
clas
sifi
cati
onle
d
toa
one
notc
hup
lift
ofth
e“s
olve
ncy
scor
e”;
At
last
,it
shou
ldbe
note
dth
at,
bas
edup
onth
epr
evio
usin
puts
,th
eca
lcul
atio
nof
ESI
’sra
ting
was
calc
ulat
edth
roug
hth
eru
nnin
gof
100.
000
Mon
teC
arlo
sim
ulat
ions
.
çt
71
-.
&‘.
Param
etersused
nth
eassessm
ent
ofE
SIraU
ng
Itwasn’t
consid
eredin
thetotal
assetsvalue
ofE
SIthe
equityheld
andad
van
cesm
adeto
EspIrito
San
toR
esources
Lim
ited(“E
SR”),
inthe
amount
of95
million
Euros
and630
million
Euros,
respectively.Instead,
thistotal
amount
was
ded
ucted
fromE
SI’sfinancial
liabilities,given
theC
omfort
Letter*
issuedfrom
major
shareh
old
ersof
ESI
(EspIrito
Santo
Control,
S.A
.,“E
SC”),
ensuringthat
theloans
grantedto
ES
Rby
ESI
will
always
bereim
bursedeven
ifits
assetsare
insufficientto
settledow
nall
comm
itments.
Note
thatE
SIand
ES
Cplan
toaccom
plishthe
phase
outof
ES
Runtil
finalclosing
ofthis
company.
mE
SIF
inancialL
iabilitiescharacterization:
The
amount
ofE
Sl’s
financialliabilities
consid
eredin
therating
assessmen
tw
asE
UR
1.754m
illion.T
heco
verag
eratio
between
theassets’
fairvalue
andfinancial
liabilitiesis
144%;
Itw
asco
nsid
eredthe
following
characteristics
offinancial
liabilities:(i)
spread
of4,5%
overE
uribor;(ii)
nonex
istence
ofcovenants;
Existence
ofcro
ssdefault,
negativepledge
andpari-p
assuclau
ses.
*See
Annex
VI
Conte
nts
1.E
xecu
tive
Sum
mar
y
2.E
spIr
ito
San
toIn
tern
atio
nal
Com
pany
Pre
sent
atio
n
3.S
Py
Rat
ing
Tool
Pre
sent
atio
n
4.P
aram
eter
sus
edin
the
asse
ssm
ent
ofE
SIra
ting
5.A
nnex
es
Annex
I—
Consid
erations
regardingth
eE
xecu
tedS
cenario
s(1/2)
Regarding
stockm
arketvaluation
ofthe
com
pan
iescom
prisingthe
peer
groups,data
fromJu
ne
2000to
June
2007w
ascollected,
sinceit
isconsidered
thatfrom
thisdate
onward
thestock
markets
hadan
atypicalbehavior
dueto
severalfactors
(e.g.:sub-prim
ecrisis,
Lehm
anB
rothersbankruptcy;
sovereigndebt
crisis).
.G
iventhe
inexistenceof
peer
listedco
mpan
iesfor
Rio
Forte,
itw
asdecided
tosim
ulatedifferent
scenario
sin
orderto
calculateE
SI’srating.
These
scenario
sw
erebased
upondifferent
assum
ptio
ns
regardingreturns,
volatilityand
correlationparam
eters.
iR
eturns—
were
calculatedin
thefollow
ingm
anner:(I)
evolutionof
stocksin
theperiod
Jun2000-]un200Z;
(ii)R
eturnon
equityfor
theperiod
2000-2011—
inboth
situationsreturns
were
calculatedusing
arithmetic
mean
sand
weighted
averag
esusing
them
arketcap
of
com
pan
iesthat
make
partof
peer
groups.
Inthe
caseof
Rio
Forte,
andtaking
intoacco
unt
itslarge
industrydiversification,
industry
averag
esw
erecalculated,
which
were
weighted
afterwards
based
onthe
weight
ofeach
industryin
thecom
positionof
adjustedR
ioF
orteN
etA
ssetV
alue(N
AV
)(C
onstructionand
Renew
ableE
nergy—
18%,
Real
Estate
—54%
,leisure
—19%
andH
ealthcare—
9%).
:?
.:•
Ann
exI —
Consi
der
atio
ns
rega
rdin
gth
eE
xecu
ted
Sce
nar
ios
(2/2
)
Vol
atili
ty—
itw
asus
edth
evo
latil
ityas
soci
ated
tost
ocks
that
com
pris
eth
epe
ergr
oups
inth
eJu
n200
0-Ju
n200
7pe
riod
.B
oth
arit
hmet
icm
eans
and
wei
ghte
dav
erag
esth
atus
eth
em
arke
tca
pw
ere
calc
ulat
ed.
Inth
eca
seof
Rio
For
te,
and
inad
diti
onto
wei
ghti
ngea
chse
ctor
inth
eco
mpo
siti
onof
adju
sted
NA
V,
the
corr
elat
ions
betw
een
diff
eren
tin
dust
ries
*w
ere
incl
uded
.A
dditi
onal
ly,
ase
nsit
ivit
ysc
enar
iofo
rth
ispar
amet
erw
asru
n.
iT
heco
rrel
atio
nsus
edbe
twee
nE
SF
Gan
dR
ioF
orte
wer
ebas
edup
onco
rrel
atio
nsca
lcul
ated
betw
een
the
resp
ecti
vepee
rgr
oups
(46%
and
43%
for
the
arit
hmet
icm
eans
and
mar
ket
cap
wei
ghte
dav
erag
es,
resp
ecti
vely
).
*See
Ann
exIV
.
•.
p—
•..
•
4
:L•;•••
••.
‘•;
)1•
..
.P
•
:1
J•
1•
•.
An
nex
II—
Sum
mary
of
Accom
plished
Resu
lts
Param
eters:R
eturn
san
dv
olatilities
were
calculated
ES
FG
90%correlation
between
Real
Estate
andC
onstructionw
asused
forR
ioForte;
43%correlation
between
Real
Estate
and
Construction
was
usedfor
Rio
Forte;
usin
garith
metic
av
era
g.
46%co
rrelation
betw
enR
ioF
orte
and
Rio
Fo
rteE
SF
GS
olv
ency
So
lven
cyF
inalR
eturn
Volatility
Volatil.
Retu
rnV
olatil.R
eturn
PD
Ratin
gR
ating*
90%correlation
between
Real
Estate
and1
84
%11,8%
26,3%6,9%
1,31%bb-
bb
Equity
Returns
Construction
was
usedfor
Rio
Forte;
2000-200735%
correlationbetw
eenR
ealE
stateand
16,9%11,8%
26,3%6,9%
1,08%bb-
bb
Construction
was
usedfor
Rio
Forte;
90%correlation
between
Real
Estate
and18,4%
11,3%26,3%
12,4%1,03%
bb-bb
Construction
was
usedfor
Rio
Forte;R
OE
2000-201135%
correlationbetw
eenR
ealE
stateand
16,9%11,3%
26,3%12,4%
0,84%bb-
bb
Construction
was
usedfor
Rio
Forte;*
One
notchupllft
Param
eters:R
eturn
san
dvo
latilitiesw
erecalcu
latedusin
gav
erages
weig
hted
byth
em
arket
capof
the
com
pan
iesth
at
mak
epart
ofth
peer
gro
up.
43%co
rrelation
betw
enR
ioF
orte
and
ES
FG
Rio
Fo
rteE
SF
GS
olv
ency
So
lven
cyF
inalR
eturn
Volatility
Volatil.
Retu
rnV
otatil.R
eturn
PD
Ratin
gR
ating*
90%correlation
between
Real
Estate
and18,2%
15,3%28,9%
4,1%1,58%
b-i-b
bE
quityR
eturnsC
onstructionw
asused
forR
ioForte;
2000-200743%
correlationbetw
eenR
ealE
stateand
16,9%15,3%
28,9%4,1%
1,30%bb-
bb
Construction
was
usedfor
Rio
Forte;
RO
E2000-2011
One
notchuplift
18,2%13,7%
28,9%13,2%
16,9%13,7%
1,13%bb
28,9%13,2%
0,89%bb
-..
-,
—:.
Ann
exIll
—P
eer
Gro
upR
ioF
orte
(1/2
)P
aram
eter
sca
lcula
tion
thro
ug
har
ithm
etic
aver
ages
Com
pan
yIn
du
stry
RO
E20
00-2
011
(J007)
Vol
atil
ity
MO
TA
EN
GIL
SG
PS
Con
stuc
tion
11,8
2%19
,02%
25,8
5%S
OA
RE
SD
AC
OS
TA
Con
stuc
tion
3,32
%19
,82%
38,5
1%T
EIX
EIR
AD
UA
RT
EC
onst
ucti
on7,
38%
1,71
%30
,08%
Abe
ngoa
SAC
onst
ucti
on19
,84%
19,8
5%32
,94%
AC
SA
ctiv
idad
esde
Con
stru
ccio
ny
Ser
vic
Con
stuc
tion
29,3
7%22
,33%
17,8
3%A
ccio
naSA
Con
stuc
tion
24,5
3%23
,50%
20,1
1%F
omen
tode
Con
stru
ccio
nes
yC
ontr
atas
SAC
onst
ucti
on16
,03%
14,4
8%21
,11%
Gru
poFe
rrov
ial
SAC
onst
ucti
on3,
82%
17,5
9%21
,72%
Sac
yrV
alle
herm
oso
SAC
onst
ucti
on12
,80%
10,2
4%40
,42%
OH
LSA
Con
stuc
tion
17,4
8%23
,68%
30,3
0%U
niba
il-R
odam
coS
ER
eal
Est
ate
14,2
3%19
,57%
21,3
4%E
uroc
omm
erci
alP
rope
rtie
sN
VR
eal
Est
ate
9,62
%10
,28%
15,7
8%V
astn
edR
etai
lN
VR
eal
Est
ate
9,85
%6,
36%
16,5
1%C
orp
Der
moe
stet
jca
SAH
ealt
hcar
e1,
57%
2,95
%27
,85%
Orp
eaH
ealt
hcar
e11
,63%
29,8
0%24
92%
IBE
RSO
LL
eisu
re18
,37%
11,8
8%20
,87%
Acc
orSA
Lei
sure
17,5
0%6,
08%
29,0
0%M
elia
Hot
els
Inte
rnat
iona
lSA
Lei
sure
7,21
%3,
57%
32,0
9%N
HH
otel
esSA
Lei
sure
7,73
%5,
16%
25,1
0%C
lub
Med
iter
rane
eL
eisu
re-4
,70%
-13,
31%
43,7
9%P
ierr
e&
Vac
ance
sSA
Lei
sure
16,4
1%8,
29%
32,3
0%C
onst
ruct
ion
Indu
stry
Ave
rage
14,6
%17
,2%
27,9
%R
eal
Est
ate
Indu
stry
Ave
rage
11,2
%12
,1%
17,9
%H
ealt
hcar
eIn
dust
ryA
vera
ge6,
6%16
,4%
26,4
%L
eisu
reIn
dust
ryA
vera
ge10
,4%
3,6%
30,5
%
Rio
Fort
e’s
Pee
rW
eig
hte
dA
ver
age
wit
hC
orr
elat
ions
(i)(ii
)(ii
i)11
,3%
11,8
%16
,9%
Rio
For
te’s
Pee
rW
eigh
ted
Ave
rage
wit
hC
orr
elat
ions
fi)(ii
)fv
)11
,3%
11,8
%18
,4%
Sou
rce:
Blo
ombe
rg(I)
Adj
uste
dav
erag
ein
corp
orat
ing
the
wei
ght
ofea
chin
dust
ry(c
onsi
deri
nglis
ted
peer
s)in
the
com
posi
tion
ofR
ioF
orte
sN
etA
sset
Val
ue(N
Ay)
,na
mel
y:(a
)C
onst
ruct
ion
and
Ren
ewab
leE
nerg
y—
18%
;(b
)R
eal
Est
ate
—54
%;
(c)
Lei
sure
—19
%;
and
(d)
Hea
fthc
are
—9%
.
ii)G
iven
that
Fort
eR
iopr
esen
tsa
dive
rsif
ied
busi
ness
port
folio
,th
evo
latil
ityto
okin
toco
nsid
erat
ion
the
corr
elat
ions
betw
een
the
indu
stri
esin
whi
chR
ioFo
rte
oper
ates
.(ii
i)In
dica
tor
base
dup
onth
eun
derl
ying
corr
elat
ion
of35
%be
twee
nth
eC
onst
ruct
ion
and
Rea
lE
stat
e,af
ter
som
est
atis
tica
lca
lcul
atio
ns.
(v)
Indi
cato
rth
atha
sun
derl
ying
corr
elat
ion
betw
een
the
Con
stru
ctio
nan
dR
eal
Est
ate
90%
(ove
rrid
e).
A
A
Annex
III—
Peer
Group
Rio
Forte
(2/2)
Source:
Bloom
berg
Para
mete
rscaIc
uIa
ton
thro
ug
hM
ktC
apW
eigh
tedA
verag
es
*A
vgM
tC
apJan2000-Jun
2007
(I)A
djustedaverage
incorporatingthe
weight
ofeach
industry(considering
listedpeers)
inthe
composition
ofR
ioF
ortesN
etA
ssetV
alue
(NA
y),nam
ely:(a)
Construction
andR
enewable
Energy—
18%;
(b)R
ealE
state—
54%;
(c)L
eisure—
19%;
and(d)
Healthcare
—9%
.
(ii)G
iventhat
ForteR
iopresents
adiversified
businessportfolio,
thevolatility
tookinto
considerationthe
correlationsbetw
eenthe
industries
inw
hichR
ioForte
operates.
Weight
inthe
RO
EE
quityR
eturn
sC
ompany
IndustryM
arketC
ap*Industry
¾2000-2011
Jun
2000-Jun2007
Volatility
MO
TA
EN
GIL
SG
PS
Construction
534,51,7%
11,8%19,02%
25,85%S
CA
RE
SD
AC
OS
TA
Construction
103,70,3%
3,3%19,82%
38,51%T
EO
<EIR
AD
UA
RT
EC
onstruction535,0
1,7%7,4%
1,71%30,08%
AbengoaS
AC
onstruction1.113,3
3,6%19,8%
19,85%32,94%
AC
SA
ctividadesde
Construccion
yServic
Construction
6.751,421,9%
29,4%22,33%
17,83%A
ccionaSA
Construction
5.367,417,4%
245%23,50%
20,11%
Fom
entode
Construcciones
yC
ontratasSA
Construction
4.874,115,8%
16,0%14,48%
21,11%
Grupo
FerrovialSA
Construction
6.219,220,1%
3,8%17,59%
21,72%S
acyrV
allehermoso
SAC
onstruction4.438,4
14,4%12,8%
10,24%40,42%
OH
LSA
Construction
955,13,1%
17,5%23,68%
30,30%
Unibail-R
odamco
SE
Real
Estate
5.357,575,7%
14,2%19,57%
21,34%
Eurocom
mercial
Properties
NV
Real
Estate
868,412,3%
96%10,28%
15,78%
Vastned
Retail
NV
Real
Estate
846,712,0%
9,8%6,36%
76,51%
Corp
Derm
oesteticaSA
Healthcare
330,126,5%
1,6%2,95%
27,85%
Orpea
Healthcare
915,173,5%
11,6%29,80%
24,92%
IBE
RSO
LL
eisure110,9
0,8%18,4%
11,88%20,87%
Accor
SAL
eisure8.783,2
65,8%17,5%
6,08%29,00%
Melia
Hotels
InternationalSA
Leisure
1.637,5123%
7,2%3,57%
32,09%
NH
Hoteles
SAL
eisure1.406,1
10,5%7,7%
5,16%25,10%
Club
Mediterranee
Leisure
810,16,1%
-4,7%-13,31%
43,79%
Pierre
&V
acancesSA
Leisure
595,94,5%
16,4%8,29%
32,30%
Construction
IndustryA
verage17,4%
18,1%24,1%
Real
Estate
IndustryA
verage13,1%
16,8%20,1%
Healthcare
IndustryA
verage9,0%
22,7%25,7%
Leisure
IndustryA
verage13,8%
4,6%29,9%
Rio
Fo
rte’sP
eerW
eightedA
veragew
ithC
orrelatio
ns
(I)(ii)
(iii)13,7%
15,3%16,9%
Rio
Forte’s
Peer
Weighted
Average
with
Correlatio
ns
(I)(ii)
(v)13,7%
15,3%18,2%
(iii)Indicator
basedupon
theunderlying
correlationof
43%betw
eenthe
Construction
andR
ealE
state,after
some
statisticalcalculations.
(v)Indicator
thathas
underlyingcorrelation
between
theC
onstructionand
Real
Estate
90%(override).
r.
Ann
exIII
—P
eer
Gro
upE
SF
G(2
/2)
Par
amet
ers
calc
ula
tio
nth
rough
Mkt
Cap
Wei
gh
ted
Aver
ages
Wei
ght
inR
OE
Equ
ity
Ret
urn
sC
ompa
nyS
ecto
rM
arke
tC
apV
olat
ilit
yth
eIn
dust
ry20
00-2
011
Jun
2000
-Jun
2007
BC
P‘R
’B
anki
ng8.
569,
01,
7%13
,4%
-1,2
%27
,8%
BA
NC
OE
SP
R.S
AN
TO
Ban
king
4.52
0,6
0,9%
10,6
%6,
2%14
,5%
BA
NC
OB
PIB
anki
ng2.
633,
00,
5%12
,2%
10,1
%20
,6%
BA
NIF
R’
Ban
king
511,
60,
1%7,
9%23
,0%
27,4
%E
SPIR
ITO
SAN
TO
FIN
L.B
anki
ng1.
156,
10,
2%11
,1%
13,8
%19
,3%
Ban
coB
ilbao
Viz
caya
Arg
enta
ria
SAB
anki
ng47
.661
,29,
3%16
,4%
2,7%
26,6
%
Ban
kint
erS
AB
anki
ng3.
183,
70,
6%12
,5%
4,5%
27,1
%
Ban
coE
span
olde
Cre
dito
SAB
anki
ng8.
195,
11,
6%15
,8%
2,4%
21,3
%
Ban
coP
opul
arE
span
olSA
Ban
king
11.2
13,2
2,2%
17,4
%9,
9%15
,0%
Ban
code
Sab
adel
lSA
Ban
king
5.82
2,3
1,1%
12,3
%10
,3%
19,0
%
Ban
coS
anta
nder
SA
Ban
king
59.8
88,0
11,6
%13
,3%
3,7%
27,9
%
BN
PP
arib
asSA
Ban
king
50.0
38,3
9,7%
14,1
%8,
1%24
,6%
Cre
ditA
gric
ole
SAB
anki
ng33
.027
,26,
4%7,
3%10
,1%
24,6
%
Cre
dit
Lyo
nnai
sSA
Ban
king
14.5
86,1
2,8%
12,2
%3,
7%35
,6%
Dex
iaSA
Ban
king
18.8
16,5
3,7%
10,8
%5,
8%27
,4%
Gro
upe
Bru
xelle
sL
ambe
rtSA
Ban
king
8.81
7,1
1,7%
5,4%
9,5%
22,1
%
ING
Gro
epN
VB
anki
ng56
.440
,111
,0%
17,5
%-1
,1%
33,1
%
KB
CG
roep
NV
Ban
king
19.6
97,7
3,8%
9,8%
11,1
%21
,6%
Soc
iete
Gen
eral
eSA
Ban
king
34.5
17,6
6,7%
12,1
%11
,2%
26,1
%
RB
SH
oldi
ngs
NV
Ban
king
38.3
35,6
7,4%
19,0
%6,
6%31
,5%
Map
ireS
AIn
sura
nce
2.83
8,7
0,6%
14,1
%18
,9%
26,0
%
Aeg
onN
VIn
sura
nce
27.2
42,4
5,3%
9,2%
-12,
8%43
,5%
Alli
anz
Fra
nce
SAIn
sura
nce
11.5
75,2
2,2%
14,4
%11
,5%
32,0
%
AX
ASA
Insu
ranc
e45
.578
,28,
9%9,
3%-3
,1%
37,0
%
Secto
rsA
ver
age
13,2
%4,
1%28
,9%
Sou
rce:
Blo
ombe
rg*
Avg
Mkt
Cap
Jan2000-J
un
20
07
•.,
.•
UC
•
Annex
ill—
Peer
Group
ES
FG
(1/2)
Param
eterscalcu
lation
thro
ug
harith
metic
avera
ges
Com
pan
yIn
dustry
RO
E2000-201
1(JO
OO
7)
Volatility
BC
PB
anking13,4%
-1,2%27,8%
BA
NC
OE
SP
R.S
AN
TO
Banking
10,6%6,2%
14,5%B
AN
CO
BPI
Banking
12,2%10,1%
20,6%B
AN
IFB
anking7,9%
23,0%27,4%
ES
PIR
tFO
SAN
TO
FINL.
Banking
11,1%13,8%
19,3%B
ancoB
llbaoV
izcayaA
rgentariaSA
Banking
16,4%2,7%
26,6%B
ankinterSA
Banking
12,5%4,5%
27,1%B
ancoE
spanolde
Credito
SAB
anking15,8%
2,4%21,3%
Banco
Popular
Espanol
SAB
anking17,4%
9,9%15,0%
Banco
deS
abadellSA
Banking
12,3%10,3%
19,0%B
ancoS
antanderSA
Banking
13,3%3,7%
27,9%B
NP
Paribas
SAB
anking14,1%
8,1%24,6%
Credit
Agricole
SAB
anking7,3%
10,1%24,6%
Credit
Lyonnais
SAB
anking12,2%
3,7%35,6%
Dexia
SAB
anking10,8%
5,8%27,4%
Groupe
Bruxelles
Lam
bertSA
Banking
5,4%9,5%
22,1%IN
GG
roepN
VB
anking17,5%
-1,1%33,1%
KE
CG
toepN
VB
anking9,8%
11,1%
21,6%S
ocieteG
eneraleSA
Banking
12,1%11,2%
26,1%R
BS
Holdings
NV
Banking
19,0%6,6%
31,5%M
apireS
AInsurance
14,1%18,9%
26,0%A
egonN
VInsurance
9,2%-12,8%
43,5%A
ilianzF
ranceSA
Insurance14,4%
11,5%32,0%
AX
ASA
Insurance9,3%
-3,1%37,0%
Secto
r’sA
verag
e12,4%
6,9%26,3%
Source:
Bloom
berg
l•’.-
-..,
_‘;‘
.
41
iC
Ann
exV
Rat
ing
Sca
lean
dP
roba
bili
ties
ofD
efau
lt
Rat
ing
Aver
age
PDM
inP
OM
axP
D
aaa
0,00
1%0,
000%
0,00
2%aa
+0,
003%
0,00
2%0,
005%
aa0,
008%
0,00
5%0,
011%
aa-
0,01
5%0,
011%
0,02
5%a+
0,04
0%0,
025%
0,04
5%a
0,05
0%0,
045%
0,05
5%
a0,
060%
0,05
5%0,
095%
bbb+
0,15
0%0,
095%
0,16
9%bbb
0,19
0%0,
169%
0,21
8%
bbb-
0,25
0%0,
218%
0,31
6%
bb+
0,40
0%0,
316%
0,50
2%
bb0,
630%
0,50
2%0,
832%
bb-
1,10
0%0,
832%
1,46
8%
b+1,
960%
1,46
8%3,
202%
b5,
230%
3,20
2%6,
296%
b-7,
580%
6,29
6%13
,930
%
ccc
25,6
00%
13,9
30%
100,
000%
:Ji.I.:
1-
-
1:-•
Annex
IVR
ioF
orte:C
orrelationM
atrixbetw
eenIndustries
Arithm
eticM
eans
Construction
Healthcare
Leisure
Real
Estate
Construction
100%51%
61%—
35%H
ealthcare51%
100%38%
16%L
eisure61%
38%100%
25%R
ealE
state35%
16%—
25%100%
Blo
onterg
Data;
GR
DC
alculation
Market
Cap
Weig
hted
Averag
esC
onstructionH
ealthcareL
eisureR
ealE
stateC
onstruction100%
51%55%
43%H
ealthcare51%
100%37%
15%L
eisure55%
37%100%
25%R
ealE
state43%
15%25%
100%B
loon
tergD
ata;G
RD
Calculation
•
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exV
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trol
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EN
EX
TPA
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):
:
Annex
VII
—R
ioF
orteInvestm
entsR
iskR
eport
SE
EN
EX
TP
AG
ES
.